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Andy's mid-to-late round fantasy baseball sleepers and values from the AL West in 2025. These upside hitters and pitchers are values at their fantasy ADPs.
Hello, RotoBallers! In this piece, we will analyze five players (one from each team) from the American League West who are value picks at their current ADP in the mid-to-late rounds of fantasy baseball drafts. This division has several high-upside targets for power in this range with a budding ace.
All ADP is provided by NFBC from drafts from February through early March. We will look at players who are currently being drafted in Rounds 14 through 20 (picks are approximately No. 150-275).
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Isaac Paredes, 3B, Houston Astros
ADP: 180
Isaac Paredes has been one of my favorite players to draft all offseason. After enjoying a breakout season in 2023 when he launched 31 home runs with a .250/.352/.488 slash line, Paredes took a step back in 2024 once he was shipped to Chicago.
Paredes relies on a pull-heavy approach and can see his production plummet in an unfavorable park. This is exactly what happened once he moved to Chicago. During the first half of the 2024 season in Tampa Bay, the 26-year-old was on pace to meet his 2023 production as he went deep 16 times with a .245/.357/.435 line across 101 games.
However, over his final 52 games with the Cubs, Paredes posted a much lower .223/.349/.393 line with three round-trippers.
Fortunately, the Houston Astros were able to acquire the third baseman in a package that sent Kyle Tucker to Chicago, which will put Paredes back in the top-10 third basemen discussion.
Similar to Tampa Bay, Houston's home park, Daikin Park, has a short porch in left field (315 feet). The ballpark is built for Paredes.
If Paredes played his 2024 campaign in Houston, he would have gone deep 26 times.
He is an absolute steal at his ADP as he has a viable path to being a top-12 option at the position with 25+ HR upside.
Evan Carter, OF, Texas Rangers
ADP: 267
Evan Carter was viewed as a budding star entering the 2024 season after his strong finish to the 2023 campaign. He made his MLB debut late in the season and played a critical role in Texas' World Series run. Through 23 games in the regular season in 2023, Carter posted an elite .306/.413/.645 slash line. In October, Carter held a strong .300/.417/.500 line.
However, the former second-round selection battled a back injury early in the campaign and was eventually shut down after 45 contests. During this stint, the outfielder struggled but fantasy managers should not be overly concerned given his strong play in 2023.
The 22-year-old has been appearing in spring training contests, suggesting he will be a full-go by Opening Day.
While the Rangers will likely give Carter occasional "maintenance days," batting in a potent lineup that features proven stars such as Corey Seager and Marcus Semien and an emerging slugger in Wyatt Langford could provide Carter a surprising amount of counting stats at his ADP and strong protection in the lineup.
If he can regain his 2023 form, he could become a must-start option in all formats.
#StraightUpTX Evan Carter battled injuries last season but could be a STEAL in drafts
In 23': the former top prospect held a .306/.413/.645 line with 5 HR 3 SB in his first 23 G
He then hit a .300/.417/.500 in the postseason
Is he on your draft board @TheReal_NFC ?
.....He may… pic.twitter.com/nJY8Neu3UU— Andy Smith (@A_Smith_FS) February 10, 2025
Update: Carter will begin the season at Triple-A. As a result, he should only be viewed as a stash candidate in deeper AL-only formats.
Jorge Soler, OF, Los Angeles Angels
ADP: 215
In one of the first moves of the offseason, the Los Angeles Angels acquired outfielder Jorge Soler in a deal that sent Griffin Canning to Atlanta.
Soler spent the 2024 season with the Giants and the Braves. He spent most of his season in San Francisco, which is considered one of the worst parks for right-handed hitters.
In 93 games with the Giants, Soler held a .240/.330/.419 line with 12 home runs. However, over his final 49 games in Atlanta, Soler held a higher .243/.356/.493 line with nine long balls.
According to Statcast, Angel Stadium allowed the fifth-most home runs to right-handed batters while Oracle Park in San Francisco allowed the third-fewest over the past three seasons.
With Soler slated to bat at the top of the Los Angeles lineup, he carries elite power upside with a high total of counting stats. He is one of the power bats past pick No. 200 who will not sink your batting average.
Tyler Soderstrom, 1B, Athletics
ADP: 290
After struggling through his first 45-game taste of MLB during the 2023 season, the former 26th overall pick flashed some upside last summer. In 61 contests, Soderstrom held a .233/.315/.429 slash line with 10 doubles and nine home runs.
However, he suffered a wrist injury in July, which kept him out for most of the second half and cut his breakout season short.
During this stint, the 23-year-old generated an impressive .480 xSLG, 14.6 percent barrel rate, and a 49.6 percent hard-hit rate, which were all well above the average marks. Soderstrom also drew walks at an above-average 9.4 percent rate.
In addition, the Athletics have entertained the idea of him seeing some starts behind the dish (his primary position in the minors), which would add to his fantasy value.
Soderstrom could enjoy a breakout campaign (as he does not have any injury concerns leading up to Opening Day) with an everyday spot in the lineup, alternating between first base and catcher.
Bryan Woo, SP, Seattle Mariners
ADP: 151
Bryan Woo just falls into this ADP range but carries immense upside. In 2024, Woo logged a career-high 121 1/3 innings and posted a strong 2.89 ERA with a stellar 0.90 WHIP.
He tallied 101 punchouts and served up walks at an incredible 2.8 percent. He generated a 2.72 xERA, which suggests he could even take another step forward in 2025. Woo also generated barrels at a 4.8 percent rate (91st percentile) and hard hits at a 35.2 percent rate (78th percentile).
Woo leaned heavily on his fastball as he threw it 49 percent of the time. This pitch generated a .223 xBA and a stellar .274 xwOBA. It generated whiffs at a solid 27.4 percent rate.
His sweeper was his primary putaway pitch as it generated an elite 41.7 percent whiff rate. This pitch generated a near-perfect .109 xwOBA and a .140 xSLG. However, Woo only threw this pitch 9.1 percent of the time. If the 25-year-old throws this pitch more often, his strikeout production could skyrocket in 2025.
The Cal Poly product is a budding ace who will provide fantasy managers with elite ratios and increasing strikeout potential. He is being drafted as an SP3/SP4 but carries the upside to deliver top-20 SP production.
Bryan Woo 2024 4SFB:
94.8 MPH
15.3” IVB
9.5” HB
6.6 Extension
2280 SpinJacob deGrom 2015 (first all star appearance) 4SFB:
95.7 MPH
15.6” IVB
7.2” HB
6.8 Extension
2261 SpinBryan Woo will be an ace if he continues to develop his off-speed pitches.
pic.twitter.com/25PouNseBz— Andrew DeCeglie (@Andrew_FBB) March 5, 2025
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