X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

Thunder Dan's NFL Betting Picks for Week 11: Spreads, Totals, Parlays, and Teasers

Saquon Barkley - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, Draft Sleepers

After going 3-1 on game picks last week and hitting our teaser, I am ready to keep it rolling in Week 11 with another winning week!

Whether you like to bet game totals, sides, or player props, I have something in here for you, and try to cover a little bit of everything! This year, I started my own free sports betting newsletter, and the good people here at RotoBaller are allowing me to share my picks and data with you here in this space! You can access the free substack here and sign up for daily emails in addition to viewing the picks daily here on the RotoBaller website.

In this article, I'll be providing my favorite NFL betting picks for Week 11 of the 2022 NFL season. The odds on these bets vary from book to book and are constantly changing. I primarily use FanDuel and DraftKings sportsbooks, but I would strongly encourage you to shop for the best odds at whatever books you use daily.

Featured Promo: Want a free RotoBaller Premium Pass? Check out these sports betting promo offers from the top sportsbooks! All new sign-ups get a free bonus offer on their first deposit, and a free year of RotoBaller's Premium Pass for all sports ($450 value)! Sign Up Now!

 

Thunder Dan's Best Bets: 2022 NFL Season

  • Last Week: 3-1
  • Season ATS: 17-15
  • Season O/U: 7-16
  • Season Overall: 24-31

 

NFL Betting Picks: Spreads/MoneyLine

TEN +3.5 (-110 DK)

The Packers are favored here at home, likely due to that big win against Dallas last week. Otherwise, I think we would be seeing this line a lot closer to a pick ‘em.

I’m not sure I am ready to anoint the Packers as “back” after one win but they’re also not dead yet (watch this video, it’s hilarious, especially if you’re a Monty Python fan).

The Titans have Tannehill back under center and are coming off a solid win of their own, holding off the Broncos last week in a low-scoring affair. I like the way they match up on the offensive and defensive lines here, and I think Derrick Henry could have a big day against this Packers front.

Tennessee's defense has been stout, too, holding their last three opponents to an average of 13.3 points. They have been tough against the run, too, and will force Aaron Rodgers to beat them in the passing game. I am not sure he can do it two weeks in a row. Tennessee is a solid 7-2 ATS this season. I’ll take the Titans and the points.

NYG -3 (-110 DK)

Speaking of 7-2, that happens to be the Giants’ record against the spread, too. And while I have a lot of respect for the Lions and don’t want to bet against them, I am not sure how I can walk away from the Giants here in this spot.

My model likes them by closer to 5-6 points and they continue to play well against lesser teams, and the Lions most certainly are that as their defense is abysmal. Even if you rate Detroit’s offense as good as New York’s the big difference for me is that the Giants have a respectable defense and the Lions have one of the worst.

The Giants win by more than a field goal here at home (Sorry, Eagles and Cowboys fans - they aren’t going away!)

MIN ML (+105 DK)

I don’t want to chase one week’s results, but the win over Buffalo for Minnesota I think should be validating their early season success, and a lot of folks are looking for any reason they can to dismiss it. Maybe they should have lost, but they played well and put up a bunch of points on a good defense while causing a bunch of turnovers on defense against the potential MVP in Josh Allen.

Meanwhile, the Cowboys crumbled late against the Packers, wasting a 14-point lead and eventually falling in overtime. Their defense allowed a lot of yardage and had a hard time stopping the run and the pass against the Pack.

Now the Cowboys still have a top-5 defense, but they’re facing a top-5 offense this week in Minnesota. This game should be a great one and I expect it to be close. But I think I have to give the home team the edge here, especially if they’re getting the better odds in a game that could be viewed at most as a pick ‘em.

 

NFL Betting Picks: Totals

CHI-ATL OVER 49 (-110 DK)

I was a bit nervous about this over, considering that both teams really want to run the ball instead of throwing it. But both of these offenses have been trending up and have very capable, mobile quarterbacks who can really threaten these defenses and keep drives moving.

Mariota hasn’t been anywhere near the rushing threat that Fields has, but he can move a bit. And these defenses have been flat-out BAD. Over their last three games, Chicago is dead last with 38 points allowed per game to opponents while Atlanta has allowed the fourth-most at 26 points per game.

I look for this one to potentially shoot out. Fields and this Chicago offense have been so much better the last month and Atlanta doesn’t really have the secondary to stop their passing game. At the same time, the Bears can’t stop anyone, and Atlanta has plenty of weapons on offense, too.

 

Sports Betting Promo Offers

All new sign-ups also get a free year of RotoBaller's all sports Premium Pass ($450 value)!

Sportsbook Bonus Offer Promo
Caesars Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,500 CLAIM OFFER
PointsBet 2 Risk-Free Bets Up To $2,000 CLAIM OFFER
BetMGM Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,000 CLAIM OFFER
FanDuel Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,000 CLAIM OFFER
DraftKings Deposit Bonus Booster Up To $1,000 CLAIM OFFER
 



 

Featured Promo

Offer is only valid for new users

All new sportsbook sign-ups get a free year of RotoBaller Premium access ($450 value)!

1. Just sign up for a new account
2. Make a minimum deposit of $20 and place any bet
3. Be sure to claim your bonus offer from the sportsbook
4. Email us at [email protected] with your new account details
5. Boom - that's it! We'll email you with your year-long RotoBaller Premium Pass

CLAIM NOW!

 


 

NFL Betting Picks: Teasers and Parlays

You know the rules here, more teams = more risk. Never hesitate to leave a team out of a parlay that you don’t feel good about.

5-TEAM ML FAVORITES PARLAY: PHI/SF/KC/BAL/BUF (+252 DK)

4-TEAM 6.5-POINT UNDERDOG TEASER: TEN/CHI/NYJ/MIN (+230 DK)

That takes the spreads to TEN +10, CHI +9.5, NYJ +10.5, and MIN +8!

 

I hope you find my data and picks helpful and profitable! Thanks for checking out my picks and content here at RotoBaller!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!




Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Fantasy Football Analysis

LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

ROTOBALLER PLAYER NEWS

Russell Westbrook19 mins ago

Traded To Utah
Will Benson25 mins ago

Reds Acquire Will Benson From The Guardians
Joel Embiid2 hours ago

Good To Go Against Celtics
Tommy Eveld2 hours ago

Signs With Reds
Killian Hayes2 hours ago

Moves Back Into Starting Lineup
A.J. Puk2 hours ago

To Compete For Rotation Spot
Michael Brantley2 hours ago

Hopes To Be Ready For Opening Day
Jamal Murray2 hours ago

Questionable For Thursday's Contest
Framber Valdez3 hours ago

Won't Pitch In World Baseball Classic
Al Horford3 hours ago

And Robert Williams III Both Out Wednesday
Monte Morris3 hours ago

Will Miss Game Against Hornets
Jared Walsh3 hours ago

Feeling Great
Bradley Beal3 hours ago

Set To Play Against Charlotte
Sam Howell3 hours ago

Likely QB1 For Commanders Heading Into Next Season
Keldon Johnson3 hours ago

Available Versus Raptors
Nick Senzel3 hours ago

Uncertain For Start Of The Season
Chris Duarte3 hours ago

Will Play Versus Miami
Kyle Kuzma3 hours ago

To Remain Out Wednesday
Shohei Ohtani3 hours ago

Angels Owner Wants To Keep Shohei Ohtani
Brock Purdy3 hours ago

To Have Surgery This Month
Donovan Mitchell3 hours ago

Darius Garland And Donovan Mitchell Out Wednesday
Aaron Ashby3 hours ago

To Be Delayed Due To Shoulder Fatigue
Jack Hughes3 hours ago

Leaves Practice Early With Injury
Aleksander Barkov3 hours ago

A Game-Time Call Thursday
Filip Chytil4 hours ago

On Four-Game Goal Streak
Joel Kiviranta4 hours ago

Out With A Lower-Body Injury
Ryan Hartman4 hours ago

Back On Top Line Wednesday
Jonas Brodin4 hours ago

Out On Wednesday
Jake Oettinger6 hours ago

Starting Wednesday Against Minnesota
Filip Gustavsson6 hours ago

Named The Starter Versus Dallas
Robert Williams6 hours ago

III Downgraded To Questionable
Spencer Martin6 hours ago

Minds The Crease Wednesday
Al Horford6 hours ago

Questionable On Wednesday
Jaylen Brown6 hours ago

Good To Go Wednesday
Jeremy Sochan6 hours ago

Misses Another Game Wednesday
Tre Jones6 hours ago

Remains Out Wednesday
Donovan Mitchell7 hours ago

Questionable Wednesday
Darius Garland7 hours ago

Questionable For Wednesday
James Naile7 hours ago

Cardinals Designate James Naile For Assignment
Anthony Misiewicz7 hours ago

Cardinals Acquire Anthony Misiewicz
Kyrie Irving8 hours ago

To Debut For Mavericks On Wednesday
Los Angles Rams9 hours ago

Aaron Donald Coming Back For Another Season
Josh Jacobs9 hours ago

Raiders Expected To Use Franchise Tag On Josh Jacobs
Shane Lowry9 hours ago

Set To Make First U.S. Start Of 2023 This Week
Tony Pollard9 hours ago

Expected To Receive Franchise Tag
PGA9 hours ago

Alex Noren A Dark-Horse Contender This Week
PGA9 hours ago

J.T. Poston Heads To Phoenix In Hot Form
Cameron Young9 hours ago

Continues To Impress
Patrick Cantlay10 hours ago

An Elite Fantasy Option At WM Phoenix Open
Corey Conners10 hours ago

Remains A Ball-Striking Machine
PGA10 hours ago

Matt Fitzpatrick Hopes To Rebound In Phoenix
Nikola Jokic10 hours ago

Posts Fourth Straight Triple-Double
Rory McIlroy10 hours ago

Looks To Stay Hot In Phoenix
Trae Young10 hours ago

Collects Another 16-Assist Game In Loss
Justin Thomas10 hours ago

Has Thrived At WM Phoenix Open
Evgeni Malkin13 hours ago

Bags Two Assists
John Klingberg13 hours ago

Tallies Two Assists Tuesday
Nikita Kucherov13 hours ago

Extends Home Point Streak
Andre Burakovsky13 hours ago

Goes Down On First Shift
Nick Paul13 hours ago

Hurt In Tuesday's Game
Troy Terry13 hours ago

Out Day-To-Day
Brayden Point19 hours ago

Scores Twice Against Sharks
Erik Karlsson19 hours ago

Records Three Points In Overtime Victory
Jack Campbell19 hours ago

Collects Victory Against Red Wings
Connor McDavid19 hours ago

Picks Up Assist In Victory
Bo Horvat19 hours ago

Scores First Goal In Islanders Jersey
Adin Hill20 hours ago

Earns Win Against Predators
Tejay Antone21 hours ago

Dealing With Flexor Strain
Bo Bichette21 hours ago

Blue Jays, Bo Bichette Avoid Arbitration
Rickie Fowler23 hours ago

Has Good History At WM Phoenix Open
Sam Burns23 hours ago

Looks To Keep Improving At Phoenix
Scottie Scheffler23 hours ago

Could Stay Near The Top At Phoenix
Hayden Buckley24 hours ago

Poised For Rebound At WM Phoenix Open
Matthew NeSmith24 hours ago

Still Trying To Find Fall Form
PGA24 hours ago

Sungjae Im Poised To Keep Rolling In Phoenix
1 day ago

Tom Kim Expects To Contend At Phoenix This Week
Derek Carr1 day ago

Saints Granted Permission To Visit With Derek Carr
Kyle Tucker1 day ago

Astros, Kyle Tucker Have Discussed Extension
Jon Berti1 day ago

Marlins, Jon Berti Avoid Arbitration
DJ LeMahieu1 day ago

Looks Back To Old Self
Josh Donaldson1 day ago

Projected To Start At 3B For Yankees
Oswald Peraza1 day ago

Yankees Impressed With Oswald Peraza
Anthony Volpe1 day ago

On A Mission
Matt Gage1 day ago

Blue Jays Place Matt Gage On Unconditional Release Waivers
Phillip Diehl1 day ago

Guardians Agree To Minor-League Deal With Phillip Diehl
Derrick Lewis1 day ago

Rough Times Continue For Derrick Lewis
Serghei Spivac1 day ago

Sergey Spivak Earns Huge Victory On Saturday
MMA1 day ago

Jung Da Un Unable To Do Enough To Earn Decision
Devin Clark1 day ago

Eeks Out Close Decision Win
Blagoy Ivanov1 day ago

Unable To Stop Recent Slide
Marcin Tybura1 day ago

Continues To Shine With Latest Victory
Kyle Nelson1 day ago

Saved From Defeat With Late Point Deduction
MMA1 day ago

Choi Doo-ho's Point Deduction Takes Away A Victory
Yusaku Kinoshita1 day ago

Unable To Score A Victory In Debut
Adam Fugitt1 day ago

Dominates With First-Round Finish
A.J. Green2 days ago

Announces His Retirement
Brock Purdy2 days ago

Leaning Toward Surgery?
Mecole Hardman2 days ago

Lands On Injured Reserve
Clyde Edwards-Helaire2 days ago

Chiefs Activate Clyde Edwards-Helaire From IR
Zach Wilson3 days ago

Jets Have No Plans To Trade Zach Wilson
Cleveland Browns3 days ago

Myles Garrett Dislocates Toe At Pro Bowl Games
Joey Logano3 days ago

Facing Different Reality At Los Angeles
Ross Chastain3 days ago

And The Clash On Sunday
Ty Gibbs3 days ago

Has To Race Into Coliseum Main Event
Kyle Larson3 days ago

Bit Of A Wildcard At Los Angeles
Alex Bowman3 days ago

Qualified Ninth At Los Angeles
NASCAR3 days ago

A.J. Allmendinger Has Exciting Saturday At Coliseum
Denny Hamlin3 days ago

Starts Second In Heat Three At Coliseum
Austin Dillon3 days ago

Continues Chevy Theme In Los Angeles
Aric Almirola3 days ago

Rises To Fifth In Qualifying Saturday
William Byron3 days ago

Qualifies Fourth For Sunday At Los Angeles
Christopher Bell3 days ago

Surprises Some At Coliseum Saturday
Kyle Busch4 days ago

Loves Los Angeles Again On Saturday
Justin Haley4 days ago

Heats Up Coliseum Track Saturday
Josh Jacobs4 days ago

Won't Settle In Extension Talks
Mecole Hardman5 days ago

Doubtful For Super Bowl
JuJu Smith-Schuster5 days ago

Kadarius Toney Questionable
Derek Carr5 days ago

Won't Extend Contract Trigger Date
Derek Carr6 days ago

Expected To Draw Plenty Of Interest
Aaron Rodgers6 days ago

: "I'm Not Going To San Fran"
Joe Mixon6 days ago

Charges Against Joe Mixon Will Be Dropped

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP