X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

NBA Betting Picks: Team Win Totals For Second Half

Paolo Banchero - NBA DFS Lineup Picks, Daily Fantasy Basketball

In just a few days, the NBA regular season will resume and for the next six weeks, we should see some pretty compelling playoff races as the league's best teams vie for the top seeds in each conference. All but six teams still have a realistic shot at qualifying for the playoffs with the new play-in game format.

Before the season started, I put out some of my favorite win total bets and I am happy to report that most of those bets are tracking well. I took the under on Detroit (27.5) and they have just eight wins, the over on my Cavs (49.5) who would need to win just 14 of 29 remaining games to hit, and the over on the Pacers (37.5) who have been a nice surprise this season and would need to win just eight games to eclipse that total. However, my bets on the Bulls (under 37.5) and Bucks (over 52.5) both look a little dicey based on their current records.

In this article, I'm going to use each team's remaining strength of schedule to make some additional in-season wagers on final win totals. All odds listed are courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Featured Promo: Get any full-season Props Premium Pass for 10% off using code BALLER. Win big with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

NBA Betting Picks: Data and Matchups

The only three teams without current win totals posted on DraftKings are the Grizzlies, Sixers, and Raptors, but I included them on my chart here anyway. We can see that teams have anywhere from 26 to 29 games remaining on their schedules and I calculated just how many of those games they would need to win to exceed their DraftKings win totals.

The strength of schedule data comes courtesy of @FiddlesPicks who (shout out to Michael) posted this chart last week and got me thinking about win totals and the idea for this article.

Here's a copy of the chart that is posted in the tweet for easy reference. This chart is not alphabetical, rather it's sorted from the toughest remaining schedule (Phoenix) to the easiest (Orlando) instead.

The great thing about this chart is that we can see the specific opponents and how many games each team still has to face some of their stronger and weaker opponents as well. Now it's time to make some predictions and wagers based on the data we have available here.

 

Sports Betting Promo Offers

Featured Promo: Get any VIP Betting Premium Pass for 10% off using code BALLER. Win more with exclusive betting picks from proven winners across 9 sports! Find optimal bets with our Betting Picks Tool and Bet Weighting Tool and follow along in our VIP chat rooms! Go Premium, Win More!

 

NBA Betting Picks: Rest of Season Win Totals

Orlando Magic OVER 45.5 wins (-115 DK)

Let's start with the softest remaining schedule, shall we? The Magic are a team on the rise this season with 30 wins at the break. The emergence of Paolo Banchero as a legit superstar and Franz Wagner as a legitimate 25-point scorer have elevated Orlando to dark horse contenders in the Eastern Conference where they are tied with the Miami Heat for first place in the Southeast Division.

The Magic are winners of seven of their last 10 coming into the break and ranked ninth in net rating during that stretch. They're playing some excellent defense and are finally healthy after battling some injuries to Markelle Fultz, Wendell Carter Jr., and Wagner earlier this year.

They need to finish 16-11 to hit 46 wins which feels very doable. They'll face Charlotte three times, Detroit twice, Washington once, and Memphis once. I'm counting all of those games as wins (eight) and they'd need just eight more wins in their remaining 19 games. Orlando won't be resting players as they're going to be battling with Miami, Indiana, and Philadelphia to try to secure the No. 6 seed in the East and avoid the play-in series.

Miami Heat OVER 45.5 wins (-130 DK)

Speaking of Miami, the Heat have the exact same win total as Orlando and the fourth-easiest remaining schedule. While Miami has largely underachieved this year, we saw last season what they can do when the games start mattering. They reeled off some impressive wins coming into the break, including a blowout of Milwaukee (without Jimmy Butler) and wins over Orlando and Philadelphia.

When Butler, Tyler Herro, and Bam Adebayo are all in the lineup, this team is a problem. Terry Rozier was a solid deadline addition, while Caleb Martin and Jaime Jaquez are quietly having solid seasons on the wing. 16-11 or better down the stretch seems like a foregone conclusion, which perhaps might be why we are getting worse odds here on Miami than Orlando.

Golden State Warriors OVER 44.5 wins (-105 DK)

The Warriors are right there with both Miami and Orlando in terms of being a "middle of the pack" team this year, but actually have a better season-to-date net rating than both teams. They should probably have more than 27 wins right now with the talent on their roster, but it was a rocky first half in the Bay Area, to say the least. Draymond Green got himself suspended for a large chunk of games, Chris Paul has been out for over a month, and Klay Thompson forgot how to shoot for the first few months. The Warriors have had to play more young guys than we've seen them do in recent years and it's been the strong play of those youngsters such as Brandin Podziemski and Jonathan Kuminga in addition to Steph Curry putting the team on his back at times that has the GSW in a position to make a second-half run.

18 wins certainly seem like a lot, but the Warriors have 29 games remaining so we are talking about an 18-11 finish for a team that won eight of their last 10 coming into the break. Chris Paul is set to return soon, Andrew Wiggins has shown some flashes that he might be coming back to life, and Klay Thompson might be better off the bench as he moved there in the Warriors' final game before the break, promptly going off for 35 points. With the sixth-easiest remaining SOS, I think the Warriors get there.

Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 55.5 wins (+100 DK)

Let's take a shot here on an under just in case I ever get accused of taking too many overs. I am also hunting for some bets at plus odds in this market and we have one here at even money on the Clippers under.

To lose this bet, L.A. would have to win 20 of their remaining 29 games. That's pretty much keeping up the exact same winning pace that they had for the first 53 games. I am certainly not wishing any ill will on Clipper Nation here, but can we expect the big four of James Harden-Kawhi Leonard-George-Westbrook to stay healthy down the stretch? Kawhi and PG13 have played more games than anyone expected up to this point, but at some point do we see L.A. start to rest these players more often, especially with a top-4 seed well within their reach in the Western Conference?

The remaining schedule is in our favor here, too, with the Clippers having the seventh-hardest SOS. It's been a great year for the Clips, but I think it's quite possible they finish with something like 52 or 53 wins rather than 56.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy basketball mobile app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, lineup notifications & DFS articles. All free!

NBA DFS News and Injury Alerts




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Daniel Bard1 hour ago

Won't Return In 2024
Robbie Ray1 hour ago

Throws Bullpen Session Friday
Shane Baz1 hour ago

Taj Bradley, Shane Baz Throw Live Batting Practice
Josh Lowe1 hour ago

Nearing Rehab Assignment
José Leclerc1 hour ago

Jose Leclerc Temporarily Removed As Closer
Yariel Rodriguez2 hours ago

Starting Saturday
Eduardo Rodriguez2 hours ago

Rehab Stalled
Nick Pivetta2 hours ago

Will Resume Throwing Saturday
Carlos Correa2 hours ago

Likely Heading To Injured List
Walker Buehler2 hours ago

Pulled From Rehab Start
Joel Embiid3 hours ago

Tweaks Knee In Win Over Orlando
Joe Burrow3 hours ago

Confident He'll Stay Healthy
Brandon Aiyuk3 hours ago

Unfollows Niners On Social Media
Luka Doncic4 hours ago

Unavailable Sunday Versus Thunder
Kyrie Irving4 hours ago

Ruled Out Sunday For Mavs Regular Season Finale
Carlos Correa4 hours ago

Exits Early With Oblique Strain
TJ Friedl4 hours ago

Needs More Time Before Ramping Up
Dylan Carlson5 hours ago

Tommy Edman To Begin Hitting Activities Monday
Jonathan Kuminga5 hours ago

Ruled Out Versus New Orleans
Gary Payton5 hours ago

II Unavailable For Friday Versus New Orleans
Erik Swanson5 hours ago

Jordan Romano, Erik Swanson To Pitch In Minor League Game Saturday
Klay Thompson5 hours ago

