Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

MLB DFS Prop Picks for 7/23/19 - Monkey Knife Fight


Two of the most-hyped rookies in Major League Baseball are in action tonight and it’s worth noting part of the reason why they have been so lauded.

San Diego Padres rookie shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr. has outstanding counting numbers – 16 home runs, 14 stolen bases, 49 runs, 39 RBI – while hitting .324, but does have an inflated .421 batting average on balls in play.

Houston Astros outfielder and first baseman Yordan Alvarez started the season in Triple-A, has only played 30 games yet still has 11 home runs, 35 RBI and a .342 batting average. Like Tatis Jr., he has an absurd .414 BABIP.

There can be arguments made that Tatis’ speed contributes to a high batting average on balls in play and Alvarez hits the ball so hard that it boosts his BABIP but it’s just not sustainable over the long haul. Maybe it lasts for the rest of the season, though.

Here are some more angles to take into account for Tuesday’s MLB schedule.

Editor's Note: Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight have released the best, most fun, fastest growing DFS props game! It's super simple to play and win real money. Just choose your MLB, NBA, NHL or PGA game, and make your picks! Get a 100% instant deposit bonus up to $50 using promo code: BALLER. That's $50 for free - don't miss out!

Play Now!

 

ST. LOUIS-PITTSBURGH

View Contest

RAPID FIRE

Dakota Hudson +3.5 strikeouts vs. Chris Archer – While Hudson is not overpowering, he’s more effective and his road strikeout rate (7.9 K/9) is respectable enough to earn him 5.0 strikeouts per road start. Archer is averaging fewer than 5.5 strikeouts per home start this season so getting an extra 3.5 with Hudson closes that gap.

 

COLORADO-WASHINGTON

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Charlie Blackmon UNDER 1.5 HITS + WALKS – As we’ve established this season, Blackmon is a completely different animal at home and on the road. He has a .268 on-base percentage on the road and going against Strasburg is no easy touch.

 

CLEVELAND-TORONTO

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Aaron Sanchez OVER 3.5 STRIKEOUTS – It’s kind of sad that it has come to this with Sanchez – whether he will or won’t be able to record four strikeouts in a game – but he is averaging 4.8 strikeouts per home start and has recorded at least four strikeouts in six of nine home starts.

 

PHILADELPHIA-DETROIT

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Matthew Boyd OVER 6.5 STRIKEOUTS – For all of the things wrong with the Tigers, they can count on consistency from Boyd, who has accumulated at least seven strikeouts in seven of his past nine starts.

 

SAN DIEGO-N.Y. METS

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Fernando Tatis Jr. UNDER 1.5 HITS + WALKS – The Padres star rookie shortstop has a .380 on-base percentage on the road but has a .439 on-base percentage against left-handed starting pitchers which breeds some optimism, but Mets starting pitcher Jason Vargas has been really good at home, allowing a .303 on-base percentage.

 

BOSTON-TAMPA BAY

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Yonny Chirinos OVER 4.5 STRIKEOUTS – He doesn’t have big brand name recognition but the 25-year-old has been churning out quality starts for the Rays, which includes at least five strikeouts in nine of his past 10 starts.

 

KANSAS CITY-ATLANTA

View Contest

RAPID FIRE

Josh Donaldson +0.5 total bases vs. Ronald Acuna Jr. – This is a good match-up because Donaldson has an advantage in home slugging percentage, whereas Acuna has been better against left-handed starters. Both have the potential to tear a strip off of Royals lefty Danny Duffy in this one, so getting a half-base advantage with the underdog Donaldson is the play.

 

CINCINNATI-MILWAUKEE

View Contest

RAPID FIRE

Christian Yelich -0.5 runs + RBI vs. Eugenio Suarez – Consider this regression coming home to roost. Yelich is the superior player, who has monster numbers at home this season, and Suarez just belted two home runs against the Brewers Monday night. Count on Yelich to get the edge Tuesday.

 

OAKLAND-HOUSTON

View Contest

RAPID FIRE

Yordan Alvarez +0.5 total bases vs. Michael Brantley – As good as Brantley has been, especially at home and against right-handed pitching, he doesn’t have numbers to compare with Alvarez, who is slugging .727 against right-handed pitching and .783 at home. Getting those numbers on the underdog side? Yes please.

 

MIAMI-CHICAGO WHITE SOX

View Contest

RAPID FIRE

Caleb Smith -2.5 strikeouts vs. Dylan Covey – Smith has been a steady strikeout threat, averaging 6.3 per road start this season, while Covey has been great in three home starts, he’s still just averaging 2.7 strikeouts per home start; obviously a small sample, but his road results are rough, so the safe side in this match-up is to take Smith.

 

N.Y. YANKEES-MINNESOTA

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Didi Gregorius UNDER 1.5 RUNS + RBI – Although Gregorius is productive on the road, with a .818 OPS, putting up multiple runs plus RBI is tough and he’s managed that three times in his past 11 starts and four times in 13 road games overall.

 

BALTIMORE-ARIZONA

View Contest

RAPID FIRE

Ketel Marte +0.5 total bases vs. Trey Mancini – Marte is in the midst of a breakout season and he has a better slugging percentage at home and against right-handed starting pitchers than Mancini does on the road and against right-handed starting pitchers. Getting the extra half base seals the deal.

 

CHICAGO CUBS-SAN FRANCISCO

View Contest

RAPID FIRE

Madison Bumgarner +0.5 strikeouts vs. Yu Darvish – A couple of veterans that can miss bats. Bumgarner is averaging 6.3 strikeouts per home start this year and Darvish is sitting at 6.4 strikeouts per road start. Close enough to like the underdog.

 

TEXAS-SEATTLE

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Domingo Santana OVER 1.5 TOTAL BASES – It’s not an easy touch here, but Santana is slugging .458 at home and the Rangers are going with an opener so there should be opportunities to put up a couple of bases.

 

L.A. ANGELS-L.A. DODGERS

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Cody Bellinger +0.5 total bases vs. Mike Trout – Isn’t this just about grabbing the underdog when two of the game’s very best sluggers meet for a head-to-head match-up. Also, Bellinger is slugging .740 at home this year so that’s tough to beat, even for Trout.

 

 

More 2019 Fantasy Baseball Advice




More Recent Articles

 

Biggest Breakouts Of 2019: Wide Receivers

As we enter the initial phase of offseason activities you have recently completed a painstaking process of creating and managing rosters, with the goal of winning fantasy championships in 2019. Now, many of you have already shifted your focus toward planning your drafts in Best Ball and redraft leagues, while others are contemplating how you... Read More


Fantasy Football Starts and Sits: Conference Championships Matchups Analysis

Welcome to our NFL Conference Championships matchups analysis and start/sit column for fantasy football. We'll be covering both of the AFC and NFC contests from the Sunday slate, helping you make the best decisions for your DFS contests this weekend. Be sure to check back regularly because this article will be updated as news comes in regarding injuries... Read More


Conference Championships Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More


Tight End ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward their owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More


Running Back ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, a sure-fire player is expected to reward his owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they end up as a season-long dud, though,... Read More


Dynasty Players to Sell in 2020

Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano share their top sell candidates for dynasty football leagues in the 2020 fantasy football preseason. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well! Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (channel Sirius 210,... Read More


Biggest Surprises of 2019: Tight End

The 2019 NFL season was anything but predictable. I mean, the Tennessee Titans made the AFC title game! Andrew Luck retired right before the season! [Insert one of many, many other things here, because all lists need three items but I couldn't decide between all the possible third options.] One position where things at the... Read More


Wide Receiver ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward his owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More


Biggest Busts of 2019: Quarterback

The 2019 NFL season is over, and it's time to look back on what happened. 2019 was a year where some quarterbacks -- Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen -- leaped up to the top of the fantasy charts, while other guys faded from where they were expected to perform. Today, I want to talk about three... Read More


Four and Out: Fantasy Outlooks for Divisional Round Losers

For the four teams that were eliminated in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs, the offseason has begun. For many fantasy football owners, the days have already started counting down to next season. Owners in dynasty leagues have started to mull over their decisions.  How some guys perform in the playoffs can certainly alter... Read More


Quarterback ADP Winners and Losers: 2019 Season Review

I've always believed that it is easier to lose a fantasy championship than to win it on draft day. It makes sense, as sure-fire players are expected to reward their owners with a lower risk-factor than the other way around and thus they're always drafter earlier. If they put up a season-long dud, though, you'll... Read More


Biggest Busts of 2019: Wide Receivers

After a very interesting season of fantasy football action, many owners were left with a bitter taste in their mouth from a few of the “elite” NFL wide receivers. While Michael Thomas dominated and Julio Jones was his usual reliable self, not all was good if you played it safe by taking a receiver early.... Read More


Quarterback Risers and Fallers: 2019 Season Review

This article will examine the biggest risers and fallers at the quarterback position, which proved to be the most impactful in fantasy leagues as is often the case. Of the top-25 players in fantasy this season, 18 of them played the QB position and none of the 18 scored less than 280 fantasy points on... Read More


XFL Fantasy Football Rankings (Preseason)

As of this writing, there is exactly one month until XFL regular-season action begins. On February 8, the latest upstart professional league will kickoff (again) with spring football. It goes without saying that we hope it goes better than the first time, back in 2001, and lasts longer than the AAF. Before you settle in... Read More


Wide Receiver Risers and Fallers: 2019 Season Review

We continue our series covering the biggest risers and fallers of 2019 with the wide receiver position. I'll look at both 2018 and 2019 statistical outcomes from every player, contrast their performances, calculate differences in each category and come up with the most prominent names going forward. This past season, receivers didn't dominate in fantasy,... Read More