X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

EPL Betting Picks and FPL Game Previews for Matchday 6: English Premier League

Jamie Steed previews EPL Matchday 6 of the 2023/24 season, starting on 09/23/2023. He previews each game from the English Premier League; picking bets, analyzing the FPL impacts, and looking at the best options for your lineups.

The Premier League is back and so is the RotoBaller soccer team. We're offering up our favorite betting pick for each game along with a score prediction and will include a player to look out for in fantasy from each fixture. Before you read on, remember these essential things: betting on sports should be fun. If you aren't having fun with it, stop. And never bet what you can't afford to lose.

This weekend sees all ten games played over two days for the first time this season. It's also the first matchday after European competitions with eight teams having played a midweek fixture. We'll soon learn a lot about some team selections following a European fixture and how some sides cope with the extra games.

We've been cranking up the soccer content at RotoBaller, too. We're still bringing you dedicated DFS and Fantasy Premier League content on top of the weekly preview and betting content, which can be found if you click here. Follow the team on X (@LucidMediaDFS@EuanOrYouOut, @df_solutions, and yours truly @Baseball_Jimbo), and reach out to any of us if you ever have any soccer questions.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 50% off using code SUMMER. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Saturday, September 23, 2023

Crystal Palace (-110) vs. Fulham (+300) - 10:00 am ET

Score prediction: Crystal Palace 2 - 1 Fulham

Despite having the same number of points and being separated by one spot in the league table, the two London clubs have had differing starts. Palace has a -0.8 xGD (expected goal difference), which is 12th best while Fulham has a -7.9 xGD (worst in the league). If you believe in sequencing, this game will end in a draw. It just feels like Palace has too much attacking prowess compared to Fulham which will edge them over the line.

FPL Pick: Eberechi Eze

Eze hasn't really got going this season. He opened his account against Wolves in Palace's last home game but that is his solitary goal involvement so far. He has 3.3 xGI (expected goal involvements) and only two teams have conceded more than Fulham this season. Eze will be key to Palace's attacking play again this weekend.

Luton Town (+235) vs. Wolves (+115) - 10:00 am ET

Score prediction: Luton Town 1 - 1 Wolves

Luton's failure to score last weekend not only cost us a winning parlay, it also left them as the only team without a point so far. They've only played one home game and narrowly lost it, largely down to a controversial penalty non-decision. Only Burnley (12) has conceded more goals than Wolves (11). They shipped in three or more goals in three of their last four games although they have scored in four consecutive games, something they didn't manage until their 29th game last season.

FPL Pick: Hwang Hee-chan

Hwang has scored three of Wolves' five goals this season. Last weekend's strike was his first as a starter. He only lasted 59 minutes before being subbed off and that was still the longest he's been on the pitch this season. He's not someone I'm banking on but certainly seems the likeliest scorer and given he's listed as a midfielder but plays as a striker, he carries additional FPL value.

Manchester City (-700) vs. Nottingham Forest (+1500) - 10:00 am ET

Score prediction: Manchester City 3 - 1 Nottingham Forest

The City machine marched on with a 3-1 win at West Ham United last weekend. They own the league's only 100% record and despite conceding a goal in each of their last three league games, they've also scored ten in that time. Forest fought back for a point at home to Burnley and after trips to Arsenal, Manchester United and Chelsea, they'll be glad to get some easier away games. They did impress in those three away games so I don't believe they'll be pushovers here.

FPL Pick: Erling Haaland

You can't back against Haaland at home. With some injuries, he remains a constant and has formed a nice partnership with Julian Alvarez (who I also really like this weekend). Scarily, he's not been very efficient in front of goal lately yet he still has seven goals in five EPL games. Haaland bagged a hat-trick in his last home game against Fulham and I wouldn't bet against him bagging another couple of goals on Saturday.

Brentford (-125) vs. Everton (+340) - 12:30 pm ET

Score prediction: Brentford 2 - 0 Everton

Last week's defeat at Newcastle was Brentford's first loss of the season. Brentford has drawn all three home games so far but has scored in all of them. They blanked in only two home games last season and lost just twice at the Brentford Community Stadium. Everton has scored in just one of their five games and went down without throwing a punch last weekend at home to Arsenal. They look devoid of goals.

