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Joe Williams' MLB betting picks for 6/29/19. He analyzes Vegas lines and recommends the top expert bets for today's MLB slate including money-lines, spreads and totals.
Welcome to the Saturday, June 29th edition of RotoBaller's MLB Betting Picks. I will be serving up some of my top options on today's 15 game slate.
- Last Week's Picks: 1-4 (20.0%) -326
- Year-to-Date: 9-10 (47.4%) -118
In this article, we will dive into the numbers and pick out my top recommended betting picks for today's slate. Feel free to contact me on Twitter @JoeWilliamsVI if you have any questions or if you'd like addition content and occasional gambling notes and tidbits.
Here are my picks for Saturday, June 22nd. Be sure to check out all the MLB Vegas Odds and MLB Park Factors for today's slate. Good luck!
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Kansas City Royals @ Toronto Blue Jays (-155)
O/U: 9
You'll have to eat a little chalk to back Blue Jays RHP Marcus Stroman, but he is the big reason to take the home side. The struggles of the Royals against right-handed starting pitchers is the other reason.
Kansas City is just 19-39 across the past 58 vs. RHP, while going 11-40 in the past 51 road outings against a righty. The Royals are also just 1-10 in the past 11 games on astroturf, and, for what it's worth, they're a dismal 0-8 in the past eight on astroturf. In addition, the Blue are 4-0 in Stroman's past four outings at home against the Royals, while going 4-1 in the past five at home against Kansas City. The Royals are also just 16-39 in their past 55 trips north of the border, and 2-6 in the past eight meetings overall.
My Pick: Blue Jays (-155)
Atlanta Braves (+105) @ New York Mets
O/U: 9.5
The Mets have been a train wreck lately, struggling with inconsistency, a lack of timely hits and then the off-field distractions of a clubhouse altercation with a member of the media, things have went from bad to worse for New York.
Atlanta has won four of its past five games inside the National League east while going 19-7 in the past 26 games overall. In addition, they're 6-1 in the past seven games against a left-handed starting pitcher, while going 6-1 in the past seven on the road against a team with a losing overall record. In addition, they're 7-3 in the past 10 starts by RHP Julio Teheran while cashing in 10 of his past 14 outings against teams with a losing record.
For New York, they have dropped six in a row and they're 0-6 in the past six against divisional foes. They're also 0-5 in the past five against right-handed starting pitchers while going 1-4 in LHP Steven Matz's past five outings and 5-11 in the past 16 at home against teams with an overall winning mark.
My Pick: Braves +105
Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) @ Colorado Rockies
O/U: 12.5
The Dodgers and Rockies have combined for 42 total runs through just the first two games, including 21 total runs for each team. There should be substantially fewer fireworks with LHP Clayton Kershaw and RHP Jon Gray facing each other at Coors Field.
In Friday's game, the Rockies snapped a 12-game losing streak against the Dodgers, now L.A. tries to start a new winning streak with Kershaw on the hump. Los Angeles has posted a 41-10 mark in the past 51 starts by Kershaw inside the division, while going 84-27 (75.7%) across his past 111 starts. They're also 37-15 in the past 52 road outings, including 25-10 in his past 35 on the road against teams with a winning overall mark.
The Rockies have been pretty good with Gray on the hill, too. They're 4-0 in his past four inside the division and 4-1 in his past five home outings overall. The Rockies are 6-1 over his past seven starts, and 6-2 in the past eight against winning teams. However, the Dodgers are 10-1 in Kershaw's past 11 road outings in Colorado, and 27-6 in his past 33 against the Rox. Eat the moderate chalk and roll with Kershaw. Parlay it with the under, which is 6-0 in Gray's past six home outings vs. L.A., and 7-1 in Kershaw's past eight showings against the Rockies.
My Pick: Dodgers -155 and Under 12.5
Oakland Athletics @ Los Angeles Angels (Under 9.5)
O/U: 9.5
Look to the under in this battle of southpaws, as LHP Brett Anderson and LHP Tyler Skaggs lock horns in SoCal.
The under is 5-2 in the past seven road games for the A's, while going 5-2 in their past seven road outings against winning teams, too. The under is also 4-0 in Anderson's past four starts inside the American League West Division while going 7-3 in his past 10 road outings against a team with a winning overall mark.
The under has cashed in five of the past six home outings while going 5-2 in the past seven overall for the Halos. The under is also 6-1 in the past seven for Skaggs at home, while going 5-1-1 in the past seven starts inside the division and 11-3-2 in the past 16 games overall in his starts. The under is also 2-0-2 in Anderson's past four road outings against the Angels, while going 3-1-2 in the past six starts overall by Anderson against the Halos. The under is also 7-3 in the past 10 outings by Skaggs against the A's.
My Pick: Under 9.5
