🦃 BLACK FRIDAY - TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE THANKS
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Contact Rate Risers and Fallers - Week 18

Pierre Camus looks at some fantasy baseball risers and fallers in the contact rate category for week 18 to determine who may be worth buying or selling for 2017.

Welcome back, RotoBallers! Batting average is just one of many statistics fantasy owners must consider, but contact rate can also be telling of all-around success at the plate. A sudden increase or decrease in contact rate could signal the beginning of an extended hot or cold streak, leading to important waiver wire choices or start/sit decisions for fantasy baseball managers.

Each week we will look at a few players who are rising and falling in terms of contact and compare their previous week's contact rate with their season-long performance.

Here are some of the top contact rate risers and fallers for Week 18 of the fantasy baseball season.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Contact Rate Risers

Steve Pearce (1B/2B/OF, TOR) 95% contact rate last seven days (+16%)

It's nearly impossible to claim a more dramatic week than Pearce (in a good way). Two walk-off grand slams don't happen to most players over an entire career, but Pearce managed to pull it off in a four-day span. Unfortunately, that represents the best of his production this season and almost a quarter of his total power numbers for the season. Pearce is still a subpar contact hitter with a career .255 average who is in a utility role.

Tommy Pham (OF, STL) 94% contact rate last seven days (+14%)

Sharp second-half regression? Nah, Pham. We've already been over the fact that Pham is playing way over his head, but he hasn't seemed to notice yet. Let's accept that he's here to stay, at least for 2017. Pham picked up seven hits in 19 AB last week (.368), although all those hits went for singles. Then again, he scored four times and stole his 14th base. Stop being surprised and pick him up already.

Jose Peraza (2B/SS, CIN)  98% contact rate last seven days (+13%)

Peraza will go down as one of this season's sleepers that stayed asleep (as opposed to staying woke I suppose). Realistically, there is only one thing that has changed from last year's batting profile - his BABIP. Peraza couldn't duplicate last year's .362 BABIP, which is down to .292 this season. Now, he's got three multi-hit games in the past week, which is something he's only done once all year. While he could see a slight bump in his disappoint averages, it won't be anything like last year's second-half streak. Keep him in your lineup for the speed, but that's it.

Manny Machado (3B/SS, BAL)  91% contact rate last seven days (+12%)

Here it comes! Machado has been flashing the leatherwork with highlight-ready plays recently, but he's also starting to bring the bat back. He's hitting .327 over the last two weeks, although that hasn't come with any home runs. By all measures, he should be coming out with better results given his batted ball profile, but it just hasn't all come together this season. Cross your fingers and hope for the best at this point.

 

Contact Rate Fallers

Kyle Schwarber (C/OF, CHC)  43% contact rate last seven days (-31%)

The Cubbies are making their second-half surge and the Schwarb is along for the ride. He still fits in quite well in the Windy City, providing plenty of breeze from all those swings and misses. Despite striking out in almost half his at-bats last week, Schwarber still powered up with three homers, five RBI and batted .333. In terms of contact, it's all about quality, not quantity with him.

Mike Zunino (C, SEA) 34% contact rate last seven days (-29%)

By contrast, Zunino almost makes Schwarber look like Tony Gwynn. Zunino is out to set a career high with his 38.5% K%, whiffing seven times in his last 11 at-bats. His .320 BABIP is far higher than usual, which means his other current career high, a .228 AVG, may drop further. Sure, he'll get you some homers from the catcher position, but he's a liability everywhere else including RBI. With his last five HR, he's only driven in eight. Zunino has almost twice as many strikeouts as hits on the entire season, if that tells you anything about his approach.

Dee Gordon (2B, MIA) 76% contact rate last seven days (-10%)

The most notable change in Gordon's value this week was the one that didn't happen. Gordon was rumored to be on the trading block, but the Marlins stood pat with nearly all their veteran players. Gordon is having a good overall season and has brought his average back up to .297. He normally holds a contact rate around 87% but despite a 10-point drop this week, he still pulled off a .400 average in that time. The only real question with Gordon is whether he'll crack 50 steals by year's end or have to settle for 49.

 

More Risers and Fallers




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jalen McMillan

Cleared to Practice
Aaron Rodgers

Set to Play on Sunday
Joel Hofer

Shuts Out Mammoth
Owen Tippett

Amasses Three Points in Saturday's Win
Stuart Skinner

Bounces Back With Shutout
Brock Nelson

Notches Four Points in Big Win
Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Sustains Upper-Body Injury
Logan Cooley

Hurt in Saturday's Loss
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Expected to Play in Week 13
Bucky Irving

Trending Toward Suiting Up
Chris Olave

Should Play Vs. Dolphins
P.J. Washington

Ruled Out Versus Clippers
Trae Young

"Progressing Well," Will be Re-Evaluated in Two Weeks
Isaiah Hartenstein

Sidelined a Minimum of 10-14 Days
Daniel Gafford

Resting Against Clippers
Jalen Duren

Won't Play Versus Miami
Warren Foegele

Not Ready to Return Saturday
Simon Benoit

Won't Play Saturday
Henri Jokiharju

Lands on Injured Reserve
Anthony Davis

Ruled Out on Saturday
Zack Wheeler

Likely to Return in May
Pavel Zacha

a Game-Time Call Saturday
Ryan Helsley

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Orioles
David Pastrnak

Out for Second Consecutive Game
William Nylander

Available Saturday
Shedeur Sanders

Could Start for Browns for the Rest of the Season
Kyle Palmieri

Out for 6-8 Months With Torn ACL
Darren Waller

Activated from Injured Reserve, Will Play in Week 13
Amon-Ra St. Brown

"Day-to-Day" With Ankle Injury, Status for Week 14 Unclear
Neemias Queta

Uncertain for Saturday's Game in Minnesota
Derrick White

Expected to Suit Up Versus Timberwolves
Jaylen Brown

Might Miss Saturday's Game
Tyler Warren

Added to Injury Report, Questionable With Illness
Baker Mayfield

Expected to Play in Week 13
Jake Walman

Sidelined for Third Consecutive Game
Jack Roslovic

to Miss Two Weeks
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

to Return Saturday
Mattias Samuelsson

in Concussion Protocol
Kyle Palmieri

Sustains Lower-Body Injury
Lukas Dostal

Ruled Out for 2-3 Weeks
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Test Confirm Low-Ankle Sprain for Amon-Ra St. Brown
Anthony Davis

Available, Will be on a Minutes Restriction
Kyle Monangai

Leads Bears Backfield in Impressive Week 13 Performance
D'Andre Swift

Goes Over 100 Rushing Yards, Finds End Zone in Win Over Eagles
A.J. Brown

Goes Over 100 Yards Again, Scores Twice on Friday
Kyshawn George

Returns to Lineup After One-Game Absence
Paul George

Set To Start Friday Against Nets
Kevin Huerter

Set to Return Against Charlotte
Jarrett Allen

Back in Action on Friday
Coby White

Cleared for Action on Friday
Nikola Vučević

Nikola Vucevic Suiting Up Against Charlotte
Trey Murphy III

Uncertain For Saturday's Matchup
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Returning Versus Knicks
Jaden Ivey

Set To Play Against Orlando
Adem Bona

Back on Friday Night
Andrew Nembhard

Won't Play Versus Washington
Kenneth Walker III

Good to Go for Week 13
Brian Thomas Jr.

Good to Go Sunday
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Questionable for Week 13
Bucky Irving

Fully Practices Friday, Listed as Questionable for Week 13
Omarion Hampton

Ruled Out for Week 13
Baker Mayfield

Practices in Full Friday, Listed as Questionable for Week 13
Kirill Marchenko

Misses Third Straight Game
Drake London

Officially Ruled Out for Week 13
Jaden Schwartz

to Miss Six Weeks
Dylan Cease

Agrees With Blue Jays on Seven-Year, $210 Million Deal
Anthony Rendon

Angels Could Buy Out Final Year of Anthony Rendon's Contract
Josh Hader

Says his Shoulder is "Back to Normal"
Ketel Marte

Diamondbacks "Actively Listening" on Ketel Marte
J.T. Realmuto

Red Sox Showing Interest in J.T. Realmuto
Sonny Gray

Red Sox Acquire Sonny Gray From the Cardinals
CFB

Jeremiah Smith, Makai Lemon, Skyler Bell Named Biletnikoff Award Finalists
Shohei Ohtani

to Play for Team Japan in 2026 World Baseball Classic
Colorado Rockies

Warren Schaeffer to Stick Around as Rockies Manager in 2026
CFB

Chris Bell Out for Rivalry Matchup Against Kentucky

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP