RADIO
Justin Carter's DraftKings DFS lineup picks for the NASCAR Xfinity Series Chilango 150 at Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez. Read his daily fantasy NASCAR advice and Xfinity sleepers. (2025)
The NASCAR Xfinity Series heads to Mexico this weekend for the first time since 2008. No driver from that race is in this weekend's field, so those previous Xfinity races here don't really tell us anything about what to expect in 2025.
Last time out in Nashville, Justin Allgaier drove to his third win of the season. It's been a dominant year for the defending champion, as he already has the same number of top-five finishes that he had in 2024.
Let's look at some NASCAR Xfinity DFS lineup picks for the NASCAR Xfinity Series Chilango 150 on DraftKings. Be sure to also check out our NASCAR Premium Tools for Xfinity Series, including our DFS Lineup Optimizer and powerful Research Station. This slate locks on 6/14/25 at 4:39 p.m. EDT.
Happy New Year! Save 30% on any Premium Pass using discount code NEW. Win more with our DFS, Betting and Season-Long Pass, get expert tools and advice from proven winners! GAIN ACCESS
Xfinity DFS Preview - DraftKings
Be sure to also check out all of our other weekly NASCAR DFS articles and analyses to help you set your optimal DFS lineups on DraftKings and FanDuel.
Post-Qualifying Updates
Check back here for updates.
Top Contenders
Connor Zilisch, Ty Gibbs, and Christopher Bell start first, second, and third, respectively. One of these guys is your likely winner. I favor Zilisch, but all three are worth playing in some lineups.
If you want to pivot off all three, Sam Mayer, who starts sixth, is likely the play.
Place Differential Plays
Here are drivers to target for place differential:
- Justin Allgaier (12th)
- Alex Labbe (21st)
- Dean Thompson (26th)
- Brenna Poole (33rd)
- Christian Eckes (34th) - I'll have a lot of exposure here
- Parker Retzlaff (35th) - I will also have a lot of exposure here
- Anthony Alfredo (38th)
- Daniel Suarez (39th) - This is the obvious chalk of the race after Suarez crashed in qualifying. Maybe go a little light in GPPs since he'll be so highly rostered.
Drivers To Fade
These drivers start a bit too high for my liking:
- Carson Kvapil (Fourth)
- Sammy Smith (Fifth)
- Nick Sanchez (Ninth)
- William Sawalich (11th)
- Austin Green (14th) - I hate how high Green qualified because I like him, but I can't trust this No. 32 car with a top 15 starting spot
- Andres Perez de Lara (16th)
Top Plays
Connor Zilisch ($11.0K)
There's a clear favorite this weekend. Connor Zilisch has already proven himself to be one of the greatest road course racers in the world despite his young age. He's run two road course races in his Xfinity career, winning both of them. That includes a win at Watkins Glen last year in what was his best career start.
Pre-practice NASCAR Xfinity predictions for Mexico City:
1. Connor Zilisch 41.7%
2. Christopher Bell 13.7%
3. Daniel Suarez 12.6%
4. Ty Gibbs 12.1%
5. Austin Hill 5.4%Full win/T3/T5/T10 sims plus values at @FDSportsbook ⬇️ https://t.co/o1aDHfOtss
— Jim Sannes (@JimSannes) June 13, 2025
Zilisch is the future of NASCAR. He'll have stiff competition this weekend with three Cup Series regulars in the field, but he has the skill to get it done at the end of the day.
Ty Gibbs ($10.0K)
Since moving to the Cup Series full time, Ty Gibbs has been a bit of a disappointment. Don't let that distract you from an important fact, though: He's a really, really good road course racer.
Gibbs has run 20 races on road or street courses in Xfinity, posting four wins, including winning the Daytona road course race in 2021 in what was his first-ever Xfinity Series start. Consistency has been a bit of an issue in recent forays down to the series, but he has one of the highest ceilings in the field.
Christopher Bell ($10.2K)
I'd have Christopher Bell at the top of this list if it weren't for one concern: he's in a Sam Hunt Racing car this week, not a Joe Gibbs Racing car.
It probably won't matter much, if at all, but it's worth mentioning. Beyond that, Bell is one of NASCAR's best road course racers, though surprisingly, he only has one Xfinity win at the track type in nine tries. Still, those nine races have resulted in an average finish of 9.3. He should be a contender.
Daniel Suarez ($10.5K)
One huge thing that works in Daniel Suarez's favor this weekend? He's won here before. Back when Suarez ran the NASCAR Mexico Series, he raced at this track 13 times, coming away with three wins and eight top 10s.
It's been a while, but Suarez should still remember his way around this place. He'll be in a fast JR Motorsports car and while the three drivers listed above him are slightly better bets to get the victory, you can't count Suarez out. (My only concern here is if the "home track advantage" stuff makes people go a little too heavy on him in DFS? That might be a reason to go lighter in GPPs, though you still want exposure.)
Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS NASCAR subscription?
Like what you're reading? You can show your support for Justin by using promo code CARTER when purchasing a NASCAR Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium NASCAR articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer!
Mid-Tier Options
Justin Allgaier ($9.7K)
Finally, a week where Justin Allgaier isn't outrageously more expensive than the rest of the field! The strength of Zilisch and the three Cup drivers has pushed Allgaier back a bit, but don't count him out.
YES!! pic.twitter.com/onhYU2YCFh
— Did Justin Allgaier win? (@DidAllgaierWin) June 1, 2025
While road courses aren't his strong suit, Allgaier still has three wins at them, though the most recent one was back in 2018 at Road America. Go lighter on him than usual, but some exposure is still warranted.
Sam Mayer ($9.5K)
Sam Mayer isn't mentioned enough as one of the top road course racers in Xfinity. Four of his seven career victories have been on road courses and he has 16 top 10s in 23 road course starts with an average finish of 11.2. He was third at COTA earlier this year, proving that even in a Haas Factory Team car that isn't as fast as his past JRM rides, he can still get it done.
Austin Hill ($9.0K)
Austin Hill has yet to win at a road course, but his 10 top fives show that he can perform well on these tracks, even if he's unable to close the deal. Hill led six laps and finished fourth at COTA earlier this season.
Jesse Love ($8.6K)
I'm slightly hesitant about Jesse Love this weekend. Road courses haven't been his strongest track type, though he's had some good runs at them, including a fifth at the Chicago street race last year. He was sixth at COTA earlier this year and should be fine, though the strength of the Cup ringers this weekend limits his upside just a little bit.
Christian Eckes ($8.0K)
Christian Eckes was impressive at COTA, finishing fifth and earning what's been his only Xfinity Series top five so far. He finished in the top 10 in half of his road course starts in the Truck Series, but he was especially good near the end of his time there, posting top 10s in his final two road course starts and leading laps at COTA in 2023 before a suspension issue ended his day.
Value Options
Brandon Jones ($7.7K)
Road courses haven't been great for Brandon Jones, but they also haven't been that much worse than other track types. In 45 road course starts, his average finish of 16.9 is barely worse than his average career finish of 15.7.
In fact, he actually averages positive place differential at road courses, whereas overall in the series, he's averaged negative place differential. It seems to take him a bit to get going, but he usually keeps the car clean and gains a few spots.
Austin Green ($6.9K)
It's been a bad year for Austin Green. In three Xfinity starts this season, his best finish was 26th. However, there's reason to be optimistic on Saturday.
That reason? His 2024 results. Green ran eight races last season. Six of those were at road courses. In those six races, he finished 15th or better five times. Green's a really talented road course racer; he just needs this No. 32 car to hold up over the full race.
Alex Labbe ($6.8K)
Alex Labbe has 13 top 10s in his Xfinity Series career. Six of those have come on road courses. This No. 07 car has had okay speed this year, mostly finishing just inside the top 30, but there have been a few good runs.
Alex Labbe will compete in the Xfinity Series race at Mexico City for SS-GreenLight Racing with sponsorship from Bella Sun Luci. https://t.co/y6tbJJLVYZ
— Jayski (@jayski) June 11, 2025
One of those good runs? COTA, where Labbe piloted the car to a 14th-place finish, the best non-superspeedway result for the team in 2025. His road course prowess should come in handy again on Saturday.
Parker Retzlaff ($6.4K)
Parker Retzlaff isn't a road ace. In fact, in 14 starts on road or street courses, he has just a single top 10 finish. Still, he was a solid 11th at COTA, the first road course Xfinity ran this season, and his $6.4K price tag makes him a great option to throw in your lineup as a cheap value play.
Josh Bilicki ($5.6K)
We're at a track that's essentially brand new for this entire field, so we can't discount the possibility that things get incredibly chaotic. That's why I'm willing to reach down into the sub-$6.0K range this week.
I like Josh Bilicki for his reliability, but you could also play Brennan Poole ($5.7K) or even Ryan Ellis ($5.3K). These will likely only pay off if we get a crash fest, but that's definitely inside the range of possibilities.
More DFS Lineup Picks and Analysis
The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success
NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller! Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.
Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.
Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.
