Overvalued Second-Round Picks in 2025 Fantasy Football Drafts

Joey's overvalued fantasy football players and potential busts in the second round of 2025 drafts. His early-round avoids and fades for Round 2 of redraft fantasy football drafts.

Since we are still a few months away from fantasy drafts, average draft positions will certainly change from now until August. Players going in the second round right now might be going in the third round by the time most leagues kick off their drafts. However, analyzing where certain players are going now could help you crush your draft in the summer.

In this article, we will look at the most overvalued players currently going in the second round of fantasy drafts. These three players are going a bit too early in drafts and aren't worth selecting within the first 24 picks. We will use Sleeper and Underdog Fantasy's ADP.

So, which players are currently going too high in fantasy drafts? Should fantasy managers pass on these players at their respective ADP? Let's dive in and find out. 

• 2025 fantasy football rankings
• Running back (RB) fantasy football rankings
• Wide receiver (WR) fantasy football rankings
• Tight end (TE) fantasy football rankings
• Quarterback (QB) fantasy football rankings
• Defense (D/ST) fantasy football rankings
• NFL rookie fantasy football rankings
• Best ball fantasy football rankings
• Superflex fantasy football rankings
• Dynasty fantasy football rankings

Tyreek Hill, WR, Miami Dolphins

From 2017 to 2023, Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill was one of the best fantasy options. He finished as a top-8 fantasy wideout in six of those seven seasons while scoring above 325 PPR fantasy points four times (2017, 2020, 2022, 2023). Hill also had a stretch from 2020 to 2023 where he finished as a top-2 fantasy wideout in three of those four years. 

As a result, Hill was an easy selection in the first round of 2024 fantasy drafts. He totaled over 1,700 receiving yards in back-to-back seasons in 2022 and 2023 and was coming off his best fantasy season yet. The 31-year-old veteran averaged a career-high 23.5 PPR fantasy points back during the 2023 campaign. 

However, the Dolphins' playmaker was one of the bigger fantasy busts last year. He finished as the overall WR18 in PPR formats and wasn't a consistent fantasy option by any means. Although quarterback Tua Tagovailoa missed six games due to injuries, Hill wasn't the usual elite fantasy option even when Tagovailoa was healthy. 

From Week 8 to Week 16, the veteran averaged just 14.6 PPR fantasy points with Tagovailoa under center. All in all, it was a disappointing fantasy season for Hill. He played through a wrist injury for most of the season and was more of a low-end WR2 in fantasy. The nine-year veteran caught just 81 passes for 959 yards and six touchdowns across 17 games in 2024. 

🎥 WR coach Robert Prince on Tyreek Hill: "It's been great. He is a hard worker, and one of the hardest competitors... the guy wants to be coach, and he wants to be great." (@MiamiDolphins) #PhinsUp pic.twitter.com/KXH5vuAH61

— FinsXtra (@FinsXtra) May 21, 2025

Following that poor campaign, taking Hill with a second-round pick is extremely risky. He is entering his age-31 season, and his days of being a bona fide WR1 in fantasy could be behind him. This is also typically the age when we start to see wide receivers decline. While the wideout is a different type of athlete, it is important to note.

Therefore, Hill is an avoid in most fantasy drafts. He has a current 17.0 ADP on Sleeper and a 24.2 ADP on Underdog Fantasy. That's too high for a wide receiver who showed signs of slowing down last season, even with tight end Jonnu Smith now in Pittsburgh.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Seattle Seahawks

Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba didn't get a ton of opportunities in his rookie season in 2023. He caught just 63 passes for 628 yards and four touchdowns across 17 games. That production led to Smith-Njigba averaging just 8.8 PPR fantasy points per game and finishing as the WR48 in PPR formats. 

Nonetheless, a breakout season was inevitable for the Seattle wideout in 2024. The talent was there, the draft capital was there, and it was only a matter of time until the targets came his way. People forget that Smith-Njigba was Ohio State's best wide receiver in 2021 in a room that featured Garrett Wilson, Chris Olave, Emeka Egbuka, and Marvin Harrison Jr.