FPL Pick: Bryan Mbeumo

Mbeumo has been efficient in front of goal this season. His four goals have come from four shots on target (eight total shots). Two came from the penalty spot. Everton has struggled to contain wide forwards so far this season, as they have four goals and three assists against the Toffees with Mbeumo primed to add to their misery.

Burnley (+340) vs. Manchester United (-140) - 3:00 pm ET

Score prediction: Burnley 1 - 1 Manchester United

Burnley managed to pick up their first point of the season on Monday. They were made to work for it and their 2.9 xG this season is the lowest in the league. Manchester United's comprehensive 3-1 loss at home to Brighton has left them 13th in the table. They've lost three of their last four games and only two teams have conceded more than the ten goals United have shipped in.

FPL Pick: Luca Koleosho

The teenager put in a Man Of The Match performance on Monday. Koleosho was a constant threat down the Burnley left and set up their goal (although a deflection meant he wasn't credited with the assist). He picked up an assist in Burnley's prior game and with the United back-line weakened with injuries, Koleosho could shine again. He's definitely someone I'm keeping an eye on in the coming weeks.

Sunday, September 24, 2023

Arsenal (-140) vs. Tottenham (+330) - 9:00 am ET

Score prediction: Arsenal 2 - 2 Tottenham

Arsenal barely needed to break into a sweat when beating Everton last weekend. They remain unbeaten but it remains to be seen how they cope with a return to the Champions League, with Wednesday's tie their first in the competition since 2017. Tottenham not playing in any European competition this season might help them and they're off to an unbeaten start too. This is a game generally full of goals and I see no reason this weekend isn't the same.

FPL Pick: Martin Ødegaard

The Arsenal captain has had a relatively quiet start to the season. But he has scored twice and leads the team in shots taken (15) and shots on target (seven). His 25 shot-creating actions are second on the team only to Bukayo Saka (26) and it might need a captain's performance from the Norwegian if Arsenal are to remain unbeaten.

Brighton (-265) vs. Bournemouth (+650) - 9:00 am ET

Score prediction: Brighton 3 - 1 Bournemouth

Brighton's excellent start to the season continued when they beat Manchester United last weekend. They do have to contend with midweek Europa League fixtures now, something they've not had to navigate in the EPL before. Bournemouth's search for a league win continues although their only defeats so far have come against two sides currently in the top-3. Their high press might get exposed against Brighton and they'll need the hosts to have an off-day to get anything from the game.

FPL Pick: Pascal Groß

The German's love affair with playing at Old Trafford continued last week as he became Brighton's all-time leading EPL scorer. He's barely garnered any attention in FPL, being rostered by just 2.9% of teams. Groß has scored twice in the last three games, picking up 23 points in the process. His 27 shot-creating actions are fourth most in the league and Groß makes an interesting differential as a captain this weekend.

Chelsea (-110) vs. Aston Villa (+285) - 9:00 am ET

Score prediction: Chelsea 1 - 1 Aston Villa

Chelsea's miserable run continued last weekend and they have just one win (against bottom club Luton Town) from their five games this season. Their 5.3 xGA is third-best in the league and their 10.2 xG is fourth-best. They just lack the quality in front of goal at present. Only Brighton's games (22) have seen more goals than Villa's (21). But they too now need to navigate midweek European games which leaves a question mark hanging over them coming into this weekend.

FPL Pick: Ollie Watkins

Despite failing to find the net this season, Watkins has four assists and a 2.0 xG total. FPL managers would've expected more from the Villa forward but his 22 points are tied-eighth most among strikers. He will score sooner rather than later and could go on a run of scoring once he gets that monkey off his back. He scored in this fixture last season and I wouldn't bet against him doing the same on Sunday.

Liverpool (-245) vs. West Ham United (+550) - 9:00 am ET

Score prediction: Liverpool 2 - 1 West Ham United

Liverpool made it four wins on the bounce, scoring at least two goals a game in the process. They've scored in 11 consecutive EPL games at home dating back to last season. West Ham had a spirited display against Manchester City and despite losing their unbeaten record, made it five games to start the season in which both teams have scored.

Both sides play in the Europa League on Thursday and West Ham's league form suffered last season playing midweek games. Liverpool is much more adept at dealing with the busier schedule and that should be enough to see them pick up the three points on Sunday.

FPL Pick: Dominik Szoboszlai

While Mo Salah continues to break records and is still Liverpool's best FPL option, Szoboszlai's importance should not be overlooked. He leads the team in shot-creating actions (22) and has been instrumental in Liverpool's early success. Once they have a more settled midfield around the Hungarian international, he could become an FPL star.

Sheffield United (+550) vs. Newcastle United (-220) - 11:30 am ET

Score prediction: Sheffield United 0 - 1 Newcastle United

Sheffield United led last week's game after 97 minutes. However, they contrived to lose the game and the search for a first win of the season continues. Only Burnley has a lower expected goals total than Sheffield United (3.5 xG) and the former has played one fewer game. Newcastle got a much-needed win and clean sheet last week and followed that up with a goalless draw in Milan, their first Champions League game in 20 years. Their 5.4 xGA is the fourth best in the EPL.

FPL Pick: Kieran Trippier

Trippier's 21 shot-creating actions are the most of any defender. It's also the same as Mo Salah, Marcus Rashford and Son Heung-min. Sheffield United has conceded two set-piece goals already this season and it'll be an ideal time for Trippier to pick up his first assist of the season.

 

Betting Picks

The below table gives the odds for each of the three main plays for each game (moneyline, total goals, and both teams to score). My favorite pick from each game is highlighted if you are looking to build a parlay.

Game Moneyline Over/Under 2.5 BTTS
Palace 2 – 1 Fulham Palace -110 O2.5 +105 Yes -115
Luton 1 – 1 Wolves Draw +240 U2.5 -120 Yes -145
Man City 3 – 1 Notts Forest Man City -700 O2.5 -255 Yes +120
Brentford 2 – 0 Everton Brentford -125 U2.5 -115 No +100
Burnley 1 – 1 Man United Draw +310 U2.5 +125 Yes -165
Arsenal 2 – 2 Tottenham Draw +330 O2.5 -205 Yes -195
Brighton 3 – 1 Bournemouth Brighton -265 O2.5 -275 Yes -170
Chelsea 1 – 1 Aston Villa Draw +270 U2.5 +115 Yes -175
Liverpool 2 – 1 West Ham Liverpool -245 O2.5 +250 Yes -175
Sheff United 0 – 1 Newcastle Newcastle -220 U2.5 +125 No -105
Season totals 30/49 30/49 27/49
Season parlays 1/5 (-1.24u) 1/5 (+1.30u) 1/5 (+1.91u)

Good luck with those FPL teams and EPL bets. Remember to bet responsibly!

