X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

PGA DFS Strategy: Multi-Entry GPP Approach for the RBC Heritage

Hey there, RotoBallers! Thanks for stopping by my new attempt at a PGA DFS strategy series that focuses on multi-entry GPP strategy for each specific golf tournament on the PGA Tour. If you haven't read any of my pieces yet, my name is Tommy Bell. I go by @BellRoto in the Twitter world, and I've been writing for RotoBaller since my college days back in 2013!

Our fantastic RotoBaller PGA team has pretty much every facet of golf DFS and betting covered, but this might one extra piece I can add to the mix to help put into words what I believe is the most profitable way to approach PGA DFS. That approach is simply max entering the multi-entry GPP tournaments. For context, I will be using DraftKings as my site of reference, and I will refer mainly to the $3 entry, 20-entry max tournament that they host each tournament. That being said, a lot of what I'll cover can be translated to use in lower or higher buy-in tournaments. It can also (with some tweaks) be used in a 50-entry or 150-entry max approach.

I understand everyone uses different lineup-building tools, and that's great! I'll be using our awesome lineup builder/optimizer tool here as reference. Each week I'll provide some reflection on last week's tournament, some generic thoughts on the upcoming approach to building multiple lineups, and lastly a quick peak at which players will make up my core for building GPP lineups this week. Let's get to it!

 

Reflection: Last week's Charles Schwab Challenge

I just about tripled my entry fee last week, which is a great start to the renewed PGA Tour season. That being said, it could've been a lot more profitable if Xander Schauffele had pulled out a win, Gary Woodland would've stayed in the top 5, and Jordan Spieth would've stopped hitting wayward drives. Even still, my process felt really good, and I had a true sweat for a good portion of the tournament, so I'm pleased overall!

I made a great calls in completely fading Webb Simpson, Jon Rahm, and Rory McIlroy. I wish I would've stuck to my guns and faded Harris English, but I added in about 20% of him during my second walk-through of exposures... Oof. Ryan Palmer and Erik Van Rooyan were also misses that hurt a lot of potential 6-of-6 lineups. I liked where my head was at with EVR, but Palmer seems to have been a stretch at second glance.

I loved how much Jordan Spieth I had, but I think I lucked out there. His ridiculous putting is really what kept him in the optimal build, and there are still plenty of problems with his off-the-tee game. I'll be keeping close eye on him, but I'm in no rush to play him again. I'm thrilled with how much Schauffele, Woodland, Justin Rose, and Bryson DeChambeau I ended up with. I tied in some Brian Harman, Abraham Ancer, and Joaquin Niemann as value plays that led to some really promising lineups.

I don't want to change too much in my process, because everything went pretty well all things considered. I will say that I want to keep my core even tighter moving forward, and refrain from adding guys like English if my lineup builder only spits out 15-18 lineups instead of 20. There's a reason why I left him off to start, and there are other ways to get to my 20 lineups rather than subjecting my good lineups to bad picks just for the sake of making the lineup builder happy. I'm happy to answer questions about that on Twitter if that's something you've dealt with in the past.

*I failed to take a screenshot of my exposures last week, but I'll be doing that moving forward for your reference when looking back at previous lineup building processes...*

 

Approach: The RBC Heritage

Like I mentioned above, I felt my process was pretty sound last week, and a lot of what we focused on at Colonial Country Club will carry over to Harbour Town Golf Links. As I always do, I'll remove all golfers from my player pool, and go through one-by-one adding the guys that I feel will do two things:

1) Make the cut. This is huge. I know that GPPs are supposed to be high-risk, high-reward, but guys can only get hot over the weekend and make a move from the cut line to the middle of the pack if they actually, ya know, make the cut. That's not to say I'll never roster cheap dart throws, but I'll definitely make sure there's some kind of positive history or trend or something that gives me confidence in their ability to avoid crooked numbers and an early exit to the tournament.

2) Upside to make a run at the top of the leaderboard. If you want to win the top prize in a GPP tournament, having guys who make the weekend on the cut line and then play par golf on Saturday and Sunday is not going to get it done. Even if you have the top three golfers in the tournament, you're going to need some scoring help from your staple guys to get you there. Look at Joaquin Niemann as an example from this past week. It wasn't pretty, but he got where I needed him to be in order to truly contend in my tournament lineup. He made the cut at -3. Saturday was really bad, and he ended up teeing off on Sunday at -1, but he figured out how to get to -6 and threw an hole-out eagle in there. Had he been my worst player of the six and Woodland/Spieth hadn't choked away their Top 7 positioning, I would've had a true shot at a take down. Chesson Hadley is a great example of this from the Schwab as well.

I have a pretty firm grasp of who my expensive golfers will be this week. I'm going to make a lot of risky fades at the top once again, because I'm very confident in the handful of $9k-and-up golfers that I'm putting stock in. Because of that, I'm able to cycle in more value guys to hopefully hit the right combination somewhere in my 20 lineups. Obviously, if you enter more lineups in a higher max-entry tournament, it means more combinations. However, it also means more entry fees, and it sometimes can be easier to get away from your core guys, leading to bad lineups. I think 20 lineups is a great amount for creating combinations but also sticking to your guns.

Once I have my player pool set (sitting at 21 players right now, which is higher than usual simply because I'm "cycling" more guys in the value range with high exposures in my studs) I double-check projection amounts and assign Min/Max percentages to each guy in my pool. I'll run the optimizer and see how close those exposures come to my anticipated percentages, and adjust accordingly. Lastly, I export to DraftKings via CSV, and I go through each lineup to see if any combinations stand out as uncomfortable or way too chalky. If anyone would like to see this process in action, hit me up on Twitter, and I'd be happy to do an in-depth video somewhere down the line.

 

Core Plays: The RBC Heritage

Justin Thomas: $10,900 - About 75%

I usually don't go this high on any one golfer, especially one that's this expensive. It made filling in the rest of my exposures really difficult simply because so much of the salary gets eaten up right off the bat. But, I want to take a massive stand on Thomas this week. He burned so many birdie putts by the hole on the weekend at Colonial, and he could've easily been tied at 15 under joining the playoff had his putter been a little sharper. JT gained SEVEN (!!) strokes on approach last week, and he's proven very good at short, accurate courses. He's my only $10k and up golfer, and I'm putting all my eggs in his basket. I'll go down with the ship if he has another lackluster putting week.

 

Justin Rose: $9,200 - About 45%

I firmly believe that Rosey is back for good. The switch back to his Taylormade clubs plus the layoff to get back on track seems to have done him very good. He was pin-seeking all week at Colonial, and while he gained 5.4 strokes putting on the whole, there were some very make-able putts that went begging. Everything about Rose's game was encouraging, and he'll be back above $10k before we know it. I'm going to have some Justin-Justin lineups, but my plan is to have Rose in all of my non-JT lineups as well.

 

Viktor Hovland: $7,600 - About 45%

My plan was to be ahead of the curve with Hovland this week, but the more research I do, the more I see others touting him as well. You can see a larger breakdown in my Premium DraftKings Value Article, but basically his off-the-tee game and approach shots really rounded into form over the weekend. Hovland also committed to improving his around-the-green game, which will be necessary at Harbour Town. He's proven to have success at short courses so far in his young career, and I think this could be a nice little coming out party in a strong field at RBC Heritage. Hovland will headline my cheap golfer exposures along with some other safe floor, high ceiling value plays that I have up my sleeve.

Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks


More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

CFB

Diego Pavia Seeking Another Year of Eligibility
Tarik Skubal

on Track to Start Thursday
CFB

Kevorian Barnes Questionable Against SMU
Bo Bichette

has Short-Term Knee Injury, Could Return for Postseason
Tosan Evbuomwan

Joins Knicks
NBA

Kai Jones Links Up With EuroLeague Team
Bismack Biyombo

Returns to Spurs
Bones Hyland

Rejoins Timberwolves
Kobe Bufkin

Moves to Brooklyn
Trey Yesavage

Sets Franchise Strikeout Record On Monday
Yordan Alvarez

To Receive MRI For Sprained Left Ankle On Tuesday
Willson Contreras

Exits Early Monday With Right-Biceps Tightness
Yordan Alvarez

Exits With Ankle Sprain
Brock Bowers

Officially Active on Monday Night
Jauan Jennings

Day-to-Day With Ankle Injury
Logan O'Hoppe

Activated Off Seven-Day Injured List
CBJ

Denton Mateychuk Dealing With Groin Issue
Bo Horvat

Fine for Training Camp
Kirby Dach

on Track to Be Ready for Opening Night
Jose Altuve

Returns Against Rangers
J.J. McCarthy

Expected to Miss 2-4 Weeks With High-Ankle Sprain
J.J. McCarthy

Likely Out for Week 3 With High-Ankle Sprain
Jean Silva

Gets Finished For The First Time In His Career
Aaron Jones Sr.

