Chef's Special - NFL Best Bets for Week 10

November 15, 2020

Drew Deen's top expert betting picks for Week 10 of the NFL season. Drew finished the 2019 season with over 20 units in winnings and is already off to a 56-29 start in 2020 for over 38 units.

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Week 10 has arrived, and it's time to get back in the winning column after just the second losing week of the season with a 3-6 record in Week 9.  It was very close to being a much different week record-wise had the Chiefs and Texans not let us down late in the 4th quarter.

This week is a major change of pace from The Longest Yard to The Blindside.   I'm sure most of the readers know the story of Michael Oher's challenging path from foster care to top college football prospect and eventually an NFL draft pick.  The movie did receive some criticism and controversy, but overall it was good enough to win an ESPN for the best sports movie.  Additionally, Sandra Bullock collected several awards for her performance as the lead actress.  Give it a watch while preparing for the week 10 NFL slate.

Before getting too far into the post, please refer to this post as an introductory piece before continuing.  Also, be sure to check out the betting tools.

Introduction to Chef's Special Betting Picks

***Read only if it is your first week here***

This week I will layout a little more information than usual since it is Week 1.  Last year I handicapped the entire season and had a solid year finishing up 20+ units.  If you are new or unfamiliar with the terminology, I will explain (also use Google if you need it).

In a nutshell, it is a way to measure the size of a bet for players of all bankroll sizes.  For example, @Uncle_Leo may have a standard bet size of $10, @GarageGuyChase may have a standard bet size of $25, and @ThunderDanDFS may have a standard bet size of $50.

The weight of a unit would mean different financial gain for all of these players but tracks how well someone is doing betting as a sports bettor.  For all of you basic bois, let's use my results from last year as an example - see below:

• Example:  2019 NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total Bets [7-2 on 4&5U plays]
• Mr. Uncle Leo would be the following:  22.5U x $10 = $225 in the green on the season
• Mr. Garage Guy would be the following:  22.5U x $25 = $562.50 in the green on the season
• Mr. Danny Boi would be the following:  22.5U x $50 = $1125 in the green on the season.

Everyone finished in the green.  However, Mr. Danny Boi made more financially than the others on his unit scale.  With that being said, I performed equally for all parties.

Drew Deen's (@ChefBoiRDeen) Week 10 Betting Card

Here, I will post my Week 10 picks.  Staying consistent with your unit size is crucial.  Without it, it will seem as if I am doing better or worse than I actually am because some wins/losses will be weighted differently than the others.

2019 NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total [7-2 on 4&5U plays]

2020 NFL Best Bets (+38.5u) 56-29 Total [2-0 on 4&5U plays]

• 0-1.5U Risk Record:  36-23
• 1.51U - 3.99U Risk Record:  18-6
• 4-5U Risk Record:  2-0

Be sure to follow me on Twitter and join the RotoBaller Slack Chat.  If I have a play involving the Thursday Night game, like this week, I will post it in both places.  Be sure to check back because the card can change or become more extensive Saturday night or Sunday morning.

• Washington +4 vs Lions - Risk 1.1U to win 1U
• Bills +3 vs Cardinals - Risk 1.1U to win 1U
• Seahawks +3 vs Rams - Risk 1.2U to win 1U
• Bills/Packers 7pt Teaser (Bills +10, Packers -6.5) - Risk 1.3U to win 1U
• Saints/Packers 7pt Teaser (Saints -2.5, Packers -6.5) - Risk 1.95U to win 1.5U
• Saints/Ravens 7pt Teaser (Saints -2.5, Ravens Pick) - Risk 1.3U to win 1U
• Steelers/Ravens 6pt Teaser (Steelers -1, Ravens -1) - Risk 1.1U to win 1U
• Vikings -2.5 vs Bears - Risk 2.3U to win 2U
• Chef's Yolo Parlay/Play - Bucs/Steelers/Saints/Ravens/Vikings ML Parlay - Risk 0.5U to win 2.3U

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