Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Player Comparisons
News and Alerts

Fantasy Football Breakouts, Busts, and Locks - Pittsburgh Steelers 2022 Outlook

Najee Harris - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Welcome back to fantasy football Breakouts, Busts, and Locks, a series on RotoBaller where our writers look at three key players on each NFL team. Today, we're talking about the Pittsburgh Steelers.

First, let’s clear the air. I am a devout Steelers fan. That doesn’t mean I can’t be objective, although I am more hopeful than most.

As far as breakouts, busts, and locks go, let’s clinically dissect this year’s Pittsburgh Steelers offense.

Editor's Note: Our incredible team of writers received 13 award nominations by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association including Baseball Writer of the Year, Football Writers of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year and many more! Be sure to follow their analysis, rankings and advice all year long, and win big with RotoBaller! Read More!


Fantasy Football Breakout: Mitchell Trubisky

While it is true the Steelers shot their wad and picked quarterback Kenny Pickett 20th overall in the 2022 NFL Draft (more on that later), this does not preclude Trubisky from being the one under center this season.

Trubisky, the second overall pick in the 2017 NFL Draft by the Chicago Bears, has had a tumultuous career.  The question then becomes was it talent or environment (yes, I am looking at you, Matt Nagy). Here is Windy City Gridiron Josh Sunderbruch's assessment of Trubisky and his Chicago tenure by Jeff Hartman:

More than half of his [Trubisky] struggles were due to forces outside of his control. He was given one of the worst receiver corps in the league in 2017, and he never really had a chance to settle into a consistent offense after that time.  [Matt] Nagy’s inability to adapt the scheme to the quarterback is consistent – I mean, at some point if the system fails with multiple starting quarterbacks, it’s not the player, it's the coach.

[Trubisky] was not a finished product when he came to Chicago, and he never showed a grasp for nuanced football.  He couldn’t make reads, and he struggled at times with playing hero ball.  He does not have “elite QB” talent.  He has “good QB talent” and he tries to play like he’s better than he is.

Now, I’m not predicting that Trubisky will be a superstar, only that his breakout performance will outplay his 14.05 ADP (on fantasyfootballcalculator.com) and play better than QB21 (his best on fantasypros.com).

Trubisky has wide receivers Diontae Johnson, Chase Claypool, George Pickens, tight end Pat Freiermuth, and running back Najee Harris at his disposal.  This is his best arsenal since he got in the league, which incidentally will be good for Trubisky but may not be that great for his weapons.

Last season with the same weapons, Ben Roethlisberger ended the season QB21. Roethlisberger had 6.2 yards per attempt (30th), 6.7 air yards per attempt (32nd), 7.5 accuracy rating (22nd), and 14.3 fantasy points per game (23rd), all stats thanks to playerprofiler.com.

Not saying that Trubisky is Roethlisberger, but his stats are comparable to last season’s Roethlisberger even in Trubisky’s “bad years.” In 2020, Trubisky played 10 games, he averaged 6.9 yards per attempt (24th), 7.7 air yards per attempt (21st), 7.0 accuracy rating (31st), and 16.2 fantasy points per game (24th) with much inferior weapons (no disrespect to Allen Robinson).

Yes, Trubisky has trouble reading defenses, and okay there are questions about his accuracy. And then there is their subpar offensive line (whose blemishes were slightly nullified by the fact that their quarterback last season had the quickest release time of any quarterback 2.37 seconds) is ranked 30th by Pro Football Focus.

Trubisky is more athletic than Roethlisberger and can be considered a dual-threat quarterback, which will fit better in Matt Canada’s system. For his career, he has 203 rushing attempts for 1081 rushing yards and nine rushing touchdowns (no he isn’t Lamar Jackson or Kyler Murray) but he is a dual-threat which raises his fantasy ceiling.

You aren’t going to go wild and draft him for your QB1 in single quarterback redraft leagues…but there is a very good…nay an excellent possibility that he will outplay the QB29 ranking he has in NFFC (National Football Fantasy Championship).


Fantasy Football Bust: Kenny Pickett

I believe it is my time to reiterate that a bust in this instance does not mean he flames out completely. It just means he will not live up to the preseason hype or the Pittsburgh Steelers draft capital hype.

When you are a quarterback drafted in the first round on a team that lost the only man who has started for the franchise since 2004, then you are expected to start. Not only start but (unless your name is Patrick Mahomes) start well.