Unlikely to Play in Week 3 Due to Hamstring Injury
Diego Lopes

Returns To The Win Column
Jayden Daniels

' Week 3 Status in Doubt
Rob Font

Outclassed In The Noche UFC 3 Co-Main Event
David Martinez

Wins His Second UFC Fight
Jared Gordon

Suffers Brutal TKO Loss At Noche UFC 3
Rafa Garcia

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Brian Thomas Jr.

Dealing with Wrist Injury
Dustin Stoltzfus

Drops A Decision At Noche UFC 3
Kelvin Gastelum

Gets Back In The Win Column
Diego Ferreira

Suffers Second-Round TKO
Alexander Hernandez

Extends His Win Streak With A Brutal TKO
Quang Le

Suffers First-Round Knockout
Santiago Luna

Shines In His UFC Debut
Christopher Bell

Earns his First Bristol Cup Series Victory
Alex Bowman

Falls Short of Advancing Through Cup Series Playoffs
Chase Briscoe

Collects his Third Top-10 Finish at Bristol
Ryan Blaney

Strong Top-Five Bristol Performance Advances him to the Playoffs
Corey Heim

Earns his First Career Cup Series Top-10 Finish at Bristol
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Leads Greece to Bronze Medal
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Drops 28 Points in EuroBasket Finals
CFB

Indiana's Lee Beebe Jr. Out for Season with Knee Injury
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder Named EuroBasket MVP
Bryce Eldridge

Giants to Promote Bryce Eldridge
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Progressing in Recovery
Jonathan Kuminga

Receives New Offer From Warriors
Kenneth Walker III

Bounces Back with Big Week 2 Performance
Bijan Robinson

Rushes for 143 Yards in Week 2
Justin Fields

Currently in Concussion Protocol
Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals Calling Around to Available Free-Agent Quarterbacks
Joe Burrow

to Undergo Surgery, Out at Least Three Months
Emil Heineman

Aiming to Take the "Next Step" This Season
Braeden Cootes

Good to Go for Camp
Ivan Fedotov

Blue Jackets Acquire Ivan Fedotov From Flyers
Aaron Jones Sr.

Injures Hamstring During Sunday Night Football
Darren Waller

Not Expected to Play in Week 3
Garrett Crochet

Punches Out 12 in Win
Cole Ragans

to Return on Wednesday
Jameson Williams

Records Long Touchdown in Week 2, Still Limited to Downfield Role?
George Kirby

Strikes Out 14 in Win
Jayden Daniels

Considered "Day-to-Day" with Knee Injury
Carlos Estévez

Carlos Estevez Exits with Back Tightness
Jonathan Taylor

Tops 200 Yards From Scrimmage in Week 2 Win
Joe Burrow

Could Miss Three Months if he Requires Toe Surgery
Davante Adams

Headlines Rams Receiving Corps Sunday
Wan'Dale Robinson

Explodes for 142 Yards, Touchdown in Overtime Thriller
Joe Flacco

Browns Not Considering Benching Joe Flacco After Week 2
Quentin Grimes

Still Not Close to a New Contract Agreement
Joel Embiid

"Looking Slender, Spry and in Positive Spirits"
Ty Gibbs

Has Arguably his Best Career Drive, but Only Finishes 10th
Chase Elliott

Despite Crashing Out at Bristol, Chase Elliott Advances to Round of 12
Austin Dillon

Misses Round of 12 After Extremely Mediocre Bristol Run
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen Fails to Advance to Round of 12
Josh Berry

Finishes Last in All Three Round of 16 Races to Fail to Advance
Luis Arraez

Takes a Seat on Sunday With Head Injury
Adolis García

Adolis Garcia Activated, Starting on Sunday
CFB

Ryan Williams Explodes In Return To Field
CFB

Drew Allar Plays Mediocre Game In Blowout Win
CFB

LaNorris Sellers Exits Game In Blowout Loss
CFB

DJ Lagway Tosses Five Interceptions In Loss
CFB

Garrett Nussmeier Plays Game Manager in Saturday's Win
CFB

CJ Carr Remains Poised In Narrow Loss
CFB

John Mateer Leads Oklahoma In Rout
CFB

Arch Manning Struggles Against UTEP
CFB

Jeremiah Smith Impresses In Win
Bryan Woo

Records Career-High 13 Strikeouts
Max Muncy

Exits Early on Saturday
CFB

Sam Leavitt Shines As Arizona State Rebounds From Week 2 Loss
Salvador Perez

Reaches 300 Home Runs, 1,000 RBI
Jose Altuve

Exits Early With Foot Discomfort
Trey Yesavage

Heading to Big Leagues
Will Smith

Placed on 10-Day Injured List
Ivan Demidov

Turning Heads in Rookie Camp
NHL

Calvin de Haan Signs With Swedish Team
Samuel Girard

Skates With Non-Contact Jersey
Mackenzie Blackwood

Dealing With Injury Ahead of Training Camp
Spencer Knight

Signs Three-Year Extension With Blackhawks
Chris Buescher

May have Another Solid Run at Bristol
Corey Perry

Out 6-8 Weeks Following Surgery
Kyle Busch

Should DFS Managers Roster Kyle Busch at Bristol?
Ricky Stenhouse Jr

Is Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Too Risky to Consider Rostering at Bristol?
Michael McDowell

Could be A Solid Value Option For Bristol DFS Lineups
Chase Elliott

Probably Won't Factor in for Bristol Win
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Not as Strong at Bristol as Other Short Tracks
Alex Bowman

Needs to Win to Make Round of 12
Ross Chastain

has Never Led at Bristol but Has Been Pretty Consistent
Austin Dillon

Richmond Speed Unlikely to Carry Over to Bristol
Josh Berry

Might Run Well at Bristol, but Almost Certainly Won't Win to Advance
Justin Haley

Bristol One of Justin Haley's Few Recent Bright Spots
CFB

Austin Simmons Listed As Game-Time Decision Against Arkansas
CFB

Nico Iamaleava Struggles In Fourth Straight Loss
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Dealing With a "Tweak"
BUF

Alexandar Georgiev Joins Sabres on One-Year Deal
Corey Perry

Injured During Pre-Camp Skate
CFB

Antonio Williams Out Against Georgia Tech
CFB

CJ Bailey Flashes Again in Win Over Wake Forest
CFB

Jaxson Moi a Game-Time Decision for Tennessee on Saturday
Jean Silva

A Favorite At Noche UFC 3
Diego Lopes

Set For Noche UFC 3 Main Event
Rob Font

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
David Martinez

Set For Noche UFC 3 Co-Main Event
Rafa Garcia

An Underdog At Noche UFC 3
Jared Gordon

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Dustin Stoltzfus

Looks To Return To The Win Column
Kelvin Gastelum

In Dire Need Of Victory
Diego Ferreira

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Malcolm Brogdon

Heading to Knicks on One-Year Deal
CFB

David Sanders Jr. Won't Play Against Georgia
Landry Shamet

Staying with the Knicks
CFB

Dylan Edwards Slated to Return on Friday
Adam Lowry

Aims for Early-Season Return
CFB

Ryan Williams Expected to Play Against Wisconsin
P.J. Washington

Officially Signs Contract Extension
Lauri Markkanen

Big at Both Ends as Finland Books Place in EuroBasket Semis
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Notches 39 Points in Losing Effort
NBA

Cam Reddish Expected to Move to Europe
NBA

Trey Lyles Joins Real Madrid
Charles Bassey

Signs Exhibit 10 Deal With Hawks
Sacramento Kings

Terence Davis Waived by Kings
Matthew Knies

Ready for Bigger Role With Maple Leafs
Jack Eichel

Unbothered by Lack of Extension
Sidney Crosby

Not Thinking About Leaving Pittsburgh
SJ

Michael Misa Signs Entry-Level Contract With Sharks
Rutger McGroarty

Nursing an Injury