Free MLB Player Props - Today's Prop Betting Picks for Hitters and Pitchers (6/27/23)

June 27, 2023

Today's free MLB prop betting picks for Tuesday, June 27, 2023. Use Dan Palyo's top baseball prop picks and MLB prop bet recommendations to win money on sports books.

I come to you today riding high after a solid night of strikeout props last night. Not only did we get ten strikeouts from Spencer Strider to go over 9.5 Ks at plus odds, we also got ten from Dylan Cease and Reid Detmers in a great pitchers' duel and those were my two other "over" picks. I even tweeted out that I was laddering up Cease to 10 Ks, though I had less confidence in Detmers. Luis Castillo managed to last seven innings and get seven strikeouts, and I had the under on 6.5 Ks there so that was my only miss.

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In this article, I'll provide my favorite prop bets for MLB games on Tuesday, June 27, 2023. If you ever want to chat about strikeout props or any other MLB bets, you can find me on Twitter @ThunderDanDFS. Good luck today and let's cash some bets!

MLB Pitcher Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks

Tyler Wells OVER 5.5 strikeouts (-120 DraftKings)

Wells has been a favorite of mine this season for K props. He has elevated his arsenal in a big way this year and has raised his K% to a really solid 26% on the season. He's been able to whiff six or more hitters now in seven of his last eight starts and he gets a young Cincinnati team today that has plenty of swing-and-miss hitters in their lineup.

Tyler Wells, 2Ks in the 1st. pic.twitter.com/IEgWcgTQzg

— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) June 15, 2023

It's a dangerous spot for run prevention, but I think Wells gets to six strikeouts even if he does give up a few runs in the process. He had six against the Rays in his last start and eight against Toronto the start before that - two really good offenses. If you haven't been impressed by Wells yet, watch him pitch today, he has had great command of his pitches and has been one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball through the first three months.

Shohei Ohtani OVER 7.5 strikeouts (-140 DraftKings)

Ohtani is a guy who almost always projects well when I do my daily projections, but he projects for over nine strikeouts tonight against a White Sox team that has been struggling to make contact of late. The Chicago K% against RHP has risen to around 26% over the last several weeks and we saw the lefty Reid Detmers whiff ten of them last night in a great effort.

Two innings.

Four strikeouts.

Shohei Ohtani is dealing early. ⛽️pic.twitter.com/dYs3voEyyZ

— Covers (@Covers) June 22, 2023

Ohtani is also fresh off a dominant 12-strikeout performance against the Dodgers in which he reminded everyone just how darn good he can be. It's really only an issue of control most nights as walks are his enemy and can run up his pitch count early. I think he gets there tonight and these odds are respectable considering how dominant Ohtani can be as well as the plus matchup.

Clayton Kershaw OVER 6.5 strikeouts (+115 DraftKings)

This is the riskiest of my three picks but I wanted to roll with Kershaw here instead of a lesser pitcher, even if it means betting a bigger number. Kershaw has been really good this year, compiling a 28.5% strikeout rate and a 14.5% swinging strike rate. He gets a Colorado team that is terrible against LHP with just a 63 wRC+ and a strikeout rate north of 27%.

If this game was in LA, we probably wouldn't get these odds. But because it's in Coors, some will be hesitant to trust Kershaw to do his thing. Count me in the Kershaw camp here as I can't ignore a projection of 8 strikeouts here against a lowly opponent. He has been lulling you to sleep with only 5 strikeouts in his last two outings, but this one has 8-10 strikeouts and a throwback Kershaw performance written all over it.

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MLB Hitter Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks

Jose Ramirez OVER 1.5 TB (-125)

J-Ram is quietly having another solid season. The power that you were looking for when you drafted him hasn't totally been there (just 12 home runs thus far), but everything else is in line with his usual production as he's hitting .293 with 46 RBI and runs scored. The Guardians' offense has definitely been their weakness this season, but it certainly hasn't been Ramirez's fault.

I usually don't look to Cleveland on such a big slate, but they get Brady Singer today and this young guy just can't seem to get it figured out this season. He comes into this game with an ERA over six and a massive 1.58 WHIP. He's been getting torched by lefties again this season, allowing a .382 wOBA and .231 ISO to them. Meanwhile, J-Ram has a .404 wOBA and .222 ISO against righties, easily the best on this Cleveland team and numbers that we want to see when looking at splits matchups we like.

I'll toss in a little BvP here, too, since these teams are division opponents and J-Ram has seen Singer a few times already. Ramirez is hitting .438 against Singer with two home runs in 20 plate appearances. And as a switch-hitter, he will maintain his platoon advantage even if the Royals bring in a left-handed reliever later in the game.

Manny Machado OVER 1.5 TB (-110)

I am sticking with the third base position here and another matchup that I really like as Machado - a career lefty-masher - faces off against the old man Rich Hill. Machado has not for a ton of power yet this year, with an ISO of just .191 against lefties, but he has an elite .423 wOBA against them. He doesn't strike out much (11%) but is also swinging the bat alot as he isn't walking much either (6.8%). Walks don't help us here, we need hits.

Rich Hill relies more on his curveball than ever before and he actually throws it as much (or more) than his fastball (if you want to call it that as it comes in at just 87-88 MPH). Machado, Tatis Jr., and Boegarts all have nice batted ball profiles against the curveball, giving me some confidence that Machado is going to make some quality contact today.

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