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Adam Koffler's fantasy football risers, fallers, sleepers, and busts heading into Week 12 of the 2025 season. He identifies players with rising and falling fantasy values.
A wild Week 11 is in the books. Sean Tucker and TreVeyon Henderson ran wild, but are their days as the "featured guy" numbered?
One of the top waiver wire additions heading into Week 11 broke out in a big way, but can he sustain that production going forward?
As we do each week, we'll take a look at some of the biggest risers and fallers coming out of the previous week as we head into the upcoming weekend. Here are your top risers and fallers heading into Week 12.
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Week 12 Fantasy Football Risers
Michael Wilson, WR, Arizona Cardinals
Wilson had never earned double-digit targets in any of his 38 career NFL games. That was until Week 11 of the 2025 season, when he garnered a career-high 18 targets in a lopsided loss to the 49ers.
But hey, as fantasy managers, we don't care if the Cardinals win or lose. In fact, for those of us who picked up Wilson off the waiver wire, we'd prefer Arizona play from behind every week, huh?
With Marvin Harrison Jr. out due to surgery for appendicitis, Wilson was forced into a de facto WR1 role, and didn't disappoint.
He was a huge part of the game plan, turning a 40% first-read target share into 15 catches for 185 yards. He led all wideouts (minimum 20 routes) in targets per route run (0.38) in Week 11 and was fourth in air yards share (60.9%).
35-yard pickup from Jacoby Brissett to Michael Wilson!
SFvsAZ on FOX/FOX Onehttps://t.co/HkKw7uXnxV pic.twitter.com/eFtO17j8UV
— NFL (@NFL) November 16, 2025
MHJ may miss another week or two. With favorable upcoming matchups against the Jaguars, Buccaneers, and Rams, Wilson should now be considered a set-it-and-forget-it WR2 as long as Harrison remains out of the lineup.
Sean Tucker, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tucker ran well in Week 10 coming out of the Bucs' bye, turning nine carries into 53 yards. Then, he faced a porous Buffalo run defense in Week 11 and put up video game numbers.
The Syracuse alum produced 140 total yards and three touchdowns on 21 touches, despite being marginally outsnapped by Rachaad White.
SEAN TUCKER. 43-YARD TD.
TBvsBUF on CBS/Paramount+https://t.co/HkKw7uXVnt pic.twitter.com/O0chu1HMdk
— NFL (@NFL) November 16, 2025
He's certainly a riser heading into Week 12, but his outlook remains uncertain. He'll face one of the league's top run defenses in the Los Angeles Rams in L.A., and Bucky Irving has at least a fighting chance to return to action after being limited in practice all of last week.
However, the Bucs might decide to slow-play Irving's injury recovery even further after seeing what Tucker has been capable of doing these past two weeks. Either way, Tucker needs to be rostered everywhere for the possibility that he's, at a minimum, taken over the starting job from White.
Bhayshul Tuten, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars
Tuten did leave the Jaguars' Week 11 game early with an ankle injury; however, he told reporters postgame that he was "good."
Bhayshul Tuten Said His Ankle is "Good" After a Career Day https://t.co/dC5u3oXsLt
— RotoBaller NFL (@RotoBallerNFL) November 17, 2025
It's also generally a good sign when a player speaks to the media immediately following the game in which they were injured. Often, a team won't want a player divulging injury details before they have a chance to perform a full examination.
"I think overall it was my best game."
- Bhayshul Tuten pic.twitter.com/rjWJNHCKpT
— Jamal St. Cyr (@JStCyrTV) November 17, 2025
Regardless, it appears Tuten has forced at least a split backfield with Travis Etienne Jr. in Jacksonville. Before he left the game, he outcarried Etienne 15 to 12. He turned those 15 rush attempts into 74 yards and a score. Etienne hasn't done anything to "lose" the job per se, but Tuten has certainly done his part to earn more touches going forward.
Both backs can be fantasy-relevant in Jacksonville for the remainder of the season, given how much work HC Liam Coen has fed to his running backs of late.
just how banged up bhayshul tuten (ankle) is will be very very important down the stretch pic.twitter.com/CZCvUBgotX
— Hayden Winks (@HaydenWinks) November 17, 2025
Kenneth Walker III, RB, Seattle Seahawks
Zach Charbonnet isn't going away, but the fact of the matter is that Walker got a goal-line touch that led to a score with the Seahawks down 21-12 late in the fourth quarter.
Typically, that's Charbonnet's territory. Maybe, just maybe, HC Mike Macdonald and OC Klint Kubiak will finally start to feed more work to the better of the two runners.
Before the Seahawks' bye, in the six games played together, Walker had a 52% RB opportunity share on just 45% of the snaps. In the three games post-bye, Walker has a 57% RB opportunity share on a 52% snap share.
It's not an astronomical difference, but hey, progress is progress, right? And with soft matchups against the Titans and Falcons in two of the next three weeks, the arrow is pointing straight up for Walker, who tends to play more in heavily positive game scripts.
Other Fantasy Football Risers:
- RJ Harvey
- Tetairoa McMillan
- Jayden Higgins
- Travis Kelce
- Chris Rodriguez Jr.
- Jameson Williams
- Tyrell Shavers
Week 12 Fantasy Football Fallers
Khalil Shakir, WR, Buffalo Bills
Dalton Kincaid was out in Week 11, so Shakir was expected to earn a couple more targets. Not only was that not the case (just three targets), he caught just one ball for -3 yards. Shakir played on just 54% of the snaps.
Meanwhile, Tyrell Shavers (a riser heading into Week 12) earned five targets on a 54% snap share after his promotion following Keon Coleman's benching.
Shakir has had an up-and-down season, but the fact of the matter is that he's averaging just 8.1 fantasy points per game in the seven games he didn't score a touchdown. His inconsistent snap share and low weekly floor make him a tough option to trust most weeks.
Next is a brutal matchup against a Texans secondary allowing the third-fewest fantasy points per game to opposing slot wide receivers this season (6.7).
Xavier Worthy, WR, Kansas City Chiefs
Worthy is still playing a good amount of snaps, but lately, he hasn't done much with them. That has coincided with the return of Rashee Rice in Week 7 and the better play of Travis Kelce.
In the last three games, Kelce has turned back the clock, averaging 85.3 yards on 8.7 targets per game. Rice, meanwhile, is averaging 8.8 targets per game.
What's left for Worthy is just 5.8 targets per game in his last four games. Per Fantasy Points Data, he has just a 15.5% target share in those games with a 0.19 targets per route run rate.
He hasn't been a must-start for a few weeks, but it's now solidified given Kelce's midseason ascension and Rice's mainstay as Patrick Mahomes' top wideout.
Parker Washington, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars
Washington has helped many fantasy teams survive the gauntlet of bye weeks. Coming into Week 11, he averaged 8.7 targets per game over his last three games and scored double-digit fantasy points in each one of them.
Now, new teammate Jakobi Meyers is getting up to speed, while Brian Thomas Jr. and Brenton Strange may be on the verge of their respective returns as early as Week 12. Meyers has led Jacksonville in receiving two times since being traded to the team on November 4.
Washington thrived on volume in the last month with multiple Jaguar pass-catchers out of the lineup, but his time as a startable WR3 is likely coming to an end.
That's especially true considering the Jaguars are set to be the favorites in a majority of their remaining games, which could mean they lean into the rushing attack.
DJ Moore, WR, Chicago Bears
Moore has just seven total targets in his last two games. He's turned those targets into just one catch for 18 yards. And the one catch almost wasn't even a catch!
It’s a catch! 😅
CHIvsMIN on FOX/FOX One+https://t.co/HkKw7uXVnt pic.twitter.com/ZZcMi8lLAz
— NFL (@NFL) November 16, 2025
The low usage rate comes as Luther Burden III and Colston Loveland have become more involved in the Bears' offensive game plan of late. Burden has fully taken over for Olamide Zaccheaus, while Loveland is averaging 71 yards per game in his last three games.
More viable options in the passing game spell trouble for Moore, and it's showing. He's now fourth in the pecking order for targets behind Rome Odunze, Burden, and Loveland.
His 13.6% first-read target share and 0.33 yards per route run in his last two games leave a lot to be desired.
Other Fantasy Football Fallers:
More Fantasy Football Analysis
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