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Week 10 college football DFS lineups, sleepers and value picks for DraftKings on November 3rd. Target these NCAA players in CFB daily fantasy tournaments and cash games.
Welcome to week 10! DraftKings really decided to shake things up this week, changing the Main slate from 10 games to - wait for it - 11! While I have been negative about their game selection in recent weeks, I have to give them credit where it's due - this weeks' games are much more attractive from a daily fantasy perspective than those in weeks 7-9. It might just be a product of the fact that there are a ton of awesome games this week, but either way, it's a beautiful slate. One interesting note - of the 11 home teams, just four are favorites in Vegas, and two of those favorites (Florida and Texas) are favored by less than seven points.
When I mentioned above what an attractive slate this is, I meant it from a watch-ability angle and, of course, the Vegas angle. Six of these games are projected for more than 60 points, and just one is projected for less than 50! This means we have a handful of good stacking opportunities, and it should equate to ownership being a little more spread out. The game with the most allure happens to be a game between two basketball schools, as Syracuse visits Wake Forest in a game with a 75 point total and a 6.5 point spread (Syracuse a road favorite). The Nebraska at Ohio State game is worth mentioning because of the 72.5 point total, but the blowout risk is high in this one, with the Buckeyes favored by 18 points. In my opinion, the second most attractive game is happening in Oxford, Mississipi - visiting South Carolina is a one-point favorite over Ole Miss, with a total of 69. Moving on down, both the Oklahoma State at Baylor (68 point total, 7.5 point spread) and Georgia Tech at UNC matchup (64 point total, 6 point spread) look ripe for stacks as well.
In this article, I will be providing you with my daily fantasy college football lineup picks for DraftKings on 11/3/18. The lineup picks will range from some of the elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for sites like FanDuel, and other sports too. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to hit me up on Twitter @kpLuch.
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DraftKings DFS Quarterbacks
Eric Dungey - QB, at Wake Forest ($8,400)
Dungey played perhaps his best game of the season last week, completing 27 of 38 attempts for over 400 yards, along with three touchdowns to zero interceptions. He did fumble, but made up for it and then some with 32 yards rushing and a score on the ground as well. The good news is that this game script and matchup project pretty similarly to last weeks affair - there's going to be a lot of points, and Wake Forest's defense is sub-par at best. They're extremely vulnerable through the air and have allowed an average of 287 pass yards a game. And honestly, that number would probably be bigger if opposing teams weren't blowing out the Demon Deacons so often. This game projects for the most points on the slight with an extremely attractive 75 point total. The price for Dungey is pretty attractive as well - he's had little trouble hitting value this season in tougher environments. I like his points floor and the ceiling on Saturday.
Jawon Pass - QB, at Clemson ($4,900)
Cash game players - this is your cue to look away. By no means is Jawon Pass a safe play on Saturday, but the upside and potential point-per-dollar return have me very enticed for GPP action. Clemson has arguably the best defense of any team on this slate - led by a dominant defensive line and strong front seven unit. Because of that, I think Louisville will be forced to abandon the run game early and air it out quite a bit. The game script - partially due to the fact they're major underdogs (+38.5 !) - has me believing this will be a pass dominant game on the Louisville side. While Pass hasn't had too many great fantasy point outcomes, he has topped 19+ DraftKings points in three of the past four games. If he's able to do that at this price point, he cashes value easily and then some. Looking through Lousiville's game logs also added to Pass' intrigue for me - he has attempted 35+ passes in three of his last four games. The matchup is absolutely tough, but the opportunity through volume is there.
Also consider at Quarterback: Taylor Cornelius - QB, at Baylor ($8,700) - Cash and GPP
DraftKings DFS Running Backs
Travis Etienne - RB, vs Louisville ($7,700)
I like Etienne this week for a lot of the projected game script reasons that I like Jawon Pass in tournaments - running backs generally perform above salary based expectations when the team is a heavy favorite. Etienne, however, makes for a fine play in either format, cash or tournaments. The Clemson running back is one of the most talented in the country, and he's been smashing value on DraftKings. He did put up a dud in his last game, but that seems to have been purely volume related as he only carried the ball 10 times. The bright side of that dud is the salary reduction - his $7,700 price tag is the lowest it has been in four weeks. The matchup, of course, is a great one. Everyone and their mother has found success against the Louisville defense this season, and they're weaker against the run than against the pass.
Devine Ozigbo - RB, at Ohio State ($6,500)
Much has been made about the prowess of the Buckeye defense, but they're a softer group than they were to start the season and have surrendered 125+ yards to a single opposing running back five times already this season. After a dud four weeks ago against Wisconsin, Ozigbo's play has been trending upwards. The senior back has had quite a few explosive plays and has averaged more than seven yards per carry in each of the past three weeks. In that same span, he's eclipsed 110 yards each time and he's even done so without a huge volume of carries, averaging 15 carries per game while finding the end zone five times. The Cornhuskers are big underdogs, but Vegas is expecting a ton of points and I'm expecting Scott Frost will give his senior multiple chances to positively impact the Nebraska offense.
Also Consider at Running Back: Scottie Phillips - RB, vs South Carolina ($6,800) - Cash and GPP
DraftKings DFS Wide Receivers
Nykeim Johnson - WR, at Wake Forest ($5,100)
A wide receiver who has been playing increasingly well, in a pass-heavy game script against a horrible secondary? Sign me up! Johnson makes for one of my favorite plays at receiver because of the matchup and price, and makes for a strong stacking partner with Orange quarterback Eric Dungey. The 5'8 slot man is a great route runner and his speed makes him an above-average deep threat. He's totaled more than 100 yards in each of the past two games, having hauled in 12 catches in that span - two that went for scores.
Deebo Samuel - WR, at Ole Miss ($6,400)
One of the earliest things I learned this season in watching SEC games is that the Ole Miss offense has a lot of firepower - but their defense can't stop a damn thing. The latter part of that statement is what has me interested in a few pieces of the Gamecocks offense - namely top wideout Deebo Samuel. Samuel and his teammates all have favorable price points, especially considering the fact that this game projects as tightly-contested, high-scoring shootout. Samuel has a nice points floor and a knack for finding the end zone, too.
Also Consider at Wide Receiver: Jamal Custis - WR, at Wake Forest ($6,200); Greg Dortch - WR, vs Syracuse ($7,900)
