X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2023 RSM Classic Championship

The boring part about this article is that when Erik Van Rooyen wins, there is no way we lose money on the article, but when we don't have a winner in the outright section, the article is still structured in such a way that we can lose the $20 we bet on outrights and till profit $32 off our $100 like we did last week. Our placement card along with out matchups cashing in big for us has been the reason for this success over the course of the season.

Hopefully we can end the year with a bang and record another winner and keep stacking profit heading into the off season.

For those of you who are new to the article, Breaking $100 is a comprehensive PGA betting guide on how to squeeze every cent out of your $100. We will be breaking $100 into a betting card of outrights, first-round leaders, placings, and a "farewell fiver," all in an attempt to turn a structured betting strategy into a profitable and entertaining Sunday sweat. $100 is easily divided or multiplied, so please only bet amounts that you can afford to lose. You can find me on Twitter an unhealthy amount of the time @TheModelManiac, if you have any questions, compliments, or insults for me.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 30% off using code WIN. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Prior Week Recap

By betting our $100 last week, we have profited $32.85 on last week's card. We made money in all sections of the article except for a risky 4-leg parlay in the farewell fiver section. We are stacking week's really nicely as the last two weeks have profited $200+ if you bet your $100 on the below bets.

Outrights ($20)

Eric Cole 35-1 (Betrivers)

The coal miner meme fits in nicely with his last name, but it also has me thinking that the perfect meme to describe Cole is the one of the miner who gives up digging a few inches away from the giant stash of diamonds. Cole has three top-3 finishes this fall swing and has been doing so with a putter that really hasn't been itself lately. In fact, Cole has not played in a shotlink event this fall swing that has seen him gain strokes putting, which is very frustrating considering he is 17th on tour in strokes gained putting (+0.480 per round).

Cole has been blue collar on the approach side of things, not losing more than -0.06 strokes in any of his last 25 events while ranking as the 6th best iron player in the field over the last 24 rounds. At a course that sees driving accuracy increase to 70% over the last four years, Cole should hit a few more fairways than he typically does, making his biggest weakness less of an inhibitor this week. Strap on the work boots, heat up the Coles and let's go get that bread, Eric!

JT Poston 35-1 (Bet365)

His recent form is simply incredible considering he is priced 35-1 before falling closer to 30 as the week went on. His worst finish since the 3M Open has been a T24, followed by T22, T7, T3, T2 in order of brilliance. We know that Poston is playing great golf right now after a T3 at the Shriners in his only fall-swing appearance and will be looking to improve on the T21 and T14 he has had in his last four starts at Sea Island. His approach play is the 2nd-best in the field and is making birdies at an elite level right now. To get Eric Cole and JT Poston at 35-1 was a great start to the card and hopefully the message in the bottle comes true this week.

Denny McCarthy 45-1 (Bet365)

Denny McCarthy got slapped with an even bigger outright number in the 40s, which is fine by our standards considering there are five top-20 finishes in his last 8 starts and two top-10 finishes at this venue in the last four appearances too. The dirt has been laid and with a revitalized approach game there is a foundation to no longer NEED the putter to go nuclear to win. If it does and the irons continue to keep spiking hot and cold. We have a weaker field, great recent form and course history that Denny should be able to use to get to pay dirt in the final event of the year.

Brendon Todd 55-1 (Bet365)

Another value-based bet as Todd has four top-20s in his last seven starts with a 6th, 7th and 2nd his best finishes. A few years ago the Todfather finished 4th before he decided to leave the "Sea Island Mafia" in pursuit of more personal endeavors. He typically gets the job done on easier courses and we know that when that putter gets rolling, there are not many who would say no when asked to kiss his putting ring. Another reasonable number at 55-1 on a golfer who has flirted with winning the last few times he has played golf.

Taylor Pendrith 60-1 (FanDuel)

Taylor Pendrith has a lot more in common with Taylor Swift than you would imagine. He is on my card at 60-1 instead of 75-1 because half of golf twitter is his fanboy this week and out of peer pressure I am also supporting Taylor. Upon further investigation there are three really impressive finishes in his last trio of starts, landing T3, T15 and T8 most recently at Butterfield Bermuda. Pendrithfties will know that he has played well here in his last two starts with T15 and T26 finishes. He also grades out really well on the comp course side of things but turns out two heavy lifters were his two top-10 finishes at the Butterfield Bermuda. We will ride with the twitter Squad on this one!

Adam Schenk 66-1 (Bet365)

The recent form has not quite been there since returning back to golf after the Tour Championship charge that set him up magnificently for the 2024 year. Hopefully with his year full of $$$ and a predictable schedule as a new dad will help his golf game out a little. We get our guy at 66-1 despite his slew of top-10 finishes in recent starts. As you can see in the tweet below, he was 40-1 at the Shriners two events ago. He bounces back hard as he has learnt to do as a perennial bridesmaid. Hopefully that ends this week and Schenk is the bell of the ball.

Sam Ryder 110-1 (Bet365)

Sam Ryder has been on fire with his irons this fall swing, but since we have been trying to cash in on his stellar iron play that has fallen off a little since the Sanderson Farms. However, what ever happened out in Mexico, resulted in a T10 which is nice to see for somebody who is at 110-1. Hopefully that is the start of some pristine golf for our guy who has come close a few times in the past. A sprinkle on him at this number is good for the soul and hopefully good for the pocket.

 

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA subscription? Like what you read today? You can show your support for Byron by using the discount code MANIAC when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, models, projections and Lineup Optimizer! You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry.

Placings ($45)

Last week: +$35

  • $8 Adam Scott T20 +100
  • $8 Justin Lower T30 +125
  • $8 Kramer Hickock T40 +115
  • $8 Peter Malnati T40 +120
  • $8 Russell Knox T40 +120
  • $8 Brian Gay T40 +165
  • $7 Brian Gay T20 +500

This week

Top 20 Placements

  • $6 Corey Conners +170
  • $7 Eric Cole+190
  • $6 JT Poston +190
  • $7 Russell Henley +130
  • $6 Denny McCarthy +220
  • $6 Sam Ryder +400

Top 40 Placements

  • $7 Brendon Todd +105

 

Matchups ($30)

Last week +$14:

  • $20 Adam Scott OVER Lucas Herbert -140. It feels like as past champion of this event, Herbert is getting a little too much respect from the bookies. Adam Scott finishes much higher up the leaderboard much more regularly than Herbert, so we are going to treat this week the same as any other.

This week:

  • McCarthy OVER Mitchell -134 Bet365 - We really like Denny's ability to repeatedly fall inside the top 20 and his solid course history here should give him the edge over Keith Mitchell, who has been struggling to get towards the top of the leaderboard lately.
  • Conners OVER Svensson -145 Caesars - Corey Conners is turning into a T20 machine, while Adam Svensson's weekend metrics tend to see him slide down the leaderboard a little more than he would like as the event draws to a close. We are also hoping to catch the books being a little too respectful towards a past champion who has not been playing amazing lately, while the model has Corey Conners ranked 1st overall.

 

The Farewell Fiver ($5)

Round 1 3-ball Parlay $5 +3534 FD

Last week's farewell fiver went 1-4, but considering it was a parlay, might as well miss em all if one goes down early. We are back with four more guys in R1 looking to return a +1707 ticket for our Thursday afternoon sweat. Nate Lashley, Alex Noren, Justin Suh and Eric Cole all to win their 3-ball matches in R1. Good luck this week, and as always, may the odds be ever in your favor!!!

 

Other Content By Byron

Back 9 Bets Podcast

 

  Win More With RotoBaller

Win more with expert tools and advice from proven winners! RotoBaller's PGA Premium Packages feature several savvy analysts and proven winners for DFS and betting.

Our very own Joe Nicely took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team:

Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS and Betting content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win more.

Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks


More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Kyren Williams

to See Reduced Workload?
Jayden Reed

Dealing with Jones Fracture in Left Foot
Lauri Markkanen

Torches Sweden
Neemias Queta

Dominates in EuroBasket Opener
Kawhi Leonard

Clippers Not Allowing Kawhi Leonard to Play Back-to-Backs
Olivier-Maxence Prosper

Mavericks Looking to Trade Olivier-Maxence Prosper
Tyrese Haliburton

Expects to Return in 15 Months
Malik Nabers

Expected to be Full-Go for Week 1
Freddie Freeman

Out Wednesday With Neck Stinger
Alejandro Kirk

Avoids Major Injury, Remains Out on Wednesday
Travis Hunter

Back at Practice, Will be Ready for Week 1
Luis Robert Jr.

Could Miss the Rest of the Season
De'Von Achane

Not Practicing on Wednesday
Trevor Megill

Brewers Place Trevor Megill on Injured List With Flexor Strain
Luis Robert Jr.

Placed on Injured List With Hamstring Strain
Rashee Rice

Accepting Six-Game Suspension to Begin the Year
Kyle Hamilton

Ravens, Kyle Hamilton Finalizing Four-Year Extension
Rashee Rice

NFL Aiming to Place Six-Game Suspension on Rashee Rice
De'Von Achane

Dolphins GM Says De'Von Achane Will be Ready for Week 1
Joe Mixon

Texans GM: "We'll See" if Joe Mixon Plays in 2025
Adam Thielen

Traded to the Vikings
Nick Lodolo

Expected to Return Wednesday Against the Dodgers
Terance Mann

Confident About Having a Big Year in Brooklyn
Zaccharie Risacher

Aims to Improve Ball-Handling Skills
NBA

Pistons And Timberwolves Join Race for Malik Beasley
John Tonje

Signs Two-Way Deal With Jazz
Max Strus

to Miss 3-4 Months After Surgery
Blake Snell

Activated From Paternity List Tuesday
Dallas Cowboys

Cowboys Still Expect Micah Parsons to Play in Week 1
Luis Robert Jr.

Exits Early With Hamstring Soreness
Chris Godwin

Passes Physical, Will be Activated From PUP List
Willson Contreras

Issued Six-Game Suspension
Randy Rodríguez

Randy Rodriguez Placed on Injured List
Brandon Aiyuk

49ers Officially Place Brandon Aiyuk on PUP List
Nathan Eovaldi

Likely Done for the Season
Tyreek Hill

Remains Out of Practice
Najee Harris

Moved to Active Roster
Yordan Alvarez

Activated and Starting on Tuesday
Oneil Cruz

Back From Injured List
New York Mets

Jonah Tong Promoted to Major Leagues
Spencer Rattler

Saints Name Spencer Rattler as Starting QB
MarShawn Lloyd

Packers Leaning Toward Placing MarShawn Lloyd on Injured Reserve
Tyjae Spears

to Begin the Season on Injured Reserve
Nikola Jović

Heat Have High Hopes for Nikola Jovic
Golden State Warriors

Cody Martin Drawing Interest From Warriors
Minnesota Timberwolves

Timberwolves Interested in Reunion With Bones Hyland
Kylor Kelley

Joins Lakers
Colin Castleton

Links Up With Magic
Brock Bowers

Pete Carroll Classifies Brock Bowers Among His Best Players Ever
De'Von Achane

Lingering Calf Injury Poses Concerns for De'Von Achane
Malik Monk

Kings "Not Actively Engaged" in Trade Discussions Involving Malik Monk
P.J. Washington

Mavs Likely to Offer P.J. Washington a Contract Extension
NHL

Jan Rutta Lands in Switzerland
Kirby Dach

Skates on Monday
COL

Tyson Barrie Retires From NHL
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Back in Toronto's Lineup
Zhang Mingyang

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Johnny Walker

Gets Back In The Win Column
Brian Ortega

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Aljamain Sterling

Proves Too Much For Brian Ortega
Chris Sale

Penciled in to Start on Saturday
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Suffers Unanimous-Decision Loss
Sergei Pavlovich

Wins Decision At UFC Shanghai
Kevin Borjas

Drops Decision At UFC Shanghai
Sumudaerji

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Kiefer Crosbie

Still Winless In The UFC
Taiyilake Nueraji

Gets His First UFC Win
Ryan Blaney

Earns his Second Daytona Cup Series Win
Tyler Reddick

Locks Into the 2025 Playoffs Despite Underwhelming Daytona Performance
Erik Jones

Misses the 2025 Playoffs Despite Top-Five Run at Daytona
Justin Haley

Best Performance of 2025 Falls Short of Victory at Daytona
Chase Burns

To Throw Bullpen on Tuesday
Kyle Larson

Enters Playoffs As Co-Points Leader
Alex Bowman

Advances to Playoffs Despite Crashing at Daytona
Cole Custer

Finally Shows Signs of Life at Daytona
Daniel Suarez

Lame-Duck Daniel Suarez Delivers Clutch Second-Place Finish
Logan Gilbert

Punches Out 13 in Victory
Randy Rodríguez

Randy Rodriguez Battling Arm Soreness
Marcus Semien

Out 4-6 Weeks, Could Miss Rest of Season
Ranger Suárez

Ranger Suarez Strikes Out 11 in Win
Chase Elliott

Despite Being Winless at Daytona, Chase Elliott is Probably the Best DFS Option
Ryan Blaney

Will Likely Lead a Lot at Daytona
Kyle Larson

a Poor DFS Option at Daytona
Christopher Bell

Consistent Enough to Consider for DFS
Chris Buescher

Now Must Win His Way Into Playoffs
Ryan Preece

Being One of the Slowest-Starting Fords Makes Ryan Preece a Strong DFS Option
Ross Chastain

Leads a Lot on Drafting Tracks
Daniel Suarez

Now in Desperation Mode With his Career on the Line
Chase Briscoe

Tendency to Finish Better Than He Runs May Reap Dividends at Daytona
Carson Hocevar

Hard to Forecast Since He's Rarely Given 100 Percent at Daytona
Michael McDowell

has a Solid Drafting Record
AJ Allmendinger

A.J. Allmendinger Arguably Starting Too Well for Place-Differential Points
Austin Dillon

Will Likely Be Too Conservative for DFS Consideration
Moses Moody

Warriors Not Interested in Trading Moses Moody
Kevin Durant

Rockets Expected to Agree on New Contract
Trey Murphy III

Warriors, Spurs Interested in Trey Murphy III
CAR

Luke Kunin Joins Panthers on One-Year Deal
Auston Matthews

Says His Health is "Good" Before Start of Season
Roope Hintz

"Feeling Good" Ahead of New Season
Matthew Tkachuk

Recovering From Surgery
Marco Rossi

Wild Re-Sign Marco Rossi to Three-Year Deal
NBA

Malik Beasley Now Drawing Interest from Teams
Zhang Mingyang

Set For UFC Shanghai Main Event
Johnny Walker

In Dire Need Of Victory
Brian Ortega

An Underdog At UFC Shanghai
Aljamain Sterling

Set For UFC Shanghai Co-Main Event
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Sergei Pavlovich

A Favorite At UFC Shanghai

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP