TAP FOR 6 MONTHS OF PREMIUM FREE 💰
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

2017 Player vs. Player - Julio Jones vs. Mike Evans

Fantasy football draft season is upon us and RotoBaller is here to help! In this series, two RotoBaller experts will discuss the merits of two players with similar value and average draft position (ADP). Remember that situations will change for all players over the course of the summer and it may impact where they are selected in drafts.

We continue this year's Player vs. Player series by looking at a pair of elite wide receivers that are going in the first round of virtually all redraft and dynasty startup drafts.

Nick Del Vecchio (@nickydelta) and Andrew C. Lovell (@andrew_lovell) take sides on behalf of owners in PPR leagues choosing between Julio Jones and Mike Evans, with each making a compelling case for his preferred player.

Featured Promo: Looking for some more fantasy football action? Adopt a dynasty orphan team over at FFPC. Sign up today and get $25 off any FFPC league. Sign Up Now!

 

Julio Jones (WR, ATL) - Nick

Julio Jones took a slight step back in 2016 compared to the gaudy receiving numbers he put up in 2014 and 2015. However, 83 receptions for 1,409 yards with six TDs from a year ago kept him within elite status of all fantasy wide receivers. He averaged over 100 yards per game and an explosive 17 yards per catch. He is by far the best receiver on his team, and Matt Ryan will continue to force feed him the ball up and down the field. It sure looked to be the game plan during the NFC playoffs, as he totaled 15 catches for 247 yards and three scores in the two games against Seattle and Green Bay.

The one downside with Jones as far as fantasy production goes is that he only has reached double-digit touchdowns once in his career. He finished with six, eight, and six in his last three seasons, respectively. I believe he can easily get to 10 or more this season, as the offense will look to get him many more red-zone looks. New offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian, the former Alabama and University of Washington coach, now replacing Kyle Shanahan, had this to say about Jones:

"I think, No. 1, they were still very good in the red zone, but when you have a player like Julio, it's making sure we maximize his opportunities because there is so much double coverage, there are so many unique coverages that roll his way that when we don’t get that, let's make sure he's one of the primary receivers on that play because it is such a tough matchup for anybody one on one."

As Sarkisian alluded to, when Jones sees single coverage, he is making the play. There have been a number of highlight-reel catches over his career in which he was draped by coverage, only to come down with the ball. His size, hands, catch radius, and sheer determination leads to a high amount of catches per game. Needless to say, that is huge for PPR leagues.

Perhaps the new play caller will dial up more slants and fade routes for Julio deep in the red zone, and a lesser amount of Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman run plays. The bottom line here is that if Julio can catch more TDs than he has been, he should have no problem coming very close to being the number one overall WR in fantasy in 2017.

The Falcons' offense was historically great in 2016, finishing with a whopping 540 points, tied with the 2000 Rams for seventh most all-time. They managed to score 30-plus points in 11 games, along with five 40-plus games, good for second all-time. Atlanta recently locked up Freeman to a long-term deal, and a nice chunk of the offense will go through him.

However, whenever Ryan has a passing down, or audibles out of the run, you can expect that his first option is Jones. Expect another prolific season for Jones, along the lines of 90-plus catches, 1,300-plus yards, and at least eight scores.

 

Mike Evans (WR, TB) - Andrew

Let's get this out of the way right now: you can't go wrong with either Jones or Evans. Both are big, dynamic playmaking wide receivers in the primes of their careers who play in explosive offenses led by Pro Bowl quarterbacks. Outside of stars like Antonio Brown, Odell Beckham Jr., and perhaps A.J. Green, Jones and Evans stand out as two of the most physically-gifted and productive wide receivers in the NFL right now. They are both studs.

But, of course, this is fantasy football, and you can only spend your first-round pick on one of them. Plus, let's be real: it's fun to debate! So while I love Jones, I love Evans just a bit more in 2017. Allow me to explain why.

Any argument in favor of Evans over Jones should begin with their ages. Jones will enter his seventh NFL season at 28 years old, while Evans (fourth season) is just 24. That might not seem like a huge difference, but it's enough of a gap to warrant a closer look. Jones, for instance, had his major breakout campaign in his fourth season, exploding for 104 receptions for 1,593 yards and six touchdowns back in 2014.

If Evans continues his upward trend, he could approach those types of numbers in 2017. The former Texas A&M standout has seen his receptions, targets, and receiving yards increase in each of his first three seasons. Jones, conversely, might have peaked, or at least plateaued over the last three seasons. Jones' average season from 2014-2016 looks like so: 107 receptions, 1,624 yards, six touchdowns. Again, that's an average. Most wide receivers will never post a single season of that magnitude. It's been a remarkable stretch, but are numbers like that maintainable for Jones? It would seem unlikely given a combination of two factors: Jones' injury history and the Falcons' wealth of weapons.

Jones missed two games and was limited in others last season as the result of a nagging toe injury. He had his third career surgery on his left foot in the offseason, and though all indications suggest he'll be ready to roll for the start of the season, it's a troublesome trend. The Falcons also added wide receivers Mohamed Sanu and Taylor Gabriel, and tight end Austin Hooper to an already-potent offense last year. As a result, Jones' reception total decreased by a staggering 53 catches.

Evans, on the other hand, started all 16 games last season and has played in 46 of 48 games overall since joining Tampa Bay as the No. 7 overall pick in 2014. Now, I know what you're thinking: But wait, the Buccaneers added speedy wide receiver DeSean Jackson and rookie tight end O.J. Howard in the offseason. Won't those additions negatively affect Evans like they did Jones? Possibly, but probably not.

Evans might not match or surpass his 96 receptions from last season, but he should find himself facing less double teams. That could mean more yards and touchdowns, the latter being an area where Evans already widely exceeds Jones. The 6-foot-5, 230-pound Evans has 27 career touchdowns in three seasons, including a pair of 12-touchdown campaigns. Jones has 20 touchdowns over the same three-year span, but has topped eight touchdowns only once in his seven-year career.

In short, while Jones might have a slight advantage in receptions in 2017, the two wide receivers' yardage totals should be similar. But Evans could double up Jones in touchdowns, like he did last season, which pushes him ahead in this head-to-head debate.

If you pick Jones, you're drafting based on his track record, which is stellar. If you draft Evans, you're banking on another step forward as he pushes his already skyscraper-like ceiling even higher.

 

More Player Comparisons

[jiffyNews tags_include='19649' post_limit='15


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Aaron Judge

Is Aaron Judge Worth the First Overall Pick?
Nick Blankenburg

Avalanche Add Nick Blankenburg From Predators
Blaze Alexander

Remains the Frontrunner to Replace Jackson Holliday
NHL

Andrew Mangiapane Traded to Blackhawks
Kyle Nicolas

Traded to the Reds
Jason Dickinson

Oilers Bring in Jason Dickinson and Colton Dach From Chicago
Tyler Callihan

Traded to the Pirates
Tyler Myers

Moves to Dallas
MacKenzie Weegar

Mammoth Acquire MacKenzie Weegar
River Ryan

in Serious Consideration for Starting Role
Kevin McGonigle

Making Strong Case to Crack Opening Day Roster
Sal Stewart

Flashing Power in Spring Games
Trey Murphy III

Iffy for Thursday
Connelly Early

Ticketed to Begin Season at Triple-A?
Zion Williamson

Could Miss Thursday's Tilt
Carlos Lagrange

Impressing in Spring Training
Dejounte Murray

Sits Out Thursday's Action
Ryan Waldschmidt

Making Strong Case for Starting Job
Amen Thompson

Tagged as Questionable for Matchup With Warriors
Jabari Smith Jr.

Listed as Questionable for Thursday
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Questionable for Thursday due to Illlness
Kyshawn George

to Be Re-Evaluated in Three Weeks
Mitchell Marner

Collects Three Points on Wednesday
Tomas Hertl

Scores the Overtime Winner
Oakland Athletics

A's Open to Kyler Murray Exploring a Return to Baseball
Coby White

is Available on Wednesday
Kelly Oubre Jr.

Won't Play on Wednesday
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Suffers Small Fracture in his Finger
VJ Edgecombe

is Ruled Out on Wednesday
Isaiah Hartenstein

to Play on Wednesday
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

is Cleared for Wednesday's Contest
Collin Murray-Boyles

to Remain Sidelined on Thursday
Egor Demin

Ruled Out for Thursday's Game
Brandon Ingram

Considered Questionable For Thursday
Kyshawn George

Slated to Miss Thursday's Matchup With Jazz
Drey Jameson

Could be a Sleeper Out of the Arizona Bullpen
Brandon Williams

Expected to Suit Up Against Magic on Thursday
Rafael Devers

Feeling Much Better, Could Return This Weekend
Abner Uribe

Dominates Tigers; a Saves Candidate in Milwaukee?
Dylan Crews

Returns to Grapefruit League Lineup on Wednesday
Cooper Flagg

Considered Questionable For Thursday
Trae Young

Off Injury List For Thursday
Shane McClanahan

Throws Two Scoreless Innings in Spring Debut
Kirby Yates

Is Kirby Yates the Favorite for Closing Duties in Anaheim?
Klay Thompson

Probable For Thursday's Clash With Magic
Stefon Diggs

Patriots Releasing Stefon Diggs
Mick Abel

Making his Case as Twins Starter in 2026
Corbin Carroll

Progressing to Batting Practice Swings
Byron Buxton

Looking Like a Draft-Day Value
Trent McDuffie

Chiefs Sending Trent McDuffie to Rams in Blockbuster Deal
Taylor Moore

Looking to Build on Cognizant Classic Finish
Robert MacIntyre

Brings Solid Form to Bay Hill
Scottie Scheffler

the Tournament Favorite at Bay Hill
Jonathan Drouin

Ready to Go Wednesday
Xander Schauffele

Trending Well Ahead of API
Jake Walman

Avoids Major Injury Tuesday
Marcus Johansson

Makes Early Exit Versus Lightning
Cole Smith

Golden Knights Pick Up Cole Smith From Nashville
Michael McCarron

Sent to Wild for Second-Round Pick
Ryan O'Reilly

Sustains Eye Injury Tuesday
Artturi Lehkonen

Deemed Week-to-Week
Kevin Love

Active Wednesday Night
Si Woo Kim

Looking to Return to Top Form at Bay Hill
Leon Draisaitl

Dominates With Five-Point Game
Ben Griffin

Looking to Return to Form at Arnold Palmer Invitational
PGA

Nico Echavarria Looks to Build on Cognizant Classic Win at Arnold Palmer
Sam Burns

Searching for Consistency at Arnold Palmer Invitational
Daniel Berger

Offers Sneaky Upside at Bay Hill
Jack Hughes

Contributes With Two Assists
Dougie Hamilton

Picks Up Two Points in Win
Jacob Markstrom

Cruises to Win
Dylan Guenther

Picks Up Two Points on Tuesday Night
Jeremy Swayman

Defeats the Penguins
Justin Thomas

Making Season Debut at API Following Lower-Back Surgery
NASCAR

Collin Morikawa Hopes To Better Last Year's Runner-Up Finish at API
Tommy Fleetwood

Isn't As Confident of a Start at Bay Hill as Previous Weeks
Blake Lizotte

Unavailable Against Bruins
Kyler Murray

Will be Released
Trey Hendrickson

Bengals Not Using the Franchise Tag on Trey Hendrickson
Daniel Jones

Colts Place Transition Tag on Daniel Jones
Adam Scott

Might Endure Tough Times at Bay Hill
Aldrich Potgieter

Extremely Risky When it Comes to Bay Hill
PGA

Sungjae Im to Make Season Debut at Arnold Palmer Invitational
Jordan Spieth

an All-or-Nothing Option at Bay Hill
Harry Hall

Trying to Rebound After the Genesis Invitational
Ryan Gerard

Needs Better Start at Bay Hill
Kenneth Walker III

Won't Get the Franchise Tag
Patrick Cantlay

Still Plagued by Bad Putting Ahead of Arnold Palmer Invititational
Daniel Jones

Colts Expected to Use Transition Tag on Daniel Jones
Breece Hall

Jets Placing Franchise Tag on Breece Hall
CFB

Mark Stoops Joining Texas Coaching Staff
Jason Day

Attempts to Bounce Back from The Genesis Invitational
Jacob Bridgeman

Rolling into Arnold Palmer Invitational
Russell Henley

Looks to Defend Title at the Arnold Palmer Invitational
Khalil Mack

Will Play in 2026
MMA

Lone'er Kavanagh Gets Back In The Win Column
Brandon Moreno

Gets Outclassed
Marlon Vera

Loses Fourth Fight In A Row
Daniel Jones

Colts Have "50/50" Chance to Get a Deal Done With Daniel Jones
David Martinez

Remains Undefeated In The UFC
Daniel Zellhuber

Loses Third Consecutive Fight
King Green

Gets Second-Round TKO Win
Felipe Bunes

Drops Decision At UFC Mexico City
Édgar Cháirez

Edgar Chairez Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Ryan Blaney

Falls to Eighth Despite Running Most of the Race in the Top Five At COTA
Ty Gibbs

Wins A Stage and Finishes Fourth At COTA
Christopher Bell

Earns First Top-Five Finish of the 2026 Season at COTA
Kyler Murray

"Repeatedly" Linked to Jets
Shane Van Gisbergen

Falls Short of Victory At COTA
Tyler Reddick

Wins At COTA and Makes NASCAR History
David Montgomery

Texans Acquire David Montgomery From Lions
Kyler Murray

Likely to be Released
Travis Etienne Jr.

Not Expected to be Franchise-Tagged
Aaron Jones Sr.

Vikings Planning to Release Aaron Jones Sr.?
Tyler Reddick

Could Make History at COTA
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen Still the Favorite at COTA
Christopher Bell

Will Be Tough to Beat at COTA
AJ Allmendinger

Could Contend at COTA
Connor Zilisch

Carries Plenty of Upside for DFS at COTA
Chase Elliott

May be A Strong Contender Again at COTA
Chris Buescher

Is Nothing But Consistent at Road Courses
Ross Chastain

May Be An Underrated Competitor for the Win at COTA
William Byron

Is William Byron a Viable DFS Option for COTA?
Carson Hocevar

Needs Clean Race at COTA
Kyle Larson

Could be A Decent DFS Option for COTA Lineups
Ryan Blaney

Could Ryan Blaney be A Sleeper DFS Option for All Formats for COTA?
Chase Briscoe

Should DFS Players Roster Chase Briscoe at COTA?
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Is A Favorable Value Option for COTA DFS Lineups
Ty Gibbs

Could Ty Gibbs Be A Rosterable DFS Play for COTA?
A.J. Brown

Patriots "Have Explored Trade Talks" Involving A.J. Brown
Lone'er Kavanagh

Set For UFC Mexico City Main Event
Brandon Moreno

Looks To Bounce Back
David Martinez

Set For UFC Mexico City Co-Main Event
Marlon Vera

In Dire Need Of Victory
King Green

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Daniel Zellhuber

Aims To Snap Two-Fight Skid
Felipe Bunes

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Édgar Cháirez

Edgar Chairez A Favorite At UFC Mexico City
George Pickens

Cowboys Not Interested in Trading George Pickens
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF