X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Overvalued Fantasy Football Veterans for 2024 - Tyler Lockett, Keenan Allen, Aaron Jones, more

Travis Kelce - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Justin Pottinger examines several overvalued veterans in 2024 fantasy football leagues. Fantasy managers may want to fade these players at their current price.

As the fantasy football season approaches, identifying overvalued players is crucial for building a championship roster. While veterans often bring experience and proven performance, their perceived value can sometimes exceed their actual worth, leading to costly draft decisions. Several seasoned players are commanding high draft prices this year despite concerns about age, injury history, or shifting team dynamics.

This article will dive into five veterans currently overvalued in fantasy drafts. By understanding the risks associated with these players, you can avoid potential pitfalls and make more informed decisions on draft day. Whether it's due to declining performance, competition for touches, or simply a case of name recognition outweighing recent production, these players carry more risk than their draft positions suggest.

Stay ahead of your league by recognizing these red flags and adjusting your strategy accordingly. Just because these players are on the list doesn't necessarily mean they will be busts, but some managers are investing way too much stock in players who are being drafted too high. Let's dive in!

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Travis Kelce, TE, Kansas City Chiefs

Travis Kelce has long been a dominant force in fantasy football, consistently finishing as the top tight end and a reliable target for Patrick Mahomes. However, heading into this season, Kelce's high draft position might not align with the potential risks he carries.

At 34 years old, Kelce is reaching an age where even the most elite athletes begin to experience a decline in performance. A decline was noticed last season; despite still finishing as a top tight-end option, Kelce finished with under 1,000 yards for the first time since 2015 and saw only five touchdowns when he totaled 12 the year before. Notable additions to the Chiefs offense include Marquise Brown and rookie Xavier Worthy. Both wideouts are expected to be a big part of the offense this season. 

With new, younger talent emerging and Mahomes potentially spreading the ball around more, Kelce's target share might not be as guaranteed as in previous years. Sitting right now as the No. 2 tight end on most player rankings, the return price for the veteran is too high, and Kelce would need to realistically climb back up to 1,000 yards and double-digit touchdowns this season for fantasy managers to get the return value on his high ADP.

Additionally, the wear and tear from years of intense play and heavy usage in Kansas City's offense could start to take its toll. While his production last season was stellar, there was a clear drop-off from previous seasons, and the odds of maintaining such high-level output decreased as age and cumulative hits caught up. While Kelce remains an elite talent, the high draft capital required to secure him this year comes with substantial risk, making him a potentially overvalued asset in fantasy drafts.

 

Keenan Allen, WR, Chicago Bears

Keenan Allen, a staple in PPR leagues due to his reliable hands and route-running prowess, is entering the season with significant questions surrounding his draft value. Now 32 years old and on a new team, Allen has shown signs of wear, with injuries limiting his availability and effectiveness in recent seasons.

His declining speed and a series of nagging injuries raise concerns about his ability to perform at the elite level fantasy managers consistently have come to expect. There is no question that when Allen is on the field, he is one of the best wideouts in the league, but he has missed 12 total games in the last three seasons. In his final season with the Chargers, Allen caught 108 passes for 1,243 yards and seven touchdowns. 

Allen is now a part of the Chicago Bears' offensive system and the quarterback play further muddies the waters for Allen’s fantasy value. Caleb Williams comes into Chicago as a rookie quarterback, which of course means expected learning curves that can alter Allen's consistency. As the Bears continue to develop their young quarterback and integrate new offensive pieces, the passing game’s consistency and volume remain uncertain. Allen's role in this evolving offense, coupled with the emergence of younger, faster wide receivers, could limit his target share and opportunities. 

The Bears currently have three talented wideouts on the roaster, including DJ Moore and top rookie selection Rome Odunze. It's been known that wide receivers tend to underperform with rookie quarterbacks and that mixed in with Allen lining up alongside other high-level talent in the offense could hurt his week-to-week outcome.

Allen is currently being drafted around the fourth and fifth rounds, which, in past years, would be a steal for him, but even his current ADP is too high for my liking. While his name recognition and past success may tempt managers to draft him early, the combination of age, injury history, and an unsettled offensive environment suggest that Allen may be overvalued at his current ADP.

 

Aaron Jones, RB, Minnesota Vikings

Aaron Jones has been a reliable fantasy asset for years, known for his explosive plays and dual-threat capabilities out of the backfield. However, as he enters his age-29 season, there are several reasons to be cautious about drafting him at his current high ADP.

Running backs approaching 30 often face a decline in production due to the physical demands of the position, and Jones is no exception. His touches and efficiency might begin to wane as the wear and tear of multiple seasons in the NFL take their toll. In just 11 games played last season, Jones recorded 652 rushing yards, but just two touchdowns. Additionally, with the emergence of younger backfield talent, his workload could be reduced to preserve his health and effectiveness.

Furthermore, the Vikings' offensive situation adds another layer of uncertainty to Jones' value. The Vikings offense will not be as clean as it has been in past years. The game script will hurt Jones significantly as the Vikings are projected to be underdogs in most games this season, which means the team could see itself down more games than none. That would hurt Jones' chance to see more touches.

With changes in the offensive line and a potential shift in the team's offensive philosophy, Jones' role may not be as secure or productive as in previous seasons. The presence of other capable running backs could lead to a more committee-based approach, diminishing his fantasy ceiling. While Jones' past performances and big-play ability make him an appealing option, the combination of age-related decline, competition for touches, and an evolving offensive landscape suggests he may not live up to his high draft price this season.

 

Davante Adams, WR, Las Vegas Raiders

Davante Adams has been one of the most dominant wide receivers in the NFL and fantasy football, consistently delivering top-tier production thanks to his elite route running, hands, and connection with his quarterbacks. However, as he enters his age-31 season with the Las Vegas Raiders, there are significant concerns that make him a potentially overvalued pick in fantasy drafts. This isn't me thinking that Adams will be a horrible fantasy option, but currently being drafted in the second round, the risk is higher than the reward.

The most pressing issue is the uncertainty at the quarterback position following Derek Carr's departure last season. With either Aidan O'Connell or Gardner Minshew II under center, Adams' target volume and quality of targets could suffer, impacting his overall production.

Adams' advancing age and the natural decline that comes with it cannot be ignored. Wide receivers often see a drop-off in performance in their early thirties, and while Adams has defied the odds so far, the risk of injury and reduced explosiveness increases each season. A good example could be Julio Jones, Jordy Nelson, or even Antonio Brown. At some point, age catches up. While his talent and track record make him a tempting early-round pick, the combination of quarterback uncertainty, age-related decline, and a less stable offensive environment suggest that Adams might not justify his high draft position this year.

 

Tyler Lockett, WR, Seattle Seahawks

Tyler Lockett has been a reliable and productive wide receiver for the Seattle Seahawks, known for his big-play ability and strong chemistry with past quarterback Russell Wilson and current quarterback Geno Smith. However, as Lockett enters his age-31 season, several factors could make him an overvalued pick in fantasy drafts this year.

Age-related decline is a significant concern, as wide receivers typically begin to lose some of their speed and agility in their early thirties. Lockett's game heavily relies on his ability to get downfield and create separation, and any reduction in his physical abilities could lead to a noticeable drop in his fantasy production. The emergence of Jaxon Smith-Njigba is something to keep an eye out for as he is expected to take a massive leap forward this season, which could bump Lockett down to the No. 3 wide receiver.

The Seahawks' evolving offensive dynamics pose additional risks to Lockett's fantasy value. Lockett's ADP isn't nearly as high as other players mentioned in the article, but his return value will be tough to match in 2024. While Lockett's past performances and rapport with the Seahawks make him a tempting pick, the combination of age, competition for targets, and an uncertain offensive strategy suggests that he may not live up to his current draft position. I'd suggest looking away from Lockett this season.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Fantasy Football Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Cody Brundage

Defeated After Accidental Clash Of Heads
Cody Brundage

Mansur Abdul-Malik Defeats Cody Brundage By Technical Decision
Oumar Sy

Suffers His First Loss
Alonzo Menifield

Scores Upset Win
Alex Bowman

Delivers Bravura Performance After Michigan Injury
Tyler Reddick

Inexplicably Mediocre on His Once-Best Track Type
John Hunter Nemechek

Canny Strategy Gives John Hunter Nemechek Best Career Road Course Finish
Cole Custer

Earns Best Finish Since Cup Series Comeback at Mexico City
Grant Holmes

Punches Out 15 in Loss
Elly De La Cruz

Goes Yard in Fourth Straight Game
Will Vest

Dealing With Finger Injury
Jackson Merrill

Placed on Seven-Day Concussion Injured List
J.J. McCarthy

Looking "a Lot Stronger"
Shohei Ohtani

Will Be Dodgers' Starting Pitcher Monday
Roki Sasaki

Shut Down From Throwing
Garrett Wilson

Receives New Contract Offer
Jordan Hicks

Headed to Boston
Kyle Harrison

Traded to Red Sox
Travis Kelce

Slims Down During the Offseason
Trey Hendrickson

Bengals Restart Contract Discussions
Brady House

Nationals Promoting Brady House to Major Leagues
Rafael Devers

Traded to San Francisco
Logan Gilbert

to Start on Monday
Jayden Higgins

Impresses During Minicamp
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

on the Move to Memphis
Cole Anthony

Dealt to the Grizzlies
Seattle Seahawks

DeMarcus Lawrence Making an Impression With his New Team
Isaiah Simmons

Being Used Exclusively as a Linebacker
Tyler Mahle

Placed on 15-Day Injured List
Travis Etienne Jr.

the Jaguars Lead Back?
Luis Robert Jr.

Scratched with Thumb Soreness
Desmond Bane

Traded to Orlando
Byron Buxton

Scratched from Sunday's Lineup
Daniel Jones

the Favorite in Colts QB Competition?
Brendan Donovan

Returns to the Lineup
Steven Adams

Rockets Agree to Three-Year Contract Extension
Royce Lewis

Hits 10-Day Injured List
Ty Dillon

Is a Respectable Cap Flexiblity-Focused DFS Option For Mexico City
Corey Perry

Produces 10th Postseason Goal
Connor McDavid

Scores First Finals Goal
John Hunter Nemechek

Is John Hunter Nemechek Worth Rostering In Mexico City DFS Lineups?
Shohei Ohtani

Blasts Two Homers in Win
Sam Bennett

Nets Another Road Goal in Game 5 Win
Eetu Luostarinen

Earns Two Points Saturday
Michael King

Not Making Progress
Brad Marchand

Pots Two Goals in Game 5 Victory
Jackson Merrill

Removed Early on Saturday
Sergei Bobrovsky

Ties NHL Record with 10th Road Win
Ross Chastain

Trackhouse Racing's Mexico Focus Makes Ross Chastain a Leading Contender for the Win
Kyle Busch

One of Two Past Mexico City Winners in the Field
Ryan Preece

Earns Surprising Front-Row Start
Austin Cindric

Not as Strong of a Road Racer as People Think
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Stronger on Infield Road Courses Than Purpose-Built Ones
Joey Logano

Seemingly Alternating Between Good and Mediocre Races
Brad Keselowski

One of the Few Drivers with Mexico City Experience
Denny Hamlin

Ryan Truex Makes First Cup Series Start Since 2014
Erik Jones

Mexico City Will Likely be a Struggle for Erik Jones
Noah Gragson

Front Row Motorsports' Speed May Make Noah Gragson a Decent DFS Option
Ricky Stenhouse Jr

Road Courses Are Ricky Stenhouse Jr.'s Worst Track Type
Riley Herbst

Surprisingly Outqualifies 23XI Racing Teammates at Mexico City
Cody Ware

a Very Experienced Road Racer but Still a Long Shot
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen the Heavy Favorite to Win in Mexico City
Christopher Bell

the Chalk DFS Play in Mexico City
Giancarlo Stanton

Likely Returning Early Next Week
Spencer Strider

Registers 13 Strikeouts
Emeka Egbuka

"the Talk" of Bucs Minicamp
Evander Kane

Drops to Fourth Line Saturday
Kasperi Kapanen

Won't Play on Saturday
Calvin Pickard

Starts Game 5 for Oilers
Jaxson Dart

Working as No. 2 QB During Offseason Workouts
Xavier Gipson

Roster Spot Could be in Jeopardy
Josh Reynolds

the Front-Runner for WR2 Duties
Garrett Wilson

Stock Up This Offseason
Breece Hall

Motivated Going into 2025 Season
Brandon Aiyuk

Making Good Progress From Knee Injury
Keon Coleman

Inconsistent at Minicamp
Mitchell Trubisky

Not a Lock for Backup Job
Dalton Kincaid

Adds Strength and Bulk
James Cook

a Full Participant in Mandatory Minicamp
Tyrese Haliburton

Struggles in Friday's Loss to OKC
Chet Holmgren

Dominates the Glass in Game 4
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Leads the Way in Game 4
Jalen Williams

Has a Quality Showing on Friday Night
Anthony Richardson

Should be Fine for Training Camp
Russell Westbrook

to Decline Player Option
Kevin Durant

Trade Could Happen in the "Next Few Days"
Joaquin Buckley

Set For Main Event
Kamaru Usman

An Underdog At UFC Atlanta
Miranda Maverick

Set For Co-Main Event
Rose Namajunas

Looks To Bounce Back
Andre Petroski

Looks To Extend His Win Streak To Four
Edmen Shahbazyan

A Favorite At UFC Atlanta
Raoni Barcelos

Set To Take On Former Champion
Cody Garbrandt

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Mansur Abdul-Malik

Looks For His Third UFC Win
Cody Brundage

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Alonzo Menifield

Opens Up UFC Atlanta Main Card
Oumar Sy

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Connor Hellebuyck

Wins Vezina And Hart Trophies
Aleksander Barkov

Records Two Power-Play Assists Thursday
Sam Reinhart

Collects Three Points in Thursday's Loss
Matthew Tkachuk

Notches Three Points in Losing Effort
Calvin Pickard

Joins Exclusive List with Thursday's Win
Mattias Ekholm

Logs Two Assists in Comeback Victory
Leon Draisaitl

Delivers Victory in Overtime Thursday
Myles Turner

Playing Through Illness
Reed Sheppard

Will Play in the NBA Summer League
Kevin Durant

Deal Could Come Sooner Rather Than Later
Dorian Finney-Smith

Undergoes Ankle Surgery
Anze Kopitar

Wins Third Lady Byng Trophy
Sergei Bobrovsky

Heading Out for Win No. 15
John Klingberg

Won't Play in Game 4 Against Panthers
Viktor Arvidsson

Sits Out Game 4 Against Panthers
Stuart Skinner

Remains in Oilers Crease Thursday
Jalen Williams

Leads Thunder in Scoring Wednesday
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Settles for 24 Points in Game 3 Loss
Pascal Siakam

Does Everything for Pacers Wednesday Night
Tyrese Haliburton

Gets Close to Triple-Double in Game 3 Win
Bennedict Mathurin

Leads All Scorers with 27 Points Wednesday
Brandin Podziemski

Has Second Offseason Surgery
Jaylen Brown

Undergoes Successful Knee Procedure
Matt McCarty

Comes Off Season-Best Showing at RBC Canadian Open
Justin Thomas

Desperate to Continue Good 2025 Season
Jon Rahm

Seeks Revenge at U.S. Open
Tom Kim

Aiming for Improvement in U.S. Open
PGA

Sungjae Im Expects Solid Performance at Oakmont
Brian Harman

Aims to Rebound From the Memorial
Tony Finau

has Been Up and Down at U.S. Open
Patrick Cantlay

Hoping This is the Year at Oakmont
Akshay Bhatia

Improving in Time for U.S. Open
Xander Schauffele

Primed for Another Major Championship Run
Cameron Young

May Struggle at U.S. Open
Collin Morikawa

Eyeing Third Major Championship Title
Matt Fitzpatrick

Seeks to Avenge Oakmont Collapse
Jordan Spieth

Can Contend at Oakmont
Shane Lowry

a Strong Value Play at U.S. Open
Brooks Koepka

Seeks Another Major Win at Oakmont
Viktor Hovland

Still Can Improve at U.S. Open
Michael Kim

a Boom-or-Bust Value Play at U.S. Open
Russell Henley

Looking to Play the Weekend at Oakmont
Tyrrell Hatton

a Safe Option at U.S. Open
Bryson DeChambeau

Eyeing Third U.S. Open Title
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF