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Dynasty Wide Receivers - Football Rankings Analysis

Wide receivers have been prioritized by dynasty owners in recent years, as the movement toward running-back-by-committee and relatively short shelf-life of running backs has made them a more volatile commodity. Receivers can be productive well into their 30s and tend to be more consistent.

After 2017, we may be seeing a shift back toward the early-RB philosphy. The re-emergence of Todd Gurley, impending return of David Johnson, and sudden surge of talented rookie runners have left top-tier WRs more freely available. That said, we need to examine where the community and experts alike value each of these receivers ahead of startup drafts that are due to take place in the coming months.

The expert rankers at Rotoballer have assembled their early pre-NFL draft dynasty rankings at each position. Our rankings are broken down into tiers so you’ll know how we feel about each of these players and their outlooks for 2018 and beyond. Be on the lookout for the rest of our positional analysis articles and more dynasty content throughout the offseason!

Editor's Note: Our incredible team of writers won two writing awards and received 12 award nominations by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. A big congrats to our very own Byron Lindeque (Golf) and Jordan McAbee (NASCAR) for both winning Writer Of The Year awards! Be sure to follow RotoBaller's analysis and advice all year long, and win more. Win More With RotoBaller!

 

Dynasty Wide Receiver Tiered Rankings

Tier Rank Player Name Pos Aaron Pierre Kyle Steve
1 1 Odell Beckham Jr. WR 1 1 2 1
1 3 DeAndre Hopkins WR 2 2 5 3
1 5 Mike Evans WR 3 5 10 4
1 7 Antonio Brown WR 9 4 6 8
2 9 Michael Thomas WR 7 9 8 9
2 12 A.J. Green WR 15 10 14 17
2 13 Julio Jones WR 12 16 16 20
2 15 Davante Adams WR 12 25 15 15
3 18 Keenan Allen WR 33 15 9 19
3 20 Brandin Cooks WR 24 14 34 14
3 21 Amari Cooper WR 19 20 23 27
3 24 Tyreek Hill WR 38 23 18 23
3 25 Jarvis Landry WR 21 19 24 39
3 26 T.Y. Hilton WR 29 35 22 18
4 29 Allen Robinson WR 25 27 39 28
4 32 Alshon Jeffery WR 22 28 53 31
4 33 Doug Baldwin WR 44 30 38 24
4 34 JuJu Smith-Schuster WR 31 32 35 40
4 35 Stefon Diggs WR 37 29 32 42
4 39 Corey Davis WR 30 24 59 43
4 41 Josh Gordon WR 45 38 31 49
4 42 Adam Thielen WR 68 40 33 34
4 44 Golden Tate WR 48 48 49 36
4 45 Demaryius Thomas WR 46 46 50 48
4 49 Sammy Watkins WR 41 45 69 67
4 51 Marvin Jones WR 65 59 45 58
5 53 Dez Bryant WR 47 65 77 55
5 56 Michael Crabtree WR 51 49 88 63
5 57 Sterling Shepard WR 56 52 65 82
5 58 Devin Funchess WR 80 51 79 52
5 61 Jamison Crowder WR 84 76 44 69
5 64 Jordy Nelson WR 74 85 56 65
6 65 Emmanuel Sanders WR 71 62 85 70
6 68 Pierre Garcon WR 85 93 71 54
6 70 DeVante Parker WR 89 73 83 61
6 71 Kelvin Benjamin WR 77 81 93 56
6 73 Corey Coleman WR 67 47 129 73
6 74 Cooper Kupp WR 81 67 72 97
7 78 Robert Woods WR 106 108 64 59
7 79 Martavis Bryant WR 69 84 94 95
7 83 Chris Godwin WR 86 68 99 104
8 88 Nelson Agholor WR 142 64 58 100
8 92 Larry Fitzgerald WR 73 119 86 90
8 93 Marquise Goodwin WR 165 80 46 85
8 94 Will Fuller WR 170 58 78 84
8 95 Kenny Golladay WR 82 69 95 145
8 96 Josh Doctson WR 93 94 130 76
8 98 Dede Westbrook WR 88 90 100 121
9 107 Chris Hogan WR 172 99 91 88
9 108 DeSean Jackson WR 101 102 118 130
9 109 Marqise Lee WR 105 109 176 62
9 113 Mike Williams WR 107 78 170 106
9 116 John Brown WR 125 121 146 81
9 117 Zay Jones WR 115 118 124 117
9 119 Robby Anderson WR 91 87 147 153
10 125 Rishard Matthews WR 132 128 90 138
10 126 Tyrell Williams WR 109 122 148 115
10 127 Randall Cobb WR 135 82 137 143
10 128 Mike Wallace WR #N/A 174 107 98
10 131 Mohamed Sanu WR 141 164 106 110
10 135 Donte Moncrief WR 193 136 121 87
10 138 Willie Snead WR 150 151 120 136
10 140 Ted Ginn WR 128 185 126 135
