X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

2023-2024 NBA Futures Bets: Season Win Totals - Pacific Division

With the NBA Draft and a good chunk of free agency behind us, major sportsbooks have begun releasing their season win totals for the 2023-2024 campaign. And since we're still more than a month away from televised hoops hitting our TVs, I thought it would be fun to take a closer look at how Vegas views each team.

That's precisely what we'll do here in this series. I will go division by division and share whether or not I would take the over or the under on each team's projected win total with some analysis along the way. Oh, and for the teams frequently mentioned in significant trade rumors (Miami Heat, Portland Trailblazers, Los Angeles Clippers), we'll try and save them for last.

So, for all you basketball sickos still looking to consume content smack dab in the middle of hoops wasteland, this is for you. Let's dive right into the Pacific Divison. And if you haven't already, you can check out the first two parts of this series where I made my predictions for the Central and Atlantic Divisions.

Featured Promo: Get any full-season Props Premium Pass for 50% off. Win big with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

2023-2024 Pacific Division Win Totals

The table below shows the highest current win totals at DraftKings Sportsbook for each team in the Pacific Division. I use DraftKings for odds to keep things consistent but shop around to other books to find the best value when possible.

Team Win Totals
Phoenix Suns 54.5
Golden State Warriors 48.5
Los Angles Lakers 47.5
Los Angeles Clippers 46.5
Sacramento Kings 44.5

 

Phoenix Suns - UNDER 54.5 Wins (+100 DraftKings)

The Pacific division is remarkably stacked with talent, and the Suns will begin the year as the team to beat. On paper, their newly-minted 'Big 3' of Kevin Durant, Devin Booker, and Bradley Beal should reign supreme, but there are three pressing questions that have to be considered.

First, it's health. Durant has played no more than 47 games in three of the last four seasons and will turn 35 before the season tips off. The same can be said for Beal. Much like Durant, he's only been available for a total of 90 games over the last two seasons. Can these guys stay healthy? After all, Phoenix is clearly all-in for the Larry O'Brien. Nobody should be surprised to see them coast through the regular season in an effort to preserve their talent. This could certainly impact their regular season win total.

Up next, it's cohesion. How will this roster mesh to begin the year? They are only returning five players from last season's roster and history tells us it could take some for them to gel. Who will play point guard? Can Booker and Beal -- two off-ball monsters -- thrive on the floor together? These are all valid questions worth asking.

Lastly, it's depth. Team governor Mat Ishbia emptied out the asset chest in order to acquire the Big 3 and it's left them with limited flexibility to build out the rest of the roster. As a result, their biggest off-season additions are Bol Bol, Drew Eubanks, Keita Bates-Diop, and Yutu Watanabe. Sure, those guys are fun, but things could get ugly quickly if the injury bug decides to strike at any point during the season.

Ultimately, it's correct to view the Suns as contenders based on their talent alone, but when predicting their regular season win total, you'd be betting on everything to break right to feel comfortable taking the over. For that reason alone, I'm smashing the under on 54.5 wins.

 

Golden State Warriors - UNDER 49.5 Wins (-105 DraftKings)

The Warriors are a puzzling team to me heading into this season. Their biggest offseason splash was exchanging Jordan Poole for a 38-year-old Chris Paul and now there are reports that he will start alongside Stephen Curry in the backcourt. Curry is elite off-ball, so it really doesn't matter, but I do not see where Paul drastically elevates a team that led the NBA in assists (28.2) and assists rate (67.2%) last season.

The true wildcard for this team lies in their young guys, Moses Moody, and Jonathan Kuminga. Each has shown flashes in the past but inconsistency -- in playing time and production -- has marred their ascension. A third-year leap from both of these guys is all this team needs to reignite their dynasty DNA.

All in all, I'm sticking with under here, as the Warriors still feel like a low-40-win team at this juncture. Nothing they've done would indicate they are ready to win more than last year's total of 44 wins.

 

Los Angeles Lakers - OVER 47.5 Wins (-110 DraftKings)

I'm not going to mince words. The way Rob Pelinka has been able to redeem this roster is nothing short of spectacular. It feels like just yesterday that the Lakers entirely missed the postseason with 33 wins, influenced by a terribly constructed roster. That should not be the case this season.

