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DFS NASCAR Advanced Stats for DraftKings, FanDuel: Toyota Owners 400 Lineup Picks

Christopher Bell - NASCAR DFS Picks, Betting Picks, Daily Fantasy NASCAR

Scott Engel uses Loop Data and RotoBaller's NASCAR DFS Research Station tool for DFS insights and analysis for DraftKings and FanDuel DFS lineup picks for the Toyota Owners 400.

My NASCAR “By the DFS Numbers” Race Previews include a combination of statistical markers from Loop Data reports and the RotoBaller NASCAR Cup Series Research Station. Loop Data, which are the advanced statistics that are electronically recorded by NASCAR to accurately illustrate how drivers truly perform, are featured as highly relevant indicators.

Loop Data stats are useful in DFS NASCAR in revealing which drivers have performed the best at certain tracks. They determine how a driver performs without the negative factors of crashes, car issues, and pit problems.

The NASCAR Research Station is one of our most important features in the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass package. It is a deluxe suite of advanced NASCAR statistics that can help you identify the top drivers and value plays for ideal lineup constructions every week. It includes historical, recent, and projected stats, along with Loop Data.

 

Toyota Owners 400 Loop Data And Research Station Overview

If you want to work on your fantasy NASCAR setup with all the best statistical tools, the Research Station is your numerical garage for DraftKings and FanDuel lineup building. Get access to the Research Station with the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass. Enter promo code KING at checkout for an additional discount. We also have Research Stations for the Xfinity and Truck Series.

Drivers are listed in order of preference for lineup usage based on their pricing tiers. All Loop Data stats cover the last four events at Richmond Raceway unless otherwise noted. We use DraftKings prices as a basis, but most of what is recommended should also be applied to FanDuel lineup builds. Selected Research Station indicators are highlighted in italics.

Key stats from the RotoBaller NASCAR Research Station

 

Toyota Owners 400: By The DFS Numbers

Christopher Bell: First among Closers (4.8 spots gained in the final 10 percent of races at Richmond).  Tied for third in Fastest Laps Run (90). Tied for the best Implied Odds to Win (11.7 percent). Projected to score the most Fantasy Points (69.65). Bell starts 29th and will be widely rostered as a prime Place Differential target.

Denny Hamlin: First in Driver Rating at Richmond Raceway over the past four races (110.0) and all-time (109.0). Second in Fastest Laps Run (96). First in Green Flag Speed. First in Quality Passes (passes of cars in the Top 15 while under Green Flag conditions, 265). Tied for the best Implied Odds to Win (11.7 percent). Projected to score the second-most Fantasy Points (65.80). Has finished in the Top 3 in two of his last four starts on short/flat tracks.

Kyle Larson: Projected to score 57.80 Fantasy Points, the most of any driver below $10.5K. Has finished in the Top 4 in five of his last eight starts on short/flat tracks. Fastest Speed in Practice.

William Byron: Fourth in Driver Rating (96.6). Tied for third in Fastest Laps Run (90). First in Laps Led (239).

Martin Truex Jr: Second in Driver Rating (98.9). Third in Laps Led (154). Second-best Implied Odds to Win (10.0).

Ty Gibbs: He has 33 percent Implied Odds of finishing in the Top 5, which is best for any driver priced at $10K or below.

Ryan Blaney: Best 10-Consecutive Lap Average in practice. Has finished in the Top 5 in his last three starts on short/flat tracks.

Chris Buescher: First in Fastest Laps Run (110). Second in Green Flag Passes (495). Third in Green Flag Speed. Tied for the best Implied Odds to finish in the Top 5 of any driver below $9.5K (28.0 percent). Third Fastest in Practice. Has finished in the Top 8 in his last three starts on short/flat tracks.

Kyle Busch: Second-best all-time Driver Rating at RR. (108.0). Third in Green Flag Passes (486). Third in Quality Passes (244).

Joey Logano: Third in Driver Rating (98.5). Fastest On Restarts in the last four Richmond races. Second in Laps Led (223). Second in Quality Passes (256). Second-Fastest in Practice. Projected to score 50.60 Fantasy Points, the most of any driver below $10K. Has finished in the Top 5 in four of his last six starts on short/flat tracks. Second-most Fantasy Points Gained vs. Similar Drivers (29.4).

Tyler Reddick: Tied for the best Implied Odds of any driver below $9.5K to finish in the Top 5 (28.0 percent).  A quality PD target, Reddick starts from the 19th spot.

Brad Keselowski: Projected to score 50.10 Fantasy Points, the second-most of any driver below $10K. Third in Driver Rating Gained vs. Similar Drivers (18.0). Keselowski has to be considered for PD potential, as he starts from the 23rd position.

Josh Berry: Finished second at RR last year in the Cup Series and third in the Xfinity Series. Best Implied Odds to finish in the Top 10 of any driver $7.5K or below (24.0 percent). Projected to score 47.70 Fantasy Points, the most of any driver below $8K. Has finished in the Top 11 in five of his last six starts on short/flat tracks. Second in Driver Rating Gained vs. Similar Drivers (27.3). Most Fantasy Points Gained vs. Similar Drivers (64.0).

Chase Briscoe: First in Green Flag Passes (497). Projected to score 48.80 Fantasy Points, the second-most of any driver below $8K.

Bubba Wallace: Best Implied Odds of any driver below $8K to finish in the Top 10 (38.0 percent).

Alex Bowman: Second-best 10-Consecutive Lap Average in practice.  

Michael McDowell: Projected to score 44.25 Fantasy Points, the most of any driver below $7.5K. McDowell is another PD consideration, as he starts from the 31st spot on the grid.

John Hunter Nemechek: Fourth-best practice speed.

NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks

More Fantasy NASCAR Analysis



The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success

NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller!
Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.

Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.

Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Kyler Murray

Surgery Not on the Table for Kyler Murray
Duncan Robinson

Absent Against Atlanta
Marvin Harrison Jr.

in Danger of Missing Week 14?
Jalen Duren

Back in the Lineup on Monday Evening
Noah Clowney

Cleared to Play Versus Charlotte
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Active On Monday
Danila Yurov

Won't Play on Tuesday
Michael Porter Jr.

Back in Action on Monday
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Unavailable Versus Pacers
David Pastrnak

to Remain Out Tuesday
Alexandre Sarr

Won't Play Versus Milwaukee
Adam Gaudette

Iffy for Monday
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Kalani Sitake the Top Target for Penn State Coaching Job
Logan Cooley

a Game-Time Decision Monday
Josh Norris

Available Monday
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Lonzo Ball

Ruled Out on Monday
Jimmy Snuggerud

to Miss Six Weeks After Wrist Surgery
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Having Hand Surgery on Monday
Steven Adams

Out Against Jazz
Kyler Murray

Cardinals Won't Open Kyler Murray's Practice Window This Week
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Unavailable Monday
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Not a Candidate to Go on Injured Reserve
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Daniel Gafford

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Tee Higgins

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Drake London

"has a Chance" to Play in Week 14
J.J. McCarthy

in Line to Start in Week 14?
Aaron Jones Sr.

Not Dealing With Serious Shoulder Injury, Likely Day-to-Day
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Dealing With Ankle Injury, "Should be Good" for Week 14
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Carter Hart Expected to Make Golden Knights Debut Tuesday
Andre Drummond

Leaves Early, Status Now in Question
Pyotr Kochetkov

Remains Without Timeline For Return
Boone Jenner

Close to Returning
Tre Mann

Uncertain for Monday's Game Against Nets
Lian Bichsel

Exits With Injury Sunday
Deandre Ayton

Leaves Game With Knee Soreness
Petr Mrazek

Injured in Sunday's Loss
Adam Fox

Placed on Long-Term Injured Reserve
Brandon Williams

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P.J. Washington

Uncertain For Monday's Contest
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Zach Ertz

Leads Washington in Receiving in Overtime Loss
James Cook

Handles Career-High 32 Carries for 144 Yards in Win
Egor Demin

Available Against Hornets
Justin Herbert

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Terance Mann

in Danger of Missing Monday's Game
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Likely to Miss a "Couple of Weeks" With Calf Strain
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Considered Probable for Monday
Brock Bowers

Records Two Touchdown Grabs in Week 13
Justin Herbert

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Lane Kiffin to be Introduced as LSU's Next Head Coach on Monday
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Alex Golesh Taking Over Auburn Head-Coaching Job
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Shuts Out Mammoth
Owen Tippett

Amasses Three Points in Saturday's Win
Stuart Skinner

Bounces Back With Shutout
Brock Nelson

Notches Four Points in Big Win
Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Sustains Upper-Body Injury
Logan Cooley

Hurt in Saturday's Loss
Warren Foegele

Not Ready to Return Saturday
Simon Benoit

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Zack Wheeler

Likely to Return in May
Ryan Helsley

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Dylan Cease

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Anthony Rendon

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Josh Hader

Says his Shoulder is "Back to Normal"
Ketel Marte

Diamondbacks "Actively Listening" on Ketel Marte

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