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Week 5 Rankings Analysis - Pierre Camus vs. Industry Consensus

Now things get interesting. We have some high-profile offenses taking the week off and it seems like all the matchups this week are all or nothing. There could be upwards of 60 points on the board in the Pats-Bucs, Packers-Cowboys, and Chiefs-Texans games. Then there are the games that you only watch when Red Zone channel has nothing else to show you because the others are all on commercial break: 49ers-Colts, Jets-Browns, Titans-Dolphins. Of course, we have a rooting interest in all of these, because chances are you either own or are going up against a player on one of those teams. That's doing NFL right, my friends.

As an expert ranker for RotoBaller and FantasyPros, I'll put my own personal rankings out on the table for you here and show you how they stack up against the consensus of the other 100+ experts at FantasyPros. Each week, I'll list my Top 10 per position, plus a few notable players that have risen or fallen in my rankings more than the expert consensus this week.

Note: all rankings are for standard leagues and all opinions are my own. If you have questions, comments, or nothing better to do in the last five minutes of your lunch break, hit me up on Twitter @pfunk00 to continue the weekly rankings conversation.

Editor's Note: The FFPC Playoff Challenge #2 is back with a massive $100,000 grand prize and $203,250 total prize pool, paying down to 100th place. Here's the deal: no salary cap, no draft, no pickups, no subs. Choose 8 players, and as NFL teams get knocked out so will your players, so choose your team wisely. The entries will sell out quickly, and registrations will close on Saturday January 17th at 4:30 pm ET . Don't wait - get your team now and end your fantasy football season with a shot at $100,000! Sign Up Now!

 

Week 5 Quarterbacks - Rankings Analysis

Top 10, plus notable outliers (deviation from consensus)

So, it appears that 90% of this week's passing offense will come from two games. I'm writing this before Thursday night's game, so if it's completely wrong and Tampa Bay winds up winning 9-6 or something, don't @ me.

I am believing the Deshaun Watson hype because I believed it even before the draft. When he wound up in Houston, it was obvious he'd be the starter early on. The only surprising part is how he's doing so much with so little in the receiver department, which includes a carousel of backup tight ends. Will Fuller's return should only help.

The Jags are dominating opposing passers, but Big Ben is back at home where he plays best. Something's gotta give and I'm leaning toward the Jags (giving, that is). Ben might not go off for 300+ yards and three TD, but I don't think he has to in order to be a top-10 QB this week with Drew Brees, Kirk Cousins, and Matt Ryan all on byes. Yes, you count too Trevor Siemian, but you're never in my top-10 anyway. I also like Brian Hoyer to come back strong against the Colts defense, which was embarrassed by a Seattle team with no run game and a terrible offensive line.

Russell Wilson and Cam Newton should both plummet back to Earth after tremendous weeks against god awful opponents on defense. The Lions have a great due in the secondary with Darius Slay and Glover Quin and they are a tough team to beat at home. Likewise, Wilson faces a Rams team that is susceptible to the run, but tough against the pass. They need to find a replacement for Chris Carson (who thought we'd be saying that in the middle of the season?), so I expect a heavier tilt toward the run game with Thomas Rawls and (shudder) Eddie Lacy.

 

Week 5 Running Backs - Rankings Analysis

Top 10, plus notable outliers (deviation from consensus)

No surprises at the top. Hunt is established as a top-five back, as is Gurley. On the other hand, LeSean McCoy is going to have to show something in order to maintain that status. Yardage-wise, he's gone over 100 total in two games and under 70 in two others. He's also failed to reach the end zone at all, leaving a sour taste in the mouth of standard-league owners. I think he breaks that streak this week and should be given the benefit of the doubt as long as he's healthy. The Jordan Matthews injury should make them lean even more run-heavy, if anything.

Speaking of last chances, I've written ad nauseam about Jay Ajayi's struggles and how it's not really his fault, but the offensive line's, but he still has to stay patient and settle for short gains rather than nothing and... I'm just tired of it. He just needs to obliterate the Titans, rip off some huge gains and put this all to bed. Otherwise, he can't be trusted as an RB1 any more.

I'm always going to carry the torch for ex-Cane great Frank Gore, but you have to like this matchup regardless of your feelings about him. This year's 49ers defense isn't horrible as last year's, but it's not exactly great either. They give up 106 rushing yards per game and last week's game against the Cardinals, who are dead last in rush offense with 57 Y/G, has skewed those numbers. He's still a low-end RB2 in standard leagues. Alex Collins should be shooting up the rankings, but people are still skeptical. I get it - he's another fumble away from a permanent seat on the bench and has to compete with Buck Allen and Terrance West. In PPR, he's a high-upside flex play, but in an RB-desperate world, he is worth starting in standard leagues based on his breakaway ability. Continuing the theme of being overly optimistic on recent waiver wire adds, I'm also boosting Elijah McGuire because he faces the Browns and Matt Forte is still out, while Wayne Gallman has the best scoring upside of them all.

Joe Mixon is still a hold/buy-low for me too, but I'm not putting him in my lineup just yet until he catches up to the speed of the NFL. Marshawn Lynch is still trying to catch up to himself in his 20s and it's not happening. No Derek Carr means less red zone chances and the Ravens still have a formidable run defense. I'm benching Beast Mode everywhere, or at least I would if I owned him.

 

Week 5 Wide Receivers - Rankings Analysis

Top 10, plus notable outliers (deviation from consensus)

This has to be the lowest I've put Antonio Brown in my rankings for quite a while. As mentioned earlier, the Jags have the highest-graded CB duo in the league with A.J. Bouye and Jalen Ramsey, so it'll be tough sledding even in Pittsburgh. Big Ben can get away with dump-offs to Le'Veon Bell and secondary receivers, but the Jags won't let Brown beat them. Of course, you're still starting him...

I'm also on the verge of putting Stefon Diggs higher than OBJ or A.J. Green this week. It'll be back to last year's offense for the Vikes now that Dalvin Cook is gone. I expect a ton of targets for Diggs and the re-emergence of Kyle Rudolph (more on that later).

Putting T.Y. Hilton in the top 10 might be overly optimistic, but keep in mind that his three relative duds this season have come against superior pass defenses (Seattle, Arizona, L.A. Rams). It's tough not to overreact to such a plus matchup, but in Hilton's case he's got the track record to make it worthwhile. For that same reason, I think Jermaine Kearse bounces back with a solid game at Cleveland. He's not more than a WR3, but with several quality receivers out due to the bye, he could slide into a lineup spot for deeper leagues.

While I'm slightly down on AB, I'm way down on Martavis Bryant. Physical talent be damned, he just isn't producing like most people expected. One big play in Week 2 and a 43% catch rate is all we have to show for a 4th/5th round pick? This matchup is tough enough that I'll stay completely away. And he'll probably get loose for a 75-yard score just to prove the fluky nature of this fantasy game we play, but I'll still sleep good at night.

 

Week 5 Tight Ends - Rankings Analysis

Top 10, plus notable outliers (deviation from consensus)

The only reason Rudolph doesn't crack the top-five is how bullish I am on Charles Clay (this week) and Hunter Henry. Clay is proving to be Tyrod Taylor's go-to in this offense and who can blame him? Jordan Matthews is out, his rookie WR is still learning the system, and Andre Holmes is not ever going to be a target hog. Clay has seen 25 targets over four games and could reach double-digits in Week 5.

I know we're all sick of Hunter Henry and his goose eggs, but this time'll be different! Promise! The Giants have shown absolutely no interest in pretending to cover the tight end this season, allowing an average of 77 yards per game and a league-high five touchdowns to the position. He's a must-start in any format.

As far as Rudolph, he's been asked to block twice as much as last season and his targets have taken a hit. That will change, unless Latavius Murray or Jerick McKinnon suddenly step their game up and keep the running game near the level it was with Cook. Rudolph's stock takes another jump up if Sam Bradford does return this or next week.

Zach Ertz gets the anti-Henry effect this week, as Arizona is stingier than a GOP Congressman when it comes to defending the tight end. It might be curious to see any Buccaneer on the lower end of rankings this week, but O.J. Howard's one big play won't convince me to expect more of him until I see more than three targets head his way on a regular basis.

 

More Week 5 Lineup Prep


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Darius Garland

Exits Early Wednesday With Foot Injury
Jalen Suggs

to Miss Sixth Straight Game Thursday
Wendell Carter Jr.

Cleared to Play in Berlin
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Available Thursday
Deni Avdija

Likely to Remain Out Thursday
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Ready to Face Heat Thursday
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Spencer Jones, Bruce Brown Available Wednesday
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Cleared for Wednesday Night
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Active Wednesday Night
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Ready to End Two-Game Absence
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Questionable for Thursday Night
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Probable to Face Spurs
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Available Wednesday
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Out Wednesday
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Returns to Action Wednesday
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Season Debut Delayed for at Least Four More Weeks
Brandon Clarke

to Miss 4-6 More Weeks
Josh Giddey

Starting Ramp-Up Period, Could Return Soon
Ja Morant

Unavailable Thursday
Julian Phillips

Out Wednesday
Coby White

to Be Limited to 28-30 Minutes Wednesday
Mackenzie Blackwood

Activated From Injured Reserve
Ben Griffin

Looks To Stay Hot In 2026
Tom Wilson

Cleared for Contact, Could Return Thursday
Neal Pionk

Lands on Injured Reserve, Out Week-to-Week
Jamie Drysdale

Activated From Injured Reserve
Corey Perry

Unavailable Wednesday
Teuvo Teravainen

to Miss at Least One Game
Connor Bedard

Returns to Practice
Alexandre Texier

Canadiens Sign Alexandre Texier to Two-Year Extension
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Giants Making "Massive Push" to Hire John Harbaugh on Wednesday
Ranger Suárez

Ranger Suarez Agrees to Five-Year Deal With Red Sox
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Dante Moore Not Entering 2026 NFL Draft, Will Return to Oregon
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Mike Tomlin Doesn't Plan to Coach in 2026
Travis Hunter

Expected to Play More Defense in 2026
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FBS Coaches Unanimously Vote to Expand Redshirt Eligibility to Nine Games
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Ohio State Transfer Mylan Graham Signs with Notre Dame
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Caden Durham Withdraws from Transfer Portal, Will Stay at LSU
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Has Three Points in Tuesday's Loss
Joel Hofer

Controls Hurricanes Tuesday
Jordan Spieth

Perhaps the Most Intriguing Player at Sony Open
Jeremy Swayman

Posts First Shutout of the Season
Zach Werenski

Totals Three Points in Tuesday's Win
Chandler Stephenson

Available Wednesday
Aaron Rai

Looking For Putting Confidence at Waialae Country Club
Jonathan Marchessault

Moved to Injured Reserve
Brayden Point

Labeled Week-to-Week
Collin Morikawa

Isn't The Safe Play He Used to Be Ahead of Sony Open
Kurt Kitayama

Needs His Putting to Turn Around For Success at Year's First Event
Ryan Weathers

Yankees Add Rotation Depth, Acquire Ryan Weathers in Four-Player Deal
Robert Thomas

Out Tuesday
Jake Walman

Available Against Predators
Troy Terry

a Game-Time Decision Tuesday
Justin Sourdif

Won't Play Tuesday
Jakob Chychrun

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
Morgan Geekie

Available Tuesday
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Chargers Fire Offensive Coordinator Greg Roman
Pittsburgh Steelers

Mike Tomlin Stepping Down as Steelers Head Coach
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Georgia Tech the Favorite to Land Justice Haynes?
Nolan Arenado

Cardinals Trade Nolan Arenado to Diamondbacks
Tom Kim

Desperately Needs a Solid Week at Sony Open
Billy Horschel

Hoping For a Fast Start to New Season at Sony Open
Corey Conners

Looks to Have a Return to Form in 2026
PGA

Chris Gotterup a Decent Play at Sony Open
Gary Woodland

Could Prosper at the Sony Open
Keith Mitchell

Unlikely to Contend at Sony Open
Robert MacIntyre

Looking for a Good Performance at the Sony Open
Michael Kim

Hopes to Start Sony Open Better This Week
Tom Hoge

Tries to Erase Poor 2025 Second Half in Hawaii
Brian Harman

Seeks Fresh Start in Hawaii
Eric Cole

Looks to Last Year for Success at Sony Open
Daniel Berger

Starts Off 2026 at Sony Open
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Suffers Concussion Against Steelers
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Carted to Locker Room for Concussion Evaluation
Kyle Tucker

Mets Meet With Kyle Tucker
Dalton Kincaid

"Should be Fine" for Divisional Round
Brooks Koepka

Officially Returning To PGA Tour
Tucker Kraft

Hopes to be Ready for Week 1 of Next Season
CFB

Georgia Lands Kentucky Transfer Dante Dowdell
Matthew Stafford

has "Little Sprain," Should be "Good to Go"
CFB

Sam Leavitt Expected to Sign with LSU
Green Bay Packers

Packers Expected to Work Out New Deal With Matt LaFleur in the "Coming Days"
CFB

Dylan Raiola Commits to Oregon
CFB

Isaiah Horton Landing with Texas A&M
George Kittle

Suffers Torn Achilles on Sunday
Omarion Hampton

Active for Wild-Card Round Against Patriots
George Kittle

Ruled Out After Non-Contact Achilles Injury
Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders Request Interview With Ejiro Evero
Los Angeles Rams

Mike LaFleur to Interview With Raiders and Cardinals
Aaron Rodgers

Steelers Open to Re-Signing Aaron Rodgers?
Matthew Stafford

X-Rays Come Back Negative
MacKenzie Gore

Yankees Pursuing Trade for MacKenzie Gore
Alex Bregman

Cubs Sign Alex Bregman to Five-Year, $175 Millon Contract
Freddie Freeman

Withdraws from World Baseball Classic
Max Kepler

Receives 80-Game PED Suspension
CFB

Cam Coleman Visiting Alabama on Friday
Omarion Hampton

Expects to Play Sunday Night
CFB

Eric Singleton Jr. Enters Transfer Portal, Trending to Land at Florida
CFB

NCAA Denies Trinidad Chambliss a Sixth Year of Eligibility
Omarion Hampton

Questionable for Wild-Card Weekend
Kyle Tucker

Mets Remain in Mix for Kyle Tucker
Ketel Marte

Will Remain With Diamondbacks
Rashee Rice

to be Reviewed Under League's Conduct Policy

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