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Zach Thompson's best MLB player prop bets for today (6/7/2025). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props. Lawrence Butler, Hunter Goodman, Pete Crow-Armstrong and more.
Major League Baseball brings a jam-packed Saturday of action as all 30 teams are on the schedule at some point throughout the afternoon or evening. Several rivalry series and some great matchups are on the scoreboard this weekend, and several home run-friendly parks are in play. It also helps offenses that the weather is getting warmer, allowing the ball to carry farther. We at RotoBaller have been extremely hot in this article over the past few weeks as the weather has heated up, so let's keep the trend going tonight.
In this post, I will provide my four favorite home run bets on today’s slate. One great strategy if you are betting home runs is to round robin them, which I will do tonight. There are plenty of strong options with value, so to make a profit, only one of our four hitters needs to go deep to break even or make a profit.
Below, you'll read about my favorite home run props from MLB games on Saturday, June 7, 2025. Odds for each pick are from DraftKings Sportsbook and may change throughout the day. Remember to shop around at other sportsbooks for the best price, which gives you more value on your bets. It's also important to risk only a small portion of your bankroll on home run props since they are, by nature, longshot picks, so keep that in mind.
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MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (6/7/2025)
Here are the hitters I'll cover for Saturday, June 7:
- Pete Crow-Armstrong, Chicago Cubs
- Heliot Ramos, San Francisco Giants
- Hunter Goodman, Colorado Rockies
- Lawrence Butler, Athletics
Pete Crow-Armstrong OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+600 DraftKings)
PCA is a great value play on Saturday as the Cubs take on the Tigers in Detroit. Comerica Park is spacious, which is part of the reason for the longer odds, but Crow-Armstrong has shown plenty of power to overcome that and is in a good matchup. If he does go yard, he will bring a huge return at this number.
On the season, Crow-Armstrong is up to 16 homers, including four in his last 13 games. He has a 55.6% hard-hit rate and 19.4% barrel rate over those 13 games, including three barrels and six hard-hit balls in his last two games. He has hit 11 of his 16 homers on the road during the season, and 13 against right-handed pitchers.
Pete Crow-Armstrong season pace:
88 XBH | 54 SB | 23 DRS | 10.1 WAR pic.twitter.com/zab5LawXbR— Paul Hembekides (Hembo) (@PaulHembo) June 6, 2025
His splits against lefties may be another reason this number is higher on Saturday, but it's important to realize that while he's officially facing lefty starter Tyler Holton, most of the innings will be pitched by righty Keider Montero. Montero has been solid for the most part this season, but has given up five homers over 40 1/3 innings in his eight games. Three of those long balls have been to left-handed hitters like Crow-Armstrong. Lefties have a .353 batting average and .437 wOBA against Montero this season.
The matchup with Montero is strong enough for me to back PCA at this number, given how well he's been hitting the ball. The environment and matchup aren't perfect, but that's baked into the price here on his long-shot play.
Heliot Ramos OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+475 DraftKings)
Ramos and the Giants are hosting the Braves this weekend in San Francisco and took the first game of that series in extra innings on Friday night, 5-4. Ramos didn't homer but did go 3-for-5. He has a .314 batting average over his last 17 games with a .394 wOBA and four home runs.
On the season, Ramos has 11 home runs, and nine of those have come against right-handed pitching. On Saturday, he'll face righty Bryce Elder, who has allowed eight home runs in his nine starts this season, and five of those have come against righties. Right-handed hitters have a solid .275 average and .357 wOBA against him. Elder's issues have mostly come on the road as well, where he has a 5.73 ERA and has allowed seven home runs in 22 innings (2.86 HR/9).
Like with Crow-Armstrong, Ramos's odds are a little elevated since he isn't in a prototypical home run park, but he has overcome that throughout his career and hit 13 of his 34 career homers at Oracle Park.
While the Giants' offense has been inconsistent this season, Ramos has been the exception. He's hitting .296 with a 44.5% hard-hit rate and 12.6% barrel rate on the year. He has a very solid average exit velocity of 91 miles per hour, and his most recent home run was a crush job on Tuesday against the Padres.
Heliot Ramos homers to straightaway center 💥 pic.twitter.com/kZxLDcr0QF
— MLB (@MLB) June 4, 2025
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Hunter Goodman OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+330 DraftKings)
All right, now let's get to some traditional home run parks for the last two picks of the night from the two games on the late side of the scoreboard. The Mets are in Colorado to take on the Rockies at Coors Field, which always demands home run prop attention in the rarified air of Denver.
Most of the Mets' odds are pretty short in this spot, but the Rockies offer some interesting options on their side of the lineup card. I'm probably personally going to throw a little on rookie Ryan Ritter at +800 after his hit 16 homers in 245 plate appearances for Triple-A Albuquerque, but since that's a bit of a "gut call," in this post, I'll highlight his teammate Hunter Goodman, who has a better matchup than initially appears against Clay Holmes.
While Holmes has been very solid in his transition to the starting rotation, he has allowed six home runs in his last four starts. He gave up two home runs in three of those four outings, including last week against the Rockies, when Orlando Arcia and Tyler Freeman each went yard in a game that Holmes still won with a quality start to improve to 6-3 on the year.
Goodman has three homers in his last four games, giving him 10 round-trippers on the season. He was stuck in a bit of a slump before snapping out of it earlier this week in a big way. In those last four games, he has an impressive 81.8% hard-hit rate and 36.4% barrel rate with an average exit velocity of 100.9 miles per hour. That's a minuscule sample size, but it looks like he could be in the early stages of a heater after being stuck in a cold spell.
Hunter Goodman x2 😤
His second HR tonight gives the @Rockies the lead. pic.twitter.com/0rdfVN2Uq9
— MLB (@MLB) June 2, 2025
Of his 10 homers this season, seven have come against right-handed pitchers like Holmes, but only two have been at Coors Field. The 25-year-old went 1-for-4 against the Mets on Friday but had multiple hits in each of the Rockies' three games in Miami earlier this week, including his two-homer game on Monday.
Lawrence Butler OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+400 DraftKings)
The Athletics host the Orioles at homer-friendly Sutter Health Park this weekend, and my final home run prop of the day comes from that minor league park with warm weather and the most hitter-friendly Park Factor so far this season. While Luis Severino has been hammered at home, he doesn't usually give up home runs, so instead, I'm going with Butler from the home team, who has been heating up along with the California weather.
Butler is hitting a solid .270 with a .355 wOBA and nine home runs on the season, but he has found his groove over his last 16 games, hitting .391 with a .496 wOBA and three of those nine home runs. During that span, he has a 59.5% hard-hit rate and a 14.3% barrel rate. His average exit velocity during that stretch is 93 miles per hour, and he's had a maximum exit velocity of at least 107 in three of his last five games.
The young lefty has hit eight of his nine homers off right-handed pitching and just over half at home. He'll be on the strong side of both those splits as he faces Charlie Morton on Saturday night. Morton had a disastrous start to the season and was exiled to the bullpen for a while, but he has looked much better in his two starts since returning to the rotation. They were both at home, though, and he still sports a 7.00 road ERA with three homers served up in 18 road innings. Despite his recent success, he has a 1.68 HR/9, which would be his highest mark since 2010 when he was with the Pirates.
Butler's Athletics have had a rough last month, but they picked up wins in their last two games and bring plenty of exciting young power potential. From the leadoff spot, Butler gets a few extra at-bats and brings good power and speed as the spark plug in an offense that should be in a great place to hit on Saturday night.
Lawrence Butler is heating up!
Last 12 Games: 54 PA, .383/.463/.745, 10 XBH, 3 HR, 2 SB#Athleticspic.twitter.com/ANdIp7MYSL
— Eric Cross (@EricCrossMLB) June 3, 2025
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