Fantasy Football Projections

RotoBaller's 2026 Fantasy Football Projections

2026 Fantasy Football Projections by industry-leading forecaster Nick Mariano. RotoBaller's data-driven NFL player projections for PPR, half-PPR, and standard fantasy football drafts to help fantasy managers draft league-winning rosters. Use these expert, detailed projections along with RotoBaller's award-winning rankings and analysis.

Why Trust These Projections

RotoBaller has long been a leader in the fantasy football space since 2012, with over a dozen FSWA Award wins and countless nominations. RotoBaller's rankings have consistently finished among the most-accurate in the industry, including a top-three placement in 2025.

How to Read the Projections

• RK - Player Overall Ranking
• POS - Position
• TEAM - NFL Team Logo
• BYE - Individual Player's Team Bye Week
• PTS - Season-Long Fantasy Football Projection
• SOS RANK - Position-Specific Strength of Schedule
• ADP - Average Draft Position
• P-RK - Positional Ranking
• YPC - Projected Yards Per Carry
• RUSH - Projected Rushing Attempts
• RUSH YDS - Projected Rushing Yards
• RUSH TDS - Projected Rushing Touchdowns
• REC - Projected Receptions
• REC YDS - Projected Receiving Yards
• YPR - Projected Yards Per Reception
• REC/TAR GAME - Projected Receptions and Targets Per Game
• PASS YDS - Projected Passing Yards
• PASS TD - Projected Passing Touchdowns
• INT - Projected Interceptions Thrown
• CMP% - Projected Completion Percentage
• ATT/GM - Projected Passing Attempts Per Game
• QB YPC - Projected Yards Per Completion

How RotoBaller Builds Projections

Nick Mariano's fantasy football projections are data-driven and backed by results in conjunction with human expertise and nuance from one of the most experienced forecasters in the industry. These projections are constantly updated to give managers the most up-to-date information and resources for fantasy football drafts.

Why Fantasy Football Projections Matter

Our Fantasy Football projections give fantasy managers an edge because they go beyond a simple list of rankings and eliminate "guesswork". These fantasy football projections combine advanced statistical models with matchup data, injury reports, and more to calculate expected fantasy points. Knowing how many points a player or your team is expected to score is more useful than knowing just where each player is ranked, giving managers a clear expectation heading into a season or weekly matchup.

How to Use Projections to Win Your Draft

Use these fantasy football projections to mine value throughout your draft. Compare projected fantasy points to ADP to uncover undervalued sleepers or potential overvalued busts. Slightly reach on players with higher projections than raw ADP, and let others draft players with inflated ADP compared to their projection. Using projections to visualize when a positional tier is coming to an end is key to maximizing each draft selection.

Projections vs. Rankings vs. ADP

Fantasy Football Projections - detailed breakdowns of expected player performance based on data such as matchups, historical trends, and recent form/usage.

Fantasy Football Rankings - ordered list of players from first to worst to guide draft decisions from the early-to-late rounds. Unlike projections, rankings suggest players in a defined order based on factors outside of pure forecasted output such as injury risk, positional scarcity, and ceiling vs. floor ratio.

Average Draft Position - Refers to the average position a player is drafted in fantasy football drafts. ADPs can be platform-specific, but there are also consensus ADPs that combine data from several platforms. Fantasy Football ADP is calculated by taking the average draft position of a player across several drafts and dividing it by the total number of drafts.

Projections for Weekly Lineups & Start/Sit

Use Nick Mariano's fantasy football projections as another resource to guide your start-sit calls during the season. Rankings are the most common tool for start-sit decisions, but projections can help you set an expectation for how each player is expected to perform. When making close calls, single-game projections can be used as a tie-breaker for lineup decisions.

Projections by Position

Quarterback (QB) Projections

Relevant quarterback fantasy football projections include passing yards, passing touchdowns, interceptions thrown, completion percentage, passing attempts per game, yards per completion, yards per carry, rushing attempts, and rushing touchdowns.

Running Back (RB) Projections

Relevant running back fantasy football projections include yards per carry, rushing attempts, rushing touchdowns, receiving yards, receiving touchdowns, yards per reception, receptions, and targets.

Wide Receiver (WR) Projections

Relevant wide receiver fantasy football projections include receiving yards, receiving touchdowns, yards per reception, receptions, targets, yards per carry, rushing attempts, and rushing touchdowns.

Tight End (TE) Projections

Relevant tight end fantasy football projections include receiving yards, receiving touchdowns, yards per reception, receptions, targets, yards per carry, rushing attempts, and rushing touchdowns.

Projections by Scoring Format

PPR Projections - PPR Fantasy Football Projections award one fantasy point per reception, often boosting output for wide receivers and tight ends

Half-PPR Projections - Half-PPR Fantasy Football Projections award 0.5 fantasy points per reception, giving slight boosts to wide receivers and tight ends

Standard (Non-PPR) Projections - Standard Fantasy Football Projections award no points for receptions, often weakening wide receivers and tight ends

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What are fantasy football projections?
A: Fantasy Football projections are qualitative forecasts of future statistical production based on a data-driven model in the form of expected fantasy points

Q: How accurate are Nick Mariano's projections?
A: One of the most accurate fantasy football forecasters in the industry, Nick Mariano is a multiple-time top ranker (including a No. 2 overall finish) and is one of the most respected analysts in the industry

Q: Are these projections for PPR, Half-PPR, or Standard leagues?
A: Nick Mariano's fantasy football projections are available for all league formats including PPR, Half-PPR, and standard scoring

Q: How often are the projections updated?
A: RotoBaller's fantasy football projections are updated daily in the preseason and regular season with the most accurate, up-to-date data and information.

Q: What causes projections to change?
A: Fantasy football projections are adjusted for injury news, role changes, information from beat reporters, direct updates from coaches, recent performance, added or removed teammate impact, specific matchups, weather, pace of play, changing offensive schemes, and more.

Q: Projections or rankings — which should I use to draft?
A: Use RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings and projections to guide your draft-day decisions

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