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Zach's best MLB player prop bets for today (5/25/2025). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props.
Sunday continues a great long weekend of baseball with a full 15-game schedule and all 30 teams ready to take the field. With baseball all day long, there are plenty of exciting ways to get in on the action, and one of the most fun ways to flex your knowledge is by chasing some home run props. Home run props are not for scared money, though, since predicting long balls isn't as easy as you might think. They're lots of fun and can boost your bankroll big-time when they hit, and there's not much like the feeling when your pick smashes one out of the park at long odds. We bet on long balls every day here at RotoBaller, and today's MLB games provide plenty of options to consider if you're hunting for homers.
On this page, you'll read about my favorite home run props from MLB games on Sunday, May 25, 2025. Odds for each pick are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day. I like to mix together players from a variety of odds while leaning towards more long-shot plays. Keep that in mind when reading! You can play these picks as individual props or as part of a round robin if you think more than one will go yard this Sunday.
Remember to shop around at other sportsbooks to find the best odds, which gives you more value on your bets. It's also essential to only risk a small portion of your bankroll on home run props since they're tough to win and almost always fall into the category of long shots.
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MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (5/25/2025)
Here are the hitters I'll cover for Sunday, May 25:
- Rafael Devers, Boston Red Sox
- Brandon Lowe, Tampa Bay Rays
- Cal Raleigh, Seattle Mariners
- Paul Goldschmidt, New York Yankees
- Agustin Ramirez, Miami Marlins
Rafael Devers OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+320 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Despite some drama about defense earlier this season and an injury to Alex Bregman (quad), Devers is staying put at designated hitter. It makes sense not to mess with a good thing since Raffy is swinging the bat so well right now. After a slow start, he has been making up for lost time. Over his last 16 games, he went 25-for-60 (.417) with seven home runs.
During that 16-game stretch, Devers has a 48.0% hard-hit rate. He smashed a pair of homers on Friday and is up to 12 long balls on the season.
RAFAEL DEVERS!
FOUR HITS
TWO HOMERS
EIGHT RBI!AND IT'S ONLY GAME 1 🤯 pic.twitter.com/ngFwJ9Zn6B
— MLB (@MLB) May 23, 2025
Devers is 7-for-20 (.350) in his career against Dean Kremer with two home runs in their previous meetings. After a rainy week, it's forecast to be a beautiful day at Fenway on Sunday afternoon, putting Devers in a good spot to stay hot. 10 of his 14 homers have come at home, 11 have come against right-handed pitchers, and nine have come in May. On the strong side of so many splits, he's a pretty solid value at this number Sunday afternoon.
Brandon Lowe OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+425 DraftKings Sportsbook)
It also looks like another beautiful day for long balls in Tampa Bay. George M. Steinbrenner Field has played very homer-friendly this season, and the forecast is for 90+ degrees with winds blowing out at 5-to-10 miles per hour. Sign me up! The Rays will take on Toronto starting pitcher Chris Bassitt, who has been solid overall but has served up six homers in his 10 starts, including four on the road. He has held righties to a .219 batting average and .258 wOBA, but lefties have hit .293 against him with a .342 wOBA.
Lowe is one of the Rays' lefties who has succeeded against Bassitt in the past, going 7-for-14 (.500) with three home runs in their previous meetings.
The 30-year-old second baseman is coming off back-to-back seasons with exactly 21 home runs and is on pace for a better total this year. Based on Games Played percentage, he's on pace for 29 long balls this season, which would be a new career high for Lowe. Part of that may be due to his "new" home park, since over half of his long balls have come at Steinbrenner Field, including long balls on both Thursday and Friday.
Brandon Lowe is now up to 9 HR and has been unlucky so far.
.224 BA -> .272 xBA
.397 SLG -> .502 xSLG
91.7 mph Avg EVHe was the 2nd best 2B on a per-PA basis in 2024, and is worth an add (44% on Yahoo) or buy-low if you need power.#FantasyBaseball
— Jeremy Heist (@heistjm) May 24, 2025
He has four homers in his last nine games with a 46.2% hard-hit rate over that span. He went 1-for-3 on Saturday with a double. Both his batted ball events counted as hard hits on Saturday, with an average exit velocity of over 100 miles per hour. He's hitting the ball very well right now, and he is in a good spot to attack against Bassitt.
Cal Raleigh OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+210 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Raleigh is one home run off the pace set at the top of the Major League Baseball home run leaderboard by Aaron Judge and Kyle Schwarber. Raleigh has had a fantastic start to the season and gets a good matchup on Sunday afternoon against rookie Colton Gordon, who has given up a home run in each of his first two starts in the majors.
Gordon is a lefty who had a strong start to the season in Triple-A for the Sugar Land Space Cowboys, but in his two starts after his promotion, he has allowed six runs on 12 hits in 9 2/3 innings, along with a pair of home runs. Both his home runs came off the bat of right-handed batters, who have hit .303 with a .398 wOBA against him.
Raleigh is a switch-hitter who will bat from the right side against Gordon. While more of his home runs have come as a lefty, his home run rate is higher on this side of his splits, where he is hitting .279 with six homers and a .403 wOBA. Raleigh's most recent homer was on Friday in Houston, and he has five homers in his last 12 contests.
Cal Raleigh, sending one in orbit here in Houston -- No. 17 this season, putting him back into a tie for the MLB lead.
Exit velo: 111.8 mph
Launch angle: 41°
Distance: 370 ft.
Hang time: 6.5 seconds pic.twitter.com/8FVXj2PWEL— Daniel Kramer (@DKramer_) May 24, 2025
I'd love to get him at longer odds, but at over +200, he still feels like enough of a value to ride with this Sunday.
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Paul Goldschmidt OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+425 DraftKings Sportsbook)
The Yankees are at Coors Field. For home run prop chasers, that is one of the most exciting sentences in baseball and has been a great way to spend the long weekend so far. Due to its elevation, Coors has always been a home run haven, and this year it comes with the added bonus of facing one of the worst pitching staffs in baseball. On Sunday, the Rockies give the ball to Antonio Senzatela, who has a 6.34 ERA, 5.33 FIP, and nine home runs allowed in 10 starts this season.
While Judge's home run props are extremely low (+150), there is still a little value to be had if we look to Paul Goldschmidt, who has had a good start to the season for the Yankees but hasn't had quite as much power production as he's typically used to. He is hitting .344 with a .388 wOBA but only has four homers on the season. He has hit 20+ long balls in four straight seasons and nine of the last 10, including six seasons with 30+ bombs.
He hasn't homered yet at this stop at Coors Field, but has 18 homers in 79 career games at the homer-happy venue. He has also thrived in this specific matchup against Senzatela with a pair of home runs and an 8-for-21 (.381) BvP history.
Goldschmidt has hit two of his four homers this season in his last 14 games and has a solid 42.2% hard-hit rate during that stretch. His most recent long ball came against the Mariners in Seattle.
Paul Goldschmidt (5)
Opponent: Seattle Mariners
Pitcher: Gabe Speier
Date: 05/14/2025 pic.twitter.com/trqlopcqmS— Yankees Home Runs (@NYY_HR) May 14, 2025
Getting these odds over +400 for such a proven home run hitter at Coors Field seems like a great spot this afternoon. There are some potential storms in the area, so be sure to double-check the forecast before the first pitch, but if they get the game in, it looks like a good spot to go for the Gold!
Agustin Ramirez OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+425 DraftKings Sportsbook)
The Marlins snapped the Angels' winning streak on Saturday night and will look to take two in a row from the Halos on Sunday afternoon. They'll face veteran Kyle Hendricks, who has allowed nine homers in his nine starts this season and a 9.9% barrel rate. Hendricks has been especially hittable by right-handed batters, who have a .264 batting average, a .361 wOBA, and seven long balls against him this season.
Ramirez will be on the strong side of those splits as he continues his strong rookie season. He joined the Marlins 27 games ago but already has six homers with a .269 ISO and .357 wOBA. He hit three of those homers right after he was called up in late April, but has also collected two long balls in his last eight games.
Agustin Ramirez launches his sixth home run of the season. Already his 16th extra-base hit
He made his Major League debut less than a month ago. pic.twitter.com/qmlu3vlqny
— Isaac Azout (@IsaacAzout) May 19, 2025
Since arriving in the majors, Ramirez has a 48.8% hard-hit rate and an average exit velocity of 91.5 miles per hour. He is in the Marlins' lineup every day, either at catcher or DH, and usually hits near the top of the order, giving him more at-bats and opportunities to go yard. Ramirez is in a good spot to go yard on Sunday afternoon in Anaheim, where the winds are forecast to be blowing out at around 10 miles per hour. Against Hendricks, I love getting his rookie masher at more than +400.
Conclusion
Home run prop bets consistently provide some of the most thrilling opportunities for MLB bettors looking to capitalize on power-hitting performances.
Whether you opt to lean more heavily on past performance in a specific matchup or go with a player swinging a hot bat, the right HR prop bet can give you a major edge in the market. Today's slate features a nice mix with some strong, more proven veteran plays like Paul Goldschmidt, along with some young, fresh power plays like Ramirez.
Remember, while these bets can yield huge payouts, they also come with inherent risk, so it's crucial to bet responsibly and focus on value by shopping around for the best odds.
As always, make sure you're staying informed and taking into account factors like ballpark conditions, pitcher splits, and recent player form to maximize your chances of success with home run props. Good luck, and may your picks go yard!
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