👉 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE SPRING
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 50% Now
Import Your Leagues
Props Tool
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
24x7 News and Alerts

George Springer Rankings Debate - Comparing RotoBaller's Rankers

We continue our long-running series of articles debating fantasy rankings with a player that is sure to be one of the first few outfielders off the board in all formats. Or is he?

RotoBaller's expert writers have come up with our consensus rankings for mixed leagues, but that doesn't mean we agreed on everything. In this space, we'll hear from rankers with the biggest differences of opinion on a well-known player and have them defend their position against each other.

Today, the topic is the young Houston Astros stud George Springer. Bill is bullish on his sky-high potential while Pierre's enthusiasm is a bit lower. Let's get ready to rumble!

Featured Promo: Save 50% the regular price with discount code SPRING, for a limited time. Exclusive access to our Team Sync platform, DFS cheat sheets, Lineup Optimizers, betting/prop picks, and exclusive content from Nick Mariano and Eric Cross! GAIN ACCESS NOW

 

2018 Draft Rankings Debate - George Springer

Ranking Tier Player Position Kyle Nick Pierre Jeff Harris Bill Composite
28 3 George Springer OF 28 26 34 29 22 21 26.667

Bill Dubiel's Ranking: #21 overall

I don't think I've lost the stars in my eyes from Springer's all-time amazing World Series. I'm going with it though, and there are plenty of reasons to stay optimistic. Springer took some monster steps forward last year on his way to winning the World Series MVP award, and I believe in those steps being relatively sustainable.

We'll start with Springer's approach at the plate. He actually posted the lowest walk-rate of his career last year (10.2%) but traded that for huge gains in contact and power. Springer posted the highest hard-hit percentage of his career (36.7%) and saw huge boosts in his power numbers. He raised his ISO over 40 points (.239), his slugging over 60 points (.522), set career highs in batting average (.283), RBI (85) and HR (34)... and did all of this while dropping his K-rate from 23.9% to 17.6%.

Of all of those stats, I think the K-rate is the least sustainable item in the list, but really there is no reason (barring injury) that Springer can't post a .275 batting average with 32 homers and 85 RBI. Adding onto that, Springer will still lead off for the Astros in 2018, meaning he'll be hitting in front of Alex Bregman, Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa and Yulieski Gurriel. There is no way that Springer scores fewer than 110 runs if he plays at least 140 games.

I'm not certain we've even seen the best that Springer is capable of, and that's the main reason for my ultra-optimistic ranking. Springer's floor is so absurdly high, but he's capable of so much more.

 

Pierre Camus' Ranking: #34 overall

Springer's outstanding postseason might be the worst thing to happen to his fantasy value. Like a few of his teammates, Springer will be slightly overvalued in the eyes of guys like Bill who are seeing things through Astroturf-colored glasses. You can love the player, but fantasy drafts are all about value, not emotional attachment.

It's true that everything has been trending the right way for Springer over his MLB career. You've already heard how his K% has dipped every year while his contact rate keeps climbing. Expecting Springer to maintain his 78.7% Contact% isn't unreasonable, but it might be ambitious to project anything over 80% or to think that he could possibly get even better. I could just scream regression all day long, but that's a cop-out. We don't know for sure if Springer has reached his ceiling, but that's not the question here. The question is whether he is a surefire second-round pick relative to his ADP mates.

If you were in a points league last year, you may already be aware that ranking Springer anywhere higher than 30 is overly optimistic. In 2017, he finished as the 18th-leading scorer among hitters in Fleaflicker leagues and that rank drops to 23rd in CBS scoring systems. If you throw pitchers into the mix, that would make him 34th (Fleaflicker) and 36th (CBS). My ranking looks fairly appropriate here.

In roto leagues, Springer will clearly help you win in runs (112 - tied for sixth) and homers (34 - good for 20th), but he was only 43rd in RBI with 85 and his speed has quickly disappeared, with just five successful steals on 12 attempts. The fact that he is 35 out of 58 on career SB attempts all but assures he'll be staying put on the basepaths and negating any value there. His batting average is the biggest question mark relative to his career numbers, but even if he does manage to keep improving it won't be enough to make him an "elite" player in that category. After parsing all the figures, if you consider Springer an second-round talent because he's great in two categories, you've surely got an Astros championship banner hanging in your room, or at least a bumper sticker.

As sabermetrician and battle ax master Alex Chamberlain recently said in Springer's 2018 outlook: "It’s safer to assume everything regresses a bit in 2018 – maybe the K% climbs and the power recedes a bit." A repeat of his triple-crown line of .285/30/85 with over 110 runs is definitely within his reach, but at a very deep outfield position, it doesn't justify taking him over the current crop of young stud infielders, such as Francisco Lindor, Jose Ramirez, Corey Seager, or even Cody Bellinger.

 

More 2018 MLB Ranking Debate Articles




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 50% Now
Import Your Leagues
Props Tool
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Lawson Crouse

Cashes in with Two Goals For Utah
Mikael Granlund

Serves Up Trio of Assists in Anaheim Big Win
DeVonta Smith

Is DeVonta Smith Still the Long-Term WR1 in Philadelphia?
Chris Olave

Can Chris Olave Continue to Dominate Target Share?
Makai Lemon

Where Will Makai Lemon Slot into Crowded Group of Philadelphia Pass Catchers?
New England Patriots

Patriots Select Tight End Eli Raridon With 95th Overall Pick
Miami Dolphins

Dolphins Take Another Receiver in Chris Bell at 94th Overall
San Francisco 49ers

49ers Select Kaelon Black With 90th Overall Pick
Chicago Bears

Zavion Thomas Selected 89th Overall by Bears
Giancarlo Stanton

Exits With Leg Tightness on Friday
Miami Dolphins

Dolphins Select Will Kacmarek With 87th Overall Pick
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Buccaneers Draft Ted Hurst 84th Overall in NFL Draft
Isaiah Joe

Likely to Miss Game 3 Against Suns
Carolina Panthers

Panthers Select Chris Brazzell II in the Third Round
Baltimore Ravens

Ja'Kobi Lane Heading to the Ravens With 80th Overall Pick
Peyton Watson

to Remain Sidelined Saturday
Pittsburgh Steelers

Drew Allar Selected 76th Overall by Steelers
Atlanta Falcons

Falcons Select Speedy Receiver Zachariah Branch At 79 Overall
Aaron Gordon

Questionable for Saturday's Game 4
Miami Dolphins

Dolphins Select Caleb Douglas With 75th Overall Pick
Jordan Goodwin

on Track to Return Saturday
New York Giants

Giants Trade Up to Pick 74, Select Malachi Fields
NFL

Saints Select Oscar Delp With 73rd Overall Pick
Grayson Allen

Listed as Questionable for Saturday
Mark Williams

Won't Play Saturday
Washington Commanders

Commanders Use 71st Overall Pick on Antonio Williams
Chicago Bears

Bears Select Sam Roush With 69th Pick
Victor Wembanyama

Will Miss Game 3 Against Trail Blazers
Carson Beck

Selected 65th Overall by Cardinals
Los Angeles Rams

Rams Select Max Klare With 61st Overall Pick
Houston Texans

Texans Select Marlin Klein With 59th Overall Pick
Tari Eason

Reed Sheppard Move into Starting Five on Friday
Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Wins Most Improved Player Award
Immanuel Quickley

to Miss Rest of First-Round Series
Kevin Durant

is Ruled Out for Game 3 on Friday
Joel Embiid

Officially Ruled Out for Game 3
Eugenio Suárez

Eugenio Suarez Scratched on Friday With Mid-Back Pain
Troy Terry

Available for Game 3 Against Oilers
Radko Gudas

Misses Second Straight Game Friday
Charle-Edouard D'Astous

Unavailable Friday
Dan Vladar

Considered a Game-Time Call for Saturday
Jake Sanderson

Ruled Out for Game 4 Due to Concussion
Yakov Trenin

Won't Play in Game 4 Against Stars
Mats Zuccarello

a Game-Time Decision Saturday
Jackson Holliday

Receives Positive Test Results, Will be Shut Down for a Week
Jeff Hoffman

Out as Blue Jays Closer
Youssef Zalal

Set For UFC Vegas 116 Main Event
Aljamain Sterling

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 116
Joselyne Edwards

Set For UFC Vegas 116 Co-Main Event
Norma Dumont

Looks To Extend Her Win Streak
Alexander Hernandez

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 116
Rafa Garcia

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Adrian Luna Martinetti

Set For His UFC Debut
Davey Grant

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Jaden McDaniels

Records Double-Double in Game 3
Ayo Dosunmu

Paces Wolves in Game 3 Victory
Jalen Johnson

Flirts with Triple-Double in Game 3 Win
Mikal Bridges

Goes Scoreless in Game 3 Loss
Anthony Edwards

Limited to 24 Minutes in Game 3
Jalen Brunson

Pours in 26 Points in Game 3 Defeat
CJ McCollum

Delivers Clutch Shot in Game 3 Win
Jordan Kyrou

Recovering From Minor Knee Procedure
Roope Hintz

"Ways Away" From Returning
Jason Dickinson

Could Be an Option for Game 3
Adam Henrique

Misses Trip to Anaheim
Jake Sanderson

Dealing With Head Injury
Josh Manson

Evaluated for Upper-Body Injury
Alex Lyon

Comes in and Shuts Down Boston
Jake Sanderson

Suffers Hand Injury While Blocking Shot
Jake LaRavia

Available for Game 3 Friday
Austin Reaves

Upgraded to Questionable on Injury Report
Francisco Lindor

Expected to Miss "Significant Time"
Tyler Kleven

Available for Senators Versus Hurricanes
Josh Norris

Out With Undisclosed Injury for Thursday Night
Noah Ostlund

Will Return for Game 3 Against Boston
Francisco Lindor

Mets Officially Place Francisco Lindor on Injured List With Calf Strain
Michael Harris II

Removed Early With Quad Tightness
Francisco Lindor

Likely Headed to the Injured List
Jason Robertson

Scores in Sixth Straight Playoff Game
Michael Harris II

Continues to Heat Up With Two-Homer Game on Wednesday
Francisco Lindor

Leaves Wednesday's Game Early With Calf Tightness
JR Ritchie

Earns Promotion, Will Make MLB Debut on Thursday
Wyatt Langford

Expected to Go on Injured List With Flexor Strain
Maikel Garcia

Leaves Early on Wednesday With Elbow Soreness
Roman Anthony

Day-to-Day With Sore Back
Juan Soto

Officially Back in Mets Lineup on Wednesday
J.T. Realmuto

Phillies Place J.T. Realmuto on Injured List With Back Injury
Lucas Giolito

Signs With Padres, Worth a Waiver-Wire Pickup?
Ryan Helsley

Orioles Put Ryan Helsley on Bereavement List on Wednesday
CFB

Beau Pribula Leading Virginia Quarterback Competition
Marco Penge

Trending Down Entering Zurich Classic
Sahith Theegala

Eyes Another Strong Week at Zurich Classic
Brooks Koepka

Shane Lowry Teams Up with Brooks Koepka at Zurich Classic
Si Woo Kim

Adds Another Strong Finish at RBC Heritage
Elly De La Cruz

Early-Season Breakout Continues on Tuesday
Wyatt Langford

Pulled Early on Tuesday With Forearm Tightness
Luke Clanton

Hoping to Find Form in New Orleans
Jackson Holliday

Leaves Rehab Game With Hand Discomfort
Scottie Scheffler

is Starting to Hit His Stride
Brooks Koepka

Looking for Progress in PGA Return With Partner at Zurich Classic
Matt Fitzpatrick

Looks to Share Recent Form at Zurich Classic
CFB

Ashton Daniels Named Florida State's Starting Quarterback
Tyler Reddick

Earns His Fifth Win of the 2026 Season at Kansas
Kyle Larson

Finishes as the Runner-Up at Kansas
Chase Briscoe

Rallies for A New Career-Best Finish at Kansas
Denny Hamlin

Leads the Most Laps at Kansas but Misses Out on Victory
Christopher Bell

Falls Out of Contention for Kansas Victory on Final Restart
Mike Malott

Scores Third-Round TKO Win
Gilbert Burns

Retires After UFC Winnipeg Loss
Charles Jourdain

Extends Winning Streak
Kyler Phillips

Drops Decision At UFC Winnipeg
Mandel Nallo

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss In His UFC Debut
Jai Herbert

Scores First-Round TKO Win
Karine Silva

Gets Dominated at UFC Winnipeg
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Dominates Karine Silva
Kyle Larson

Should not be Underestimated for the Win at Kansas
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF