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Using Sabermetrics For Fantasy Baseball Part 15 - Minor League Stats
To this point, this column has focused exclusively on trying to predict and validate HRs and batting average. There is a reason for this--modern sabermetrics tend to reject the idea of a "clutch RBI guy" and therefore do not bother inventing predictive metrics for it. Runs and RBI are team dependent stats, and are unhelpful... Read More
No matter how high a particular player's BABIP may be, his average will be mediocre at best if he strikes out too much. This is why fantasy owners have known for years that players like Adam Dunn, Mark Reynolds, and Chris Davis are potential drains on a fantasy team's batting average. Furthermore, players that whiff... Read More
Here are the usual suspects (in draft order): Jacob Bogardus, Brad Johnson, Alex Brock, Harris Yudin, Max Petrie, Josh Leonard, Ross Williamson, Andrew Miller (from The Fantasy Fix), Nick Mariano (myself), Tom Bellucco, Brian Dunshee (also from The Fantasy Fix), and Edward Suletan. Reminder - this was a traditional 5x5 redraft 23 round mock with... Read More
Here are the usual suspects (in draft order): Jacob Bogardus, Brad Johnson, Alex Brock, Harris Yudin, Max Petrie, Josh Leonard, Ross Williamson, Andrew Miller (from The Fantasy Fix), Nick Mariano (myself), Tom Bellucco, Brian Dunshee (also from The Fantasy Fix), and Edward Suletan. Reminder: This is a traditional 5x5 redraft 23 round mock with 2... Read More
In the first post of this series, I referenced that Chris Davis's BABIP is not explained by that post alone, and that we would consider him again in the future. He was not considered in Part 2. He will be considered here. Davis managed an above average overall BABIP of .319 in 2015, despite the... Read More
Using BABIP to predict a player's batting average is great. Average is a category in many league formats, and every hit is an opportunity to steal a base or score a run. But most owners find the long ball sexier. Every HR comes with a guaranteed run scored and at least one RBI--and maybe more.... Read More
The lineup (in draft order): Jacob Bogardus, Brad Johnson, Alex Brock, Harris Yudin, Max Petrie, Josh Leonard, Ross Williamson, Andrew Miller (from The Fantasy Fix), Nick Mariano (myself), Tom Bellucco, Brian Dunshee (also from The Fantasy Fix), and Edward Suletan. We put together a traditional 5x5 redraft 23 round mock with 2 catchers, a corner... Read More
The lineup (in draft order): Jacob Bogardus, Brad Johnson, Alex Brock, Harris Yudin, Max Petrie, Josh Leonard, Ross Williamson, Andrew Miller (from The Fantasy Fix), Nick Mariano (myself), Tom Bellucco, Brian Dunshee (also from The Fantasy Fix), and Edward Suletan. Scroll to the bottom for an image of the draftboard. We put together a traditional 5x5... Read More
If you haven't read the first round analysis yet, you should definitely do that! Click that and then come right back here. I'll know. For those of you that want to view the draft board in all of it's glory, here it is: As a reminder, here's the lineup: Jacob Bogardus, Brad Johnson, Alex Brock,... Read More
Hey everyone, we here at RotoBaller just couldn’t wait any longer. We ran our first fantasy baseball mock draft this week because the fiending is real. A special thanks to Andrew and Brian who joined us from The Fantasy Fix. The lineup (in draft order): Jacob Bogardus, Brad Johnson, Alex Brock, Harris Yudin, Max Petrie,... Read More
The Art Of The Fantasy Baseball Trade Negotiation You’ve chosen your team but your draft didn’t go exactly as you had planned. Maybe someone ignited a run for starting pitching earlier than you had anticipated and you got caught with your knickers down. You failed to react quickly enough and now you are stuck... Read More
Don't Get Caught Watching The last installment of my four part series on auction strategy is all about the money. Specifically, you should spend all of it. Your plan and budget are set, and now it is time to start drafting. You set a lovely, structured plan. Now you're immediately challenged by other owners spending... Read More
Fantasy owners are constantly trying to find something that will give them an edge, and one strategy that has been employed is to intentionally disregard a stat during the draft. The logic is simple enough: If all teams have the same number of auction dollars or draft picks, intentionally disregarding one stat provides an advantage... Read More
Position scarcity and depth are topics of great debate every draft season. Where the talent pool is deep, you can afford to wait. Where it is scarce, an early pick is often in order. During the work on my series of draft value articles using RotoBaller's ADP Draft Sleepers Tool, I examined the depth of... Read More
What Are Player Tiers for Rankings? Over the last few years in fantasy baseball, the topic of player tiers or tiered rankings has become a trendy way to approach your draft. Often times, in real life, something that is trendy doesn’t necessarily mean it’s the best course of action or the smartest idea. It... Read More
RotoBaller analysts have been giving you a sneak peak into our consensus Premium Tiered Rankings at each position with some in-depth analysis to help you prepare for your drafts. We already looked at catchers, first base, second base, third base, shortstop, outfield, and today we tackle starting pitchers. The rest of our tiered rankings can be found in our 2015 Fantasy Baseball Draft... Read More
The Plague of Failing Elbows Since the beginning of spring training, we have seen starting pitchers Yu Darvish, Marcus Stroman, Cliff Lee, and Zack Wheeler all go down with with injuries. This, along with the outbreak of Tommy John surgeries in baseball the past few seasons, has left fantasy owners searching for "safe" starting pitching. How do we weed... Read More
We previous looked at Part 1 (How to Prepare for Auction Drafts) and Part 2 (Five Key Mistakes to Avoid Making) of our Auction Draft Strategy series. Today we look at how to budget your team's salary. The most important strategy for auction drafts is how to budget your allowance. Keeping track of how your dollars are... Read More
When creating a Fantasy Baseball team, there are many reasons to consider waiting on pitchers. The position is easier to fill than hitting roster spots, starters are more injury prone than position players, and a starting pitcher pitches only once every five days meaning their impact is limited to a much smaller sample size than... Read More
Winning Points Leagues on Draft Day Most of the analysis you'll find in the fantasy community tends to be geared towards roto or 5x5 formats. This is done for two main reasons. First, category formats are easily the more popular of the two options. Analysts write to be read, so it makes sense to... Read More
There are many ways your auction can blow up before your eyes. Part Two of my strategy for auction drafts is focused around five key mistakes to avoid making in auction drafts. This list of five is comes from my own experience at the auction table in more than a few auction leagues over the years. These... Read More
“Who To Keep?” It's a question which agonizes fantasy owners each year. No matter how experienced you are, it's never an easy one. A sound keeper strategy is just as important to contending in your league as any first round pick. Moreover, making a mistake at this part of the game can set your team... Read More
Going Once, Going Twice... An auction is the most exciting way to draft in fantasy baseball, but it can also be the most difficult. For this article and the three to follow, I will be using the assumption that your league’s standard settings give you a $260 allowance. For those unfamiliar with the process, that is... Read More
Over the next week, RotoBaller analysts will give you a sneak peak into our consensus Premium Tiered Rankings at each position with some in-depth analysis to help you prepare for your drafts. We already looked at catchers, first base, second base, third base and shortstop, and today we tackle outfielders. The rest of our tiered rankings can be found in our 2015 Fantasy... Read More
Over the next week, RotoBaller analysts will give you a sneak peak into our consensus Premium Tiered Rankings at each position with some in-depth analysis to help you prepare for your drafts. The rest of our tiered rankings can be found in our 2015 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit & Cheat Sheet. Tiered Shortstop Rankings Analysis Tiered rankings are critical for... Read More
Opportunity May Yield A Sneaky Source Of Steals Being a sleeper is all about exceeding expectations, and that’s what I expect from Jace Peterson in 2015. As of right now his ADP I’m pretty sure is nonexistent, so you should be able to snag him with your last pick or as a post-draft acquisition. As of... Read More
Potential Breakout Pitchers & Hitters For 2015 RotoBaller is very excited about the launch of our very own radio station. You can now find our new shows on BlogTalkRadio live or on demand, and on iTunes under podcasts. Every Wednesday night at 9:30 PM EST, RotoBaller co-founder Real Talk Raph and co-host Anthony Aniano of DraftSmashers Radio will... Read More
Over the next week, RotoBaller analysts will give you a sneak peak into our consensus Premium Tiered Rankings at each position with some in-depth analysis to help you prepare for your drafts. We already looked at catchers, first base and second base, and today we tackle third base. The rest of our tiered rankings can be found in our2015 Fantasy... Read More
First Base Power Outage First Base has historically been a source of home runs and RBI. With perpetual fantasy baseball standouts like Miguel Cabrera, Joey Votto and Prince Fielder having off years and missing time due to injuries, first basemen suffered a major power outage. They hit the lowest number of home runs as a... Read More
