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Read our best NRFI betting picks today - Major League Baseball NRFI predictions for 6/7/2025. No Runs First Inning (NRFI) betting tips, expert MLB predictions, odds, and trends.
It's officially the weekend, and what else have you got planned besides sweating out the first inning in five Major League Baseball games? That's what I thought - nothing!
We've got a great slate of baseball games today, and the games I am targeting for NRFI bets are spread out quite nicely from the mid-afternoon until the late evening. So get those bets in with the books and let's sit back and watch them cash one by one!
On this page, I'll provide my best NRFI bets today for MLB games on Saturday, June 7, 2025. Monitor the weather and lineups for each team before placing your wagers. Odds for these bets are from DraftKings Sportsbook.
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What Are MLB NRFI/YRFI Bets?
NRFI bets are bets where you try to pick whether or not two MLB teams will combine for one run in the first inning. YRFI stands for "Yes Run First Inning," while NRFI means "No Run First Inning."
We prefer to target NRFI because it tends to occur more frequently, which is why you usually see shorter odds compared to YRFI. It's also just more enjoyable -- whenever I take a YRFI, it feels like an inevitable loss. There's nothing more tilting than watching your team strand base-runners when you need them to score in the first inning. If you're taking the YRFI, I suggest not even watching.
The best part of NRFI wagers is how they settle so quickly. This is a fun sweat, as these six outs can be thrilling, especially if your pitcher works his way out of a jam. Just remember to only go with a smaller percentage of your bankroll because this can be a volatile market with even the best pitchers struggling in the first inning at times.
Best First Inning Bets Today (June 7, 2025)
- Toronto Blue Jays at Minnesota Twins: 2:10 pm
- Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox: 4:10 pm
- Houston Astros at Cleveland Guardians: 4:10 pm
- Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees: 7:35 pm
- Baltimore Orioles at Athletics: 10:05 pm
Toronto Blue Jays at Minnesota Twins NRFI (-115 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Starting Pitchers
- TOR: Kevin Gausman
- MIN: Chris Paddack
I have a few different angles here, but let's start with the pitchers. Gausman doesn't have the best NRFI record at just 7-5 this season, but when he has his best stuff, he can make quick work of any team. When I dig into his first inning numbers a bit further, he hasn't been all that bad with a 1.00 WHIP and .195 opposing batting average.
Chris Paddack has been fantastic across his last 10 starts:
58 IP, 14 ER, 14 BB, 46 K
Can’t buy run support as of late, but a remarkable turnaround for a guy who began the year fighting to hold onto a spot in the #MNTwins rotation.
— Hunter Shelton (@HunterShelton_) June 1, 2025
Paddack has been fantastic lately for the Twins, and his first-inning track record has been no exception. After a tough start to the year, Paddack has nine straight NRFIs to take his overall record to 9-3. To help his cause, the Blue Jays are just 1-9 on YRFIs over their last ten. They may not strike out much, but Toronto is having a tough time getting on the board early as of late.
Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox NRFI (-125 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Starting Pitchers
- KCR: Michael Wacha
- CWS: Adrian Houser
We have an undefeated NRFI alert! Michael Wacha has been incredible in the first inning this year, posting a 12-0 NRFI record while doing a great job of keeping hitters off the base paths (0.83 WHIP). The matchup here is good as the White Sox have one of the weakest lineups in baseball and have posted only a 2-8 YRFI record in their last ten games.
Michael Wacha, K'ing the Side in the 2nd. pic.twitter.com/zVYJMnLuS6
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) May 31, 2025
But on the other side, we have Chicago hurler Adrian Houser with a 3-0 NRFI record of his own. Houser was picked up by the White Sox only a few weeks ago and has already become their most effective pitcher. I don't think he can keep a 1.47 ERA going for too long without being a high-strikeout pitcher, but he's tough on right-handed hitters with his heavy sinker and will see three RHH in the top of the order today.
Neither pitcher is a dominant ace, but both are experienced veterans who know how to get outs without striking guys out and can navigate a few first innings to get out of jams. I'm rolling with the elite NRFI records here against a bad offense and a middling offense (Kansas City).
Houston Astros at Cleveland Guardians NRFI (-140 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Starting Pitchers
- HOU: Hunter Brown
- CLE: Gavin Williams
I don't think I have to sell you on Hunter Brown being one of the best pitchers in the American League this season, right? He brings a solid 9-3 NRFI into today's game and faces a mediocre Guardians lineup that is just 2-8 on YRFIs over their last ten games.
I probably have more work to do to convince you that Gavin Williams is a really good pitcher in a good matchup of his own. Williams owns just a 7-5 NRFI record this season, but has a NRFI in four of his last five starts.
He's been much better in May and June than he was in April. Williams just limited the Dodgers to one hit over six and one-third innings with six strikeouts in his last start. He's a talented young pitcher who has flashed upside at various points this season.
I like him here for a few reasons. The Astros, as you may know, really stink in the first inning. They have the worst season-long NRFI rating and have seen that trend continue recently with an 80% NRFI hit rate on offense over their last ten.
Secondly, Williams should see all right-handed hitters in the first frame, putting him on the right side of his splits. Houston is still missing their lone left-handed bat (Yordan Alvarez), and it makes them extremely right-handed heavy.
With two good young pitchers on the hill and the recent offensive NRFI trends being in our favor, I feel good about this one, even with the odds being a tad juiced.
Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees NRFI (-125 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Starting Pitchers
- BOS: Garrett Crochet
- NYY: Ryan Yarbrough
I struggled with this one because I usually try to avoid the Yankees at all costs. However, it's going to be strength on strength today with Boston's ace Crochet on the mound going up against the top of the Yankees' lineup. Crochet is coming off two elite outings and appears to be in top form. I tend to favor the pitcher in these spots, at least the first time through the order (which is all we care about here).
Meanwhile, the Yankees have found themselves a secret weapon of their own with journeyman lefty Ryan Yarbrough doing his best Tom Glavine impression since entering the rotation for them. Yarbs is 4-1 on NRFIs in his five starts and gets to face lefties Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers in the first frame. Boston is without their best lefty-masher with Alex Bregman out of the lineup, which helps Yarbrough here.
Both pitchers are in peak form, so I am counting on them to keep it going today in the first inning so we can cash this ticket.
Baltimore Orioles at Athletics NRFI (+110 DraftKings Sportsbook)
Starting Pitchers
- BAL: Charlie Morton
- ATH: Luis Severino
This is my riskiest bet of the night, which is implied with the plus odds. This ballpark has been tough on pitchers, and Vegas has caught on quickly, jacking up game totals due to the park factor. I think we are seeing a 10.5 total in this game because both of these bullpens have been among the worst in the league, too.
But are the starting pitchers all that bad? Forget the bullpens, we are just looking at the first inning.
Charlie Morton, Wicked 82mph Curveball. 🤢
7th K. pic.twitter.com/FsFyahYQ8s
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) June 1, 2025
While Morton and Severino both have SIERAs in the low four range, they have been very good early in games. Morton lost his rotation spot at one point, but since reclaiming his spot, he has pitched very well. He's 6-2 on NRFIs and coming off arguably his best start of the year when he blanked the White Sox and struck out seven.
Severino's overall numbers are very "mid" as the kids say, but his 11-2 NRFI record. 0.77 first-inning WHIP and .133 opposing batting average are pretty darn good. A first-inning home run could ruin us, but I'm taking a shot on these vets to get the job done for at least one frame.
Notable NRFI/YRFI MLB Trends: Last 10 Games
- Best NRFI hit rate: Rangers, Blue Jays (9)
- Best YRFI hit rate: Mets (40%)
- Most First Inning Home Runs: Mets, Angels (5)
- Best First Inning Batting Average: Mets (.375)
- Best First Inning On-Base Percentage: D-Backs (.442)
Conclusion: Best MLB NRFI Bets Today (June 7, 2025)
With a full slate of action and several strong pitching matchups, today offers some excellent opportunities for NRFI betting.
Whether you're looking to fade struggling lineups or ride the momentum of pitchers with elite first-inning stats, this Saturday's MLB card has you covered. From Gausman vs. Paddack in the early game to Morton vs. Severino late on the West Coast, these are some of the best NRFI bets today.
Just be sure to monitor the weather and lineups before locking anything in. Let’s cash these NRFI bets and enjoy one of the most exciting markets in baseball betting!
Good luck with your MLB NRFI bets, and as always, bet responsibly!
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