MLB Home Run Player Prop Bets Today: Best Hitter HR Props (6/8/2025)

June 8, 2025

Thunder Dan's best MLB player prop bets for today (6/8/2025). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props. Francisco Lindor, Spencer Torkelson, Brandon Lowe, and more.

Today looks like a great day for hitters, as we have a nice mixture of gas cans and young pitchers on the mound. I count nine starting pitchers who have allowed two or more home runs per nine innings, and we will be targeting many of those guys with our home run hitters today.

Remember that I'm always looking for the best odds and values when it comes to HR props. Home runs are tough to predict, and I'd much rather take a shot at a player with +400 odds than +200 odds, so we get paid off at a higher rate when we get it right.

In this article, you'll find my favorite home run props from MLB games on Sunday, June 8, 2025. Odds for each pick are from FanDuel or DraftKings Sportsbook and may change throughout the day. Remember to shop around at other sportsbooks for the best price, which gives you more value on your bets. It's also important to risk only a small portion of your bankroll on home run props since this market is volatile, so keep that in mind.

MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (6/8/2025)

Here are the hitters I'll cover for Sunday, June 8:

• Brandon Lowe, Tampa Bay Rays
• Spencer Torkelson, Detroit Tigers
• TJ Friedl, Cincinnati Reds
• Trevor Larnach, Minnesota Twins
• Francisco Lindor, New York Mets
• Tyler Soderstrom, Athletics

Brandon Lowe OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+340 FanDuel Sportsbook)

We have some elite hitting environments today, and the Marlins-Rays game is one of them. We have been targeting Steinbrenner Field this year due to its minor league dimensions, but we also have a 10 mph wind blowing out to center that should aid fly balls as well.

Brandon Lowe had a .550 OPS in his first 36 games.

Past 24:
.326 BA
8 HR
16 RBI
22 Rpic.twitter.com/yvbNp2VgSc

— Underdog MLB (@UnderdogMLB) June 7, 2025

The Marlins are using a left-handed opener, Anthony Veneziano, but I don't expect him to pitch more than an inning or two. Connor Gillispie is set to follow as the bulk reliever. He just got called back up from Triple-A, but he was pretty bad in his first six starts this season with an 8.65 ERA and 2.08 HR/9.

He's allowed five home runs to lefties and a .603 SLG. Lowe has been heating up for the Rays and is my favorite power target on Tampa. He homered yesterday and has two bombs now in his last four games.

Spencer Torkelson OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+500 FanDuel Sportsbook)

I'm going after Cubs rookie Cade Horton again today. I've been digging into his profile for some other content lately, and I think he has a blow-up game coming sooner rather than later. Despite being the Cubs' top prospect, Horton has some red flags that concern me. His 94.4% Z-Contact% is the worst mark of any pitcher on the slate today, and an 11% barrel rate shows that he's giving up plenty of loud contact.

Horton has allowed three of his four home runs to righties, so I am rolling with the big first baseman for Detroit instead of lefties like Kerry Carpenter or Riley Greene.

Torkelson already has a home run in this series, and he crushes four-seam fastballs, which is Horton's primary pitch. These are some pretty nice odds for a hitter who has been as prolific as Torkelson this season, as he has 15 home runs on the year and a .227 ISO vs. RHP.

TJ Friedl OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+600 FanDuel Sportsbook)

Cincinnati provides another elite hitting environment today as the wind is blowing out at the hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park. We have two veteran pitchers on the mound with Brady Singer and Zac Gallen, but Gallen has had his issues with home runs this season, allowing 11 long balls already.

Gallen's splits aren't too wide, but lefties are hitting for better average and power against him on a per-at-bat basis. I'm going with Friedl here because I like how well he's been hitting the ball lately. He has just five home runs on the season, but he has plenty of power in his bat and already showed that earlier in this series when he homered on Friday night.

Taking a leadoff man almost guarantees you four at-bats and probably five, which gives us more opportunities for that home run, whether it's off Gallen or an Arizona reliever.

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Trevor Larnach OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+360 FanDuel Sportsbook)

Speaking of bullpens, I want to drop these stats here as we are not just targeting bad starters with these props, but bad bullpens, too. The next three hitters are all facing bottom-8 bullpens in terms of HR/9, and Arizona is in there, too, which helps Friedl, whom we just finished discussing.

Toronto's been the third-worst pen in terms of HR/9, and when you pair that with starter Bowden Francis's 2.68 mark, you can't help but like some Minnesota bats today.

It's been no secret this season that Francis has been throwing batting practice to left-handers, allowing 13 home runs to Southpaws and a crazy-bad .635 SLG.

Matt Wallner is a great play here, but his odds are down around the +200 range. I am going with another lefty in Larnach instead to get significantly better odds. Larnach has 10 home runs on the season and hit one against Toronto on Friday night for his second bomb in the last four games.

Francisco Lindor OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+320 FanDuel Sportsbook)

Colorado rookie Chase Dollander is on the mound for the Rockies today, which means we should be very interested in the Mets' bats for home runs. Dollander has allowed 10 home runs already this season in just 41 innings pitched. Six of those homers have come at home, where he sports an 8.66 ERA - YIKES.

Brandon Nimmo and Juan Soto are worthy options here, too, but Lindor has been locked in at the plate and has four home runs in the last week. He's hitting right-handers well with a .500 SLG this season, but can also do damage from the right side if he has to flip around against a left-handed reliever.

Lindor's price is very fair considering the great matchup he has with both the starter and bullpen, in addition to a great hitting environment, too.

Tyler Soderstrom OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+340 DraftKings Sportsbook)

These games in Sacramento have been going off lately with a ton of scoring. Not only is the ballpark extremely friendly to hitters with minor-league dimensions, but the weather has been warming up in California. When you mix in a bad Athletics pitching staff (including the bullpen), you get opposing teams putting up crooked numbers on offense.

SODERSTROM GRAND SLAM 🤯 pic.twitter.com/ucRiIcdQG3

— Athletics on NBCS (@NBCSAthletics) June 5, 2025

But the Athletics haven't named a starter yet today, so we can't attack them with any Baltimore bats. Instead, let's go after the Baltimore starter, Tomoyuki Sugano, who has given up 13 home runs already this season, and the Baltimore bullpen that is only slightly ahead of the Athletics in our chart for HR/9.

There should be plenty of offense again today; we just have to pinpoint where the long balls come from. I'm keeping it simple and going with the Athletics' top power threat against RHP, Tyler Soderstrom. He's at 14 home runs for the season and an impressive .272 ISO vs. RHP. He had a double-dong day just earlier this week against the Twins and is a threat to go deep every time he steps to the plate with his sweet, uppercut swing.

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