Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:


Already have an account? Log in here.


Forgot Password


NFL DFS Prop Picks for 10/6/19 - Monkey Knife Fight

Four weeks into the National Football League season, trends are emerging, both in terms of individual offensive performance and in terms of how defenses fare against a particular position. Tampa Bay, Philadelphia, Baltimore, and Miami are each allowing more than 300 passing yards per game, and the Dolphins offer the added bonus of allowing an average of three passing touchdowns per game.

At the other end of the spectrum, the Carolina Panthers are the only team in the league allowing fewer than 200 passing yards per game, while Denver, Green Bay, and New England range between 200 and 210 passing yards allowed per game.

Those are just a part of the calculations when coming up with expectations for weekly production. Here are some angles to consider for Week Five props on Monkey Knife Fight.

Editor's Note: Here's a great special offer for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends: New AND Existing Player Bonus. All players receive a 100% matched signup or reload bonus up to $50 with code 'RBNFL19'. Sign up and deposit, and use our prop picks to get off on a winning foot! 



View Contest


Tom Brady UNDER 289.5 PASSING YARDS – The Patriots are heavy favorites at Washington and deservedly so, but that doesn’t mean Brady has to be the one to go off. After being held to 150 passing yards at Buffalo last week, TB12 is averaging 265.3 passing yards per game through the first four weeks and Washington is allowing 259.5 passing yards per game. Needing 290 for the over is a little much.

Deshaun Watson UNDER 273.5 PASSING YARDS – The Texans’ passing game has not been able to get on track just yet. Wastson is averaging 234.5 passing yards per game and the Falcons have surrendered 222.5 per game, so needing 274 for the over is a steep hill to climb.

Carson Wentz OVER 271.5 PASSING YARDS – Although the Eagles quarterback has averaged a modest 240.8 passing yards per game early this season, he gets to go against a Jets squad that is giving up 299.7 passing yards per game thus far. It’s a mismatch and one that the Eagles should be happy to exploit.

Kyler Murray OVER 259.5 PASSING YARDS – Murray’s average of 267.8 passing yards per game is a bit inflated because of a full overtime in Week One against Detroit and the Bengals, for all of their flaws, have allowed just 241 passing yards per game but if this game is close – and it should be – then the Cardinals will likely need to keep throwing the ball so Murray should put up some yardage.

Matt Ryan OVER 303.5 PASSING YARDS – While the Falcons have been struggling on their way to a 1-3 record, all that losing is giving Matty Ice plenty of opportunity to throw the ball and he has averaged 331.3 passing yards per game. The Texans are allowing 283.3 passing yards per game, which is enough to like Ryan on the over again this week.

Jameis Winston OVER 289.5 PASSING YARDS – After a couple of mediocre weeks to start the season, Winston has hit his stride, throwing for 765 yards in the past two games. He has the personnel, including wideouts Chris Godwin and Mike Evans, to put up big numbers and the Saints Defense has allowed 295 passing yards per game.

Christian McCaffrey OVER 85.5 RUSHING YARDS – The Panthers give McCaffrey a heavy workload and he has averaged 102.8 rushing yards per game, going for more than 90 in three of four games.


Michael Thomas -0.5 receptions vs. Tyler Boyd – Both receivers have slowed down after a couple of big weeks to start the season. Even so, Thomas is averaging 8.5 catches per game, compared to 6.8 per game for Boyd. Thomas also gets to face a Bucs secondary that has allowed a league-high 16.3 receptions by wide receivers through the first four weeks.

Julio Jones 7.5 receiving yards vs. Mike Evans – Kept under wraps by Tennessee last week, Jones is due for a bounce-back performance.


The early slate offers premier running backs so why not take Christian McCaffrey, Alvin Kamara, and Dalvin Cook and enjoy that production? McCaffrey and Kamara were two of the top picks in fantasy this season and Cook has emerged as a big producer, especially with the Minnesota passing game in shambles.



View Contest


Dak Prescott UNDER 263.5 PASSING YARDS – The question is whether the new Cowboys passing attack can handle the Packers Defense. Prescott has put up 285.8 passing yards per game this season but the Packers defense has been stingy, allowing just 207.8 passing yards per game. The advantage for the Cowboys may come in the running game, which could mean less Prescott usage.

Joe Flacco OVER 248.5 PASSING YARDS – There is not a lot to like about Flacco and the Broncos but he is averaging 269 passing yards per game and faces a Chargers team surrendering 241.5 passing yards per game. Call it half-hearted, if you must, but take the over.

Philip Rivers OVER 283.5 PASSING YARDS – On one hand, Rivers is averaging a career-high 313.5 passing yards per game and, on the other, the Broncos are allowing just 206.8 passing yards per game. Of course, the Broncos are losing so much that opponents don’t need to throw but here’s thinking that this game will be competitive and that will keep Rivers chucking it downfield.

Aaron Rodgers UNDER 273.5 PASSING YARDS – After three uninspiring weeks, Rodgers did bust out for 422 passing yards at Philadelphia last week. That looked like vintage Aaron Rodgers but that hasn’t been his standard lately and the Cowboys Defense is allowing 241.5 passing yards per game.


Keenan Allen -1.5 receptions vs. Amari Cooper – Allen is much more of a fixture in the Chargers attack, averaging 8.5 receptions per game through four weeks, and that includes just five after they called off the dogs against Miami last week. Cooper is a contributor but has averaged 5.8 receptions per game.

Ezekiel Elliott -27.5 rushing yards vs. Aaron Jones – With the expectation that the Cowboys might find it more challenging to pass against the Packers, Elliott is the much safer play than Jones, who has been held under 40 yards rushing in three of four games this season.


Doubling down on the Rapid Fire picks, ride Zeke, Keenan Allen, and Austin Ekeler for the fantasy challenge. Ekeler should still get the most action for the Chargers, even with Melvin Gordon returning to action.




More Weekly DFS Analysis

More Recent Articles


Running Back Start/Sit Advice - Week 14

Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano break down the running back position to help with tough fantasy football lineup decisions for Week 14 of the 2019 NFL season. They decide who to start or sit among those in RB3 or flex consideration. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest... Read More

Week 14 Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More

Fantasy Football Booms, Busts - Zach Pascal, Jamaal Williams, Gardner Minshew

Whether this is the first week of your playoffs, the last week of your regular season, or the time to win a DFS league to pay for your holiday presents, this is the most crucial week of your fantasy football season. While my booms from last week (Robert Woods, Jack Doyle, Dede Westbrook, Kyle Allen)... Read More

Wide Receiver Snap Counts and Target Trends - Week 13 Analysis

Wide receivers are essential components toward your ultimate goal of securing league championships. As many of you prepare for your Week 14 matchups, an expanding collection of tools are available that can provide you with an extensive level of knowledge. Those results provide the foundation for this weekly statistical breakdown of the wide receiver position, which... Read More

Week 14 Stream Team - Free Agent and Bye-Week Streamers

Now that the playoffs are beginning in most leagues and the final march for a championship has begun, streaming becomes a  necessary strategy. Knowing who to add and when to start them could be the ultimate difference-maker in a weekly matchup. Making the right streaming decisions could easily be the difference in winning a championship.... Read More

Wide Receiver Start/Sit Advice - Week 14

Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano break down the wide receiver position to help with tough fantasy football lineup decisions for Week 14 of the 2019 NFL season. They decide who to start or sit among those in WR3 or flex consideration. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest... Read More

The King's Week 14 Lineup Rankings and Analysis (Premium Content)

Welcome back, RotoBallers! Below you will find my Week 14 fantasy football lineup rankings for the first round of your playoffs. The ranks are available in PPR, Half PPR, and Standard formats. They will be updated as needed, so make sure to check back for the latest versions, especially on the weekends. Skill Position analysis versus... Read More

Fantasy Football Disaster Recovery: Playoff Panic

Welcome to Disaster Recovery, where each week I'll examine why your studs played like duds. This isn't a place to find out why you should have sat a player for somebody else on your bench. Disaster Recovery is here to examine the guys who you didn't think twice about starting and to help you decide if you should... Read More

Thursday Night Football Matchups Analysis - Week 14

It's that time of year again! While many will be caught up in the thrills of the holiday season, those lucky few who have risen to the top of their fantasy leagues will be sweating over lineup decisions in pursuit of a championship (in most league formats). To our fantasy owners who have managed to... Read More

The Tape Tells All - Derrius Guice Fantasy Outlook

Welcome to another edition of "The Tape Tells All," where I break down some film of an NFL's player performance and try to draw some fantasy football conclusions from that film. This week, I'm looking at Washington running back Derrius Guice, who's finally healthy and finally getting a chance to show why people were so... Read More

Quarterback Leaderboards Before the Fantasy Playoffs - NFL Next Gen Stats

You won't believe it, but you weren't dreaming. That turkey you stuffed your face with a few days ago? Real. Those three games on a Thursday? Real, indeed. Your weekly meeting with football on the telly this past Sunday? Also real. All of that together only meant one thing: the fantasy football regular season is... Read More

Fantasy Playoffs Warning Signs: Wide Receivers

We all know a good wide receiver is important. Most leagues are PPR and more receivers are played than other positions. But the key is finding those wide receivers with favorable matchups. Just like with other positions, it is difficult to know at draft time which defenses will be good or bad by the time... Read More

Offensive Line Rankings Analysis: Week 14

Week 13 had the season's first snow game, a potential SuperBowl preview, and an incredible play from the Miami Dolphins special teams! If you haven't seen it have a look and come back. Now let's move onto Week 14. If you aren't in playoff contention, then this article could help you with some DFS selections.... Read More

Week 14-16 Playoff Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

The playoffs are here, and that means we're going to do things a little differently. I want to take a look at the playoffs as a whole (and in this case we are considering Weeks 14-16) and determine which DSTs you can ride all the way through and which ones you should stream this week.... Read More

NFL Survivor Pool Picks (Week 14) - Targets and Avoids

If there were a dozen people left in a survivor pool this past week, odds are those pools are down to just several. The upsets began Thursday when the Bills beat the Cowboys, and continued Sunday when the Dolphins and Redskins won as 10-point underdogs. If you're somehow still alive in your pool with just... Read More