TAP FOR 6 MONTHS OF PREMIUM FREE 💰
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

D/ST Strength of Schedule: Best Fantasy Football Defense Streamers and Matchups (Weeks 15-17)

Houston Texans DST Defense - Danielle Hunter, Will Anderson Jr., IDP, D/ST Rankings

Andrew Ball looks at 2025 D/ST fantasy football strength of schedules for Weeks 15-17, and the best fantasy football D/ST matchups for the rest of the season. Target these D/STs.

What's the last piece of a perfect fantasy football lineup, capable of winning a championship? That'd be the D/ST.

Here at RotoBaller, we're helping you complete the puzzle. This article dives into several key metrics that help us pinpoint league-winning defenses.

At the end of this article, we'll discuss options for every week of the fantasy football playoffs to help you win your league. Note: All stats, percentages, metrics, figures, and data are through Week 13.

Editor's Note: The FFPC Playoff Challenge #2 is back with a massive $100,000 grand prize and $203,250 total prize pool, paying down to 100th place. Here's the deal: no salary cap, no draft, no pickups, no subs. Choose 8 players, and as NFL teams get knocked out so will your players, so choose your team wisely. The entries will sell out quickly, and registrations will close on Saturday January 17th at 4:30 pm ET . Don't wait - get your team now and end your fantasy football season with a shot at $100,000! Sign Up Now!

 

Fantasy Football Playoffs Strength of Schedule

Be sure to check out all of our fantasy football playoffs SoS articles:

 

Fantasy Football Top Scoring D/STs

The later in the season it gets, the better it gets to gauge the strength of schedule for fantasy football D/STs. With the most moving parts, on both sides of the football, it's the most volatile metric.

Strength of schedule matters. For example, the Texans, although considered a great defense, have played the Tennessee Titans twice. They are giving the second-most fantasy points to defenses. Here's the rest of the top five:

  1. Minnesota Vikings (11.5 points per game)
  2. Tennessee Titans (10.8)
  3. Las Vegas Raiders (10)
  4. Cleveland Browns (9.7)
  5. New Orleans Saints (9.6)

For the most part, bad offenses are the stickiest part of the D/ST equation. Despite positive matchups sprinkled throughout the season, these offenses are among the units putting the fewest points on the scoreboard, frequently turning the ball over, and getting sacked the most.

It's easiest to predict sacks, but to do so, there are a couple of stats to look at. We'll start with a quarterback's time to throw. This is an indication that a quarterback is holding onto the football for too long in the pocket, and those pass rushers are closing in.

Here are the 10 quarterbacks who take the longest to get rid of the football, and their sack percentage (min. 150 plays).

  1. Caleb Williams (2.99 seconds) (4.27%)
  2. Brock Purdy (2.97) (2.35%)
  3. J.J. McCarthy (2.88) (10.58%)
  4. Jalen Hurts (2.8) (6.87%)
  5. Tyrod Taylor (2.78) (13.25%)
  6. Lamar Jackson (2.77) (9.75%)
  7. Jacoby Brissett (2.75) (7.56%)
  8. Cam Ward (2.75) (10.02%)
  9. Josh Allen (2.72) (6.75%)
  10. Jordan Love (2.72) (4.28%)

You'll notice a larger time in the pocket versus a low sack rate for Allen and Williams. The Bills and Bears rank first and second, respectively, in pass block win rate, so the quarterbacks can afford to let routes develop a hair longer. Pass block win rate measures whether one of the big boys up front can hold a block for 2.5 seconds or longer. Since this is an article aimed at finding the best D/STs, we're going to look at the worst pass-blocking lines.

  • 32. New Orleans Saints (54%)
  • 31. Los Angeles Chargers (55%)
  • 30. Detroit Lions (55%)
  • t-28. Houston Texans (56%)
  • t-28: Cincinnati Bengals (56%)

Inversely, here are the top-5 pass rush win rates on the defensive side of the ball:

  1. Cleveland Browns (49%)
  2. Pittsburgh Steelers (46%)
  3. Minnesota Vikings (44%)
  4. Denver Broncos (43%)
  5. Atlanta Falcons (42%)

One more thing we'll look at is pressure rate. While pressures lead to sacks, they can also force turnover-worthy throws or fumbles by the quarterback. We'll also compare a team's pressure rate to the average pressure rate allowed for their opponents.

Note: The table is sorted from highest to lowest pressure rate. An opposing rate allowed over 40% is highlighted in green, and a rate under 35% in red.

If the New York Jets are on a team's remaining schedule, chances are they have a favorable pressure-rate schedule. With a league-leading 49.2% pressure rate allowed, both Justin Fields and Taylor have shown a tendency to take sacks. Their struggles could continue down the stretch with undrafted rookie Brady Cook set to start on Sunday. The New England Patriots draw that matchup in Week 17, championship weekend.

There are four teams below 30%: Pittsburgh (28.3%), Los Angeles Rams (28.9%), Miami (29.2%), and Seattle (29.6%). Those offenses have quick-release passing games and/or lean on the running game. Cleveland plays one of those teams (Pittsburgh), along with Chicago and Buffalo, which we already mentioned have the best pass-rush win rates.

The Indianapolis Colts, a top-10 fantasy defense, have the seventh-lowest pressure rate and an unfavorable schedule for the fantasy playoffs. Here are the rest of the top 10 D/STs, on a per-game basis, entering Week 14 (one point per sack, two points per turnover, safety, or blocked kick, six points per touchdown).

  1. Seattle Seahawks (11)
  2. Houston Texans (9.5)
  3. Los Angeles Rams (8.8)
  4. Pittsburgh Steelers (8.3)
  5. Jacksonville Jaguars (8.2)
  6. New England Patriots (8.1)
  7. Cleveland Browns (8.1)
  8. Denver Broncos (7.9)
  9. Indianapolis Colts (7.7)
  10. Atlanta Falcons & Philadelphia Eagles (7)

 

D/ST Fantasy Playoffs Strength of Schedule (Weeks 15-17)

The following table shows each team's schedule for the fantasy football playoffs (Weeks 15-17). The bigger the number, the easier the matchup against the D/ST position. The lower numbers indicate more difficult matchups. The ranks are averaged to give each team a strength-of-schedule score for the rest of the season.

Are you more of a reading learner than a visual learner? Here are the top 10 defenses based on rest-of-season strength of schedule. Included in parentheses is the roster percentage for each team. I've also added the plus matchups (opponents ranked 22nd or worse versus D/STs) for the rest of the season, and specifically the fantasy playoffs.

  1.  New York Giants (2%)
    • Plus Matchups (Playoffs): Two
  2.  Houston Texans (82%)
    • Plus Matchups (Playoffs): Three
  3.  New Orleans Saints (8%)
    • Plus Matchups (Playoffs): Three
  4. Cincinnati Bengals (3%)
    • Plus Matchups (Playoffs): Two
  5. Dallas Cowboys (11%)
    • Plus Matchups (Playoffs): Two
  6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (60%)
    • Plus Matchups (Playoffs): Two
  7. New York Jets (9%)
    • Plus Matchups (Playoffs): One
  8. Kansas City Chiefs (46%)
    • Plus Matchups (Playoffs): Two
  9.  Philadelphia Eagles (67%)
    • Plus Matchups (Playoffs): One
  10.  Arizona Cardinals (4%)
    • Plus Matchups (Playoffs): One

If you're forced to stick to one defense for the postseason (a strategy I wouldn't recommend, but there are some roster and transaction restraints out there), there are two units with a plus matchup in all three weeks; one is rostered heavily, the other not so much. If you're in the 18% of leagues where Houston is on the waiver wire, add them now.

The rest of us can take a hard look at New Orleans. They have three great matchups and have averaged 9.6 fantasy points in the last three games. Two of those games were against teams that we deemed a plus matchup. The Saints draw Tennessee on championship weekend.

Can you trust the Dallas defense? That will be a question that fantasy managers ask themselves ahead of the first round of the fantasy playoffs. They're generating pressure at the third-best rate in football, and J.J. McCarthy has been sacked 20 times in six starts, in addition to whatever turnovers he provides. However, the Cowboys are still surrendering the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks.

 

D/ST Streaming Road Map (Weeks 15-17)

Let's blend the stats, the schedule, and the eye test, and roll it all up into one road map. For each week, I will provide my top streaming option (Option 1) and a secondary option (Option 2). These D/STs will have a roster share under 60%.

And, a reminder, things change! The Indianapolis Colts will start Riley Leonard, Brett Rypien, or Philip Rivers at quarterback now. The offense was originally the worst matchup, but it doesn't look so daunting anymore.

Week 15:

  • Option 1: Jacksonville Jaguars (44% rostered, 10th-best matchup against New York Jets)
  • Option 2: Chicago Bears (22% rostered, fourth-best matchup against Cleveland)

Week 16:

  • Option 1: Kansas City Chiefs (46% rostered, second-best matchup against Tennessee)
  • Option 2: San Francisco 49ers (26% rostered, "worst" matchup against Indianapolis)

Week 17:

  • Option 1: New Orleans Saints (8% rostered, second-best matchup against Tennessee)
  • Option 2: Detroit Lions (59% rostered, best matchup against Minnesota)

Good luck for the rest of the fantasy football season, and feel free to reach out to me on X (@ajball4real) if you have questions as the season progresses!

More Fantasy Football Analysis



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jalen Suggs

Out on Sunday Against Grizzlies
Santi Aldama

Questionable for Sunday's Matchup
Ja Morant

Listed as Probable for Sunday
Tari Eason

Listed as Questionable for Sunday
Herbert Jones

Ruled Out for Sunday
Rudy Gobert

Won't Play Saturday
Paul Reed

Available Saturday
Stephon Castle

is Available on Saturday
Ausar Thompson

Good to Go Against Pacers
Cade Cunningham

Cleared for Saturday's Action
Ziaire Williams

Still Out Sunday
Drake Powell

Won't Play Against Bulls
Green Bay Packers

Packers Sign Head Coach Matt LaFleur to Multi-Year Extension
Josh Giddey

Holds Doubtful Tag for Sunday's Game
Michael Porter Jr.

to Be Rested Sunday
Patrick Williams

Tagged as Questionable for Sunday
Ricky Pearsall

Active for Divisional Round
Sam Darnold

Officially Active for Saturday's Divisional Round Game vs. 49ers
Nikola Jović

Nikola Jovic Active Saturday
Isaiah Jackson

Will Play on Saturday
Tyler Herro

Out Saturday Night
Devin Booker

Cleared to Play on Saturday
Anthony Edwards

Ready for Rematch Versus Spurs
Dyson Daniels

Unavailable Versus Celtics
William Carrier

Misses Fourth Consecutive Game
Shayne Gostisbehere

Remains Out Saturday
Jake Evans

Available Saturday
Teuvo Teravainen

Misses Second Straight Game
William Nylander

Out Against Jets
Pat Bryant

Won't Return on Saturday, Ruled Out with a Concussion
Tom Wilson

Could Be an Option Saturday
Leo Carlsson

Out for 3-5 Weeks After Thigh Procedure
Leon Draisaitl

Takes Leave of Absence
New York Giants

John Harbaugh, New York Giants Finalize Five-Year Deal to be Head Coach
Aaron Rodgers

Not Expected to Return to Steelers in 2026
Atlanta Falcons

Kevin Stefanski the Favorite for Falcons Head-Coaching Job
Matt Boldy

Placed on Injured Reserve
Ross Colton

Good to Go Friday
Will Smith

Returns Against Red Wings
Shayne Gostisbehere

Out Friday
Brad Marchand

Remains Out Friday
Joel Armia

Returns From Five-Game Absence
Chris Kreider

a Game-Time Call Friday
Troy Terry

Cutter Gauthier Available Friday
Leo Carlsson

Sits Out Second Consecutive Game
CFB

Darian Mensah Entering Transfer Portal
Sam Darnold

Seahawks "Optimistic" That Sam Darnold Will Play on Saturday
Nico Collins

Officially Ruled Out for Divisional Round
Rome Odunze

Questionable for Divisional Round
J.T. Realmuto

Signs Three-Year Deal to Return to Phillies
Bo Bichette

Agrees to Three-Year Contract With Mets
CFB

Weber State Signs former Ohio State, Cal Quarterback Devin Brown
Bo Bichette

Phillies the "Overwhelming" Favorite to Sign Bo Bichette
Mark Scheifele

Leads Jets to Victory Thursday
Tage Thompson

Records Season-High Five Points Thursday
Jack Eichel

Notches Four Points Thursday
Ilya Sorokin

Shuts Out Oilers With 35 Saves
Josh Lowe

Angels Acquire Josh Lowe in Three-Team Trade
Kyle Tucker

Signs Four-Year Contract With Dodgers
Ricky Pearsall

Questionable to Play on Saturday Night
Sam Darnold

Questionable With Oblique Injury, Expected to Play
Clayton Kershaw

to Pitch for Team USA in World Baseball Classic
Patrick Mahomes

Says Rehab Going "Great," Goal is 2026 Week 1 Return
Nico Collins

a "Long Shot" to Play in Divisional Round
CFB

Auburn, Ohio State the Lead Suitors for Kyle Parker
CFB

Oregon QB Transfer Bryson Beaver Linked to Georgia, Kentucky
CFB

Jake Merklinger Commits to UConn
New York Giants

John Harbaugh Finalizing Deal With Giants
Ben Griffin

Looks To Stay Hot In 2026
New York Giants

Giants Making "Massive Push" to Hire John Harbaugh on Wednesday
Ranger Suárez

Ranger Suarez Agrees to Five-Year Deal With Red Sox
CFB

Dante Moore Not Entering 2026 NFL Draft, Will Return to Oregon
NFL

Mike Tomlin Doesn't Plan to Coach in 2026
Travis Hunter

Expected to Play More Defense in 2026
CFB

FBS Coaches Unanimously Vote to Expand Redshirt Eligibility to Nine Games
CFB

Ohio State Transfer Mylan Graham Signs with Notre Dame
CFB

Caden Durham Withdraws from Transfer Portal, Will Stay at LSU
Jordan Spieth

Perhaps the Most Intriguing Player at Sony Open
Aaron Rai

Looking For Putting Confidence at Waialae Country Club
Collin Morikawa

Isn't The Safe Play He Used to Be Ahead of Sony Open
Kurt Kitayama

Needs His Putting to Turn Around For Success at Year's First Event
Ryan Weathers

Yankees Add Rotation Depth, Acquire Ryan Weathers in Four-Player Deal
Los Angeles Chargers

Chargers Fire Offensive Coordinator Greg Roman
Pittsburgh Steelers

Mike Tomlin Stepping Down as Steelers Head Coach
CFB

Georgia Tech the Favorite to Land Justice Haynes?
Nolan Arenado

Cardinals Trade Nolan Arenado to Diamondbacks
Tom Kim

Desperately Needs a Solid Week at Sony Open
Billy Horschel

Hoping For a Fast Start to New Season at Sony Open
Corey Conners

Looks to Have a Return to Form in 2026
PGA

Chris Gotterup a Decent Play at Sony Open
Gary Woodland

Could Prosper at the Sony Open
Keith Mitchell

Unlikely to Contend at Sony Open
Robert MacIntyre

Looking for a Good Performance at the Sony Open
Michael Kim

Hopes to Start Sony Open Better This Week
Tom Hoge

Tries to Erase Poor 2025 Second Half in Hawaii
Brian Harman

Seeks Fresh Start in Hawaii
Eric Cole

Looks to Last Year for Success at Sony Open
Daniel Berger

Starts Off 2026 at Sony Open
Nico Collins

Suffers Concussion Against Steelers
Kyle Tucker

Mets Meet With Kyle Tucker
Brooks Koepka

Officially Returning To PGA Tour
CFB

Georgia Lands Kentucky Transfer Dante Dowdell
CFB

Sam Leavitt Expected to Sign with LSU
CFB

Dylan Raiola Commits to Oregon
CFB

Isaiah Horton Landing with Texas A&M

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP