X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (8/5/22)

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. fantasy baseball rankings MLB news sleepers DFS lineup picks

Happy Friday, RotoBallers! Make sure you're following my Twitter, as I can't guarantee that I'll always be able to get the added plays written here in the article, but I will typically add whatever else I'm playing throughout the day. The entire RotoBaller team has been working around the clock to make sure we can get you guys the best betting picks, props, and lineups throughout the season. We're happy you're here with us and are looking forward to an extremely profitable 2022 season!

Attention fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.

If you're new, or just a refresher to those who read my articles last season, I'm John Brubaker. I've been betting MLB baseball games for four years now, and this is my second MLB season working with the great folks at RotoBaller. I've created my own betting model to help me create and identify value on run lines, totals, and money lines. In this article, I'll be providing my favorite betting picks for the MLB games on Friday, August 5, 2022. I'm continuously working to improve my models to make them more accurate, and as the season progresses, I'll share the data I have on my personal Twitter @LucidMediaDFS. Feel free to give me a follow if you haven't already, and do not hesitate to ask any questions! My DMs are always open. With all of that said, let's break down some baseball games.

Featured Promo: Want a free RotoBaller Premium Pass? Check out these sports betting promo offers from the top sportsbooks! All new sign-ups get a free bonus offer on their first deposit, and a free year of RotoBaller's Premium Pass for all sports ($450 value)! Sign Up Now!

 

LucidMedia's 2022 MLB Betting Picks

  • Season to Date: 45-54-2, -19.58 units
  • Sides: 29-33-1, -14.45 units
  • Totals: 15-21-1, -6.83 units
  • Props: 1-0 +1.70 units

 

Today's MLB Betting Picks - Blue Jays @ Twins

O/U: 8.5 | Moneyline: MIN +108

TOR: Jose Berrios | MIN: Tyler Mahle

We're finally back after two weeks of vacation, as the All-Star Break and trade deadline pass by, let's hope for a more successful second half than the first. To begin to turn the tide, I'll head out to Minnesota and take a look at the over. Minnesota will be sending Tyler Mahle (5-7, 4.40 ERA) out for his Twins debut. While Mahle has been relatively unlucky this year, given his 29.1% hard contact allowed and his 3.96 xFIP, I'm not optimistic he'll show any positive regression tonight. He's projected to have a 3.99 xFIP while allowing 38.93% hard contact.

After a runaway victory last night, the Blue Jays will look to keep forward the post-deadline momentum, sending Jose Berrios (8-4, 4.96 ERA) to the mound. Like Mahle, Berrios has been relatively unlucky this season, but I don't expect to see any positive regression today. He's allowing 31.2% hard contact on the year but is projected to allow 38.33% hard contact tonight. He's 2-1 with a 3.66 ERA against his former club, and I expect they get to him today.

I certainly wish I could've gotten to this line a bit sooner, as FanDuel Sportsbook has the total set at 8.5 (-120). My model gives this game nearly a 60% chance of going over, so we're getting solid value here. Including last night, these two teams have gone over 8.5 runs in four straight. Despite deadline moves, neither bullpen is particularly impressive either. I'll take the over.

Pick: Over 8.5 (-120) FanDuel Sportsbook, 1 unit

 

Sports Betting Promo Offers

All new sign-ups also get a free year of RotoBaller's all sports Premium Pass ($450 value)!

Sportsbook Bonus Offer Promo
Caesars Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,100 CLAIM OFFER
PointsBet Risk-Free First Bet Up To $2,000 CLAIM OFFER
BetMGM Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,000 CLAIM OFFER
FanDuel Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,000 CLAIM OFFER
DraftKings Deposit Bonus Booster Up To $1,000 CLAIM OFFER
 



 

Featured Promo

Offer is only valid for new users

All new sportsbook sign-ups get a free year of RotoBaller Premium access ($450 value)!

1. Just sign up for a new account
2. Make a minimum deposit of $20 and place any bet
3. Be sure to claim your bonus offer from the sportsbook
4. Email us at [email protected] with your new account details
5. Boom - that's it! We'll email you with your year-long RotoBaller Premium Pass

CLAIM NOW!

 


 

Today's MLB Betting Picks - Red Sox @ Royals

O/U: 9 | Moneyline: KC -102

BOS: Josh Winckowski | KC: Zack Greinke

I'll stay in the AL Central in terms of home venues this evening, this time out in Kansas City, where I'll be looking at a first inning under. The visiting Red Sox will send Josh Winckowski (4-5, 5.00 ERA). Despite the poor run prevention overall, Winckowski has been very good in the first inning. He's a perfect three-for-three in the first on the road and has held opponents scoreless in eight out of nine first innings overall.

He'll take on veteran Zack Greinke (3-6, 4.41 ERA). Similar to Winckowski in terms of run prevention, he's been very solid in the opening frame. He's definitely found solace in Kauffman Stadium, where he's yet to allow a first-inning run in eight starts at his home ballpark. For what it's worth, he hasn't been bad on the road either, allowing a first-inning run in just two of 19 starts overall.

The Sox have scored in the first inning in just over 30% of games on the road, and in just 26% of games overall. Conversely, the Royals have scored in the first in just over 25% in both their home games and overall games. Before putting up two runs each in the first last night, both teams had gone ten straight without scoring. FanDuel Sportsbook is giving us great value on the under at -111. My model gives the under a 71.5% chance of hitting, so we'll happily take the value here.

Pick: Under 0.5 First-Inning Runs (-111) FanDuel Sportsbook, 1 unit

 

Good luck, RotoBallers, and make sure to follow my Twitter for more plays. See you tomorrow!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

ROTOBALLER PLAYER NEWS

Deshaun Watson9 hours ago

Settlement Talks Ongoing In Deshaun Watson Case
Estevan Florial9 hours ago

Expected To Join Yankees Wednesday
Michael Harris II9 hours ago

Braves, Michael Harris II Complete Eight-Year Extension Tuesday
Brandon Ingram10 hours ago

Pelicans Not Looking To Trade Brandon Ingram To Nets
Chicago Bulls10 hours ago

Bulls Sign Carlik Jones To Exhibit 10 Deal
San Antonio Spurs10 hours ago

Alize Johnson, Spurs Agree To One-Year Deal
Donovan Mitchell10 hours ago

Knicks, Jazz Re-Enter Donovan Mitchell Trade Talks
11 hours ago

Justin Lewis Out Indefinitely
Clay Holmes11 hours ago

Appears Headed For Injured List
Jaren Jackson11 hours ago

Jr. Should Be 100% After Rehab
Cam Akers11 hours ago

' Injury Not Considered Serious
Michael Harris II11 hours ago

Braves, Michael Harris II Closing In On Eight-Year Extension
Tyler Herro11 hours ago

Not Concerned With Trade Rumors
Taijuan Walker13 hours ago

Removed From Tuesday's Start Against Atlanta
Easop Winston Jr.13 hours ago

Browns Claim Easop Winston Jr. Off Waivers
Drew Lock13 hours ago

Tests Positive For COVID, To Miss Thursday's Game
Kenneth Walker III13 hours ago

Dealing With A Hernia
Demarcus Robinson15 hours ago

Released By Raiders
Drew Lock15 hours ago

To Start On Thursday
Luis Robert15 hours ago

Could Return Wednesday
Cody Bellinger15 hours ago

Getting A Few Days Off To "Reset"
New England Patriots15 hours ago

Malcolm Butler Placed On Injured Reserve
Rashaad Penny15 hours ago

Returns To Practice
Paul Blackburn16 hours ago

Shut Down For The Season
Xander Bogaerts16 hours ago

Out With Sore Shin Tuesday
Kyle Schwarber17 hours ago

Likely Out Until Friday
Tennessee Titans17 hours ago

Lonnie Johnson Jr. Claimed Off Waivers By Titans
Tanner Houck17 hours ago

Diagnosed With Disc Issue
San Francisco 49ers17 hours ago

49ers Release Robert Nkemdiche
New York Jets17 hours ago

Mekhi Becton Officially Placed On Injured Reserve
Luis Robert17 hours ago

To Remain Out On Tuesday
Zach Wilson17 hours ago

Surgery Deemed A Success
Brett Baty17 hours ago

To Be Called Up Wednesday
Ke'Bryan Hayes17 hours ago

Lands On Injured List With Back Spasms
Carlos Carrasco17 hours ago

Expected To Miss 3-4 Weeks
Kyle Schwarber18 hours ago

To Miss His Fifth Straight Game Tuesday
DJ LeMahieu18 hours ago

Remains Out For Tuesday's Game
JuJu Smith-Schuster19 hours ago

Dealing With Sore Knee
Mike Evans19 hours ago

Russell Gage Won't Practice This Week
Michael Thomas19 hours ago

Saints Say Michael Thomas Will Be Ready
Freddy Tarnok19 hours ago

Atlanta Recalls Freddy Tarnok
Jaylen Waddle19 hours ago

Misses Practice Tuesday
Chicago Bears19 hours ago

Roquan Smith Will Travel For Second Preseason Game
Antonio Gibson20 hours ago

Washington Wants Antonio Gibson To Be More Decisive
Robert Woods20 hours ago

To See Plenty Of Targets
Trey Lance20 hours ago

49ers Won't Ask Too Much Of Trey Lance
Shea Langeliers22 hours ago

Called Up By A's
Dustin May23 hours ago

To Make Season Debut Saturday
Eddie Rosario1 day ago

Day-To-Day With Left Hamstring Tightness
Sahith Theegala1 day ago

Flashes Last Week At St. Jude
Mito Pereira1 day ago

Starting To Improve
Cam Davis1 day ago

Keeps Rolling With Another Top Finish
Si Woo Kim1 day ago

Inconsistent Heading To BMW Championship
Adam Hadwin1 day ago

Tries To Recover From Last Week's Implosion
Brian Harman1 day ago

Tries To Continue Momentum From St. Jude
Chez Reavie1 day ago

Attempts To Stay In FedEx Playoff Hunt
Patrick Cantlay2 days ago

Tries To Recover From Rough Weekend
Boston Celtics2 days ago

Juhann Begarin To Stay With Paris Basketball In 2022
Dominick Cruz2 days ago

Suffers A Big Loss On Saturday
MMA2 days ago

Marlon Vera Produces Highlight-Reel Knockout Win
Miami Heat2 days ago

Udonis Haslem Unsure About Future
Orlando Magic2 days ago

Alex Morales Lands Exhibit 10 Deal With Orlando
Kevin Durant2 days ago

Says He's Not Retiring
David Onama2 days ago

Puts On A Show On Saturday
Nate Landwehr2 days ago

Picks Up A Win Saturday
Iasmin Lucindo2 days ago

Impresses But Drops Decision In Octagon Debut
Yazmin Jauregui2 days ago

Shines In UFC Debut
Devin Clark2 days ago

Suffers Third-Round TKO Loss
Azamat Murzakanov2 days ago

Earns Second TKO Victory
Ariane Lipski2 days ago

Continues To Have Issues In The UFC
MMA2 days ago

Priscila Cachoeira Earns Big Knockout In First Round
Bruno Silva2 days ago

Drops Second Straight Fight
Gerald Meerschaert2 days ago

Successful In Main-Card Opener
Kyrie Irving2 days ago

Allegedly Had Interesting Contract Demands
Donovan Mitchell2 days ago

Knicks Remain Frontrunners In Donovan Mitchell Sweepstakes
Jaylen Brown3 days ago

Still Being Discussed In Durant Deal
Russell Westbrook3 days ago

Training Camp A "Soft Deadline" For Russell Westbrook Move
NBA3 days ago

Lakers/Mavericks, Grizzlies/Warriors Likely To Play Christmas Day
De'Anthony Melton3 days ago

Drops 26 Points In Drew League Playoffs
Dallas Mavericks3 days ago

Dallas Inks McKinley Wright IV, Mouhamadou Gueye To Deals
Kyle Busch3 days ago

Starts 29th At Richmond Sunday
Chase Elliott3 days ago

Not Happy In Qualifying On Saturday
Christopher Bell3 days ago

Starts 21st On Sunday At Richmond
Chris Buescher3 days ago

Long Shot To Finish Top Ten
Joey Logano3 days ago

Could Move Up At Richmond
Chase Briscoe3 days ago

Begins In Row Eight For Sunday
Ty Gibbs3 days ago

Enjoying Extended Run With 23XI Racing
Kevin Harvick3 days ago

Poised For A Possible Top Ten Result
Austin Dillon3 days ago

Begins Sunday 12th At Richmond
NASCAR3 days ago

Bubba Wallace Starts 11th At Richmond Sunday
Denver Nuggets4 days ago

Justin Tillman Joins Nuggets For 2022-23 Season
Sacramento Kings4 days ago

Sacramento Adds Sam Merrill For 2022-23 Season
Houston Rockets4 days ago

Willie Cauley-Stein Inks One-Year Deal With Rockets
Dominick Cruz6 days ago

Returns To Action At UFC Fight Night
Marlon Vera6 days ago

Set For Main Event Against A Former Champion
Nate Landwehr6 days ago

Looking To Break .500 UFC Record On Saturday
David Onama6 days ago

Looking For Third-Straight Finish
MMA6 days ago

Iasmin Lucindo Set For UFC Debut Against Fellow Newcomer
Maverick McNealy6 days ago

Set For Debut At TPC Southwind
Keith Mitchell6 days ago

Has Something To Play For At TPC Southwind
Corey Conners6 days ago

Has Great Value At TPC Southwind
Yazmin Jauregui7 days ago

Set For Big UFC Debut
Azamat Murzakanov7 days ago

Can Remain Undefeated
Devin Clark7 days ago

Hopes To Build Off Of His Last Win
Max Homa7 days ago

Looks To Cap Off A Strong Year
Cameron Young7 days ago

Looking Forward To The FedEx Cup
Webb Simpson7 days ago

Hopes To Find Form In Memphis
Bruno Silva7 days ago

Looking To Rebound On Saturday
PGA7 days ago

Joohyung “Tom” Kim Peaking Heading Into Playoffs
Denny McCarthy7 days ago

A High-Risk, High-Reward Play This Week
Aaron Wise7 days ago

Struggling On Approach
Sam Burns7 days ago

Relying On Red Hot Putter
Cameron Smith7 days ago

Continues To LIV On The Edge
Jon Rahm7 days ago

Has Incredible Driving Streak Snapped
PGA7 days ago

Sungjae Im Enters Week With Back-To-Back Second-Place Finishes
Erik Jones1 week ago

Will Start In 10th
Denny Hamlin1 week ago

Starts In Ninth
Kyle Larson1 week ago

Starts In Eighth Place
Martin Truex Jr1 week ago

. Starts In Seventh
Tyler Reddick1 week ago

Aims For Third Win
Austin Cindric1 week ago

Starts In Fifth Place
Joey Logano1 week ago

Starts In Fourth
Kyle Busch1 week ago

Starts In Third Place
Christopher Bell1 week ago

Starts On The Front Row
NASCAR1 week ago

Bubba Wallace Nabs The Pole
Brad Keselowski1 week ago

Could Move Up On Sunday
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Carlos Rodon - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Starts & Sits for MLB Week 19 - All Starting Pitcher Matchups for Fantasy Baseball

Welcome back RotoBallers! Big week in fantasy leagues as we approach the end of the season and playoffs! As always, we are here with our starting pitcher starts and sits series to help you set those winning lineups for the week ahead! For those who are not familiar, RotoBaller puts out a weekly grid of... Read More


pablo lopez fantasy baseball rankings starting pitcher draft sleepers MLB injury news

Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (8/17/22)

It's Wednesday, August 17th, 2022 and there is an exciting slate of 15 MLB games today. Max Scherzer takes the mound today, as does Carlos Rodon. Those two pitchers could pitch to anyone and I'd be interested in watching. As far as playoff races go, the Guardians, Twins, and White Sox are all within a game of each... Read More


George Kirby - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Thunder Dan's MLB Betting Picks for August 17: Pitcher Props, Totals, Money Line Bets

I'm still grinding MLB bets every day and if you're here reading this right now, I assume that you are, too! Whether you like game totals, sides, or player props, I have something in here for you and try to cover a little bit of everything! Last month, I started my own free sports betting... Read More


sandy alcantara fantasy baseball rankings starting pitchers draft sleepers

Updated MLB Starting Pitcher Rankings for Fantasy Baseball: The Top-101 Baller Ranks

We're in the second half of August and you need to either maximize the remaining innings in roto leagues or line up the best arms for H2H matchups. Sadly, this week's edition is a bit bare as I'm dealing with family emergencies and the hospital WiFi isn't so great! I'll hit you with a top-101... Read More


max scherzer fantasy baseball rankings draft sleepers mlb injury news

DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (8/17/22): Today's Top MLB DFS Lineups

Welcome back to another edition of the FREE DraftKings and FanDuel MLB DFS picks. As customary, we have an all-day ledger on tap Wednesday, and although DraftKings does not have a full-day slate, FanDuel does. Consequently, today's article will feature picks on both sites for games throughout the day, as even on DK, the suggestions... Read More


MLB injuries fantasy baseball injury news updates stock

Daily MLB Injury Roundup for August 17th, 2022

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for August 17th, 2022. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Aroldis Chapman - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Relief Pitchers, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News Updates

MLB Closers and Saves: Fantasy Baseball Depth Charts

Saves are an important component for many fantasy baseball leagues. Closers are one of the most volatile positions in fantasy baseball, and one of the highest turnover positions in MLB. Each year, closers drop like flies and many MLB teams make in-season changes due to injuries or poor performance. In addition to closers and saves, relief... Read More


Vaughn Grissom - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Prospects, Draft Sleepers

Vaughn Grissom: Champ or Chump for Fantasy Baseball

When it comes to prospects, there are two camps that fantasy managers can fall into. Some have severe FOMO and attempt to roster every player called up with even a moderate pedigree, often wasting roster spots that could have been better used on older breakout players or consistent veterans. Others need a reason to roster... Read More


Are You For Real? Surprising MLB Pitcher Starts from Week 19

Welcome back to "Are You For Real?", a weekly column where we take starting pitchers who had surprisingly good starts over the past week and put them under the microscope to determine whether they're legit or just smoke and mirrors. We've got a pair of arms in the AL East to take a peek at... Read More


fantasy baseball prospects MLB prospects rookies call-ups

Hot MLB Prospects To Watch For Fantasy Baseball - Week 19

Welcome back, RotoBallers! The All-Star Break and trade deadline is in the rearview mirror. We're heading into Week 20 of the fantasy baseball season, and the minor league season rages on. It would be foolish to proceed without highlighting the top performances from Week 19. It's imperative to monitor the top fantasy baseball prospects who... Read More


Brandon Woodruff - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (8/16/22)

Happy Tuesday everybody! Yes, I know it's only the middle of the week, but did you know that Tuesday is the only weekday that you can count on a full slate of baseball games? Hey, that sounds like the perfect day to me. Welcome back, RotoBallers! In this article, I'll be providing my MLB favorite... Read More


DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (8/16/22): Today's Top MLB DFS Lineups

It's Tuesday, August 16th which means we get our first full slate of the week in MLB. With about six weeks left in the season, the playoff races are heating up with a lot of exciting action down the stretch! This article has daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for FanDuel and DraftKings on 8/16/2022, Main... Read More


robbie ray fantasy baseball rankings starting pitchers draft sleepers MLB injury news

Thunder Dan's MLB Betting Picks for August 16: Pitcher Props, Totals, Money Line Bets

I'm still grinding MLB bets every day and if you're here reading this right now, I assume that you are, too! Whether you like game totals, sides, or player props, I have something in here for you and try to cover a little bit of everything! Last month, I started my own free sports betting... Read More