Available Versus The Pels
Paul Sewald5 hours ago

Scheduled For Bullpen Session On Saturday
Alek Manoah5 hours ago

To Pitch In Minor League Game On Saturday
Colson Montgomery5 hours ago

Holding His Own In Triple-A Debut
Edward Cabrera5 hours ago

Scheduled For Minor League Start On Wednesday
Matt Mervis5 hours ago

Continues To Mash
Kyle Manzardo6 hours ago

Struggling During Opening Week
Chase DeLauter6 hours ago

Off To A Slow Start
Cade Cunningham6 hours ago

Not Playing Against Dallas
Jalen Duren6 hours ago

Will Not Play Friday
Anthony Davis7 hours ago

Active Versus Memphis
LeBron James7 hours ago

Available Versus Memphis
Michael Porter7 hours ago

Jr. Will Play Against The Spurs
Dejounte Murray7 hours ago

Back In Action On Friday
Aaron Gordon7 hours ago

Available Versus The Spurs
Jamal Murray7 hours ago

Cleared For Friday Night
Bruce Brown7 hours ago

Cleared To Return On Friday
Nikola Jokic7 hours ago

Will Meet The Spurs
Gary Trent7 hours ago

Jr. Ready To Return On Friday
Isaiah Jackson7 hours ago

Unavailable On Friday
Bobby Portis7 hours ago

Available To Play Versus Oklahoma City
Luka Doncic8 hours ago

Expected To Miss Friday's Game
Joel Embiid8 hours ago

Will Play On Friday
Rashee Rice13 hours ago

Surrenders To Police
Alex Pereira13 hours ago

Set For First Light Heavyweight Title Defense
Jamahal Hill13 hours ago

Faces Alex Pereira In The Main Event Of UFC 300
Yan Xiaonan13 hours ago

Set For A Title Shot At UFC 300
Charles Oliveira14 hours ago

Returns To Action On UFC 300 Main Card
Arman Tsarukyan14 hours ago

Has A Tough Test In Front Of Him
Laurent Brossoit16 hours ago

Shuts Out Stars With 24 Saves
Lucas Raymond16 hours ago

Erupts For Four Points
Sidney Crosby17 hours ago

Enters Top 10 On NHL's All-Time Scoring List
Sergei Bobrovsky17 hours ago

Logs Sixth Shutout Of The Season
Timo Meier17 hours ago

Notches Three Points In Win Over Toronto
Noah Dobson17 hours ago

Sustains An Upper-Body Injury
Cody Brundage1 day ago

A Massive Underdog At UFC 300
Bo Nickal1 day ago

Puts Undefeated Record On The Line
Max Holloway1 day ago

Moves Back Up To Lightweight At UFC 300
Justin Gaethje1 day ago

Puts BMF Belt On The Line At UFC 300
Zhang Weili1 day ago

Defends Strawweight Title At UFC 300
Tom Brady1 day ago

Won't Rule Out Return To NFL
Treylon Burks1 day ago

Has To Earn It In 2024
Tua Tagovailoa1 day ago

Doesn't Plan On Holding Out
C.J. Uzomah1 day ago

Expected To Sign With Eagles
Washington Commanders2 days ago

Commanders Hosting Top QB Prospects Next Week
Nick Chubb2 days ago

Browns, Nick Chubb Agree To Reworked Contract
Connor Hellebuyck2 days ago

Connor HelleBuyck Getting A Breather Thursday
Timothy Liljegren2 days ago

Could Return Before Postseason
Igor Shesterkin2 days ago

Getting A Rest Day Thursday
Matt Tomkins2 days ago

Getting Rare Start Thursday
Jake McCabe2 days ago

To Sit Out On Thursday
Joel Edmundson2 days ago

To Return On Thursday
Leon Draisaitl2 days ago

Enjoys Multi-Point Outing Versus Vegas
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 days ago

Picks Up Two Assists Wednesday
Jordan Kyrou2 days ago

Scores Twice In Wednesday's Win
Elias Pettersson2 days ago

Extends Point Streak With Power-Play Goal
Quinn Hughes2 days ago

Sends Out Three Assists Wednesday
Dylan Guenther2 days ago

Celebrates Birthday With Four Points
Tony Pollard2 days ago

Titans Calling Tyjae Spears, Tony Pollard 1A And 1B
Rashee Rice2 days ago

Arrest Warrant Issued For Rashee Rice
Nick Foligno2 days ago

Out On Wednesday
Petr Mrazek2 days ago

Between The Pipes Wednesday
Connor Ingram2 days ago

Expected To Start Wednesday
Jayden Daniels2 days ago

Meeting With Giants On Monday
Jacksonville Jaguars3 days ago

Jaguars, Josh Allen Agree On Five-Year Extension
Jason Day3 days ago

Heads To Augusta After Rough March Stretch
Sepp Straka3 days ago

Save Yourself The Heartache And Don't Play Sepp Straka At The Masters
Bryson DeChambeau3 days ago

: The Battle Of Form Versus Recent History
Dustin Johnson3 days ago

Is A True Wild Card At Augusta
Patrick Cantlay3 days ago

Lost With His Irons Of Late
Rory McIlroy3 days ago

In Good Form Heading To Augusta
Keegan Bradley3 days ago

Coming To Augusta National With Ice-Cold Putter
Nicolai Hojgaard3 days ago

Looking For Putter At Augusta National
Tiger Woods3 days ago

Set To Make Another Start At The Masters
Nick Taylor3 days ago

A Boring Play At The Masters
Akshay Bhatia3 days ago

Earns Last Remaining Invite To The Masters
Tom Kim3 days ago

Looking For Turnaround At Year's First Major
Sahith Theegala3 days ago

Making Second Start At Augusta National
Wyndham Clark4 days ago

Chasing History At Augusta
Will Zalatoris4 days ago

In Questionable Form Ahead Of Masters
Tony Finau4 days ago

Seeking First Major Victory At Augusta
Shane Lowry4 days ago

In Top Form Heading To Augusta
PGA4 days ago

Tyrell Hatton An Overlooked LIV Option At Augusta
Min Woo Lee4 days ago

A Risky Option For The Masters
Sergio Garcia4 days ago

Can Always Lurk At The Masters
PGA4 days ago

J.T. Poston Needs To Show Early 2024 Form Now
Chase Briscoe4 days ago

Has Great Run At Martinsville
Alex Bowman4 days ago

Still Solid Despite Teammates' Podium Sweep
Anthony Richardson4 days ago

Making Good Progress
CeeDee Lamb5 days ago

Holdout Could Be Coming For CeeDee Lamb
Chris Curtis5 days ago

Defeated Via Split Decision
Brendan Allen5 days ago

Wins Split Decision In A Back-And-Forth Fight
Morgan Charrière5 days ago

Morgan Charriere Drops Decision Matchup
MMA5 days ago

Jose Mariscal Edges Decision Win At UFC Vegas 90
Lukasz Brzeski5 days ago

Snaps Losing Streak At UFC Vegas 90
Valter Walker5 days ago

Defeated In UFC Debut
Joey Logano5 days ago

Had Best Pit Strategy But Lacked Winning Speed at Martinsville
Kyle Larson5 days ago

Fastest at Martinsville But Not When It Mattered
NASCAR5 days ago

Bubba Wallace Earns His First Top-Five Finish At Martinsville Speedway
Chase Elliott5 days ago

Finishes Third At Martinsville
Ryan Blaney5 days ago

Makes Best Of Evening At Martinsville
Ryan Preece5 days ago

Finds Way Into Top Ten At Martinsville
George Pickens5 days ago

Skips Session With New QB
Tyler Reddick5 days ago

Quietly Obtains Seventh At Martinsville
William Byron5 days ago

Scores His Second Martinsville Win
Atlanta Falcons5 days ago

Falcons Would Consider Re-Signing Calais Campbell
Trevor Peek5 days ago

Falls To .500 In The UFC
Charlie Campbell5 days ago

Remains Undefeated In The UFC
Christos Giagos5 days ago

Loses In The First Round
Ignacio Bahamondes5 days ago

Gets First-Round Stoppage
Alexander Hernandez5 days ago

Loses A Decision At UFC Vegas 90
Martin Truex Jr6 days ago

Is Martin Truex Jr. One Of The Top Favorites At Martinsville?
Daniel Suarez6 days ago

Should Daniel Suarez Be Rostered For Martinsville?
Kyle Larson6 days ago

Wins The Pole For Martinsville
New England Patriots6 days ago

Patriots, Kyle Dugger Agree To Four-Year Extension
Corey Lajoie6 days ago

Corey LaJoie Is A Likable DFS Value Play For Martinsville
Denny Hamlin6 days ago

Is One of The Top Favorites To Win At Martinsville
Chase Elliott6 days ago

Will Start Third at Martinsville
Ross Chastain6 days ago

Roster Ross Chastain With Caution At Martinsville
Chase Briscoe6 days ago

Must Not Be Underestimated At Martinsville
Christopher Bell6 days ago

Is A Top-10 Recommendation For Martinsville
NASCAR6 days ago

Bubba Wallace Will Start On The Front Row In Sunday's Race At Martinsville
Ryan Preece6 days ago

Should You Play Ryan Preece In DFS This Weekend?

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
UFL DFS PICKS, FANTASY FOOTBALL, DRAFTKINGS, FANDUEL

UFL DFS Lineup Picks: DraftKings Daily Fantasy Fantasy Advice for Week 3

Welcome to Week 3 of the inaugural UFL season, RotoBallers! The standings are starting to shake out as we enter Week 3. Birmingham and San Antonio are undefeated, Houston and Arlington are winless, and everyone else is 1-1. We now have two weeks of data to analyze, which should help us make more informed decisions... Read More


Sneaky Winner of the Stefon Diggs Trade: 2024 Fantasy Football Outlook

Football never sleeps at RotoBaller! We're already digging into what the fantasy football landscape will look like in 2024. RotoBaller's David Rispoli breaks down the sneaky winner of the blockbuster trade that sent Stefon Diggs from Buffalo to Houston. Win MORE in 2024 with RotoBaller! Be sure to tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (channel Sirius... Read More


Sam LaPorta vs. Travis Kelce: Who Should Be The TE1 In 2024 Fantasy Football?

Football never sleeps at RotoBaller! We're already digging into what the fantasy football landscape will look like in 2024. RotoBaller's David Rispoli breaks down the Tight End positional outlook for the year ahead. Who should be the TE1 in 2024? Rising star Sam LaPorta or future Hall-of-Famer Travis Kelce? Win MORE in 2024 with RotoBaller!... Read More


Drake Maye - Fantasy Football Rankings, College FB, QB, NFL Draft Sleepers

Florio's NFL/Fantasy Football Scouting Report: Maye, McCarthy, Penix, Nix, and more

Quarterback is the hardest position to scout. No one can get inside a QB's head and I am not going to pretend like I know who has the intangibles and who doesn’t. I do not know if any of them did not have their friends attend their birthday party. But what I can judge is... Read More


UFL RANKINGS, FANTASY FOOTBALL,

UFL Fantasy Football Rankings for Week 3: QB, RB, WR, TE Rankings and Analysis (2024)

Week 2 of the UFL season is in the books and only two undefeated teams remain. The Birmingham Stallions and the San Antonio Brahmas will both attempt to remain unblemished with home matchups on Saturday and Sunday, respectively. On the flip side, last year's XFL champion Renegades sit at 0-2. They will take on the... Read More


Xavier Worthy - Fantasy Football, Rankings, NFL Draft Sleepers, Injury News, Wide Receiver

2024 NFL Draft Prospect Comparison: Xavier Worthy vs. Brian Thomas Jr.

The 2024 NFL Draft is fast approaching. This draft is known already for the depth with the wide receiver prospects, as big names like Marvin Harrison Jr., Malik Nabers, and Rome Odunze are at the top of the class. Those aren't the only big names, though. This is one of the deepest wide receiver classes... Read More


Avoid These Quarterbacks in 2024: Fantasy Football Outlook

Football never sleeps at RotoBaller! The staff is already looking ahead to the 2024 season to help our readers get the jump on their competition. RotoBaller analyst LaQuan Jones discusses some Quarterbacks that you should AVOID in 2024 fantasy football drafts. Win MORE in 2024 with RotoBaller! Be sure to tune into RotoBaller Radio on... Read More


UFL DFS PICKS, FANTASY FOOTBALL, DRAFTKINGS, FANDUEL

UFL DFS Value Plays: Week 3 Bargain Bin for DraftKings Including Reid Sinnett, Marcell Ateman, Cody Latimer, More

Welcome to the Week 3 edition of RotoBaller's UFL DFS Bargain Bin, where the goal is to touch on some potentially mispriced players in DraftKings' Week 3 UFL contests. Each week during the UFL 2024 season and postseason, I’ll give you my thoughts on where there may be some value spots to exploit for DraftKings'... Read More


Marvin Harrison Jr. - Fantasy Football Rankings, College FB, WR, NFL Draft Sleepers

Coach Knows Ball: Marvin Harrison Jr. 2024 NFL Draft Film Breakdown of Ohio State WR

Welcome to Coach Knows Ball, an NFL Draft series analyzing the top prospects in the 2024 class. I'm a college football coach with nine years of NCAA experience and have been scouting NFL Draft prospects for over 15 years. This series will give a deep dive into the film of some of the top players... Read More


Rome Odunze - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks

Coach Knows Ball: Rome Odunze NFL Draft Film Breakdown of Washington WR

Welcome to Coach Knows Ball, an NFL Draft series analyzing the top prospects in the 2024 class. I'm a college football coach with nine years of NCAA experience and have been scouting NFL Draft prospects for over 15 years. This series will give a deep dive into the film of some of the top players... Read More


Malik Nabers - Fantasy Football Rankings, College FB, WR, NFL Draft Sleepers

NFL Draft Predictions - 2024 WR Mock Draft

It's a weird time in the NFL offseason where most of the elite free agents have signed and there is very little football talk around the league. However, now is the perfect time to get familiar with prospects who will enter the 2024 NFL Draft, especially at the wide receiver position. Analysts have been saying... Read More


J.J. McCarthy - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Rookies, Draft Sleepers

J.J. McCarthy 2024 NFL Draft Stock Update - When Will The Michigan QB Be Selected?

Former Michigan quarterback J.J. McCarthy will enter the 2024 NFL Draft with some uncertainties. He wasn't relied upon a ton at Michigan, so his stats don't stick out. He threw for just 2,719 yards and 22 touchdowns in 2022 and 2,991 yards and 22 touchdowns last season. However, he did his job, limited turnovers, and... Read More


Trevor Lawrence - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Fantasy Football Dynasty Price Check - Trevor Lawrence (2024)

The Jacksonville Jaguars had a dream season in 2022. Following a poor start, they caught fire and managed to win the division when no one expected them to. They even managed to complete a historic comeback against the Chargers in the Wild Card round and even gave the eventual Super Bowl champion Chiefs a scare... Read More