Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Two-Start Pitcher Streamers for Week 21


We're getting closer and closer to the fantasy playoffs. That means these two-start streamers will be in high demand now more than ever, and owners will need to take care with who they choose.

All that out of the way, Week 19 was a big whiff. I already mentioned last week that two of the guys from the Week 19 column went on the IL shortly after publication. Well as it turns out Daniel Norris was the only pitcher that week to make both of his starts, and, well...it wasn't great. Out of the one-start pitchers that week, Dylan Cease was the best choice after allowing two runs over five innings with six strikeouts to get the win over Detroit. As for Week 20 we already have a couple of strong front-runners. Dillon Peters earned the win in a quality start against Pittsburgh, allowing two runs over six innings with six strikeouts. Meanwhile, Ivan Nova earned a complete-game win over Houston, allowing one unearned run on four hits with three strikeouts.

As the wise warthog Pumbaa once said, "You've got to put your behind in your past." Let's move on from last week and take a look at who to stream in Week 21.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season MLB Premium Pass for 50% off. Exclusive access to our Draft Kit, premium rankings, projections, player outlooks, top prospects, dynasty rankings, 15 in-season lineup tools, and over 200 days of expert DFS research. Sign Up Now!

 

Week 21 Streamers - Under 50% Owned

Marco Gonzales, SEA - 49% owned

Probable opponents: @ TBR, vs TOR

This isn't Gonzales' first time on this list, which makes sense as he's been arguably one of the top streaming options in fantasy this season. He has recorded a quality start in five of his last seven outings, while posting a 3-3 record and 3.97 ERA in that span. In his last time out, Gonzales took the loss despite allowing three runs over six innings with six strikeouts.

He'll open up the week with a rematch against Tampa Bay after tying his season-high with nine strikeouts against the Rays earlier this month while allowing just two runs over 6 1/3 innings. Gonzales should be in line for a similar performance in Week 21, as the Rays are averaging 4.0 runs and 7.7 strikeouts over their last 10 games while hitting .239. After traveling to Tampa Bay, Gonzales will return home to take on the Blue Jays for what will likely be a more challenging start. Toronto is averaging 6.1 runs over their last 10 games while hitting .253, but they are also averaging 10.0 strikeouts per game in that span. Add on the fact that the Blue Jays are striking out at a higher rate against left-handed starters (26.7 percent) than against right-handers (23.2 percent), and Gonzales could still have decent value against Toronto.

It's the classic conundrum of one good start against one iffy start for Gonzales this week. Gonzales has been a solid starter throughout the season, but he has had some rough outings sprinkled throughout and Toronto has the potential to be a rough start. All that being said, I'm still putting my money on Gonzales to do well this week and he should be one of the top streamers to target.

Zach Davies, MIL - 29% owned

Probable opponents: @ STL, vs ARI

Davies makes his return to the Brewers rotation after a stint on the Injured List and will be in line for a two-start week for Milwaukee. While he struggled in his last three outings before going on the IL to the tune of an 11.77 ERA over 13 innings, prior to that Davies was 8-2 with a 2.79 ERA and 68 strikeouts over 109 2/3 innings.

Starting off Week 21, Davies will head on the road to take on the Cardinals, who are averaging 4.4 runs and 9.1 strikeouts over their last 10 games while hitting .245 in that span. The matchup looks even better when you realize that 24 of the 44 runs the Cardinals have scored over their last 10 games all came in just two games. Davies has also already faced the Cardinals in St. Louis once this year, although owners will hope he does better than his prior performance in which he allowed two runs with four strikeouts over 4 2/3 innings. In his second start of the week, Davies will return to Milwaukee to face the Diamondbacks, who have averaged 5.2 runs and hit .268 over their last 10 games while going 5-5 in that span. Like with St. Louis, Davies has already faced Arizona once this year, allowing just one run over seven innings to earn his eighth win of the year. Davies should also get a boost in value as the Diamondbacks have hit worse against right-handed starters (.251 average, .761 OPS) than against lefties (.277, . 815).

Davies isn't a high-strikeout pitcher, but he should provide a boost to any team in ERA and wins. Gonzales should be the first pitcher to target from this section, but Davies will be a solid second-choice for owners who miss out on Gonzales.

 

Week 21 Streamers - Under 25% Owned

Dakota Hudson, STL - 26% owned

Probable opponents: vs MIL, vs COL

After a rough three-start stretch, Hudson bounced back in his last outing to earn the win and the quality start over the Royals as he struck out four batters over six scoreless innings. Hudson has recorded quality starts in three of his last seven outings with 29 strikeouts in 35 innings, and he'll look to continue that production in his first matchup against Milwaukee since April. Despite allowing nine earned runs in two starts against the Brewers this year, it should be a solid matchup for Hudson as Milwaukee is currently averaging 4.4 runs and 9.9 strikeouts over their last 10 games. Hudson will then have a near identical matchup in his second outing against Colorado, as the Rockies are averaging 4.5 runs and 7.9 strikeouts over their last 10 games.

Both of these starts will come at home, which should be a boost for Hudson as he has better numbers in St. Louis (3.60 ERA, 1.517 WHIP) than on the road (4.01, 1.589). Hudson has at least five strikeouts in five of his last eight starts, and owners should expect solid fantasy value out of him this week as one of the safer options in the "Under 25%" group.

Kyle Freeland, COL - 16% owned

Probable opponents: vs CIN, vs MIL

It seems that there's always one guy who shows up on this list for strikeout potential and strikeout potential alone, and this week it's Freeland. In three of his last six starts Freeland has recorded at least five strikeouts, and over he has 14 strikeouts over his last 17 innings of work. He'll start off the week against the Reds, who are averaging 5.1 runs over their last 10 games but are also averaging 7.8 strikeouts in that span. Freeland will then face off against Milwaukee, who as we mentioned before are averaging nearly 10 strikeouts a game over their last 10 games.

Like I said, if you're looking at Freeland this week you're looking for only strikeouts from him. He's pitching at home for both starts, and with the way the Reds' offense is going, Freeland will likely have a bloated ERA. But if you're willing to punt ERA this week, Freeland should be a good option if everyone else on this list has already been claimed.

Kolby Allard, TEX - 3% owned

Probable opponents: vs LAA, @ CHW

OK, I know he's only made two starts this year, but I have a good feeling about Allard this week. Allard was racking up the strikeouts with an 8.3 K/9 in Triple-A, and he has 12 strikeouts over his first 10 innings of the season. He'll start off the week against the Angels, who have averaged 5.1 runs over their last 10 games. While that may be cause for hesitation with a rookie pitcher on the mound, the Angels have also averaged 10.0 strikeouts per game in that span, plus they are hitting worse against left-handed starters (.238 average, .747 OPS) than against right-handers (.259, .769). In his second start of the week, Allard will take on the White Sox, who are averaging 5.0 runs over their last 10 games but are also striking out at a high clip with 8.3 strikeouts per game in that span.

This is a high-risk, high-reward player. Allard will be making career starts No. 4 and 5 this week, and he has never face the Angels or the White Sox before. Both teams have been putting up high-scoring performances over the last two weeks, but I believe that Allard will be the best guy to choose in the "Under 25%" group, and he has a real shot at being the best pick of the entire column.

More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




More Recent Articles

 

ADP Cost Analysis – Robbie Ray vs Trevor Bauer

With fantasy baseball draft season in full swing, those of us who partake in this joyous game are now looking through as much draft data as possible in a bid to find players we love who have lower average draft positions (ADP) than we believe they should. All this to eke out as much draft... Read More


2020 Keeper Value Rankings - Second Base

Keeper Value Rankings are intended for Keeper Leagues in which a fantasy owner must forfeit a designated draft pick in order to keep a player into the upcoming season. These rankings are based on Keeper "Values". In the marketing world, Value can be defined as "the extent to which a good or service (player) is... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers – C.J. Cron

As another fantasy baseball season approaches, we once again have the chance to discuss C.J. Cron as a fantasy sleeper. Cron will be playing for his third team in three seasons. It is tough to wrap one's head around the idea that a player of Cron's talent continues to be undervalued by professional and fantasy... Read More


2020 Starting Pitcher Rankings - H2H Points Leagues

Points leagues may seem like a slight variation from traditional 5x5 category scoring leagues but you must approach draft day with a very different strategy if you wish to truly compete. All preseason long, RotoBaller has you covered with the latest rankings for all fantasy baseball league types. Here we present our points league rankings... Read More


Second-Half Improvements: Buy Into These Starting Pitchers

The second half of the season is always put under a microscope for starting pitchers. Fantasy players have a love for the second half of the season, as the belief is that pitchers who take a step forward could carry over that success the next season and perhaps even build upon it. But, as we... Read More


How to Attack RP in SV+HLD Leagues

No position has seen as much evolution in recent seasons as the relief pitcher. Gone are the days where starters were expected to go seven innings as most teams have embraced the idea of "super-bullpening" and try to fit as many pitchers that can throw 95+ MPH into their bullpen as they can. Many fantasy... Read More


Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball: Pitch Info

One of the most fundamental questions in fantasy sports is if a player's current performance is sustainable. More than any other sport, baseball has a slew of statistical measures that can be dissected in numerous ways to analyze player performance. Pitch Info is a publicly-available pitch tracking system that provides a lot of different data to... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Staff Rankings

Below you will find RotoBaller's 2020 fantasy baseball rankings, tiers and auction dollar values for the 2020 MLB season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Mixed, Head-to-Head, Points, AL/NL Only, Two-Catcher Top 2020 prospects, Dynasty leagues, Keeper values Export the rankings easily... Read More


Mock Draft Review: Best Late-Round Targets

Last week, some members of the RotoBaller staff completed a 12-team mock draft for standard 5x5 format. After the draft, we each broke down our strategy and some of our favorite picks, which can be found here. However, I want to take a closer look at one portion of the draft in particular. Since we know that... Read More


Faster and Furious: Pitchers with Rising Velocity/Performance

Welcome fantasy baseball players! I’m sure that you, like me, are anxiously counting down the days until your drafts and Opening Day. While the fantasy season may not start for several weeks, there are plenty of things we can do to start preparing for a successful season. One of those things is to take a good... Read More


James Karinchak Is A Relief Pitcher To Know in 2020

One of the lesser-known players that intrigues me for the 2020 MLB season is Indians relief pitcher James Karinchak. The former Bryant Bulldog was drafted by Cleveland in the ninth round in the 2017 draft and went on to have one of the most outrageous statistical seasons in minor league baseball history. As someone who... Read More


2020 Relief Pitcher Rankings - H2H Points Leagues

Often regarded as an inferior fantasy baseball format, points leagues offer a different style of boasting over your friends or coworkers similar to that of fantasy football. These setups are typically head-to-head formats for a one-week stretch where the player with the most points gets a win. Easy right? While it's true that roster construction... Read More


2019 Barrel Breakouts: Who's For Real and Who's Next?

As pitchers and catchers get even closer to reporting and most fantasy leagues prepare for their drafts, everybody is looking for a leg up on the competition - a way to get in on a guy before everybody else does. In this article, we're going to look for a way to identify hitters who improved... Read More


Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball: Pitcher BABIP

While FIP is a useful tool to predict a pitcher's future ERA performance, fantasy owners should remember that ERA, not FIP, is what really matters in most formats. This means that we are interested in the "luck" that separates the two statistics. While some of this luck is unpredictable, we can and should predict some... Read More


Second Year Player Preview: Fantasy Baseball 2020 ADP Analysis

Host Anthony Aniano of RotoBaller Radio discuss the 2020 fantasy baseball season and keeps you updated with all the latest news and analysis Be sure to tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (channel Sirius 210, XM 87) - every weekday morning between 6-7 AM ET, every weekday afternoon from 1-2 PM ET, Saturday nights from 9-11 PM ET... Read More