Ohio State has now produced FIVE First Round WRs in the last 4 NFL Drafts

Emeka Egbuka (2025)
Marvin Harrison Jr (2024)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (2023)
Garrett Wilson (2022)
Chris Olave (2022)

WRU 😮? pic.twitter.com/fIWOE3Wz9w

— College Football Report (@CFBRep) April 25, 2025

So, seeing what the 23-year-old did last year was not a surprise. He totaled 100 catches for 1,130 yards and six touchdowns across 17 games for the Seahawks. Those strong numbers helped Smith-Njigba emerge as a solid WR1 option for fantasy managers. He finished as the overall WR9 and averaged 14.9 PPR fantasy points per game. 

The Ohio State product was also a much stronger fantasy option at the back end of the season, averaging 18.2 PPR fantasy points over his final nine games. After really coming on in the second half, Smith-Njigba now finds himself going in the second round of most fantasy drafts. He has a current 18.0 ADP on Sleeper and a 24.9 ADP on Underdog Fantasy. 

However, those ADPs are a bit too high for the wideout. Although the team traded away DK Metcalf and released Tyler Lockett this offseason, going from Geno Smith to Sam Darnold could hurt Smith-Njigba's fantasy value. Smith had a higher accuracy rating, true completion percentage, and completion percentage versus man coverage than Darnold in 2024. 

That means it wouldn't be a total shock to see Smith-Njigba not finish as a WR1. While he should still be a consistent wideout in 2025, fantasy managers should feel more comfortable taking him with a third-round pick rather than a second-round pick. There should be some concern with Darnold as his quarterback next season. 

Tee Higgins, WR, Cincinnati Bengals

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins has been a solid fantasy WR2 in recent years. He finished as the WR24 in PPR formats in 2021 and the WR18 in PPR formats in 2022. After struggling for much of the 2023 campaign, Higgins bounced back and put together one of his strongest receiving seasons last year. 

He caught 73 passes for 911 yards and 10 touchdowns across just 12 games. His 10 touchdowns were a career-high, and his 75.9 receiving yards per game was the second-highest of his career. More importantly, Higgins emerged as a top fantasy wide receiver for managers. Even though he finished as the WR17, he averaged a whopping 18.5 PPR fantasy points per game. 

That 18.5 fantasy point average ranked sixth among all wideouts in 2024, only behind Ja'Marr Chase (23.7), Chris Godwin (19.7), Puka Nacua (18.8), Justin Jefferson (18.7), and Amon-Ra St. Brown (18.6). That shows how valuable Higgins was in most fantasy leagues last year. He scored above 17 PPR fantasy points in seven of his 12 games. 

NFL history: The Bengals have agreed to record deals making Ja’Marr Chase the highest-paid non-QB and Tee Higgins the highest-paid WR2 in the league, per sources. The deals were in place all weekend and Higgins announced the agreement.

🏈Ja’Marr Chase agreed to a 4-year, $161… pic.twitter.com/97wXgMFOHp

— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) March 17, 2025

However, let's pump the brakes on taking Higgins in the second round of fantasy drafts. He has a current 21.0 ADP on Sleeper and a 23.5 ADP on Underdog Fantasy. On both platforms, the Bengals' playmaker is being drafted as a top-14 fantasy wide receiver. That's too rich for a player who has never finished that high in his career. 

Although you could say that Higgins was on pace to finish as a top-7 fantasy wideout in 2024, he wound up falling short of that mark due to injuries. That's another reason why fantasy managers should avoid the 26-year-old. He has played just 12 games in each of the past two seasons.

So, Higgins is better suited as a third-round pick. Some touchdown regression is likely coming for the wideout following a 10-touchdown campaign, and his 24.9% target share doesn't really help his case as a second-round pick. There are just better players to target at this point in drafts. 

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