More Betting and DFS Picks

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Alec Bohm

Back From Rib Injury on Friday
Trey Hendrickson

Holdout to Spill into Regular Season?
Jalen McMillan

Bucs Offensive Coordinator Not Forgetting About Jalen McMillan
Levi Onwuzurike

to Miss at Least Four Games
Nick Emmanwori

Seahawks, Nick Emmanwori Reach Agreement on Rookie Deal
Max Holloway

Set For Main Event
Brandon Lowe

Back From 10-Day Injured List
Dustin Poirier

Set For His Final UFC Fight
Roman Kopylov

Set For Co-Main Event
Paulo Costa

Returns At UFC 318
Luis L. Ortiz

to Remain on Leave for Another Month - Will he Pitch Again?
Daniel Rodriguez

Looks For Third Win In A Row
Kevin Holland

Set For His Fourth Fight This Year
Dan Ige

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
MMA

Patricio Freire Set For His Second UFC Fight
Daniel Zellhuber

Set To Open Up UFC 318 Main Card
Michael Johnson

Looks For Third Consecutive Win
Elijah Arroyo

Signs Rookie Deal
Jaydon Blue

Described as "Borderline Lazy"
T.J. Sanders

Bills Sign T.J. Sanders to Rookie Deal
Christian Wilkins

Raiders Put Christian Wilkins on PUP List
Jabari Small

Lions Add Jabari Small to Backfield
Quinshon Judkins

Remains Unsigned, Won't Report With Rest of Rookies
Mason Taylor

Agrees to Rookie Contract with Jets
Hendon Hooker

Leading Lions QB2 Battle Entering Training Camp
Ozzy Trapilo

Agrees to Rookie Contract with Bears
Tate Ratledge

Agrees to Rookie Contract with Lions
Jack Bech

Signs Rookie Contract with Raiders
Yegor Chinakhov

Requests Trade
Dakota Joshua

Maple Leafs Acquire Dakota Joshua
Lukas Dostal

Signs Five-Year Extension with Ducks
Shemar Stewart

Not Practicing With College Team
Uchenna Nwosu

Seahawks Place Uchenna Nwosu on PUP List
Taylor Decker

Alim McNeill, Taylor Decker Placed on PUP List
Tyrion Davis-Price

Titans Waive Tyrion Davis-Price
Tre Harris

Chargers Relying on Tre Harris to Be Starting X Receiver
Eugenio Suárez

Eugenio Suarez Expected Back Friday
Micah Parsons

Will Become Highest-Paid Non-QB
Damian Lillard

Returning to Portland
Paul Skenes

Pirates Could Preserve Paul Skenes in Second Half
Brooks Barnhizer

Grabs 19 Points, Nine Boards in Summer League Win
Jeremiah Fears

Scores 22 Points in Summer League Loss to Thunder
Isaiah Collier

Collects 17 Points In Summer League Win
Caleb Houstan

Joins Hawks
AJ Johnson

Erupts for 25 Points in Summer League Loss
Washington Wizards

Leaky Black Logs Double-Double in Loss to Jazz
Connor Norby

Undergoes Surgery, Expected to Miss 6-8 Weeks
Trey Alexander

Tallies 25 Points in Losing Effort
Johni Broome

Records Second Consecutive Double-Double
Jahmir Young

Has Historic Summer League Outing
Rob Dillingham

Plays Big Role in Wednesday's Win
Tyrese Proctor

Erupts for 35 Points Against Kings
Cody Williams

Leads Jazz to Victory Against Wizards
LeBron James

Mavs Not Interested in "Gutting its Roster" For LeBron James
Josh Hart

Undergoes a Procedure on Right Finger
Jake Burger

Goes on 10-Day Injured List With Quad Strain
Sal Frelick

Dealing With Grade 1 Hamstring Strain, TBD for Start of Second Half
Chris Sale

Plays Catch
Los Angeles Clippers

Bradley Beal Heading to Los Angeles to Join Clippers After Contract Buyout
Rayan Rupert

Scores 24 Points in Summer League Win
Derik Queen

Collects Third Consecutive Double-Double in Summer League Loss
GG Jackson II

Records 13 Points in Summer League Action on Tuesday
Johni Broome

Logs Double-Double Against Wizards
DaRon Holmes II

Records Double-Double in Summer League Loss to Raptors
Kyle Schwarber

Named All-Star Game MVP
Harris English

Takes Stellar 2025 Performance to The Open Championship
Aldrich Potgieter

Seeks Better Result in Northern Ireland
Cameron Young

Likely to Hang Around at The Open Championship
Cameron Smith

Just Trying to Make the Cut at Royal Portrush
Jordan Spieth

Is Jordan Spieth Still a Natural for Links Style Golf?
Patrick Reed

a Viable Option at The Open Championship
PGA

Sungjae Im Wants to Rebound from Last Experience at Royal Portrush
Xander Schauffele

Looks to Defend His Claret Jug at Royal Portrush
Tony Finau

Trying to Turn Tide at Royal Portrush
Daniel Brown

Seeks a Rebound at The Open Championship
Rory McIlroy

Will be the Most Watched Player This Week at Royal Portrush
Daniel Berger

Trending Poorly as The Open Championship Looms
Clayton Kershaw

Retires Both Batters In ASG Appearance
Eugenio Suárez

Eugenio Suarez Hit In Pinky In All-Star Game, X-Rays Negative
MLB

NL All-Stars Win On Tie-Breaker Home Run Swing-Off
Robert MacIntyre

Hoping to Bounce Back at Open Championship
Shane Lowry

Hopes to Repeat at Royal Portrush
Brian Harman

Hopes to Rekindle Some Magic at the 153rd Open
UTA

Michael Carcone Returns to Utah on One-Year Contract
Bowen Byram

Signs Two-Year Deal with Sabres
Morgan Barron

Jets Re-Sign Morgan Barron for Two Years
PGA

Chris Gotterup Punches Ticket to Royal Portrush With Win at Scottish Open
Bryson DeChambeau

Hopes to Reverse Links Golf Struggle at the 153rd Open
Keegan Bradley

Needs to Find The Weekend at Royal Portrush for Ryder Cup Hopes
Oneil Cruz

Ties Home Run Derby Distance Record
Cal Raleigh

Wins 2025 Home Run Derby
Justin Thomas

Finishes Tied For 22nd at Genesis Scottish Open
Scottie Scheffler

Finishes Tied For Eighth at Genesis Scottish Open
Jon Rahm

Finishes in Second at LIV Andalucia
Tallison Teixeira

Suffers First-Round TKO
Derrick Lewis

Scores First-Round TKO
Michael Lorenzen

Royals Put Michael Lorenzen on Injured List With Oblique Strain
Stephen Thompson

Loses Controversial Split Decision
Gabriel Bonfim

Wins Controversial Split Decision
Calvin Kattar

Gets Outclassed At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Extends His Win Streak
Nate Landwehr

Gets Knocked Out
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Scores Third-Round Knockout
Austen Lane

Suffers Submission Loss
Vitor Petrino

Scores First-Round Submission In Heavyweight Debut
Tuco Tokkos

Earns His First UFC Win
Chase Elliott

Charges to A Finish of Third At Sonoma
Chase Briscoe

Finishes Second With his First Career Road-Course Top-Five at Sonoma
Christopher Bell

Rollercoaster Day Ends With Top-5 Finish at Sonoma
William Byron

Maintains the Regular-Season Points Lead
Kyle Busch

Earns A Hard-Fought Top-10 Finish At Sonoma
Alex Ovechkin

Not Thinking About Retirement
PIT

Penguins Acquire Arturs Silovs
NHL

Nikolai Kovalenko Returns to Russia
Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Tosses Gem Against Giants
Shota Imanaga

Shuts Down Yankees on Sunday
Nathan Eovaldi

Dominant Again in Seventh Win
Tyler Reddick

Evades Near Upset to Remain Alive in In-Season Challenge
Ty Gibbs

One of Three Tylers to Make In-Season Challenge Semifinals
Kyle Larson

Curiously Mediocre at Sonoma Before Late-Race Crash
NASCAR

John H. Nemechek Edges Out Teammate to Make In-Season Challenge Semifinal
Alex Bowman

Ty Dillon Bumps Alex Bowman to Advance to In-Season Challenge Semifinal
Chicago White Sox

Billy Carlson Goes 10th Overall to White Sox
Cincinnati Reds

Steele Hall Selected Ninth by Cincinnati
Shane Van Gisbergen

Can Anyone Beat Shane van Gisbergen at Sonoma?
Tyler Reddick

Better at Sonoma Than Record Shows
Chase Elliott

a Prime DFS Option at Sonoma
Michael McDowell

Struggling a Bit at Sonoma
NASCAR

Christopher Bell Has Never Finished Better Than Ninth at Sonoma
Ryan Blaney

Has Top-10 Upside at Sonoma
NASCAR

Sunday at Sonoma Will Likely Be a Long Race for Bubba Wallace
Kyle Larson

Is A Likely Top-Five Contender for Sonoma
Ryan Preece

Points Position Could Affect Race at Sonoma
Todd Gilliland

Struggling to Find Speed at Sonoma
Ty Gibbs

May be an Underrated Favorite to Compete for the Win at Sonoma
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF