X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Player Comparisons
News and Alerts

2023 Dynasty Fantasy Football Faller: Antonio Gibson

Antonio Gibson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Washington Commanders running back Antonio Gibson posted 1,042 total yards and 11 touchdowns as a rookie in 2020, setting him up to be a valuable dynasty fantasy football asset for years to come. In year two, Gibson racked up 1,037 rushing yards, 294 receiving yards, and 10 touchdowns -- another respectable campaign.

However, the presence of J.D. McKissic during his first two seasons in Washington proved to hamper his workload, especially in the receiving game. Even though McKissic went down early in the 2022 season, rookie Brian Robinson Jr. became the new thorn in Gibson's side, especially for Gibson dynasty managers. That said, he's taken a free-fall in dynasty RB rankings.

How did Gibson perform in 2022, what is his current dynasty trade value, and what can we expect from the former third-round pick from Memphis in 2023? Let's dive in.

Editor's Note: Our incredible team of writers received 13 award nominations by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association including Baseball Writer of the Year, Football Writers of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year and many more! Be sure to follow their analysis, rankings and advice all year long, and win big with RotoBaller! Read More!

 

2022 Season In Review

In Weeks 1-3, Gibson got off to a nice start. He totaled 50 touches for 211 yards and two touchdowns as the Commanders' lead back, placing him as the RB13 in half-PPR leagues. However, his momentum would stop there.

After turning 16 touches into 60 yards and no touchdowns against the Dallas Cowboys in Week 4, Robinson (gunshot wound) would make his pro debut against the Tennessee Titans. Robinson immediately handled nine carries, while McKissic caught five passes. Meanwhile, Gibson got just six total touches (three carries, three receptions), totaling 39 yards. Needless to say, this was a concerning sign for things to come.

From that point forward, Gibson was given fewer than 12 carries in eight of his 10 final games and caught more than three passes just once over that stretch. He posted four RB16 or better finishes in those 10 games, but alternatively, he had RB27, RB28, RB37, RB40, RB44, and RB47 finishes.

Ultimately, he had some decent weeks fit for Best Ball action, but even then, he never provided a nuclear boom week to take teams over the edge. In traditional redraft leagues. Gibson was never a "set 'em and forget 'em" running back and had virtually no floor. Fantasy managers hoped he'd at least be a high-volume pass-catcher out of the backfield when Robinson joined the offense, but that was far from the case.

Overall in half-PPR scoring, Gibson was the RB28 in total fantasy points and the RB30 in fantasy points per game.

A significant portion of the fantasy football community believes Gibson is a solid all-purpose back, but he hasn't been able to reach his ceiling with the limited workload Washington has decided to give him.

Antonio-Gibson-PlayerProfiler.com

Antonio Gibson Advanced Stats and Metrics (PlayerProfiler.com)

However, Gibson's rushing efficiency explains why the Commanders don't feel the need to rush him 15-plus times a game. As shown above, Gibson ranked outside the top 30 RBs in several rushing metrics, including true yards per carry, yards per touch, juke rate, breakaway run rate, and yards created.

However, he was a solid receiver in 2022, finishing inside the top 12 in target share, yards per receptions, yards per route run, and catch rate. He could be a nice fantasy piece if his receiving workload takes an uptick, but efficiency alone isn't enough.

 

Antonio Gibson Dynasty Value/Market

KeepTradeCut.com dynasty rankings, which are crowdsourced by the users who read the site, currently has Gibson as just the RB39. KeepTradeCut is a good source for examining the overall market of a player, but all dynasty leagues value players differently to some degree.

His RB39 status placed him behind Devon Achane, Alexander Mattison, Jamaal Williams, and Rachaad Penny. It's a fall from grace for the running back who was once viewed as a top-six player at his position, but the dynasty community has soured on him as his career has moved along.

That said, the RB39 spot feels like a massive overreaction and overcorrection as everyone becomes infatuated with the incoming 2023 rookie class. Gibson has posted respectable seasons in each of his first three years and his receiving skill set should always carry value. We'll dive into more of that below.

 

2023 Fantasy Football Outlook

While Gibson may not get back to his RB12 days as he produced as a rookie and sophomore, there are some reasons to be optimistic heading into his fourth season. We already dove into his receiving efficiency and upside, but Washington bringing in new offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy could give Gibson a fresh start with a new set of eyes on offense.

We can't simply project Washington's offense to look exactly like Kansas City's because they are far from having a Patrick Mahomes caliber signal caller, but if Gibson can get a 2022 Jerick McKinnon-like role, it could bode well for his fantasy value. Gibson is a more explosive and well-rounded back than Robinson, so the hope is Bieniemy chooses to feature him heavily in the new-look Washington offense.

It's unclear whether Sam Howell, Jacoby Brissett, or a rookie quarterback will lead the Commanders' offense next season, but hopefully, any of the three options will be a step up from Taylor Heinicke.

Ultimately, if the offense improves at all from last year, Gibson will be a steal at his current Best Ball ADP of RB44. Unless Washington adds more pieces to its running back room in the 2023 NFL Draft, it's hard to see any way Gibson finishes worse than a mid-level RB3. However, his upside could be in the high-end RB2 range in full-PPR formats.

Washington passed on just 52.81% of its plays in 2022 (23rd), while Kanas City's pass rate finished at 61.48% (eighth). The Commanders may not break into the top five in pass rate, but even a slight uptick in total pass attempts could be significant for Gibson in 2023.

At his current cost in dynasty leagues and early 2023 Best Ball drafts, he's a glaring target at running back, especially for those who prefer a zero-RB strategy.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!




Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Fantasy Football Analysis




LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Player Comparisons
News and Alerts

ROTOBALLER PLAYER NEWS

John Collins53 mins ago

Still Available
Marcus Smart1 hour ago

Has Solid Showing In Game 6
Jaylen Brown1 hour ago

Has 26 Points In Win Over Miami
Robert Williams1 hour ago

III Finishes With 10 Points Saturday
Derrick White1 hour ago

Forces A Game 7
Jayson Tatum2 hours ago

Scores 31 Points In Game 6
Julio Urías2 hours ago

Julio Urias To Throw Bullpen Session Monday
Xander Bogaerts2 hours ago

Expected Back In The Lineup Sunday
Max Kepler2 hours ago

Almost "Fully Recovered"
Jesús Sánchez3 hours ago

Jesus Sanchez Will Return On Tuesday
Yu Chang3 hours ago

Pauses Rehab Assignment
Anthony Rizzo4 hours ago

Logs Base Hit As Yankees End Losing Streak
Jose Trevino5 hours ago

Could Return Sunday
Drey Jameson5 hours ago

Recalled From Triple-A Reno
Rafael Devers5 hours ago

Dealing With Minor Calf Injury
DeAndre Hopkins5 hours ago

Bills, Chiefs Had "Substantive" Talks About Trading For DeAndre Hopkins
Roansy Contreras5 hours ago

Will Shift To The Bullpen In The Near Future
Travis Etienne Jr.5 hours ago

Working On "Fine-Tuning" Skills
Kevin Kiermaier5 hours ago

Day-To-Day With Lower-Back Discomfort
Arizona Cardinals6 hours ago

Budda Baker Will Be At Training Camp
Vince Velasquez6 hours ago

Removed With Elbow Discomfort
Austin Dillon6 hours ago

Could Be Place Differential King At Charlotte
Erik Jones6 hours ago

Could Be Good Early At Charlotte
Daniel Suarez6 hours ago

Has Upside At Coca-Cola 600
Aric Almirola7 hours ago

Stuck In Middle Of The Pack For Charlotte
Chase Briscoe7 hours ago

Tries To Turn Back Clock At Charlotte
Ty Gibbs7 hours ago

Could Provide DFS Value At Charlotte
Joey Logano7 hours ago

Tries To Bounce Back From Charlotte Mishap
Martin Truex Jr7 hours ago

. Wants To Turn Back Clock At Charlotte
Justin Haley7 hours ago

Might Have Challenge At Charlotte
Tyler Reddick7 hours ago

Aims To Move Up At Charlotte
Zack Wheeler8 hours ago

Fans Season-High 12 Batters In Fourth Win
Michael Lorenzen8 hours ago

Can’t Log Win Despite Strong Display
DJ LeMahieu8 hours ago

Emerges From Cold Spell With Homer
Justin Verlander8 hours ago

Aims To Build On Longest Start
Daniel Vogelbach9 hours ago

Sitting On Saturday Amidst Tough Year
Kris Bryant9 hours ago

Scuffling, Gets Night Off On Saturday
Ezequiel Duran9 hours ago

Officially Placed On Injured List On Saturday
Ross Chastain9 hours ago

Looking For A Win At Charlotte
Harrison Burton9 hours ago

On The Hot Seat For Results
Kyle Larson10 hours ago

Fast And Furious At Charlotte
Chris Buescher10 hours ago

Risky But Could Provide Reward
Ricky Stenhouse Jr10 hours ago

. May Be On Borrowed Time At Charlotte
Christopher Bell10 hours ago

Trying To Improve On 2022 Charlotte Result
Ryan Blaney10 hours ago

Still Trying To Find The Checkered Flag
Kyle Busch10 hours ago

In Interesting Position For Charlotte
Denny Hamlin10 hours ago

Starts Fourth For Coca-Cola 600
Thairo Estrada10 hours ago

Placed On Injured List
Brad Keselowski10 hours ago

Rides Metric Wave At Charlotte
Kevin Harvick10 hours ago

Starts Second At Charlotte
Kevin Kiermaier10 hours ago

Removed From Saturday's Game
Jerome Kapp15 hours ago

Jets Sign Jerome Kapp
San Francisco 49ers15 hours ago

Dre Greenlaw Recovering From Finger Surgery
Chris Moore15 hours ago

Willing To Play Any Role
Gary Brightwell16 hours ago

Could Be Buried On Depth Chart
Dallas Cowboys16 hours ago

Terence Steele Limited At OTAs
Marquise Brown16 hours ago

Becomes Cardinals' No. 1 Receiver
Deshaun Watson16 hours ago

Jordan Akins Eager To Work With Deshaun Watson Again
Deshaun Watson16 hours ago

Elijah Moore Building Chemistry With Deshaun Watson
Gabe Vincent1 day ago

Questionable On Saturday
Tyler Herro1 day ago

Remains Out For Game 6
Bam Adebayo1 day ago

Good To Go For Game 6
Malcolm Brogdon1 day ago

Questionable For Game 6
DeAndre Hopkins1 day ago

Bills "Lurking" As A Favorite To Land DeAndre Hopkins
Davante Adams1 day ago

Josh McDaniels Has No Issues With Davante Adams Venting
Tampa Bay Buccaneers1 day ago

Bucs Expect Devin White At Minicamp
Darren Waller1 day ago

Enjoying Time In New York
Dalvin Cook1 day ago

Now Considering A Pay Cut?
DeAndre Hopkins1 day ago

Chiefs A Potential Landing Spot For DeAndre Hopkins?
Detroit Pistons1 day ago

Detroit Brings Kevin Ollie And Charles Lee In For Second Interviews
Atlanta Hawks1 day ago

Hawks Hire Igor Kokoskov As Lead Assistant Coach
Joel Embiid1 day ago

Still Considered Untouchable
D'Angelo Russell1 day ago

Lakers Won't Pursue The Max For D'Angelo Russell
Fred VanVleet1 day ago

Raptors Unsure If They Want To Re-Sign Fred VanVleet
Tyler Allgeier1 day ago

Not Concerned About Usage
Hendon Hooker1 day ago

Preparing Himself Mentally
Michael Gallup1 day ago

To Have Expanded Role
Indianapolis Colts1 day ago

Shaquille Leonard Remains Without A Timetable
Haywood Highsmith2 days ago

Fills In Well From The Bench
Jimmy Butler2 days ago

Held In Check For Just 14 Points
Duncan Robinson2 days ago

Leads The Heat In Scoring
Marcus Smart2 days ago

Swipes Five Steals In Big Game 5 Win
Jayson Tatum2 days ago

Secures Double-Double In Game 5
Derrick White2 days ago

Leads All Scorers In Game 5 Victory
Jack Eichel2 days ago

Keeps The Assists Coming
William Karlsson2 days ago

Matches Vegas Record With Eighth Postseason Goal
Miro Heiskanen2 days ago

Delivers Two Power-Play Assists
Jason Robertson2 days ago

Scores Two Goals In Game 4 Victory
Joe Pavelski2 days ago

Scores Overtime Winner In Game 4
Jake Oettinger2 days ago

The Confirmed Starter For Game 4
Evgenii Dadonov2 days ago

Will Be Out Of The Lineup For Dallas
Adin Hill2 days ago

Will Mind The Vegas Crease In Game 4
Jamie Benn3 days ago

Suspended For Two Games
Sergei Bobrovsky3 days ago

Remains Sharp In Series-Clincher
Aleksander Barkov3 days ago

Hands Out Two Assists In Game 4 Victory
Matthew Tkachuk3 days ago

Late Goal Sends Panthers To Stanley Cup Final
Michael Block3 days ago

A Fade At Charles Schwab
Emiliano Grillo3 days ago

Looks To Regain Form
Viktor Hovland3 days ago

Teeing It Up After Close Call At PGA Championship
PGA4 days ago

J.T. Poston Tough To Include In Fantasy Lineups
Beau Hossler4 days ago

Worth Fantasy Consideration Heading To Colonial
Billy Horschel4 days ago

Inconsistency Makes Him A Tough Choice
Ryan Fox4 days ago

An Intriguing Pick For Fantasy Lineups
Alex Smalley4 days ago

A Risky Option For Fantasy Lineups
Christiaan Bezuidenhout4 days ago

To Bounce Back After Missed Cut
Brendon Todd4 days ago

A Risky Fantasy Play At Colonial
PGA4 days ago

Byeong Hun An's Impressive Play Makes Him Strong Fantasy Option
PGA4 days ago

K.H. Lee Looks To Continue Playing Well
Tom Hoge4 days ago

A Viable Fantasy Option At Colonial
PGA4 days ago

Cameron Davis Playing Well Heading To Colonial
Max Homa4 days ago

A Reliable Fantasy Option At Colonial
Will Gordon4 days ago

A Solid Option In Texas
Cameron Champ4 days ago

Worth A Look At Colonial
Stephan Jaeger4 days ago

A Solid Sleeper At Colonial
Sam Stevens4 days ago

Worth A Shot At Charles Schwab
Ryan Palmer4 days ago

Is It Safe To Start Ryan Palmer In Texas?
Maverick McNealy4 days ago

In A Major Slump
Aleksander Barkov4 days ago

Expected To Play In Game 4
Mark Stone4 days ago

Jamie Benn Ejected For Cross-Checking Mark Stone In Game 3
Ivan Barbashev4 days ago

Collects Three Points In Game 3 Victory
Adin Hill4 days ago

Posts First Career Playoff Shutout In Game 3
Sergei Bobrovsky5 days ago

Posts First Career Playoff Shutout In Game 3
Aleksander Barkov5 days ago

Suffers Lower-Body Injury In Game 3
Angela Hill6 days ago

Dominated In Decision Loss
Anthony Hernandez6 days ago

Dominates In Co-Main Event
MMA6 days ago

Lupita Godinez Picks Up Decision Win
Joaquin Buckley6 days ago

Gets Back In Win Column
Diego Ferreira6 days ago

Snaps Losing Streak
Adin Hill6 days ago

Keeps Rolling With Victory In Game 2
Ryan Suter6 days ago

Collects Two Assists In Sunday's Loss
Mark Stone6 days ago

Scores A Power-Play Goal In Game 2
Mackenzie Dern6 days ago

Puts On Impressive Showing In Main Event
Edmen Shahbazyan6 days ago

Knocked Out Saturday
Emily Ducote6 days ago

Shows Out Well But Takes Decision Loss
Andre Fialho6 days ago

Takes Third Straight Defeat Saturday
Michael Johnson6 days ago

On Wrong Side Highlight Knockout
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF