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Joe Williams' MLB betting picks for 7/6/19. He analyzes Vegas lines and recommends the top expert bets for today's MLB slate including money-lines, spreads and totals.
Welcome to the Saturday, July 6th edition of RotoBaller's MLB Betting Picks. I will be serving up some of my top options on today's 15 game slate.
- Last Week's Picks: 4-1 (80.0%) +250
- Year-to-Date: 13-11 (54.2%) +132
In this article, we will dive into the numbers and pick out my top recommended betting picks for today's slate. Feel free to contact me on Twitter @JoeWilliamsVI if you have any questions or if you'd like addition content and occasional gambling notes and tidbits.
Here are my picks for Saturday, July 6th. Be sure to check out all the MLB Vegas Odds and MLB Park Factors for today's slate. Good luck!
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New York Yankees (+115) @ Tampa Bay Rays
O/U: 8.5
Yankees LHP CC Sabathia makes the start against LHP Blake Snell in Game 3 of the series. The first two games in this four-game set have gone to extra innings, with the Yankees coming out on top in both. That includes yesterday's 8-4 win in 11 innings, as the over connected thanks to the four-run 11th.
The Yankees enter 7-0 in the past seven against left-handed starting pitchers, and they're 5-0 in the past five on the road with a winning record, while going 7-2 in the past nine road games vs. LHP. While they're 1-4 in Sabathia's past five road starts, and 1-6 in his past seven road outings against winning teams, the Yankees are 12-3 in his past 15 outings against the Rays, and 7-2 in his past nine starts in St. Pete. The Rays are also just 2-5 in the past seven starts by Snell against the Bronx Bombers.
My Pick: Yankees (+115)
Miami Marlins @ Atlanta Braves (-192)
O/U: 9
The Marlins head into this game in a five-game nosedive, and they're just 17-41 in the past 58 games inside the National League East. They're a dismal 11-24 in the past 35 road outings vs. LHP, and 21-45 in the past 66 overall against southpaws.
For LHP Caleb Smith, the Marlins are 1-4 in his past five outings and 1-5 in his past six starts overall. They're also 1-4 in the past five road outings against winnings teams and 0-4 in his past four outings overall against winning clubs.
As far as the Braves are concerned, they're 19-7 in their past 26 games inside the National League East. The Braves are also 13-3 in the past 16 games at home, and 5-1 in the past six at home vs. LHP. They're also 4-1 in LHP Max Fried's past five at home, and 5-1 in his past six overall.
My Pick: Braves (-1.5, +100)
Colorado Rockies (-110) @ Arizona Diamondbacks
O/U: 8
The Rockies head into this one looking to stay hot when RHP Jon Gray is on the bump. Colorado has dropped four in a row, but they're 4-0 in Gray's past four outings, and 5-0 across his past five assignments against divisional foes. They're also 6-2 in his past eight starts on the road, too.
For the Diamondbacks, they're 4-1 in the past five at home, but they have scratched out just seven of the past 23 inside the division while going 4-10 in the past 14 against right-handed starting pitchers. They're also a dismal 3-14 in the past 17 in Game 2 of a series.
As far as LHP Robbie Ray is concerned, Arizona is 0-4 in his past four starts, 0-4 in his past four at home and 0-5 in the past five inside the division. They're also 3-10 in the past 13 at home against teams with a winning record when Ray is on the bump.
Colorado has won six of the past seven trips to Arizona, and they're a whopping 18-5 in the past 23 meetings in this series. The D-Backs are just 1-4 in Ray's past five against the Rockies, and 1-4 in the past five at home against Colorado.
My Pick: Rockies (-110)
Oakland Athletics @ Seattle Mariners (+125)
O/U: 9.5
Play the dog in Saturday's late-night AL West, as LHP Marco Gonzales toes the slab or the M's.
The Athletics are 6-1 in the past seven games overall, and they're 6-1 in the past seven road outings against a team with a losing record while winning each of the past four divisional games. They're also 4-1 in RHP Chris Bassitt's past five road outings. However, the A's are 3-9 in the past 12 starts by Bassitt when working on five days of rest, and they're 0-6 in his past six on a Saturday, while going 1-6 in his past seven starts in Game 2 of a series.
The Mariners are 1-5 in the past six vs. RHP, and 5-21 in the past 26 home games against teams with a winning record. That is the reason they're moderate underdogs at home. However, while they're just 1-4 in his Gonzales' past five home outings, they're 4-1 in his past five starts overall. More importantly, the M's are 4-1 in his past five vs. A's, while Oakland is 1-4 in Bassitt's past five against Seattle. The A's are also just 5-11 in the past 16 trips to T-Mobile Park (formerly Safeco Field).
My Pick: Mariners (+125)
