Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

DFS Wide Receivers To Target In The Divisional Round


In the Wild Card Round of the NFL Playoffs, there were several disappointing performances from quarterbacks which contributed to low production from some wide receivers. D.K. Metcalf ended the week as the No. 1 receiver and was a bright spot, but on the low side, Mohamed Sanu was absolutely dreadful, hauling in just one of his five targets for just 11 yards. Here is a complete statistical recap of the Wildcard Round recommendations:

This week, I am staying away from A.J. Brown for the second week in a row. Brown is good against man coverage and that's what the Ravens play for the most part, but the Ravens also have solid man-to-man cornerbacks who are capable of keeping Brown in check. When targeted in the passing game, all of the Ravens cornerbacks surrender about 10 yards-per-catch while in coverage, and Marcus Peters is the only cornerback that's surrendered more than three touchdowns (five) on the season. That being said, Peters is an aggressive defensive back and Brown may be able to get by him if Peters makes an aggressive play on the ball, but I don't know if I want to take a chance on that happening. On another note, although the Ravens rush defense gave up a stingy 93.4 yards-per-game on the ground this year, they did give up 4.4 yards-per-carry which tied them with the Cardinals for 12th-worst in the league. If the Titans commit to the running game again this week, Derrick Henry may come through for a second week in a row. I am going to fade the Vikings receivers this week as well. Although the 49ers Defense was vulnerable at times down the stretch, they were banged up. They are now rested and healthy and will likely return to the form which led them to surrender a league-best 5.9 yards-per-pass. On top of that, Stefon Diggs has been sick this week and Adam Thielen suffered an ankle injury in practice which makes things a little dicey.

I am also fading both Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf this week. The Packers Defense has given up just 19 passing touchdowns this season and just 232.6 yards-per-game through the air while giving up a healthy 4.7 yards-per-carry which is seventh-worst in the league. This leads me to believe Seattle will lean on the running game this week and pound the rock with Marshawn Lynch early and often. Although the Buffalo Bills lost against the Houston Texans last week, they put up the most total offense out of all the teams competing in the Wildcard Round. The Bills were able to run the ball for 172 yards and pass for 253 yards against that Texans Defense, both marks were second-best on the week. That being said, I am going to lean on Kansas City Chiefs players this weekend for the Divisional Round. As you will read below, many of the best wide receiver plays on the week are higher-end guys who are on the expensive side. That being said, Mark Ingram is the forth-most expensive running back on the board even though he is nursing a calf injury and Dalvin Cook, who is the third-most-expensive running back on the board has a difficult matchup against the 49ers Defense. If you roll with just one of the higher-end running backs and go with a guy like Duke Johnson as your RB2, you will be able to fit two of these stud, higher-priced receivers into your DFS lineups this weekend.

Editor's Note: Get any rest-of-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive DFS Tools, Lineup Optimizer and Premium DFS Research through the Super Bowl. Sign Up Now!

 

Divisional Round WR/CB Matchups to Exploit

Davante Adams ($8,400 FanDuel / $7,800 DraftKings) vs Tre Flowers

The Seahawks Defense has been vulnerable against the pass all season and Davante Adams is the main threat in the Packers passing game. The other Packers receivers are simply too hard to trust, and over his last three games, Adams has at least 13 targets in each, and has gained at least 93 yards and scored in two of those three games. The Seahawks defense struggles against the run, giving up 4.9 yards-per-carry, but this is the playoffs, and the Packers aren't going to hold anything back. They're going to feed their studs to win this game with Adams being one of them. While the Seahawks give up 263.9 passing yards-per-game, they have only surrendered 19 touchdowns through the air which ties them with the Packers for fifth-best in the league. While Adams isn't a good bet to score this week, he is likely to get targeted north of 10 times and rack up over 100 yards. If Seattle makes this game a shootout, Adams will go off.

Marquise Brown ($5,300 FanDuel / $4,400 DraftKings) vs Tramaine Brock

The Titans Defense has given up 55 plays of 20+ receiving yards on the season and Tramaine Brock has given up the second-most receiving yards while in coverage out of all the Titans cornerbacks even though he hasn't played in all of their games. Brock surrenders a catch rate of just under 70% and opposing quarterbacks have a rating of 110.7 while throwing in his direction. Out of the 472 yards that Brock has given up in coverage this year, 222 of them have come after the catch, which means there's a really good chance that Marquise Brown catches one and takes it a long way to the house this weekend. The Titans are very good against the run, giving up just 4.0 yards-per-carry, which means Lamar Jackson may have to win this game with his arm, especially with Mark Ingram still feeling the effects of his calf injury.

Tyreek Hill ($7,900 FanDuel / $7,600 DraftKings) vs Gareon Conley

Nobody in the NFL can run with Tyreek Hill, and the Chiefs will likely take a few shots to him early in an effort to put some points on the board quickly against the shaky Texans secondary. The Texans Defense gave up 58 plays of 20+ passing yards during the regular season which was eighth-worst in the league which indicates they are susceptible to the big play. These two teams faced off earlier this year in Hill's first game back from injury, and he was able to haul in five of his 10 targets for 80 yards and two touchdowns.

Deebo Samuel ($6,100 FanDuel / $5,200 DraftKings) vs Xavier Rhodes

Xavier Rhodes played very well last week against the New Orleans Saints, but he was banged up in the game, suffering what appeared to be a shoulder injury. Deebo Samuel is extremely difficult to bring down after the catch and if Rhodes is still suffering the effects of his injury, he may have trouble containing Samuel. Even without the injury, Rhodes has given up more yards after the catch than any other Vikings cornerback this season which sets up well for Samuel.

DeAndre Hopkins ($8,100 FanDuel / $7,400 DraftKings) vs Bashaud Breeland

The Chiefs Defense has been playing very well over the last few weeks and I understand that. However, the Chiefs are going to put a lot of points on the board against the vulnerable Texans defense which will force Deshaun Watson to put the ball in the air often. The Chiefs are almost double-digit favorites in this game, and if the Texans go down, they will go down swinging, throwing the ball to their No. 1 receiver, DeAndre Hopkins. Bashaud Breeland and the rest of the Chiefs secondary is playing very well, but Hopkins will get his. I would, however, rank Hopkins behind both Davante Adams and Tyreek Hill this week.

More Fantasy Football Analysis




More Recent Articles

 

Biggest Breakouts Of 2019: Wide Receivers

As we enter the initial phase of offseason activities you have recently completed a painstaking process of creating and managing rosters, with the goal of winning fantasy championships in 2019. Now, many of you have already shifted your focus toward planning your drafts in Best Ball and redraft leagues, while others are contemplating how you... Read More


Fantasy Football Starts and Sits: Conference Championships Matchups Analysis

Welcome to our NFL Conference Championships matchups analysis and start/sit column for fantasy football. We'll be covering both of the AFC and NFC contests from the Sunday slate, helping you make the best decisions for your DFS contests this weekend. Be sure to check back regularly because this article will be updated as news comes in regarding injuries... Read More


Conference Championships Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More


Tight End ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward their owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More


Running Back ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, a sure-fire player is expected to reward his owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they end up as a season-long dud, though,... Read More


Dynasty Players to Sell in 2020

Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano share their top sell candidates for dynasty football leagues in the 2020 fantasy football preseason. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well! Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (channel Sirius 210,... Read More


Biggest Surprises of 2019: Tight End

The 2019 NFL season was anything but predictable. I mean, the Tennessee Titans made the AFC title game! Andrew Luck retired right before the season! [Insert one of many, many other things here, because all lists need three items but I couldn't decide between all the possible third options.] One position where things at the... Read More


Wide Receiver ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward his owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More


Biggest Busts of 2019: Quarterback

The 2019 NFL season is over, and it's time to look back on what happened. 2019 was a year where some quarterbacks -- Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen -- leaped up to the top of the fantasy charts, while other guys faded from where they were expected to perform. Today, I want to talk about three... Read More


Four and Out: Fantasy Outlooks for Divisional Round Losers

For the four teams that were eliminated in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs, the offseason has begun. For many fantasy football owners, the days have already started counting down to next season. Owners in dynasty leagues have started to mull over their decisions.  How some guys perform in the playoffs can certainly alter... Read More


Quarterback ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward their owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More


Biggest Busts of 2019: Wide Receivers

After a very interesting season of fantasy football action, many owners were left with a bitter taste in their mouth from a few of the “elite” NFL wide receivers. While Michael Thomas dominated and Julio Jones was his usual reliable self, not all was good if you played it safe by taking a receiver early.... Read More


Quarterback Risers and Fallers: 2019 Season Review

This article will examine the biggest risers and fallers at the quarterback position, which proved to be the most impactful in fantasy leagues as is often the case. Of the top-25 players in fantasy this season, 18 of them played the QB position and none of the 18 scored less than 280 fantasy points on... Read More


XFL Fantasy Football Rankings (Preseason)

As of this writing, there is exactly one month until XFL regular-season action begins. On February 8, the latest upstart professional league will kickoff (again) with spring football. It goes without saying that we hope it goes better than the first time, back in 2001, and lasts longer than the AAF. Before you settle in... Read More


Wide Receiver Risers and Fallers: 2019 Season Review

We continue our series covering the biggest risers and fallers of 2019 with the wide receiver position. I'll look at both 2018 and 2019 statistical outcomes from every player, contrast their performances, calculate differences in each category and come up with the most prominent names going forward. This past season, receivers didn't dominate in fantasy,... Read More