They brought back Austin Reaves and inked D'Angelo Russell to a friendlier (and tradable) contract while adding Gabe Vincent, Christian Wood, Cam Reddish, Jaxson Hayes, and Taurean Prince in free agency. That's some solid depth for an aging legend and an oft-injured superstar.

The Lakers were humming after the trade deadline, winning 66% of their games to finish out the regular season. That pace would put them at 54 wins during an 82-game span. Expect more of the same this season, but with more depth to squeak out wins on nights that LeBron James or Anthony Davis don't feel like suiting up. I'm betting on the Lakes this season, so give me the over!

 

Los Angeles Clippers - UNDER 46.5 Wins (-110 DraftKings)

Moving over to the other team in town, the Clippers' success is tied directly to the health of their two stars, Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. Unfortunately, that hasn't been a positive. George has only averaged 47 games played in L.A. while Leonard has never played more than 57 games and missed the entire 2021-2022 season with a partial ACL tear in his right knee. Most recently he suffered a torn meniscus in his right knee during the first round of last year's postseason.

On paper, this shouldn't even be a question. This team certainly has the talent to win 47 games, but that will likely require 60+ games from Leonard and George. And if the duo does happen to miss any time, the Clippers aren't necessarily swimming in depth. They did add Kenyon Martin Jr. in free agency and brought back Russell Westbrook on a two-year deal, but will essentially 'run it back' with last year's roster for the most part.

All of this boils down to two questions. First, do we trust that Leonard and George can both string together healthy seasons? And second, how many wins can a roster of Westbrook, Martin, Norman Powell, Ivica Zubac, Bones Hyland, Robert Covington, Terance Mann, Nicolas Batum, and Mason Plumlee realistically give you if (when) the two stars miss time? If you answered YES to question number one, you would take the over. As for me, that's a bet I'm not willing to make. Give me the under on this one.

 

Sacramento Kings - OVER 44.5 Wins (-110 DraftKings)

I don't know about you, but I really enjoyed watching the Kings' emergence last season. After nearly two decades in basketball purgatory, they made the playoffs and gave the former champs a run for their money in the first round. Not only that, but they won 48 games and finished 3rd in the West.

As impressive as their season was, we can't ignore how big of a factor health played. Their top eight rotation guys played at least 73 games and their starting five missed a total of 21 games combined. I know, Domantas Sabonis and Keegan Murray played through thumb injuries for most of the season, with the former undergoing offseason surgery, but the importance of having a healthy roster for the majority of the season cannot be understated. I'm not going to sit here and say the Kings were unusually lucky, but what are the odds they enjoy this kind of health again? Any type of serious injury could certainly impact the outcome of a few games here and there.

The biggest variable for this team's success is Keegan Murray. He was an immediate mainstay in the starting lineup and proved to be productive as a rookie. If his Summer League performance is any indication of the leap he's slated to take this season, the Kings' ceiling only gets higher.

That said, this group is tough and gritty while also being well-coached by Mike Brown. I believe their health had more to do with the mentality of guys on the roster rather than luck. I bought in last year and I'm going to buy in again. I will confidently take the over on 44.5 wins this season.

 



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy basketball mobile app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, lineup notifications & DFS articles. All free!

More Fantasy Basketball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Derek Carr20 mins ago

Back On The Field Wednesday
Puka Nacua39 mins ago

Listed As Limited For Wednesday's Practice
De'Anthony Melton41 mins ago

Will Play On Wednesday
Dean Wade46 mins ago

Will Return Wednesday In Limited Capacity
Landry Shamet49 mins ago

Will Not Suit Up Against 76ers
D'Andre Swift52 mins ago

Practices On Wednesday
Anthony Edwards53 mins ago

Has Been Upgraded To Active On Wednesday
Grant Williams58 mins ago

Receives Questionable Tag Against Jazz
Justin Jefferson1 hour ago

"On Track" To Return On Sunday
Mark Williams1 hour ago

Tagged As Questionable On Wednesday
Breece Hall1 hour ago

Unable To Practice Wednesday
Bam Adebayo1 hour ago

Ruled Out On Wednesday
Dawson Knox1 hour ago

Dalton Kincaid Practicing In Full
DeVante Parker2 hours ago

JuJu Smith-Schuster Both Questionable
Kayshon Boutte2 hours ago

Demario Douglas, Kayshon Boutte Won't Face Steelers
Rhamondre Stevenson2 hours ago

Officially Ruled Out For Week 14
Najee Harris2 hours ago

Questionable To Play Thursday Night
Aaron Judge2 hours ago

Could Be Regular Center Fielder
New York Yankees3 hours ago

Yoshinobu Yamamoto Expected To Meet With Yankees Monday
Dylan Cease3 hours ago

White Sox Have High Asking Price For Dylan Cease
Trent Grisham3 hours ago

Expected To Be Shipped To Yankees
Bryce Harper3 hours ago

Hoping To Discuss Another Long-Term Deal
Craig Kimbrel3 hours ago

Orioles Agree To One-Year Deal
Mason Plumlee3 hours ago

Not Close To Returning
Tari Eason3 hours ago

Iffy To Play With Illness
Dalton Schultz3 hours ago

Returns To Practice
Bradley Beal3 hours ago

Suns Optimistic Bradley Beal Could Return Next Week
Cleveland Browns3 hours ago

Browns Undecided On Starting QB In Week 14
Kyrie Irving4 hours ago

Tim Hardaway Jr. Both Active Against Jazz
DeMar DeRozan4 hours ago

The Best of Both Worlds: NBA DFS Cash, GPP, and Player Prop Targets for 12/6 (Premium Content)
Dorian Thompson-Robinson4 hours ago

Expected To Practice
Kristaps Porzingis4 hours ago

Fully Practices, Targeting Return Friday
Darren Waller4 hours ago

Hopes To Return Next Week
Dallas Goedert4 hours ago

Sounds Ready To Return In Week 14
Hayden Hurst4 hours ago

Returns To Practice Wednesday
D'Onta Foreman4 hours ago

A Full Participant In Practice Off The Bye
A.J. Puk4 hours ago

To Be Stretched Out As A Starter
Eduardo Rodriguez4 hours ago

Expected To Have Decision By Thursday
Trevor Lawrence5 hours ago

Won't Participate In Practice On Wednesday
Kareem Hunt5 hours ago

Missing Wednesday's Practice
Amari Cooper5 hours ago

Won't Take Practice Field On Wednesday
Derrick Rose5 hours ago

Sleeper.com NBA DFS Prop Picks - Over/Under Props for Wednesday, December 6
Isiah Pacheco5 hours ago

No Practice For Isiah Pacheco On Wednesday
DJ LeMahieu6 hours ago

Is The Team's Starting Third Baseman
Jake Cronenworth6 hours ago

Another Trade Candidate For Padres
Juan Soto6 hours ago

To Yankees "Close To Being Finalized"
James Harden7 hours ago

NBA Underdog Predictions - Today's DFS Prop Picks for Wednesday, December 6, 2023
Nathan MacKinnon7 hours ago

Extends Scoring Streak With Three-Point Effort
Tomas Hertl8 hours ago

Posts Sixth Career Hat Trick
Vladimir Tarasenko8 hours ago

Shines In Win Over Rangers
Jeff Green8 hours ago

NBA DFS Prop Picks for PrizePicks: Wednesday, December 6
J.T. Miller8 hours ago

Grabs Three Points In Loss Versus New Jersey
Jack Hughes8 hours ago

Continues Tear Versus Canucks
Matt Boldy8 hours ago

Notches Three Points In Tuesday's Win
Devin Vassell8 hours ago

Probable For Wednesday
Landry Shamet9 hours ago

Questionable For Wednesday's Game
Anze Kopitar9 hours ago

DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Hockey Picks (12/06/23): NHL DFS Lineups
Dean Wade9 hours ago

Listed As Questionable Wednesday
Caris LeVert9 hours ago

Sits Out Second Consecutive Game
Jonathan Isaac9 hours ago

Questionable For Wednesday's Matchup
Gregory Santos18 hours ago

Might Not Be Full-Go For Start Of Spring Training
Craig Kimbrel18 hours ago

Orioles "Seriously Engaged" With Craig Kimbrel
San Francisco Giants18 hours ago

Giants Interested In Jung Hoo Lee
Victor Caratini18 hours ago

Astros Reportedly Sign Victor Caratini To Two-Year Deal
Marco Gonzales19 hours ago

Traded To Pirates
Alex Verdugo19 hours ago

Yankees Acquire Alex Verdugo In Four-Player Trade
NHL21 hours ago

NHL DFS Picks and Heat Map (Premium Content) - December 6, 2023
Cleveland Guardians24 hours ago

Guardians Secure First Overall Pick In Upcoming MLB Draft
Chas McCormick1 day ago

Jake Meyers, Chas McCormick To Be Regulars In 2024
Lucas Giolito1 day ago

Drawing Interest From Five Teams
Rhys Hoskins1 day ago

Cubs, Rhys Hoskins Remain In Contact On Potential Deal
Connor Ingram1 day ago

Takes Winning Streak To Five Games With Second Shutout
Drew Doughty1 day ago

DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Hockey Picks (12/5/23): Today's Top NHL DFS Lineups
Clayton Keller1 day ago

Records Hat Trick Of Assists
Travis Konecny1 day ago

Logs Two Assists In Monday's Win
Anthony Cirelli1 day ago

Nets Two Goals As Tampa Bay Ends Slide
Andrei Vasilevskiy1 day ago

Bounces Back In Style On Monday
Nikolaj Ehlers1 day ago

Takes Down Hurricanes
Juuse Saros2 days ago

NHL DFS Picks and Analysis for December 5, 2023 (Premium Content)
NHL2 days ago

NHL DFS Picks and Heat Map (Premium Content) - December 5, 2023
Beneil Dariush2 days ago

Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss At UFC Austin
Beneil Dariush2 days ago

Arman Tsarukyan Knocks Out Beneil Dariush In 64 Seconds
Jalin Turner2 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Bobby Green2 days ago

Gets Knocked Out In The First Round
Punahele Soriano2 days ago

Dustin Stoltzfus Submits Punahele Soriano
Punahele Soriano2 days ago

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Jordan Staal2 days ago

DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Hockey Picks (12/04/23): NHL DFS Lineups
Nathan MacKinnon2 days ago

Pushes Point Streak To Eight Games
Quinton Byfield2 days ago

Pots Two Goals Against Colorado
Alex Tuch2 days ago

Exits With Injury
Clay Guida3 days ago

Falls To .500 In The UFC
Joaquim Silva3 days ago

Gets Decision Win At UFC Austin
Kelvin Gastelum3 days ago

Submitted In Welterweight Return
Sean Brady3 days ago

Returns To Win Column
Rob Font3 days ago

1-4 In Last Five Fights After Loss At UFC Austin
Deiveson Figueiredo3 days ago

Wins Bantamweight Debut
Beneil Dariush5 days ago

Arman Tsarukyan A Favorite Over Beneil Dariush At UFC Austin
Beneil Dariush5 days ago

Has A Dangerous Task In Front Of Him
Bobby Green5 days ago

Looking For Third Win In A Row
Jalin Turner5 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Austin
Dustin Stoltzfus5 days ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
Punahele Soriano5 days ago

Looking To Return To Win Column

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Taysom Hill - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, Draft Sleepers

Week 14 Half-PPR Tight End Rankings for Fantasy Football: Pat Freiermuth, Isaiah Likely, Taysom Hill, Cole Kmet, more

RotoBallers! Week 14 has arrived. With only one week left until the fantasy playoffs, it's win or go home for some fantasy managers. Tight end has been a very volatile position this season, and for managers playing the streaming game, RotoBaller has you covered with our Week 14 half-PPR tight end rankings for fantasy football.  Fantasy... Read More


Diontae Johnson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Week 14 Half-PPR Wide Receiver Rankings for Fantasy Football: Puka Nacua, Noah Brown, Diontae Johnson, Brandin Cooks

Howdy RotoBallers! The NFL season is flying by, and we are already in the last week of the regular fantasy football season. It's time to lock down that playoff spot and set the most optimal lineup for Week 14. Today, we will review our Week 14 half-PPR wide receiver rankings for fantasy football. Only two... Read More


Week 14 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Analysis: Running Backs, Tight Ends Booms and Busts

Check out our top 2023 fantasy football Start/Sit analysis for Week 14 of the NFL season! Matt Donnelly discusses his top Start/Sit decisions at the Running Back and Tight End positions that will have an impact in Week 14. The 2023 fantasy football season is here - win big with RotoBaller in 2023! Be sure... Read More


Panic Mode: Week 14 Fantasy Football Busts, Start/Sit Concerns and Analysis for Justin Herbert, Terry McLaurin, D'Andre Swift, and more (2023

The 2023 fantasy football season continues with our Week 14 "Panic Mode" analysis. Jorden Hill digs into players that have disappointed so far and have some fantasy football managers in "Panic Mode". He analyzes some difficult Cut List Candidates and Start/Sit decisions for Week 14 of the 2023 fantasy football season. Be sure to tune... Read More


Ezekiel Elliott - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, NFL Injury News

Week 14 Half-PPR Running Back Rankings for Fantasy Football: Ezekiel Elliott, De'Von Achane, Jaylen Warren, David Montgomery

Hey RotoBallers, Week 14 is here! We are back with more fantasy football advice. It's crunch time, as it's the last week of the fantasy football regular season. Thankfully, only two teams are on the bye, with the Commanders and Cardinals off this week. It's time to set those winning lineups with our NFL team's... Read More


Week 14 Fantasy Football Start/Sit Analysis: Wide Receiver, Quarterback Booms and Busts

Check out our top 2023 fantasy football Start/Sit analysis for Week 14 of the NFL season! Matt Donnelly discusses his top Start/Sit decisions at the Wide Receiver and Quarterback positions that will have an impact in Week 14. The 2023 fantasy football season is here - win big with RotoBaller in 2023! Be sure to... Read More


Gardner Minshew - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Week 14 Quarterback Rankings for Fantasy Football: Jordan Love, Joshua Dobbs, Gardner Minshew, Mitch Trubisky, more

Week 14 is finally here, the last week of the fantasy football regular season. Injuries continue to hit the quarterback position. Trevor Lawrence (ankle) is dealing with a high-ankle sprain but has yet to be ruled out for Week 14. At the same time, Kenny Pickett underwent successful tightrope surgery to address a right high-ankle sprain and is expected... Read More


Fantasy Football Playoffs Primer: Troy King's Three Tips To Win Your League's Championship (2023)

The fantasy football season is barreling toward the playoffs! Check out our top tips to prepare for the fantasy playoffs and win your leagues! RotoBaller's Troy King discusses three of his favorite playoff tips and shares strategies that fantasy managers should try to deploy ahead of their league's playoffs. The 2023 fantasy football season is... Read More


Minnesota Vikings Defense D/ST Streamers, Rankings, Waiver Wire - Danielle Hunter Fantasy Football IDP

Week 14 Team Defense Rankings for Fantasy Football: Texans DST, Packers DST, Saints DST, Colts DST, Vikings DST, more

Hey, RotoBallers! Week 14 is here, and some fantasy managers have one more shot to make the fantasy playoffs. The Cardinals and Commanders are the only two teams on bye this week. We churn out rankings week in and week out. Streaming the right defense could be the difference between winning or losing your league... Read More


Dak Prescott - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

2023 NFL QB Power Rankings: All 32 Starting Quarterbacks After Week 13

Let's be honest...we've seen some downright ugly quarterback play in 2023. Unfortunately, there was more of the same in Week 13. On the flip side, some NFL QBs have been phenomenal this year, elevating their games -- and their teams -- to different levels. While we certainly have some ugly matchups on tap in Week... Read More


Jaylen Warren - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, Draft Sleepers

Who Should I Start? TNF Fantasy Football Lineup Decisions for Week 14 - Jaylen Warren, Ezekiel Elliott, Chuba Hubbard, Najee Harris, George Pickens, Zack Moss, Raheem Mostert

It's almost time for Thursday Night Football. Who Should I Start? Who Should I Sit? Set you optimal fantasy football lineups for Thursday Night Football and Week 14 of the 2023 NFL season. Our free Who Should I Start? tool will help make your fantasy football lineup decisions. Compare up to four NFL players, and... Read More


DeVon Achane - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL DFS Picks, Injury News

Updated Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

      Fantasy Football Rankings by NFL Position ALL - QB - RB - WR - TE - DEF Above you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings, tiers, player news and stats for your 2023 fantasy football leagues. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's fantasy football rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Fantasy Football... Read More


Isiah Pacheco - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Rookies

Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 14

Week 13 has come and gone. The fantasy football playoffs are starting for some and just around the corner for others. In the coming weeks, fantasy managers will have some tough decisions to make. In this weekly column, we'll be looking at fantasy football players whose arrows may be pointing up and players whose arrows... Read More