Dylan Cease Traded to San Diego Padres: Fantasy Baseball Outlook

The San Diego Padres recently acquired starting pitcher Dylan Cease from the Chicago White Sox. The Padres gave up Drew Thorpe, Jairo Iriarte, Samuel Zavala, and Steven Wilson to get Cease as they started preparing for life without Blake Snell. Cease, a sixth-round draft pick from the 2014 MLB Draft, made his MLB debut in 2019 […]

ESPN Undervalued and Overvalued Picks - Fantasy Baseball ADP Advantages for Drafts

Welcome RotoBallers to our ESPN fantasy baseball article about undervalued and overvalued players to draft in ESPN leagues, based on their ADP and ranking. Average Draft Position (ADP) is often the guiding light for fantasy baseball draft strategy. While every league is different and may have a particularly aggressive or conservative group of owners when […]

3 Overvalued Closers: Bust Candidates for Fantasy Baseball Drafts (2024)

Relief pitcher is one of the trickier positions to determine fantasy baseball value given the volatility of the position and the limited ways it can provide fantasy output. Generally speaking, relief pitchers are only valuable in most fantasy leagues if they serve as the closer for their team. There are exceptions depending on league type, […]

Overvalued Fantasy Baseball Catchers to Fall Short of ADPs (2024)

If you play both fantasy football and fantasy baseball, you know that the catcher position is like the tight end position. There aren't many elite options, but if you want to grab one of those top-tier stars, you will have to pay up. Adley Rutschman is currently the first catcher to come off the board […]

Expensive Catcher ADPs To Be Cautious Of For Fantasy Baseball Drafts

Identifying fantasy baseball busts is never fun, but avoiding certain landmines on draft day is essential to building a top-tier squad. What constitutes a bust is relative, but at the heart of the matter, a bust is someone who underperforms relative to draft-day cost. The tricky thing regarding busts, however, is labeling a player a […]

Key Early-Round Draft Targets - Expert Fantasy Baseball Picks Using EDV

Spring Training is underway, which means we're back with another year of the FSWA-award-nominated Expected Draft Values (EDV) series, where we look at historical data to identify overvalued and undervalued players of all types. Whether you're targeting power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, we've got you covered. Let's start at the beginning with […]

Five Overvalued Starting Pitchers For 2024 Fantasy Baseball Drafts

Sometimes in fantasy baseball, it's just as important who you don't draft as who you do. This is yet another pitching article from yours truly this preseason where I attempt to evaluate which pitchers are being overvalued in drafts so far. If you're looking for another list of pitchers I am avoiding, check out this […]

Starting Pitchers With Bad Fastballs to Avoid for Fantasy Baseball Drafts (2024)

There's one pitch that every pitcher in baseball throws -- and that's a fastball. Some are faster than others, and some pitchers throw their fastball far more often than others. But unless you're a relief pitcher (and we are talking starters here), you can't get away from throwing a fastball to set up the rest […]

Hitters Spring Training News and Notes For Fantasy Baseball

The spring season has begun and now that we're several games in, it's worth taking a look around the leagues (Cactus and Grapefruit) to see which batters have started off this preseason hot and who has started off cold. Make sure you check out the version of this article that looks at pitchers who have […]

Overvalued Outfielders To Avoid In Fantasy Baseball Drafts (2024)

We're well into fantasy baseball draft season. Most people who have partaken in a draft (mock or real) will have identified where they need to take their favorite players before someone deprives them of that joy. However, as in all drafts, you'll never be able to get all your favorites and will need to pivot […]

Starting Pitchers Spring Training News and Notes For Fantasy Baseball

Baseball is back and spring training is here! Every player is reportedly in the best shape of their lives or has worked on their weaknesses in their game. Hitters have fixed their launch angles, while pitchers have changed arm slots or added a new pitch to their arsenal. How do we know how much of […]

Overvalued Infielders To Avoid In Fantasy Baseball Drafts (2024)

We're well into fantasy baseball draft season. Most people who have partaken in a draft (mock or real) will have identified where they need to take their favorite players before someone deprives them of that joy. But as in all drafts, you'll never be able to get all your favorites and will need to pivot […]

Outfield: Overvalued/Undervalued For Fantasy Baseball Points Leagues

The outfield position has plenty of stars going early in fantasy baseball drafts this year, including consensus No. 1 overall pick Ronald Acuna Jr. Mookie Betts, Corbin Carroll, Kyle Tucker, Julio Rodriguez, Juan Soto, and Aaron Judge are also some other outfielders going within the first 15 picks of drafts in 2024. That list doesn't […]

Outfield Busts Due To Bounce Back for 2024 Fantasy Baseball

Each baseball season features its share of underwhelming performances. Whether due to regression, age, bad luck, injury, or any other number of random factors, every player is susceptible to a bust of a season. In some instances, a busted season indicates a player’s new normal. Knowing when to cut losses on a declining player is […]

Biggest Starting Pitcher Fallers (K-BB%) - Use Caution for Fantasy Baseball Drafts

In an age when we have a way to quantify just about anything that a baseball player can do on the field, one statistic that you'll find most analysts taking to heart when it comes to pitchers is their strikeout-to-walk ratio (K-BB%). It is often regarded as one of the most important and predictive statistics […]

SIERA vs. ERA: Starting Pitcher Risers and Fallers for Fantasy Baseball (2024)

So far this offseason, we've taken a look at pitchers who attacked the strike zone the most, who improved their Stuff+ the most, and who saw the biggest increases in K-BB%, amongst others. This article will take yet another slice of the data to see what there is to see. In this case, we'll take […]

Best Ball Buys and Fades For Fantasy Baseball Drafts (2024)

The fantasy baseball season is right around the corner. While some of you have been drafting for months, others are just returning from football. For either party, fantasy baseball best ball formats are an excellent way to get your feet wet and dig deeper into the player pool. Best ball can help you get an […]

Starting Pitcher Breakouts To Improve for Fantasy Baseball (2024)

The 2023 season was the year of the rookie starting pitcher. Those young guns and some resurgent mid-career hurlers make for an interesting starting pitcher landscape going into the 2024 season. With some guys changing clubs and others with more or less support behind them, it is time for a fresh appraisal of the starting […]

3 Outfield Breakouts Due For Regression In Fantasy Baseball (2024)

Every year, a new crop of expected and unexpected breakout performances emerges. Some surges are the result of blossoming prospects finally hitting their stride, while others may be late bloomers who are finally figuring out the major league level. In other cases, the breakout season may have more to do with luck. Whether the result […]

Starting Pitcher Fantasy Baseball Busts Who'll Keep Junking It Up In 2024

One bust of a season can be enough rationale for fantasy baseball owners to steer clear of a player going forward. For others, it can open the door for a buy-low opportunity with hopes of a bounce-back return to form. However, it’s realistic for us to understand that many players never come back the same. […]

Shortstop: Overvalued/Undervalued for Fantasy Baseball Points Leagues

The shortstop position has some elite fantasy options going early in drafts this year. Kansas City Royals shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. leads the position after a spectacular 30-home run, 96-RBI, 49-stolen bases season. Witt is currently going in the first round.   Shortstops like Trea Turner, Corey Seager, and Francisco Lindor all come off the […]

Second Base: Overvalued/Undervalued for Fantasy Baseball Points Leagues

Entering the 2024 MLB season, second base can be a tricky position to navigate in fantasy baseball. Some elite options are going in the first couple of rounds like Mookie Betts, Ozzie Albies, Marcus Semien, and Jose Altuve. But after that, the field thins out. Betts is the only second baseman going in the first […]

First Base: Overvalued/Undervalued for Fantasy Baseball Points Leagues

Teams have already reported to spring training, which means the MLB season is right around the corner. The first regular season series of the year will take place between the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres on March 20-21 in Seoul, South Korea. That means if you are in a fantasy baseball league, now […]

Starting Pitcher Busts Due To Bounce Back for 2024 Fantasy Baseball

When it comes to identifying potential fantasy value, one of the hardest things to do is to put faith in a player who burned you last season or who did not meet expectations. Even more complicated is figuring out which of those players have the chance to return to form. Fortunately, fantasy managers have tons […]

Later-Round Pitcher Values for WHIP - Fantasy Baseball Draft Targets (2024)

When drafting pitchers, we usually prioritize strikeouts, ERA, wins, and saves before the fifth category in standard 5x5 leagues - WHIP. Plenty of very effective pitchers in Major League Baseball manage run prevention with elite control, great groundball rates, or the ability to induce soft contact. I have always held that WHIP was an underrated […]

Three Potential Second Base Busts for 2024 Fantasy Baseball Drafts

It's never too early to start thinking about your fantasy baseball drafts. With the MLB season right around the corner, doing a little bit of research before your draft could go a long way. This article will go through which second basemen have a chance to bust during the 2024 fantasy season. These players should […]

3 Starting Pitcher Busts for 2024 Fantasy Baseball Drafts - AL Edition

Sleepers and breakout candidates are popular topics as fantasy baseball managers prepare for their drafts. Hitting big on a player in the middle-to-late rounds can go a long way toward winning a title. Another key to winning a league might be avoiding players who could potentially bust. Missing on a player who is drafted inside […]

Using SIERA to Identify Overachievers Worth Fading in 2024 Fantasy Baseball

With spring training rapidly approaching, it's time for part one of my two-part series on using SIERA to identify pitchers with an ERA that was not truly reflective of their overall effectiveness. SIERA attempts to quantify the skills that underpin a pitcher's ERA. It attempts to consider how specific skills (strikeouts, walks, ground balls) interact […]

4 Potential First Base Busts for 2024 Fantasy Baseball Drafts

The fantasy baseball season is quickly approaching, and we are less than 55 days until Opening Day. The San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers will start the season on March 20 in Seoul, South Korea. The rest of the MLB will start their regular season on March 28.  That means you might have to […]