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Brett's NOT My Guys: When Undesirable Players Become Draft Values

Bucky Irving - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Brett gives his five undervalued players at current ADP. These five players are often overlooked in drafts due to their undesirable team context but offer great value at cost.

One draft strategy I hear often is to make sure you draft “Your Guys.” In the small chance you don’t know what “Your Guys” or “My Guy” are, they are the players that you are especially high on and are willing to target more aggressively than consensus. In layman’s terms, players you may reach for come draft time. The reasoning for this strategy is that, for most, fun and entertainment are a big part of playing fantasy football, and your experience will be much more enjoyable if you draft the guys you love and are high on.

Additionally, no one wants to watch one of their guys succeed on someone else’s team, possibly even as their opponent in a crucial game. But what about the opposite side of this strategy? What about the “Not Your Guys”? The “Not Your Guys,” or as I like to refer to them as, the “Undesirables”, are the players that you don’t want on your squad at ADP and even if they fall to you beyond their ADP. I think this is one of the biggest blind spots in fantasy football…hear me out. From an obvious standpoint, you are potentially missing out on value if a player drops beyond their ADP to you and you fail to draft them.

But what about the compounding nature of failing to capture that value AND reaching for one of "Your Guys?" What I am pondering is that the standard deviation between those two choices within one pick, let alone multiple picks, could be the difference in the success or failure of your fantasy season. I’d like to point out five "Undesirables" that could return value, especially if drafted in place of one of "Your Guys." Note: All ADP referenced is taken from Sleeper PPR Drafts.

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Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints - WR

ADP:26 | WR:11

Injuries, blood clots, size, QB situation, and the addition of Jordyn Tyson leave Olave looking undesirable, especially at his current ADP of 26. I just don’t see Olave going before the likes of Rashee Rice and Kyren Williams. In fact, I predict him falling to somewhere around ADP 30-40 in many drafts. Is it possible that Tyson is going to take away targets and could emerge as the WR1 for New Orleans in the second half of the year?

Maybe, but Olave has been great whenever he has been healthy and especially last year with Tyler Shough. He was also great at Ohio State, playing next to Garrett Wilson and Jaxon Smith-Njigba, where he set the school record for touchdowns with 36! There is a strong outcome in which Tyson will take some attention away from Olave, allowing him to feast as New Orleans continues throwing the ball a ton.

It might be ugly, but do you have what it takes to draft Olave near his ADP?

The person who selects him instead of or after ADP may get tremendous value in him while avoiding the red flags for Rice, inconsistency, and the WR2 label from Tee Higgins and the limitations that Bryce Young puts on Tetairoa McMillan’s upside.

 

Zay Flowers, Baltimore Ravens - WR

ADP: 43 | WR:19

I know a few people that love Zay Flowers and a ton that will never click that Draft button. Again, in determining these Undesirable Players, I ask you: if Zay Flowers comes along ahead of Jeremiyah Love, Rice, Williams, McMillan, or Josh Jacobs, are you clicking that button? The main two factors that make Flowers so undesirable have been his inconsistency and his lack of TDs.

For inconsistency, he was a WR3 or below in nine of 17 games last year and scored a quarter of his yearly production in just two games. And as for TDs, he’s scored five, four, and five over the last three years. But this year is shaping up to be a monster year for last year’s WR7. Derrick Henry is one year older and Isaiah Likely, who scored 12 TDs and had 26 red-zone targets over the last three years, is gone.

Flowers is an Undesirable who has the upside, if the chips fall right, to finish as a top five wide receiver.

 

Bucky Irving, Tampa Bay Buccaneers - RB

ADP: 30 | RB:15

Does anyone want to draft Bucky Irving this year? He’s too small at 5-foot-10, 195 pounds and had shoulder surgery this offseason. Kenny Gainwell could take the passing TDs and Sean Tucker the running ones in the red zone. But, here’s the thing: Tampa Bay has lost its leading TD producer in Mike Evans. Last year, when Evans got hurt, Bucky was also hurt with foot and shoulder issues.

These issues plagued him after Week 13, when his production paled in comparison to his rookie season. Assuming Bucky returns to training camp with a clean bill of health, the #1 RB role is his for the taking from Gainwell on a team that lost their leading TD engine. Sure, Egbuka is expected to take a leap, and Chris Godwin is back, albeit older, but it’s very possible that Tampa Bay runs the ball more with an improved defense and a new running-oriented offensive coordinator in Zac Robinson.

If Irving can return anywhere near his rookie 5.5 yards per carry, the offense could very well run through him. There is risk at his ADP, but he could quickly re-establish himself as a bona fide RB1 early in the season.

 

Jaxson Dart, New York Giants - QB

ADP:81 | QB:7

I’ll say it again: you need to take risks to win in fantasy football. Where Dart is sitting in current Sleeper drafts at QB7 and overall 81 (around the range of Dak Prescott, Trevor Lawrence, and Justin Herbert), he could be a league winner. Add on the negativity around Malik Nabers' health, and he could fall beyond the likes of Brock Purdy, Bo Nix and even Patrick Mahomes if healthy in training camp.

Let’s go through the bull case, because frankly I wasn’t even aware of how incredible his production was in his 12 full games last season. He averaged around 22 points per game, which fell only behind Josh Allen. And guess what, Dart and Nabers started and completed 0 games together last season. Dart became the starter in Week 4, when Nabers tore his ACL. It’s known that the biggest leaps for QBs take place from Year 1 to Year 2.

Dart gets a new weapon in Likely and should get a healthy Nabers for the back-half of the season. Most importantly, the running ability gives him an incredibly high floor with QB1 upside. I think I just convinced myself to click it.

 

David Montgomery, Houston Texans - RB

ADP:54 | RB:23

I’ll start by saying that I’ve always been a David Montgomery lover. I view Montgomery as a workhorse rather than a sidekick and believe that will be the case this season for Houston. With a tremendous defense, I think they will run a ton, and Montgomery will be the beneficiary in a similar fashion to Joe Mixon circa 2024.

But, at ADP 53, he’s ahead of other RBs like Irving, Bhayshul Tuten, TreVeyon Henderson and Jadarian Price and other options such as Tyler Warren, Jameson Williams, Drake Maye, Jayden Daniels and Evans.

That is going to be a difficult button to press, but I think those who do will be handsomely rewarded. He has scored 33 rushing TDs over the past three seasons, and if he gets to double digits, he will clearly exceed his ADP. Houston’s offense will improve with a healthy Nico Collins, an improved C.J. Stroud, a second-year leap from Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel, and the return of Tank Dell, and it will show at the goal line when Montgomery gets the ball.

Woody Marks will get work, but Houston didn’t give Montgomery $10 million guaranteed over two years and $8.5 million a year to have an even role with a fourth-rounder making $1 million a year.

There are so many other Undesirable players; most importantly, the players that you seem to disproportionately fade, year after year. Do yourself a favor and identify those guys to see if you are giving away too much value by not drafting them if and when they fall.

Thanks as always – Brett Mitchell @BrettMitchellFB on X

 

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2026 Player Decisions. Today's focus is on specific players - Chris Olave, Bucky Irving, Jaxson Dart, David Montgomery, Zay Flowers. These are some common searches for 2026 fantasy football drafts.

Using The Tool. This is a simple tool but very powerful. The first step is to enter the player names that you want to compare. In the first box, search for the first player's name. In the second box, search for the second player's name. Compare up to four NFL players at once, and then click the Who To Draft? button to see who the recommended draft picks are based on fantasy football rankings, projections, and more.

Improvements For Who Should I Draft? You may have noticed our Who Should I Draft? tool has gotten an overhaul. We've added lots of great features for you to give you as much information as possible to win your 2026 fantasy football drafts. You'll see NFL player tiles with headshots and bye weeks, stats and projections, ADPs, strength of schedule, enhanced search results with data to compare, and a slick interface. We hope you enjoy!

How It Works. Our RotoBaller staff puts together their preseason fantasy football rankings and projections based on their research and update it constantly throughout the preseason. That information is the core data that is powering the decision-making in this tool. When you search for player names, you will only see those players who are ranked.

Scoring Formats. Fantasy football managers play in various types of leagues, and this tool allows you to choose whether it's PPR scoring, Half-PPR scoring, or Standard (Non-PPR) scoring. The second thing you want to do is to select the scoring format. There are three small radio buttons (small circles), so click on the scoring format you prefer. The results may vary based on the scoring format you select.

Popular Draft Searches. Curious to see some tough draft decisions for 2026? Below you will find a list of some popular Who Should I Draft? searches that RotoBaller readers are looking at. Click any of the links to see the result and recommendation.

 

Popular Player Comparison Searches - Who To Draft

Below are some popular searches and comparisons from our Who To Draft tool for 2026 drafts for Chris Olave, Bucky Irving, Jaxson Dart, David Montgomery, Zay Flowers:

Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Zay Flowers
Chris Olave
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Saquon Barkley
Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Luther Burden III
Chris Olave
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Jaylen Waddle
Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Chris Olave
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Jameson Williams
Chris Olave
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Mike Evans
Chris Olave
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DJ Moore
Chris Olave
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Christian Watson
Chris Olave
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Jordyn Tyson
Chris Olave
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Carnell Tate
Chris Olave
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Marvin Harrison Jr.
Chris Olave
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Parker Washington
Bucky Irving
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Bhayshul Tuten
Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Jadarian Price
Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Christian Watson
Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Garrett Wilson
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Jonathan Taylor
Bucky Irving
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James Cook III
Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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Bucky Irving
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David Montgomery
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David Montgomery
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David Montgomery
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Jameson Williams
David Montgomery
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Christian Watson
David Montgomery
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Malik Nabers
David Montgomery
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David Montgomery
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Lamar Jackson
David Montgomery
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David Montgomery
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Tetairoa McMillan
David Montgomery
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Bhayshul Tuten
David Montgomery
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Jaylen Waddle
David Montgomery
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Bucky Irving
David Montgomery
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D'Andre Swift
David Montgomery
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Drake Maye
David Montgomery
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Luther Burden III
David Montgomery
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Jadarian Price
David Montgomery
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Emeka Egbuka
David Montgomery
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David Montgomery
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David Montgomery
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David Montgomery
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David Montgomery
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Joe Burrow
David Montgomery
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Ladd McConkey
David Montgomery
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David Montgomery
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Colston Loveland
David Montgomery
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Chuba Hubbard
David Montgomery
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Rashee Rice
David Montgomery
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Marvin Harrison Jr.
David Montgomery
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Davante Adams
David Montgomery
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Rhamondre Stevenson
David Montgomery
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Zay Flowers
David Montgomery
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Parker Washington
David Montgomery
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Breece Hall
David Montgomery
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Jahmyr Gibbs
David Montgomery
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Bijan Robinson
David Montgomery
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Christian McCaffrey
David Montgomery
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Jonathan Taylor
David Montgomery
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James Cook III
David Montgomery
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Saquon Barkley
David Montgomery
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Ashton Jeanty
David Montgomery
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Derrick Henry
David Montgomery
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Kenneth Walker III
David Montgomery
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Chase Brown
David Montgomery
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Omarion Hampton
David Montgomery
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De'Von Achane
David Montgomery
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Jeremiyah Love
David Montgomery
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Kyren Williams
David Montgomery
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Javonte Williams
Zay Flowers
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Breece Hall
Zay Flowers
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Davante Adams
Zay Flowers
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Josh Jacobs
Zay Flowers
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Rashee Rice
Zay Flowers
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Tee Higgins
Zay Flowers
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Colston Loveland
Zay Flowers
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Travis Etienne Jr.
Zay Flowers
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Ladd McConkey
Zay Flowers
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Zay Flowers
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Zay Flowers
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Josh Allen
Zay Flowers
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Garrett Wilson
Zay Flowers
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Zay Flowers
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Emeka Egbuka
Zay Flowers
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Kyren Williams
Zay Flowers
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Luther Burden III
Zay Flowers
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Zay Flowers
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D'Andre Swift
Zay Flowers
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Jeremiyah Love
Zay Flowers
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Jaylen Waddle
Zay Flowers
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Chris Olave
Zay Flowers
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Tetairoa McMillan
Zay Flowers
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Brock Bowers
Zay Flowers
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Lamar Jackson
Zay Flowers
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A.J. Brown
Zay Flowers
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Malik Nabers
Zay Flowers
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Zay Flowers
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Zay Flowers
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George Pickens
Zay Flowers
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Mike Evans
Zay Flowers
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Nico Collins
Zay Flowers
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Cam Skattebo
Zay Flowers
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Omarion Hampton
Zay Flowers
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David Montgomery
Zay Flowers
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Zay Flowers
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Zay Flowers
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Zay Flowers
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Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Zay Flowers
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CeeDee Lamb
Zay Flowers
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Amon-Ra St. Brown
Zay Flowers
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Zay Flowers
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Drake London
Zay Flowers
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DJ Moore
Zay Flowers
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Christian Watson
Zay Flowers
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Jordyn Tyson
Zay Flowers
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Carnell Tate
Zay Flowers
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Zay Flowers
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Rome Odunze
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