And then there are the Vegas odds for Offensive Rookie of the Year.


Kenny Pickett +500
Drake London +700
Treylon Burks +750
Breece Hall +800
Christian Watson +850
Garrett Wilson +1000
Chris Olave +1000

Pickett may very well be the best quarterback in a subpar quarterback class, but he is currently taking third-team reps exclusively. Not a worry for the dynasty players, but for redraft, it could be an issue.

Then there is the fact that for four years at the University of Pittsburgh, Pickett’s play was meh. He never had a season with a completion percentage higher than 61.6%, average yards per attempt peaked at 7.7, and he did not pass for more than 13 touchdowns in a season. Then in 2021, his completion rate rose to 67.2%, he averaged 8.7 yards per attempt and passed for 42 touchdowns. If he is a slow starter, then sitting a year is just the thing for him and our fantasy teams.

The Steelers do not appear in any hurry to make Pickett the starter. That sentence assumes that Pickett will beat out Trubisky for the starting position, which right now doesn’t seem likely. What about dynasty you ask? Stay tuned.


Fantasy Football Lock: Najee Harris

There is no such thing as a “sure thing” in life or fantasy football, but Harris in the backfield of the 2022 Pittsburgh Steelers seems pretty damn close.

Last season, Harris finished as RB3 in fantasy football. He was second in rushes (307), first in targets (94), first in receptions (74), and fourth in rushing yards (1200). True, he averaged a disappointing 3.91 yards per carry and he was 28th in breakaway runs, having them on only 3.9% of his rush attempts. In this case, volume is king.

Harris’ has a current ADP of 6. Per Fantasy Pros, he is currently the fifth running back off the board two behind Christian McCaffrey, one behind Derrick Henry, and just above Dalvin Cook.

Harris will have a new quarterback under center this season, probably Trubisky but maybe Pickett. Either way, you aren’t worrying about that pesky running-back-by-committee with Harris. As head coach Tomlin recently stated on The Pivot podcast, Harris is the man in the backfield.

FantasyPros.com ranks the Steelers’ running backs strength of schedule as the 14th hardest schedule. That’s mid-range and something Harris can maneuver.

A new quarterback who will need to rely on the run game. A running back who thrives on volume. There is the narrative going around that the Steelers intend to “lessen his workload in Year 2”.  And then there is running backs coach Eddie Faulkner who realizes this may not be feasible, “To be honest, and people think I am crazy when I say this, but he’s just built for it. I am not saying just physically how he is built, but how he trains. He trains to play a lot of plays in a game.”

Forget the mumbling and the coach speak, both Harris’ ceiling and floor are high. His 94 targets and 14.5% target share may dip slightly, and his 84.5% snap share could decrease, but currently, in Pittsburgh, he is the only game in town in the backfield (no disrespect to Benny Snell Jr. or Anthony McFarland Jr.), and barring injury, that is tantamount to a fantasy lock.

Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Fantasy Football Analysis


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Player Comparisons
News and Alerts


Vince Velasquez9 mins ago

Placed On The 15-Day Injured List
Jack Suwinski1 hour ago

Absent From Sunday's Lineup
Jon Berti1 hour ago

Getting A Day Off Sunday
Zach Neto1 hour ago

Off On Sunday
Hunter Renfroe2 hours ago

Getting A Rest Sunday
Kyle Tucker2 hours ago

Not Playing Sunday
Dinelson Lamet2 hours ago

Likely Starting Wednesday
Max Muncy2 hours ago

Left Early With A Hamstring Cramp
Jeff McNeil2 hours ago

Not In The Lineup On Sunday Against Colorado
Jesse Winker2 hours ago

Scratched With Neck Discomfort
Juan Soto3 hours ago

Scratched With Back Tightness On Sunday
Kyle Tucker3 hours ago

Scratched From Sunday's Lineup
Matt Moore3 hours ago

Lands On The 15-Day Injured List
Brenton Doyle3 hours ago

Still Absent From The Lineup On Sunday
Esteury Ruiz3 hours ago

Sitting Out On Sunday
New York Jets3 hours ago

Quinnen Williams, Jets May Be Nearing A Deal
Josh Donaldson3 hours ago

Could See Another Rehab Game On Tuesday
Anthony Santander3 hours ago

Back In The Lineup On Sunday
Jimmy Garoppolo3 hours ago

Contract Has Waiver Included
Max Muncy3 hours ago

Leaves Game Early Sunday
Jose Trevino4 hours ago

Could Return Tuesday
Giancarlo Stanton4 hours ago

Could Begin Rehab Assignment Tuesday
Xander Bogaerts4 hours ago

Back In Sunday's Lineup
Jonathan Marchessault5 hours ago

Posts Two Assists Saturday Night
Thomas Harley5 hours ago

Tallies Two Assists In Game 6 Win
Ty Dellandrea5 hours ago

Keeps Dallas Alive With Late Goals
Duncan Robinson5 hours ago

Has 13 Points In Game 6 Against Boston
Max Strus5 hours ago

Scores 10 Points In Game 6 Loss
Chase Elliott6 hours ago

Believes He’s Got A Good Shot To Win Coca-Cola 600
Alex Bowman6 hours ago

Facing Uphill Battle In Coca-Cola 600 Return
Ryan Preece6 hours ago

Hopeful To Start Putting Pieces Together For Good Runs
Gabe Vincent6 hours ago

Returns With 15 Points
Bam Adebayo6 hours ago

Posts Sixth Postseason Double-Double
Corey Lajoie6 hours ago

Looking To Continue Career-Best Season At Charlotte
NASCAR6 hours ago

Bubba Wallace Hoping For First-Ever Top 10 Finish At Charlotte
Caleb Martin6 hours ago

Produces Impressive Double-Double In Game 6
AJ Allmendinger6 hours ago

A DFS Sleeper Pick For The Coca-Cola 600
Jimmie Johnson6 hours ago

Doesn't Feel Prepared For Coca-Cola 600
Jimmy Butler6 hours ago

Flirts With Triple-Double Saturday
Zane Smith6 hours ago

Hoping To Learn & Get Better At Charlotte
Todd Gilliland6 hours ago

Facing Significant Equipment Downgrade At Charlotte
John Collins14 hours ago

Still Available
Marcus Smart14 hours ago

Has Solid Showing In Game 6
Jaylen Brown14 hours ago

Has 26 Points In Win Over Miami
Robert Williams15 hours ago

III Finishes With 10 Points Saturday
Derrick White15 hours ago

Forces A Game 7
Jayson Tatum15 hours ago

Scores 31 Points In Game 6
DeAndre Hopkins18 hours ago

Bills, Chiefs Had "Substantive" Talks About Trading For DeAndre Hopkins
Travis Etienne Jr.19 hours ago

Working On "Fine-Tuning" Skills
Arizona Cardinals19 hours ago

Budda Baker Will Be At Training Camp
Austin Dillon20 hours ago

Could Be Place Differential King At Charlotte
Erik Jones20 hours ago

Could Be Good Early At Charlotte
Daniel Suarez20 hours ago

Has Upside At Coca-Cola 600
Aric Almirola20 hours ago

Stuck In Middle Of The Pack For Charlotte
Chase Briscoe20 hours ago

Tries To Turn Back Clock At Charlotte
Ty Gibbs20 hours ago

Could Provide DFS Value At Charlotte
Joey Logano20 hours ago

Tries To Bounce Back From Charlotte Mishap
Martin Truex Jr20 hours ago

. Wants To Turn Back Clock At Charlotte
Justin Haley20 hours ago

Might Have Challenge At Charlotte
Tyler Reddick20 hours ago

Aims To Move Up At Charlotte
Ross Chastain23 hours ago

Looking For A Win At Charlotte
Harrison Burton23 hours ago

On The Hot Seat For Results
Jerome Kapp1 day ago

Jets Sign Jerome Kapp
San Francisco 49ers1 day ago

Dre Greenlaw Recovering From Finger Surgery
Chris Moore1 day ago

Willing To Play Any Role
Gary Brightwell1 day ago

Could Be Buried On Depth Chart
Dallas Cowboys1 day ago

Terence Steele Limited At OTAs
Marquise Brown1 day ago

Becomes Cardinals' No. 1 Receiver
Deshaun Watson1 day ago

Jordan Akins Eager To Work With Deshaun Watson Again
Deshaun Watson1 day ago

Elijah Moore Building Chemistry With Deshaun Watson
Gabe Vincent2 days ago

Questionable On Saturday
Tyler Herro2 days ago

Remains Out For Game 6
Bam Adebayo2 days ago

Good To Go For Game 6
Malcolm Brogdon2 days ago

Questionable For Game 6
DeAndre Hopkins2 days ago

Bills "Lurking" As A Favorite To Land DeAndre Hopkins
Davante Adams2 days ago

Josh McDaniels Has No Issues With Davante Adams Venting
Tampa Bay Buccaneers2 days ago

Bucs Expect Devin White At Minicamp
Darren Waller2 days ago

Enjoying Time In New York
Dalvin Cook2 days ago

Now Considering A Pay Cut?
DeAndre Hopkins2 days ago

Chiefs A Potential Landing Spot For DeAndre Hopkins?
Detroit Pistons2 days ago

Detroit Brings Kevin Ollie And Charles Lee In For Second Interviews
Atlanta Hawks2 days ago

Hawks Hire Igor Kokoskov As Lead Assistant Coach
Joel Embiid2 days ago

Still Considered Untouchable
D'Angelo Russell2 days ago

Lakers Won't Pursue The Max For D'Angelo Russell
Fred VanVleet2 days ago

Raptors Unsure If They Want To Re-Sign Fred VanVleet
Tyler Allgeier2 days ago

Not Concerned About Usage
Hendon Hooker2 days ago

Preparing Himself Mentally
Jack Eichel2 days ago

Keeps The Assists Coming
William Karlsson2 days ago

Matches Vegas Record With Eighth Postseason Goal
Miro Heiskanen2 days ago

Delivers Two Power-Play Assists
Jason Robertson3 days ago

Scores Two Goals In Game 4 Victory
Joe Pavelski3 days ago

Scores Overtime Winner In Game 4
Jake Oettinger3 days ago

The Confirmed Starter For Game 4
Evgenii Dadonov3 days ago

Will Be Out Of The Lineup For Dallas
Adin Hill3 days ago

Will Mind The Vegas Crease In Game 4
Jamie Benn3 days ago

Suspended For Two Games
Sergei Bobrovsky3 days ago

Remains Sharp In Series-Clincher
Aleksander Barkov3 days ago

Hands Out Two Assists In Game 4 Victory
Matthew Tkachuk4 days ago

Late Goal Sends Panthers To Stanley Cup Final
Michael Block4 days ago

A Fade At Charles Schwab
Emiliano Grillo4 days ago

Looks To Regain Form
Viktor Hovland4 days ago

Teeing It Up After Close Call At PGA Championship
PGA4 days ago

J.T. Poston Tough To Include In Fantasy Lineups
Beau Hossler4 days ago

Worth Fantasy Consideration Heading To Colonial
Billy Horschel4 days ago

Inconsistency Makes Him A Tough Choice
Ryan Fox4 days ago

An Intriguing Pick For Fantasy Lineups
Alex Smalley4 days ago

A Risky Option For Fantasy Lineups
Christiaan Bezuidenhout4 days ago

To Bounce Back After Missed Cut
Brendon Todd4 days ago

A Risky Fantasy Play At Colonial
PGA4 days ago

Byeong Hun An's Impressive Play Makes Him Strong Fantasy Option
PGA4 days ago

K.H. Lee Looks To Continue Playing Well
Tom Hoge4 days ago

A Viable Fantasy Option At Colonial
PGA4 days ago

Cameron Davis Playing Well Heading To Colonial
Max Homa4 days ago

A Reliable Fantasy Option At Colonial
Will Gordon4 days ago

A Solid Option In Texas
Cameron Champ4 days ago

Worth A Look At Colonial
Stephan Jaeger4 days ago

A Solid Sleeper At Colonial
Sam Stevens4 days ago

Worth A Shot At Charles Schwab
Ryan Palmer4 days ago

Is It Safe To Start Ryan Palmer In Texas?
Maverick McNealy4 days ago

In A Major Slump
Aleksander Barkov5 days ago

Expected To Play In Game 4
Mark Stone5 days ago

Jamie Benn Ejected For Cross-Checking Mark Stone In Game 3
Ivan Barbashev5 days ago

Collects Three Points In Game 3 Victory
Adin Hill5 days ago

Posts First Career Playoff Shutout In Game 3
Sergei Bobrovsky6 days ago

Posts First Career Playoff Shutout In Game 3
Aleksander Barkov6 days ago

Suffers Lower-Body Injury In Game 3