NFL Survivor Pool Picks: Week 10 Targets and Avoids (2024)

November 7, 2024

The top NFL survivor pool picks for Week 10 of the 2024 NFL season. Kevin's weekly survivor league pool targets and avoids -- expert picks for survivor leagues.

Welcome to our NFL Survivor Pool Picks for Week 10 of the 2024 NFL season! There are so many different pools, fantasy leagues, weekly bets, and futures bets that it's hard to decide what to do with these choices. But survivor pools are the oldest and simplest leagues out there. All you have to do is pick a team and have it win, but you can't choose it again.

All season long, I'll bring you weekly survivor pool advice for NFL teams to target and teams to avoid each week. Survivor league strategy is a major part of winning your pools, and this article will help you through the 2024 NFL season. We're ready to preview Week 10 and get you through the midseason weeks.

We're in the thick of the bye-week season, so the Survivor picks get tougher and tougher by the week. We've got a bunch of teams on their bye weeks this week with the Cleveland Browns, Green Bay Packers, Las Vegas Raiders, and Seattle Seahawks all getting off. Let's look at some teams to target and avoid for survivor pools in Week 10.

Implied Point Totals, Point Spreads, and Over/Under Totals for Week 10

For detailed Survivor League strategy, and tips to help you win your league, check out our "How to win your Survivor League" guide.

Before jumping into the picks for Week 10, it's helpful to get an overview of the slate with implied point totals, point spreads, and over/under totals from betting markets. All implied totals come courtesy of FantasyLabs each week.

Now, let's look at the survivor pool pick recommendations to target and avoid for Week 10.

Top Survivor Pool Picks to Target for Week 10

Kansas City Chiefs vs. DEN

This one is pretty simple: The undefeated Kansas City Chiefs are the largest favorite of the entire Week 10 slate, an 8.0-point favorite against the Denver Broncos at Arrowhead Stadium.

While the Broncos have been decent and certainly better than expected this season with a rookie quarterback in Bo Nix, who has given them a little juice, the Chiefs are a tough test. While Patrick Mahomes did leave Monday Night Football banged up a bit with an ankle injury, all accounts say he should be good to go for Week 10's game.

Despite being undefeated, it hasn't been super comfortable to use the Chiefs in most matchups, so it's probably pretty likely they're still floating around as a team that hasn't been selected yet.

They do have a matchup with the Carolina Panthers that looks juicy, but if you need a win this week, taking the Chiefs here looks like a pretty safe proposition with the acquired and added pieces to their offense gelling at the right time.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. TEN

The Tennessee Titans have proven themselves to be a rather plucky team this season, but they just do not have the firepower or personnel to keep up with the Los Angeles Chargers, who are hitting another gear in their offense.

The Titans have the league's lowest implied point total at 15.5 points when matching up with the Chargers, who are 7.5-point favorites at home. The Chargers have been positive in pass rate over expected in three of the last four weeks, with the team passing much more and in more situations.

They are rounding into a formidable offense under offensive coordinator Greg Roman and head coach Jim Harbaugh.

HERBERT TO Quentin Johnston FOR A 66-YARD TD.

📺: #LACvsCLE on CBS/Paramount+
📱: https://t.co/waVpO909ge pic.twitter.com/2toYyl8WMs

— NFL (@NFL) November 3, 2024

If there's going to be a moderate contrarian pick to make that is still pretty comfortable, I'm happy to make the Chargers that pick. The Titans don't score (sixth-fewest points scored in the NFL) and expecting Mason Rudolph or Will Levis to put up enough points to win here seems like a long shot.

Take the Chargers here with the firepower and emphasis in passing the ball when coupled with J.K. Dobbins' rushing.

Top Survivor Pool Picks to Avoid for Week 10

New York Jets at ARI

This Week 10 matchup between the New York Jets and Arizona Cardinals features the tightest over/under line of the entire slate as the Jets are favored by a half point over the (somehow) division-leading Cardinals.

With tight spreads like this, it's anybody's ballgame, so why would I want to touch either team? Aaron Rodgers has been playing solid football and is getting used to life with Davante Adams again, while the Cardinals are relying heavily on their run game and opportunistic passing to get them where they need to be.

Garrett Wilson, ARE YOU KIDDING ME??? 😱 pic.twitter.com/qyE3KXP5BW

— Designated Report (@DesignatedRpt) November 1, 2024

To use a phrase from this past Tuesday, this race between the Jets and Cardinals is "too close to call," so with two solid offenses and middle-of-the-road defenses, why would I choose one over the other? I can't make that determination in Week 10. That seems like a decision I would want to make in my Survivor pools in Week 17 or 18. Let somebody else make that decision.

Atlanta Falcons at NO

Anybody playing the New Orleans Saints lately has looked like a pretty good bet for advancing in your Survivor pools and the betting lines don't say anything much different as the Atlanta Falcons are 3.5-point favorites on the road heading into the Caesars Superdome to play the Saints.

But here's the thing: even if the Saints have shown me (and everybody else) that they're just a bad team with injury woes, I still can't take the Falcons over them with any sort of confidence.

While the Saints were playing with their full complement of players in Week 4, they only lost by two points to the Falcons, and as long as Derek Carr doesn't give games away and hands the ball off to Alvin Kamara, the Saints have a shot. Especially at home.

It's not as though the Falcons are world-beaters; their 6-3 record has been littered with close games that could have swung the other way on minuscule things. The Falcons are the better team on paper, but they're due for a letdown game, and I don't want to be holding the bag with my Survivor season on the line.

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