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If you play in a head-t0-head points league, or season long format, you already know how difficult it can be to find fantasy analysis tailored to the format. Not only are the traditional rotisserie and head-to-head arrangements more popular, but the very nature of points leagues makes them difficult to cover in a general sense because they carry significantly more variance in terms of settings.
Niche audience or no, there are still plenty of folks out there who love the format, and y’all deserve help from the experts just as much as those who stick to roto or H2H. That’s why we’re excited to unveil the first round of RotoBaller’s 2018 fantasy baseball points league rankings for third base and the month of January.
This round of rankings comes to you courtesy of Nick Mariano, Chris Zolli, Kyle Richardson, and yours truly.
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2018 Fantasy Baseball Points League Rankings: Third Base (January)
| Ranking | Tier | Player Name | Pos | Nick | Bill | Chris | Kyle R. |
| 1 | 1 | Nolan Arenado | 3B | 5 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 2 | 1 | Kris Bryant | 3B/OF | 16 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 3 | 1 | Manny Machado | 3B | 21 | 17 | 15 | 15 |
| 4 | 1 | Freddie Freeman | 1B/3B | 19 | 27 | 20 | 21 |
| 5 | 2 | Jose Ramirez | 2B/3B | 26 | 22 | 28 | 26 |
| 6 | 2 | Josh Donaldson | 3B | 40 | 13 | 23 | 27 |
| 7 | 2 | Alex Bregman | 3B/SS | 81 | 44 | 36 | 45 |
| 8 | 2 | Anthony Rendon | 3B | 57 | 52 | 58 | 49 |
| 9 | 3 | Justin Turner | 3B | 56 | 55 | 53 | 54 |
| 10 | 3 | Jake Lamb | 3B | 102 | 59 | 79 | 76 |
| 11 | 3 | Miguel Sano | 3B | 122 | 66 | 63 | 77 |
| 12 | 3 | Travis Shaw | 3B | 75 | 83 | 99 | 82 |
| 13 | 3 | Adrian Beltre | 3B | 80 | 93 | 90 | 90 |
| 14 | 3 | Mike Moustakas | 3B | 118 | 85 | 84 | 99 |
| 15 | 3 | Matt Carpenter | 1B/2B/3B | 119 | 102 | 104 | 97 |
| 16 | 4 | Kyle Seager | 3B | 95 | 126 | 113 | 109 |
| 17 | 4 | Rafael Devers | 3B | 139 | 132 | 123 | 126 |
| 18 | 4 | Nick Castellanos | 3B | 152 | 122 | 119 | #N/A |
| 19 | 4 | Evan Longoria | 3B | 117 | 138 | 168 | 134 |
| 20 | 4 | Scooter Gennett | 2B/3B/OF | 214 | 143 | 178 | 168 |
| 21 | 4 | Eduardo Nunez | SS/3B/2B/OF | 257 | 147 | 155 | 177 |
| 22 | 4 | Joey Gallo | 3B/1B/OF | 249 | 165 | 152 | 181 |
| 23 | 4 | Eugenio Suarez | 3B | 198 | 186 | 218 | 174 |
| 24 | 4 | Marwin Gonzalez | 1B/2B/3B/SS/OF | 273 | 182 | 170 | 213 |
| 25 | 4 | Todd Frazier | 3B | 111 | 259 | 259 | 215 |
| 26 | 5 | Ryon Healy | 3B/1B | 226 | 217 | 212 | 226 |
| 27 | 5 | Maikel Franco | 3B | 239 | 261 | 257 | 234 |
| 28 | 5 | Jeimer Candelario | 3B | 250 | 269 | 276 | 252 |
| 29 | 5 | Logan Forsythe | 2B/3B | 133 | 348 | 341 | 278 |
| 30 | 5 | Matt Chapman | 3B | #N/A | 266 | 299 | 284 |
| 31 | 5 | Jose Reyes | 2B/SS/3B | #N/A | 301 | 307 | 303 |
| 32 | 5 | Asdrubal Cabrera | SS/2B/3B | 298 | 308 | 311 | 304 |
| 33 | 5 | Jedd Gyorko | 1B/3B | #N/A | 322 | 322 | 324 |
| 34 | 5 | Nick Senzel | 3B | #N/A | 338 | 336 | 336 |
| 35 | 6 | Hernan Perez | 2B/3B/OF | 409 | 347 | 338 | 358 |
| 36 | 6 | Adonis Garcia | 3B | #N/A | 358 | 388 | 378 |
| 37 | 6 | David Freese | 1B/3B | #N/A | 376 | 411 | 397 |
| 38 | 6 | Matt Duffy | SS/3B | #N/A | 390 | 432 | 421 |
| 39 | 6 | Chase Headley | 3B | #N/A | 400 | 445 | 434 |
| 40 | 6 | Danny Valencia | 1B/3B/OF | #N/A | 401 | 447 | 436 |
| 41 | 6 | Brandon Drury | 3B/OF | 404 | #N/A | 449 | 438 |
Tier 1
Freddie Freeman is a fresh face at this position, and apparently I'm lowest on him of the group. It's easy to see why they're believers--Freeman is very much in his prime at just 27, and he's coming off back-to-back outstanding seasons. He's managed a .400 OBP in each of his last two seasons (although last year was shortened by injury) and has combined the improved contact with a power boost. His .280 ISO last year marked a career high. Wait... did I just talk myself into ranking Freeman higher in February?
Tier 2
On the flip side, I am wayyyy higher on the Bringer of Rain than my colleagues. Josh Donaldson had what most would consider a down year--a modest 33 homers and 78 RBI. Sure, that projects to a 47-homer, 111-RBI pace, but who's counting...oh yeah, I am. I'm counting. Donaldson is still just 32 and, as of this writing, will play his home games in the Rogers Centre. I have him pegged for a huge bounce-back this season, and while my top-13 ranking might be a little aggressive I think he's a lock for top-25.
Tier 3
I'm very curious what downside my colleagues see with Jake Lamb. He has now posted 29 homers and 91 RBI in two straight seasons, and will once again be hitting behind Paul Goldschmidt in the hitter-friendly Chase Field. There is nothing jumping out at me statistically as a red flag for regression, either. His BABIP from the last two seasons is perfectly sustainable, and the improvements he made in walk-rate and K-rate are minor enough for me to think that even if he regresses to his career average it won't do any real damage to his stat line. The very obvious downside is Lamb's annual tank-fest in the second half. Early on here, I'm betting on the 27-year-old to fix what ails him in 2018 and sustain solid production for most of the year.
Tier 4
I am lowest on Kyle Seager, although not by much, and ultimately my ranking comes down to his lack of upside. Seager will definitely produce as a startable third baseman in any format, but I don't see top-10 potential there. While there are certainly other factors at play here, the stat that jumps off the page for me was his plummeting line drive percentage. In 2017, 51.6% of his batted balls were fly balls (compared to a 43.6% career average), and in Safeco that's not going to do you many favors. I'll be interested to see if it's a trend that continues or if that was a one-off season, but either way I'm down on Seager headed into 2018.
Tier 5 and Tier 6
Extremely curious what Nick sees in Logan Forsythe. While I certainly think he's better than the atrocious line we saw out of him last year (.224, 6 HR, 36 RBI, 56 R), I view his 2016 season as the true peak of his potential (.264, 20 HR, 52 RBI, 76 R). I'm excited to see what happens with Matt Duffy in 2018. The former Giant was out for all of 2017 recovering from a surgeries on his Achilles tendon, but he should be 100% coming into 2018 with the Rays. With Evan Longoria now in San Francisco, the starting third base job is Duffy's to lose, and if he can regain any of the form from his excellent 2015 season he could make some noise in points leagues.
