X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Top College Football Betting Expert Picks For Championship Week (12/6/19)

Steve Janik's NCAA college football betting picks for Conference Championship Week. He analyzes CFB Vegas lines and recommends the top expert bets including spreads and over/unders.

With the busy schedule surrounding Thanksgiving week, I took a break from college football betting for the final week of the season. However, we're back for conference championship weekend and this should really be an exciting week of football.

I'm here to breakdown each team's spot, as well as dive into my favorite spreads, totals, team totals, and even money lines for this week in the NCAA. My goal is to find the right value for you to be able to make money. Vegas makes you really work to find the right picks, but I hope I can make things a little more clear for you each and every week.

Follow me on Twitter @sgjanik_6 to chat about football and my picks. I’m also on the Action App @sgjanik6 where I’ll post all the picks below and more this season.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Oregon at Utah (-6.5)

O/U: 46 **This game is on Friday, Dec. 6 at 8pm EST**

The Ducks got back to their winning ways last week, taking down Oregon State. However, it wasn’t a great tuneup heading into the Pac-12 Championship against Utah. Oregon will surely have their hands full, but don’t give up on them holding their own. Justin Herbert is a stud, make no mistake, but the Ducks run game has been as steady as it comes, rushing for at least 135 yards and one touchdown in each of their last eight games.

Utah houses one of the top defenses in the country in both scoring (12.3 points per game) and total defense (253.2 yards per game). However, their offense is no slouch, averaging over 475 ypg and 43 ppg in their last three games. Quarterback Tyler Huntley has proven to be one of the most efficient passers in the Pac-12, and his backfield counterpart, Zack Moss, is the league’s leading rusher. This Utes program is budding and a spot in the conference championship is a huge opportunity.

This total opened up at 50 and has already dropped down a few points, mainly because the public sees Utah’s defensive prowess. Both offenses have plenty of firepower, but Utah’s consistency gives them a bit of an edge. The Utes have been insanely hot of late, and while Oregon has averaged just 29 ppg over their last three, look for them to be able to find pay dirt enough times to make this total the play.

Pick: Over 46

 

UAB at FAU (-7.5)

O/U: 49.5

UAB defied some odds in their road to the Conference USA championship game, having to win all three of their remaining games and get some help. Well, it happened and here they are for their second consecutive championship game appearance. Tyler Johnston isn’t exactly a program defining player, but he is able to make plays when called upon. Behind him, there are three backs who have rushed for over 400 yards apiece, so the pressure isn’t all on Johnston. On the other side of the field, the Blazer defense has had some struggles of late, but they worked them out in last week’s season-defining win, registering four sacks in the final quarter of their win over North Texas.

The fighting Lane Kiffin’s have won seven of their last eight, including last week’s drubbing over FIU, 37-7. Quarterback Chris Robison has passed for over 3,300 yards with 22 touchdowns this year, while as a team, they’ve rushed for over 2,200 yards along with 27 touchdowns; talk about balance. Defensively, the Owls give up just 23 ppg, and their consistency is impressive. The run defense allows just 3.9 yards per carry, while the unit also leads the country with 19 interceptions.

FAU is 6-2 against the spread in C-USA games, while UAB is 5-3 ATS in league games. Although, with the news that Kiffin is likely on his way out of Boca Raton, I think FAU stumbles a bit, giving UAB a shot to come in and make a statement.

Pick: UAB +7.5

 

Virginia at Clemson (-28.5)

O/U: 55.5

The Hoos are winners of five of their last six, but, rightfully so, no one is giving them a shot in this ACC Championship game. They’ll definitely need Bryce Perkins to be on the top of his game. Yes, his 8/3 TD/Int in their last six is decent, but it’s the 496 yards and nine rushing touchdowns in that span that make him an impressive playmaker. They’ll need halfback Wayne Taulapapa along with Hasise Dubois and Joe Reed to carry their weight on offense. As a defense, they’ve recorded 43 sacks, which puts them in the nation's top 10, so they’ll need to get to Trevor Lawrence early and very often.

I'm one to agree with Dabo Swinney in that Clemson has been underrated from the beginning of the season. However, he also admitted they haven't played anyone for them to deserve top team respect. Lawrence has been spot on after his rough first half, and he hasn't thrown an interception in the last five games. Travis Etienne has been an electric runner and his 16 touchdowns are tied for 9th in the country. Defensively, the Tigers have allowed just 5.3 ppg over their last three, but that's against South Carolina, Wake Forest, and NC State.

Clemson's schedule isn't great, and truthfully neither is UVA's, but 28.5 is a lot of points to give in any conference championship game, let alone a Power 5 one. Both sides are playing their best football right now, and while Clemson is clearly a better brand, my faith lies in Virginia to cover the points.

Pick: Virginia +28.5

More Football Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Corbin Carroll

Activated from 10-Day Injured List
Cincinnati Bengals

Shemar Stewart, Bengals Continue Contract Talks, No Progress Made
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Potential Giannis Antetokounmpo Trade may not Happen Until "August, September"
Ha-Seong Kim

Removed Early During Season Debut
ARI

Christian Fischer Retires From NHL at 28
NHL

Spencer Martin Moves to Russia
WAS

Anthony Beauvillier Re-Signs With Capitals for Two Years
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Sitting Out With Foot Issue
Isaiah Neyor

