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NBA DFS sleepers and values plays for DraftKings and FanDuel on March 29, 2023. Juan Carlos Blanco gives you his top NBA DFS picks and lineup targets.
We have a typically expansive 10-game slate on tap Wednesday night, one that's once again replete with postseason stakes.
As of early Wednesday, there are four double-digit favorites, which isn't exactly ideal for DFS purposes. However, there are also six games with lines of six points or fewer, which gives us a solid 12-team pool of players whose minutes we can arguably have a solid amount of confidence in.
This article will provide you with my daily fantasy basketball lineup picks for the respective main slates on DraftKings and FanDuel on 3/29/23. Remember to monitor the NBA injury report as the slate can completely change before lineups lock, which is at 7:00 pm ET. Good luck, RotoBallers.
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DraftKings and FanDuel Guards - NBA DFS Lineup Picks
De'Aaron Fox - PG, SAC at POR ($8,200 DK, $9,100 FD)
Fox's salaries are particularly eye-catching, especially for a player averaging over 40 fantasy points per game on both sites. Fox also boasts an impressive track record against the Trail Blazers this season, averaging 47.5 DK/44 FD points while shooting 63.9 percent, including 53.8 percent from three-point range. Meanwhile, Portland comes into the night very short-handed now that Damian Lillard and most likely Anfernee Simons are done for the season.
This gives Fox an especially appealing backcourt matchup, considering the Blazers already check in allowing the fourth-highest offensive efficiency rating to point guards (28.6), along with the fifth-most DK (56.1) and FD (55.7) points per game to ones in the last seven games. And, Fox's averages of 32.0 points, 5.0 rebounds, 5.0 assists and 1.5 steals across just 30.5 minutes per contest against Portland this season underscore his ability to deliver a very well-balanced line in this matchup.
Spencer Dinwiddie - PG, BKN vs. HOU ($7,600 DK, $7,900 FD)
Dinwiddie's rostering rate could be a bit lower than it otherwise would be Wednesday, considering his 0-for-11 clunker from the field Sunday against the Magic, which led to tallies of 14.3 DK/14.1 FD points. However, the veteran guard naturally carries an exponentially higher ceiling. It can be corroborated by looking no further than the three-game stretch immediately prior when he scored 39.3 to 51.5 DK/37.9 to 48.8 FD points.
The Rockets make for very good targets as well, factoring in the NBA-high 31.4 offensive efficiency rating to they allow to point guards, as well as the league-high 57 DK/56.2 FD points per contest they've conceded to the position in the last 30 games. What's more, Houston has been even more vulnerable to ones recently by surrendering 60 DK points per contest in the last seven, and the fact the Rockets also give up a co-NBA-high 27.5 assists per road game makes Dinwiddie even more appealing.
Jaden Ivey - PG/SG, DET at OKC ($7,200 DK, $6,600 FD)
The Pistons are just playing out the string on a disappointing season, but Ivey is still delivering impressive fantasy returns almost on a nightly basis. The rookie is averaging over 30 fantasy points per contest on either site over the last eight games, exceeding 40 fantasy points on either site thrice during that span. He now faces a Thunder team that's been especially vulnerable to shooting guards all season, giving him an excellent opportunity to overdeliver on his very reasonable salaries.
OKC has allowed the fifth-highest offensive efficiency rating to shooting guards (25.1), along with the third-most DK (46.5) and fourth-most FD (45.8) points per game to the position in the last 15 contests. Then, the Thunder is also notably allowing elevated 39.6 percent three-point shooting overall in the last three games, a vulnerability Ivey is capable of capitalizing on considering his improved 36.6 percent success rate from behind the arc since the beginning of February (19 games).
ALSO CONSIDER: Josh Giddey - PG/SG, OKC vs. DET ($8,500 DK, $8,300 FD)
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DraftKings and FanDuel Forwards - NBA DFS Lineup Picks
Giannis Antetokounmpo - PF/C, MIL at IND ($11,600 DK, $11,600 FD)
Antetokounmpo is listed as probable for Wednesday's contest. Considering he carried the same designation Monday ahead of a game against the Pistons before ultimately being ruled out, his status will be worth monitoring. However, if he's confirmed available, he makes for a worthwhile investment in a game the Bucks have the motivation to win and against a Pacers squad he's averaged 57.4 DK/55.9 FD points against in two previous games.
No team has allowed a higher offensive efficiency rating to power forwards than the Pacers' 28.9 figure, and Indiana is also giving up the fourth-most DK (49.2) and second-most FD (49.5) points per game to the position in the last 30 games. Then, the Pacers are also tied for the third-most rebounds per game allowed (53.6) and could well be without Myles Turner (ankle/back) down low again Wednesday.
Kevin Durant - SF/PF, PHX vs. MIN ($9,700 DK, $9,400 FD)
Durant is listed as questionable but is expected to play on Wednesday against the Timberwolves. It can often pay off to take a chance on an elite player in his first game back from injury given the trepidation many can have about rolling with them due to concerns about potential minute limitations and/or rust. KD was already looking like exactly what the Suns needed during his brief three-game tenure prior to his injury.
The perennial All-Star put up 26.7 points (on 69.0 percent shooting, including 53.8 percent from distance), 7.3 rebounds, 3.7 assists, and 1.3 blocks across 32.7 minutes in those contests. The Timberwolves have been effective limiting power forward production overall this season, but Durant is a matchup-proof type player that's also highly capable of capitalizing on the elevated 37.1 percent three-point shooting the T-Wolves have given up this season.
Jalen Williams - PF, OKC vs. DET ($7,200 DK, $7,100 FD)
Williams could take the floor without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (ankle) again on Wednesday, a circumstance under which he recorded 39.8 DK/40 FD points across 37 minutes versus the Trail Blazers on Monday. That's naturally far from Williams' only recent success, considering he's been at 43.5 DK points or higher in six of the last 13 games and 40 FD points or more on seven occasions in that same span.
The Pistons are allowing the third-most DK (52.6) and second-most FD (52.0) points per game to power forwards in the last 15 contests. Detroit is also yielding the ninth-highest offensive efficiency to power forwards this season (26.7) and fifth-most rebounds per road game (54.0), all numbers that buttress Williams' already strong case.
ALSO CONSIDER: LeBron James - PF/SF, LAL at CHI ($10,200 DK, $10,300 FD)
DraftKings and FanDuel Centers - NBA DFS Lineup Picks
Domantas Sabonis - SAC at POR ($10,500 DK, $10,200 FD)
Sabonis does carry a hefty salary for a player that could potentially have a slight downturn in minutes against a non-contending Blazers squad. However, Sacramento needs a win to officially clinch a playoff berth, and Sabonis is in a premium matchup against a Portland squad he's averaged 45.1 DK/42.9 FD points against in two previous games this season.
The Blazers have already ruled out Jusuf Nurkic (knee) for Wednesday's game, and Portland comes in allowing the seventh-highest offensive efficiency rating to centers (34.3), along with 57.5 DK/56.3 FD points per contest to the position in the last 30 games. The Blazers are also surrendering an elevated 54.3 rebounds per game in the last three with Nurkic missing those contests, which bodes well for Sabonis' chances of hitting the double-double bonus yet again on DK.
Walker Kessler - UTA at SAN ($7,300 DK, $7,900 FD)
Kessler has been outstanding down the stretch, averaging 12.6 points, 11.1 rebounds, 1.4 assists, and 3.6 blocks across 29.8 minutes per contest while shooting 75.7 percent in that span. The big rim protector is set up for a premium matchup against a Spurs team that's been susceptible to bigs all season and that he has two tallies of over 35 fantasy points on either site in three meetings this season.
San Antonio is surrendering an NBA-high 37.2 offensive efficiency rating to centers, along with an NBA-high 63.3 DK/63.8 FD points per contest to the position in the last 30 games. The Spurs are also ranked in the bottom 10 in rebounds per game allowed (53.1) and have given up the sixth-most blocks per contest (5.1), including an NBA-high 7.7 per game in the last three. Meanwhile, Kessler just racked up seven rejections Monday against the Suns and multiple blocks in 19 of the last 23 games overall.
Ivica Zubac - LAC at MEM ($5,400 DK, $6,000 FD)
Zubac sports highly appealing salaries, especially on DK. The big man has three double-doubles in the last six games, averaging 13.5 points, 10.0 rebounds, 1.3 assists, and 1.2 blocks across the entirety of that span over 25.2 minutes per game. Zubac now draws a matchup against a Grizzlies team that's allowing an NBA-high 62 DK points per contest to centers in the last 15 games and 60.6 FD points per contest to the position in that same span.
Memphis is also allowing the fifth-most blocks per game (5.2), and it's worth noting the Grizzlies have been especially susceptible to allowing scoring in the paint recently. They're tied for the sixth-most points in the paint surrendered in the last three games (58.0), while Zubac is scoring just under 79.0 percent of his points in that part of the floor.
ALSO CONSIDER: Brook Lopez - MIL at IND ($7,000 DK, $8,000 FD)
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