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DFS NASCAR Advanced Stats for DraftKings, FanDuel: Toyota Owners 400 Lineup Picks

Christopher Bell - NASCAR DFS Picks, Betting Picks, Daily Fantasy NASCAR

Scott Engel uses Loop Data and RotoBaller's NASCAR DFS Research Station tool for DFS insights and analysis for DraftKings and FanDuel DFS lineup picks for the Toyota Owners 400.

My NASCAR “By the DFS Numbers” Race Previews include a combination of statistical markers from Loop Data reports and the RotoBaller NASCAR Cup Series Research Station. Loop Data, which are the advanced statistics that are electronically recorded by NASCAR to accurately illustrate how drivers truly perform, are featured as highly relevant indicators.

Loop Data stats are useful in DFS NASCAR in revealing which drivers have performed the best at certain tracks. They determine how a driver performs without the negative factors of crashes, car issues, and pit problems.

The NASCAR Research Station is one of our most important features in the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass package. It is a deluxe suite of advanced NASCAR statistics that can help you identify the top drivers and value plays for ideal lineup constructions every week. It includes historical, recent, and projected stats, along with Loop Data.

 

Toyota Owners 400 Loop Data And Research Station Overview

If you want to work on your fantasy NASCAR setup with all the best statistical tools, the Research Station is your numerical garage for DraftKings and FanDuel lineup building. Get access to the Research Station with the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass. Enter promo code KING at checkout for an additional discount. We also have Research Stations for the Xfinity and Truck Series.

Drivers are listed in order of preference for lineup usage based on their pricing tiers. All Loop Data stats cover the last four events at Richmond Raceway unless otherwise noted. We use DraftKings prices as a basis, but most of what is recommended should also be applied to FanDuel lineup builds. Selected Research Station indicators are highlighted in italics.

Key stats from the RotoBaller NASCAR Research Station

 

Toyota Owners 400: By The DFS Numbers

Christopher Bell: First among Closers (4.8 spots gained in the final 10 percent of races at Richmond).  Tied for third in Fastest Laps Run (90). Tied for the best Implied Odds to Win (11.7 percent). Projected to score the most Fantasy Points (69.65). Bell starts 29th and will be widely rostered as a prime Place Differential target.

Denny Hamlin: First in Driver Rating at Richmond Raceway over the past four races (110.0) and all-time (109.0). Second in Fastest Laps Run (96). First in Green Flag Speed. First in Quality Passes (passes of cars in the Top 15 while under Green Flag conditions, 265). Tied for the best Implied Odds to Win (11.7 percent). Projected to score the second-most Fantasy Points (65.80). Has finished in the Top 3 in two of his last four starts on short/flat tracks.

Kyle Larson: Projected to score 57.80 Fantasy Points, the most of any driver below $10.5K. Has finished in the Top 4 in five of his last eight starts on short/flat tracks. Fastest Speed in Practice.

William Byron: Fourth in Driver Rating (96.6). Tied for third in Fastest Laps Run (90). First in Laps Led (239).

Martin Truex Jr: Second in Driver Rating (98.9). Third in Laps Led (154). Second-best Implied Odds to Win (10.0).

Ty Gibbs: He has 33 percent Implied Odds of finishing in the Top 5, which is best for any driver priced at $10K or below.

Ryan Blaney: Best 10-Consecutive Lap Average in practice. Has finished in the Top 5 in his last three starts on short/flat tracks.

Chris Buescher: First in Fastest Laps Run (110). Second in Green Flag Passes (495). Third in Green Flag Speed. Tied for the best Implied Odds to finish in the Top 5 of any driver below $9.5K (28.0 percent). Third Fastest in Practice. Has finished in the Top 8 in his last three starts on short/flat tracks.

Kyle Busch: Second-best all-time Driver Rating at RR. (108.0). Third in Green Flag Passes (486). Third in Quality Passes (244).

Joey Logano: Third in Driver Rating (98.5). Fastest On Restarts in the last four Richmond races. Second in Laps Led (223). Second in Quality Passes (256). Second-Fastest in Practice. Projected to score 50.60 Fantasy Points, the most of any driver below $10K. Has finished in the Top 5 in four of his last six starts on short/flat tracks. Second-most Fantasy Points Gained vs. Similar Drivers (29.4).

Tyler Reddick: Tied for the best Implied Odds of any driver below $9.5K to finish in the Top 5 (28.0 percent).  A quality PD target, Reddick starts from the 19th spot.

Brad Keselowski: Projected to score 50.10 Fantasy Points, the second-most of any driver below $10K. Third in Driver Rating Gained vs. Similar Drivers (18.0). Keselowski has to be considered for PD potential, as he starts from the 23rd position.

Josh Berry: Finished second at RR last year in the Cup Series and third in the Xfinity Series. Best Implied Odds to finish in the Top 10 of any driver $7.5K or below (24.0 percent). Projected to score 47.70 Fantasy Points, the most of any driver below $8K. Has finished in the Top 11 in five of his last six starts on short/flat tracks. Second in Driver Rating Gained vs. Similar Drivers (27.3). Most Fantasy Points Gained vs. Similar Drivers (64.0).

Chase Briscoe: First in Green Flag Passes (497). Projected to score 48.80 Fantasy Points, the second-most of any driver below $8K.

Bubba Wallace: Best Implied Odds of any driver below $8K to finish in the Top 10 (38.0 percent).

Alex Bowman: Second-best 10-Consecutive Lap Average in practice.  

Michael McDowell: Projected to score 44.25 Fantasy Points, the most of any driver below $7.5K. McDowell is another PD consideration, as he starts from the 31st spot on the grid.

John Hunter Nemechek: Fourth-best practice speed.

NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks

More Fantasy NASCAR Analysis



The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success

NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller!
Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.

Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.

Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

George Kittle

Suffers Torn Achilles on Sunday
Aaron Holiday

is Moving into Starting Five
Aaron Gordon

is Available on Sunday
Christian Braun

is Downgraded to Out
Jamal Murray

is Unavailable on Sunday
Omarion Hampton

Active for Wild-Card Round Against Patriots
Kristaps Porzingis

Won't Play on Sunday
Kevin Porter Jr.

is Available to Play on Sunday
Christian Braun

Downgraded to Questionable on Sunday
Tyler Herro

to Suit Up on Sunday
Norman Powell

Ruled Out for Sunday's Game
Victor Wembanyama

Cleared for Sunday
George Kittle

Ruled Out After Non-Contact Achilles Injury
Cole Perfetti

Contributes Two Assists in Sunday's Win
Carl Grundstrom

Misses Sunday's Practice
Jrue Holiday

Cleared to Suit Up Versus New York
Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders Request Interview With Ejiro Evero
Josh Hart

Returning on Sunday Night
Travis Konecny

Hurt at Sunday's Practice
Thatcher Demko

Lands on Injured Reserve
Colin Miller

Injured Versus Devils
Bryan Rust

Remains Out Sunday
Morgan Geekie

Won't Play Sunday
Los Angeles Rams

Mike LaFleur to Interview With Raiders and Cardinals
Aaron Rodgers

Steelers Open to Re-Signing Aaron Rodgers?
Matthew Stafford

X-Rays Come Back Negative
Mark Stone

Extends Goal Streak With Empty-Netter
Nikita Kucherov

Has Four-Point Outing Saturday
David Pastrnak

Records Six Assists in Big Win
Stefan Noesen

to Have Knee Surgery
Carter Hart

Out Week-to-Week
Thatcher Demko

Exits With Injury Saturday
MacKenzie Gore

Yankees Pursuing Trade for MacKenzie Gore
Philip Broberg

Suffers Upper-Body Injury Saturday
Alex Bregman

Cubs Sign Alex Bregman to Five-Year, $175 Millon Contract
Chet Holmgren

Available Sunday
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder Suspended for Three Games for Attempting to Strike Another Player
Kristaps Porzingis

May Return Sunday
Zaccharie Risacher

to Miss Second Consecutive Game Sunday
Kevin Porter Jr.

Considered Probable for Sunday
Aaron Gordon

Likely to Play Sunday
Christian Braun

Considered Probable for Sunday
Spencer Jones

May Miss Another Game Sunday
Jamal Murray

Iffy for Sunday's Action
Freddie Freeman

Withdraws from World Baseball Classic
Chandler Stephenson

Jaden Schwartz Replaces Chandler Stephenson in Kraken Lineup
Brandon Saad

Won't Play This Weekend
Shea Theodore

Returns to Golden Knights Lineup Saturday
Jaccob Slavin

Returns Against Kraken
Travis Konecny

Ruled Out Saturday
Brad Marchand

Misses Saturday's Game
Corey Perry

Available Saturday
Max Kepler

Receives 80-Game PED Suspension
CFB

Cam Coleman Visiting Alabama on Friday
Omarion Hampton

Expects to Play Sunday Night
CFB

Eric Singleton Jr. Enters Transfer Portal, Trending to Land at Florida
CFB

NCAA Denies Trinidad Chambliss a Sixth Year of Eligibility
Omarion Hampton

Questionable for Wild-Card Weekend
Kyle Tucker

Mets Remain in Mix for Kyle Tucker
Ketel Marte

Will Remain With Diamondbacks
Rashee Rice

to be Reviewed Under League's Conduct Policy
Daniel Jones

Colts Plan to Re-Sign Daniel Jones
Davante Adams

Off the Injury Report, Will Play Against Carolina
Bo Bichette

Phillies to Meet With Bo Bichette
Rome Odunze

Will Return for Wild-Card Game on Saturday
CFB

DJ Lagway Commits to Baylor
Miami Dolphins

Dolphins Fire Head Coach Mike McDaniel
Sam LaPorta

Plans to be Back for Training Camp
Owen Caissie

Shipped to Miami as Centerpiece of Trade
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Officially Acquire Edward Cabrera From Marlins
Rome Odunze

Plans to Play on Saturday
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Finalizing Deal to Acquire Edward Cabrera From Marlins
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Giants "All-In" on Hiring John Harbaugh
CFB

Jackson Arnold Signs with UNLV
CFB

Sam Leavitt Scheduled to Visit Tennessee
New York Giants

John Harbaugh Expected to be Favorite to Become New Giants Head Coach
Baltimore Ravens

John Harbaugh Won't Return as Ravens Head Coach
Bo Bichette

Unlikely to Return to Toronto?
Jordan Love

Ready to Start in Wild-Card Game Against Bears
CFB

Jadan Baugh Staying with Florida for Junior Season
Washington Commanders

Commanders "Mutually" Parting Ways With OC Kliff Kingsbury
CFB

Byrum Brown Officially Commits to Auburn
CFB

Austin Simmons Signing with Missouri

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