11 145 Keelan Cole WR 97 149 108 237
11 147 Jordan Matthews WR #N/A 126 142 178
11 149 J.J. Nelson WR 134 179 145 152
11 150 John Ross WR 175 170 168 105
11 151 Tyler Lockett WR #N/A 146 131 188
11 152 Jeremy Maclin WR 196 137 139 149
12 160 Trent Taylor WR 173 175 101 189
12 161 Terrelle Pryor WR 149 140 158 191
12 165 Allen Hurns WR #N/A 167 #N/A 156
12 166 Kenny Stills WR 189 147 151 163
13 171 Malcolm Mitchell WR #N/A 155 162 176
13 173 Curtis Samuel WR 188 130 179 164
13 179 Eric Decker WR 157 195 160 174
13 180 Danny Amendola WR 133 200 #N/A 182
14 184 Paul Richardson WR #N/A 132 184 228
14 185 Taywan Taylor WR #N/A 135 #N/A 229
14 190 Laquon Treadwell WR #N/A 154 #N/A 213
14 193 Kevin White WR 143 223 169 202
15 196 Mack Hollins WR #N/A 224 165 173
15 197 ArDarius Stewart WR #N/A 187 #N/A 190
15 199 Brandon Marshall WR #N/A 205 159 208
15 201 Cole Beasley WR 176 219 #N/A 185
16 205 Phillip Dorsett WR #N/A #N/A 188 205
16 209 Tyler Boyd WR 178 216 175 226
16 210 Jermaine Kearse WR #N/A 241 #N/A 157
16 211 Dontrelle Inman WR #N/A 188 #N/A 212
17 213 Chris Conley WR #N/A 222 164 224
17 214 Josh Reynolds WR #N/A 186 #N/A 223
17 215 Taylor Gabriel WR 158 235 #N/A 221
17 216 Josh Malone WR #N/A 206 #N/A #N/A
18 221 Kendall Wright WR #N/A 236 #N/A 180
18 223 Seth Roberts WR #N/A 227 #N/A 197
18 224 Amara Darboh WR #N/A 240 194 204
18 225 Leonte Carroo WR 182 226 #N/A 230
18 231 Markus Wheaton WR #N/A #N/A #N/A 218
18 232 Demarcus Robinson WR #N/A 218 #N/A #N/A
19 233 Travis Benjamin WR #N/A 248 187 220
19 236 Breshad Perriman WR #N/A 202 #N/A 243
19 238 Michael Floyd WR #N/A 204 #N/A 242
19 243 Kenny Britt WR #N/A 213 #N/A 239
19 244 Torrey Smith WR #N/A 257 #N/A 199
19 246 Jaron Brown WR #N/A 301 167 #N/A
19 247 Damiere Byrd WR #N/A 234 #N/A #N/A
19 248 Jakeem Grant WR #N/A 276 193 #N/A
19 249 Brandon LaFell WR #N/A 256 #N/A 214
19 251 Terrance Williams WR #N/A 239 #N/A 234
20 254 Ryan Grant WR #N/A 238 #N/A #N/A
20 255 Geronimo Allison WR #N/A 243 #N/A #N/A
20 256 Braxton Miller WR #N/A 242 #N/A 245
20 260 Eli Rogers WR #N/A 273 #N/A 225
20 261 Jeremy Kerley WR #N/A #N/A #N/A 249
20 262 Brice Butler WR #N/A 267 #N/A 231
20 267 Aldrick Robinson WR #N/A 209 #N/A 302
20 271 Cordarrelle Patterson WR #N/A 265 #N/A 255
20 274 Jarius Wright WR #N/A 261 #N/A #N/A
20 275 Deonte Thompson WR #N/A 262 #N/A #N/A
21 278 Albert Wilson WR #N/A 263 #N/A #N/A
21 280 Russell Shepard WR #N/A 264 #N/A #N/A
21 281 Kamar Aiken WR #N/A 291 #N/A 241
21 284 Tavon Austin WR #N/A 266 #N/A 268
21 286 Brandon Coleman WR #N/A 269 #N/A #N/A
21 290 Malcom Brown WR #N/A #N/A #N/A 272
21 293 Chris Moore WR #N/A 275 #N/A #N/A
21 295 Tommylee Lewis WR #N/A 277 #N/A #N/A
21 298 Tavarres King WR #N/A 278 #N/A #N/A
21 301 Cody Core WR #N/A 305 #N/A 258
21 304 Jaelen Strong WR #N/A 302 #N/A 271
22 316 Alex Erickson WR #N/A 272 #N/A 314
22 319 Dameiere Byrd WR #N/A 294 #N/A #N/A
22 322 Anquan Boldin WR #N/A #N/A #N/A 298
22 325 Adam Humphries WR #N/A 344 #N/A 256
22 330 Pharoh Cooper WR #N/A 283 #N/A 324
22 341 Justin Hunter WR #N/A 350 #N/A 276
22 342 Victor Cruz WR #N/A #N/A #N/A 313
22 343 Darrius Heyward-Bey WR #N/A 314 #N/A 315
22 354 Johnny Holton WR #N/A 322 #N/A #N/A
23 356 DeAndrew White WR #N/A 328 #N/A 319
23 357 Josh Bellamy WR #N/A 324 #N/A #N/A
23 360 Bruce Ellington WR #N/A 326 #N/A #N/A
23 361 Trevor Davis WR #N/A 334 #N/A 320
23 362 Andre Holmes WR #N/A 327 #N/A #N/A
23 363 Tajae Sharpe WR #N/A 355 #N/A 301
23 364 Bennie Fowler WR #N/A 329 #N/A #N/A
23 365 TJ Jones WR #N/A 331 #N/A #N/A
23 367 Cody Latimer WR #N/A 333 #N/A #N/A
23 373 Chester Rogers WR #N/A 340 #N/A #N/A
23 374 Jaydon Mickens WR #N/A 341 #N/A #N/A
23 378 Chad Hansen WR #N/A 346 #N/A #N/A
23 381 Roger Lewis WR #N/A 349 #N/A #N/A
23 382 Justin Hardy WR #N/A 351 #N/A #N/A
23 383 Ricardo Louis WR #N/A 352 #N/A #N/A
23 387 Louis Murphy WR #N/A 360 #N/A #N/A

 
 
Tier One

Odell Beckham Jr., DeAndre Hopkins, Mike Evans, Antonio Brown

OBJ is the near-unanimous top dynasty player in our rankings, with Kyle being the lone holdout (Todd Gurley is his No. 1 dynasty player, as you may have seen in his dynasty RB analysis). Despite missing most of the season with a fractured ankle, his stock shouldn't suffer whatsoever. Beckham had gone over 1,300 yards each of his first three seasons and is just 25 years old, making him the safest pick you can ask for at the top of a dynasty startup.

Hopkins vaulted back into the first tier after a monster season, despite spending half of it catching passes from the likes of Tom Savage and TJ Yates. He's barely older than Beckham and has only missed one game in his five-year career. It's not out of the question to think he might be more risk-free than Beckham because of the diverging trajectories of their respective quarterbacks.

Mike Evans is still held in high regard by dynasty owners even though he wound up as the WR21 in PPR scoring last season. His lack of production was symptomatic of the entire Bucs offense struggling without a consistent running game or a healthy Jameis Winston for much of the year. Evans will remain very much dependent on target volume, as he rates lower than the league average on catch rate for deep balls over 30 yards and even worse on yards after the catch, regardless of depth of target. Fortunately, he should still see plenty of volume. Evans was fifth in total air yards and 15th in market share even in a down year.

You could still make the case for Antonio Brown as the #1 overall pick in a redraft league, but his advanced age for an NFL player (29!) leaves him behind the top three WR in this tier.

 

Tier Two

Michael Thomas, A.J. Green, Julio Jones, Davante Adams

The order gets a bit muddled as soon as the second round hits, but you could make an argument for any one of these players as your WR1 if you choose to go with a running back first. Thomas is entering his third season in the prolific Saints offense and is about as consistent as they come. He caught less than five passes in a game only twice all season and finished sixth in total targets among all receivers.

A.J. Green had a down year by his standards, but he still finished with the third-highest target total of his career and managed to break the 1,000-yard mark. I had no reservations putting him as a top-10 fantasy asset due to his consistency.

Davante Adams has climbed the most among all WR, which is surprising since he was without All-Pro quarterback Aaron Rodgers much of the year. Brett Hundley seemed to have an affinity for Adams, targeting him 78 times in the nine games they played together before Adams' concussion, compared to 55 targets for Jordy Nelson and 48 for Randall Cobb in the same stretch. It's easy to pick the younger receiver and assume he will take up the mantle as the WR1, but all things being equal, Adams may not outproduce Nelson this year. He is inked for four years, however, so his fantasy floor is pretty safe from a long-term dynasty perspective.

 

Tier Three

Keenan Allen, Brandin Cooks, Amari Cooper, Tyreek Hill, Jarvis LandryTY Hilton

Allen and Cooks both have finely-aging quarterbacks but should continue to put up good numbers for the next couple of years and should still be considered early picks. In a recent (still ongoing) RotoBaller writer dynasty mock, Allen and Cooks were taken as picks 2.2 and 2.3 respectively.

Amari Cooper has received more airtime than any other single player on the Fantasy Bomb podcast, but for good reason. He entered 2017 as the the seventh-ranked player in dynasty, but is now going as the 26th overall selection according to FantasyFootballCalculator. Arguably one of the biggest busts of the season, he is a clear buy-low candidate and an intriguing player who will now have Jon Gruden as a head coach with the possibility of no Michael Crabtree opposite him. This is a boom-bust pick at its finest.

Jarvis Landry was just slapped with the franchise tag, so unless a blockbuster trade happens in the coming months, his value should remain fairly static with Miami.

It's a bit surprising to see T.Y. Hilton ahead of Allen Robinson, who slipped to the top of tier four in our early rankings. Steve is especially bullish on Hilton returning to fantasy stardom, ranking him in the top 20 overall and ahead of Julio Jones. With the exception of a few elite players like Hopkins and Brown, most receivers' value in largely tied to their offense and QB situation. If we can't get more out of Andrew Luck than "I’m in the middle of sort of a little bit of throwing...", you can count me out of the running for Hilton or any other Colts receiver.

 

Tier Four

Allen Robinson, Alshon Jeffery, Doug Baldwin, Juju Smith-Schuster, Stefon Diggs, Corey Davis, Josh Gordon, Adam Thielen, Golden Tate, Demaryius Thomas, Sammy Watkins, Marvin Jones

Here's where things get sticky. The fourth tier is jam-packed with players that have WR1 potential and serve as the primary targets on their teams. Alshon Jeffery should see an uptick in value after a nice playoff run and huge touchdown catch in the Super Bowl that will stick in people's minds. Any concerns about Carson Wentz's injury can be thrown out the window as long as Nick Foles is still around.

Amidst relatively safe veterans like Doug Baldwin, Golden Tate, and Demaryius Thomas, we have far more exciting options available. Juju Smith-Schuster is not only the youngest receiver on this list, he was the youngest player in the entire NFL last season at 20 years old. Now that he's ditched the bicycle and put up impressive numbers as a rookie with 58 receptions, 917 yards, and seven touchdowns, it's almost shocking to see him this far down the dynasty ranks. Each of our experts had him in the same range between the top 30-40 overall players, but I suspect this may change as we get closer to the regular season.

Corey Davis is an interesting name to find here because his ceiling is arguably the highest, yet his 2017 production was by far the lowest (not counting A-Rob). A new coach and more dynamic offensive scheme could open things up for the passing game and third-year QB Marcus Mariota should take another step forward. This might be the best ADP value that Davis will have for years to come, so it's worth taking a chance on his talent.

Thomas, Diggs, Thielen, and Gordon are all risky picks at the moment since nobody knows who they'll be catching passes from over the next couple of years. Assuming Teddy Bridgewater recovers his role as the starting QB in Minnesota, both Diggs and Thielen become slightly less interesting.

 

Tier Five

Dez Bryant, Michael Crabtree, Sterling Shepard, Devin Funchess, Jamison Crowder, Jordy Nelson

Dez and Crab are ticking time bombs waiting to go off in the hands of any dynasty owner, not just because of their volatile tempers. Neither is a free agent, but both may find themselves wearing different uniforms in 2018. The Cowboys are loudly considering parting ways with Bryant to save themselves future cap space (and headaches). Crabtree may also be cut loose if the Raiders choose to get younger at the position, but that all depends on whether he fits the mold of a Gruden Grinder in his new coach's estimation.

If you're a win-now kind of dynasty player like myself and my man @chrismangano, then you are fine taking Jordy Nelson as your second receiver and going young at the position later on. It seems like he was written off years ago as being too old, but at the age of 32 there's no reason he can't give another five seasons of solid production in a high-scoring offense.

 

Tier Six

Emmanuel Sanders, Pierre Garcon, DeVante Parker, Kelvin Benjamin, Corey Coleman, Cooper Kupp

Risk abounds with this group of WR, as Sanders may be on the move, Garcon is coming off a serious injury, Benjamin is on a run-first team searching for a quarterback, and Coleman is... a Cleveland Brown. Upon further review, my own ranking of Garcon at 93 needs a major adjustment, as I believe he is due for a big year with Jimmy G at QB and should have a few good years left too.

DeVante Parker has been a massive disappointment and the QB situation alone can't be blamed. While the two-headed monster of Jay Cutler and Matt Moore is a scarier proposition than meeting the Demogorgon head-on, it still allowed Jarvis Landry rack up a career-best 112 catches and nine TD, while Kenny Stills also enjoyed his best season as a Dolphin. As a lanky, 6'3" first-round pick with elite athleticism, there is simply no reason he shouldn't have been better. He's worth the risk among this group of players, but should not be reached for in hopes that the light bulb suddenly switches on.

 

Tier Seven

Robert Woods, Martavis Bryant, Chris Godwin, Nelson Agholor

If you're looking for WR depth and upside closer to the eighth round, would you rather have the guy who's the third option on his own team and has a history of personal issues, or the second-year player oozing with potential and physical gifts? That might have been framed in a totally subjective way, but the point is that Chris Godwin, and Nelson Agholor for that matter, are both players whose fantasy outlook exceed Martavis Bryant. Bryant's size/speed combo and tremendous Sparq score that ranked him in the 89th percentile are great on paper, but he's yet to catch more than 50 passes in a season and his touchdown totals have gone down each season he's actually played, down to three last year.

 

Tier Eight

Larry Fitzgerald, Marquise Goodwin, Will Fuller, Kenny Golladay, Josh Doctson, Dede Westbrook

Now that Fitz is definitely back for another go, his ranking will surely be boosted in the next update. Even if it's just one more season of greatness, it surely places him among the top-25 WR. The great thing about dynasty is that even if your team tanks and you own aging assets like Fitzgerald, you can always trade him to a contender before playoff time and pickup some draft picks or rookies in exchange for your investment.

As you can tell by my ranking of him at 69, I am clearly enamored with Kenny Golladay's ability. Steve is not too impressed, having ranked him twice as high at 145! He is 6'4" with a catch radius of 10.18 and a 40 time of 4.50. In other words, Martavis Bryant but with a work ethic and without the character issues. He also plays at least half his games on turf and is part of a pass-heavy offense with a legit franchise QB. What else could you ask for in a dynasty asset?

Josh Doctson has all the talent, but hasn't put it together and now faces the prospects of a more conservative offense. Dede Westbrook may suffer the same fate as an under-used speed threat with great hands. While things can change in a hurry in the NFL, you can't assume that a rookie or second-year player will suddenly jump up in value because you want them to. None of the players at this point in our rankings or lower should be taken as anything but depth and/or upside fliers. Zero RB enthusiasts, you've probably filled your roster with receivers anyway at this point, so now's the time to load up on your rookie runners!

 

More Dynasty Rankings and Analysis


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




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Nabs A Quality Top 10 Finish At Dover
Kyle Busch5 days ago

Scores His Second Top-10 Finish Of The Year At Dover
Daniel Hemric6 days ago

Ends Up Ninth At Dover
Ty Gibbs6 days ago

Sneaks Into Tenth At Dover On Sunday
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