Impresses at Minicamp
Houston Rockets

Jock Landale Waived by Rockets
Bo Bichette

Back in Blue Jays Lineup
Jonas Valančiūnas

Jonas Valanciunas Considering Returning to Europe
Miles Sanders

Works With Starters During Mandatory Minicamp
Jabari Walker

Signs Two-Way Deal With Sixers
Chimere Dike

Titans Could Move Chimere Dike Inside
Keandre Lambert-Smith

KeAndre Lambert-Smith not Guaranteed Roster Spot
Anthony Bradford

Working Hard to Win Back Starting Job
Byron Young

Still Improving?
Cody Simon

Jonathan Gannon has Been Impressed With Cody Simon
SirVocea Dennis

has Impressive Offseason
Trevor Penning

Could Still Have a Role in New Orleans
Jonathan Kuminga

Warriors Decline Recent Offer for Jonathan Kuminga
Orlando Magic

Moritz Wagner, Magic Agree to One-Year Deal
Clarke Schmidt

Placed on Injured List
José Soriano

Jose Soriano Throws Gem Against Braves
Robbie Ray

Earns Ninth Win in Complete Game
T.J. Watt

Likely to Reset the Edge-Rush Market
George Springer

Blasts Two Homers, Drives in Four
James Wood

Goes Yard in Five-Hit Night
Bradley Beal

Suns Discussing Potential Buyout
Los Angeles Lakers

Jaxson Hayes Staying with the Lakers
NBA

Damian Lillard "Open" to Signing With a Team This Offseason
Max Muncy

Out at Least Six Weeks
Clarke Schmidt

Leaves Start with Forearm Tightness
Colson Montgomery

Promoted to the Major Leagues
Pittsburgh Steelers

Omar Khan, Steelers Agree to Three-Year Contract
Max Muncy

Goes on Injured List With Knee Bruise
Max Muncy

Out of Thursday's Lineup
James Wood

Joining Home Run Derby
SJ

Sharks Claim Nick Leddy Off Waivers
Max Scherzer

Cleared to Start on Saturday
SJ

Sharks Sign Dmitry Orlov to Two-Year, $13 Million Contract
CAR

Nikolaj Ehlers Joins Hurricanes on Six-Year Contract
Kodai Senga

Could be "in Play" to Return Before All-Star Break
Ha-Seong Kim

Rays Reinstate Ha-Seong Kim From Injured List
Christian Moore

Placed on Injured List With Thumb Sprain
Luis L. Ortiz

the Subject of Gambling Investigation
Jordan Lawlar

to Miss Multiple Weeks With Hamstring Injury
Chau Smith-Wade

Having Stellar Offseason
Ace Bailey

Inks Rookie Contract With Jazz
Divine Deablo

Could be the Quarterback of the Defense
Isaiah Rodgers

a Likely Starter for the Vikings
Jacob Monk

Sees Plenty of Work With Starters
Avonte Maddox

has Impressed Dan Campbell
Boston Celtics

Josh Minott Inks Deal With Celtics
Chicago Bears

Ruben Hyppolite Shows Notable Improvement
Sandro Mamukelashvili

Heading to Toronto
Daron Payne

Commanders Coaches Impressed With Daron Payne
Danny Gray

Makes Impression During Offseason Workouts
Jared McCain

Not on 76ers Summer League Roster
Dane Belton

Should Have a Role in 2025
Dylan Harper

Unavailable for California Classic
COL

Brent Burns Inks One-Year Deal with Avalanche
STL

Blues Land Pius Suter on Two-Year Deal
Morgan Frost

Agrees to Two-Year Extension with Flames
WPG

Gustav Nyquist Moves to Winnipeg
Cody Glass

Devils Re-Sign Cody Glass to Two-Year Deal
PIT

Anthony Mantha Joins Penguins
Cleveland Cavaliers

Larry Nance Jr. Headed Back to Cavaliers
Eric Gordon

Remaining with 76ers
Los Angeles Lakers

Deandre Ayton Joining Lakers
Emil Heineman

Signs Two-Year Deal with Islanders
Simon Holmstrom

Re-Signs with Islanders for Two Years
UTA

Nate Schmidt Signs Three-Year Deal with Mammoth
UTA

Brandon Tanev Moves to Utah on Three-Year Contract
NJ

Evgenii Dadonov Joins Devils on One-Year Deal
BUF

Sabres Snap Up Alex Lyon on Two-Year Contract
Dallas Mavericks

Dante Exum Returning to Dallas
Ryan McLeod

Inks Four-Year Extension with Sabres
NAS

Predators Bring in Nick Perbix on Two-Year Deal
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Has Surgery to Repair a Turf Toe Injury
LA

Cody Ceci Moves to Los Angeles
Charlotte Hornets

Spencer Dinwiddie Lands With Charlotte
Bud Cauley

in Great Form Ahead of John Deere Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

a Player to Avoid at John Deere Classic
Jake Knapp

Riding Momentum Ahead of John Deere Classic
PGA

Sungjae Im Looking for Consistency at John Deere Classic
Ryan Gerard

a Solid Option at John Deere Classic
Rickie Fowler

Looking to Rebound at John Deere Classic
Cameron Champ

a Volatile Option at John Deere Classic
Jackson Suber

Staying Below 70 is Key to Success for Jackson Suber
Kevin Roy

Playing Better Heading into John Deere Classic
Justin Lower

Hoping for Something Positive in Illinois
Ben Kohles

a Long Shot at John Deere Classic
Stephan Jaeger

Attempts to Stop Roller-Coaster Ride
Beau Hossler

Needs a Challenge in Illinois
Harry Higgs

Has Potential at John Deere Classic
Nick Dunlap

Keeps Plugging Through Tough 2025 Season
Milwaukee Bucks

Taurean Prince Staying in Milwaukee
Kevin Yu

a Near Must-Play at TPC Deere Run
PGA

J.T. Poston Returns to John Deere Classic Looking for Another High Finish
Thriston Lawrence

a Decent Fit For John Deere Classic
Tom Kim

Not Finding Much to be Happy About Ahead of John Deere Classic
Si Woo Kim

is a Prohibitive Fade at John Deere Classic
Ben Griffin

is the Appropriate Favorite at TPC Deere Run
Daniel Suarez

and Trackhouse Racing Parting Ways After 2025 Season
Ilia Topuria

Becomes The New Lightweight Champion
Charles Oliveira

Knocked Out At UFC 317
Kai Kara-France

Alexandre Pantoja Submits Kai Kara-France
Kai Kara-France

Submitted At UFC 317
Joshua Van

Extends His Win Streak
Brandon Royval

Drops Decision
Renato Moicano

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Beneil Dariush

Gets Back In The Win Column
Felipe Lima

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Payton Talbott

Bounces Back
Alex Bowman

Competitive Run Ends With Third-Place Finish at Atlanta
Erik Jones

Secures A Top-Five Finish After Adversity In Atlanta
Tyler Reddick

Collects A New Career-Best Finish At Atlanta
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF