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Week 5 Rankings Analysis - Pierre Camus vs. Industry Consensus

Now things get interesting. We have some high-profile offenses taking the week off and it seems like all the matchups this week are all or nothing. There could be upwards of 60 points on the board in the Pats-Bucs, Packers-Cowboys, and Chiefs-Texans games. Then there are the games that you only watch when Red Zone channel has nothing else to show you because the others are all on commercial break: 49ers-Colts, Jets-Browns, Titans-Dolphins. Of course, we have a rooting interest in all of these, because chances are you either own or are going up against a player on one of those teams. That's doing NFL right, my friends.

As an expert ranker for RotoBaller and FantasyPros, I'll put my own personal rankings out on the table for you here and show you how they stack up against the consensus of the other 100+ experts at FantasyPros. Each week, I'll list my Top 10 per position, plus a few notable players that have risen or fallen in my rankings more than the expert consensus this week.

Note: all rankings are for standard leagues and all opinions are my own. If you have questions, comments, or nothing better to do in the last five minutes of your lunch break, hit me up on Twitter @pfunk00 to continue the weekly rankings conversation.

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Week 5 Quarterbacks - Rankings Analysis

Top 10, plus notable outliers (deviation from consensus)

So, it appears that 90% of this week's passing offense will come from two games. I'm writing this before Thursday night's game, so if it's completely wrong and Tampa Bay winds up winning 9-6 or something, don't @ me.

I am believing the Deshaun Watson hype because I believed it even before the draft. When he wound up in Houston, it was obvious he'd be the starter early on. The only surprising part is how he's doing so much with so little in the receiver department, which includes a carousel of backup tight ends. Will Fuller's return should only help.

The Jags are dominating opposing passers, but Big Ben is back at home where he plays best. Something's gotta give and I'm leaning toward the Jags (giving, that is). Ben might not go off for 300+ yards and three TD, but I don't think he has to in order to be a top-10 QB this week with Drew Brees, Kirk Cousins, and Matt Ryan all on byes. Yes, you count too Trevor Siemian, but you're never in my top-10 anyway. I also like Brian Hoyer to come back strong against the Colts defense, which was embarrassed by a Seattle team with no run game and a terrible offensive line.

Russell Wilson and Cam Newton should both plummet back to Earth after tremendous weeks against god awful opponents on defense. The Lions have a great due in the secondary with Darius Slay and Glover Quin and they are a tough team to beat at home. Likewise, Wilson faces a Rams team that is susceptible to the run, but tough against the pass. They need to find a replacement for Chris Carson (who thought we'd be saying that in the middle of the season?), so I expect a heavier tilt toward the run game with Thomas Rawls and (shudder) Eddie Lacy.

 

Week 5 Running Backs - Rankings Analysis

Top 10, plus notable outliers (deviation from consensus)

No surprises at the top. Hunt is established as a top-five back, as is Gurley. On the other hand, LeSean McCoy is going to have to show something in order to maintain that status. Yardage-wise, he's gone over 100 total in two games and under 70 in two others. He's also failed to reach the end zone at all, leaving a sour taste in the mouth of standard-league owners. I think he breaks that streak this week and should be given the benefit of the doubt as long as he's healthy. The Jordan Matthews injury should make them lean even more run-heavy, if anything.

Speaking of last chances, I've written ad nauseam about Jay Ajayi's struggles and how it's not really his fault, but the offensive line's, but he still has to stay patient and settle for short gains rather than nothing and... I'm just tired of it. He just needs to obliterate the Titans, rip off some huge gains and put this all to bed. Otherwise, he can't be trusted as an RB1 any more.

I'm always going to carry the torch for ex-Cane great Frank Gore, but you have to like this matchup regardless of your feelings about him. This year's 49ers defense isn't horrible as last year's, but it's not exactly great either. They give up 106 rushing yards per game and last week's game against the Cardinals, who are dead last in rush offense with 57 Y/G, has skewed those numbers. He's still a low-end RB2 in standard leagues. Alex Collins should be shooting up the rankings, but people are still skeptical. I get it - he's another fumble away from a permanent seat on the bench and has to compete with Buck Allen and Terrance West. In PPR, he's a high-upside flex play, but in an RB-desperate world, he is worth starting in standard leagues based on his breakaway ability. Continuing the theme of being overly optimistic on recent waiver wire adds, I'm also boosting Elijah McGuire because he faces the Browns and Matt Forte is still out, while Wayne Gallman has the best scoring upside of them all.

Joe Mixon is still a hold/buy-low for me too, but I'm not putting him in my lineup just yet until he catches up to the speed of the NFL. Marshawn Lynch is still trying to catch up to himself in his 20s and it's not happening. No Derek Carr means less red zone chances and the Ravens still have a formidable run defense. I'm benching Beast Mode everywhere, or at least I would if I owned him.

 

Week 5 Wide Receivers - Rankings Analysis

Top 10, plus notable outliers (deviation from consensus)

This has to be the lowest I've put Antonio Brown in my rankings for quite a while. As mentioned earlier, the Jags have the highest-graded CB duo in the league with A.J. Bouye and Jalen Ramsey, so it'll be tough sledding even in Pittsburgh. Big Ben can get away with dump-offs to Le'Veon Bell and secondary receivers, but the Jags won't let Brown beat them. Of course, you're still starting him...

I'm also on the verge of putting Stefon Diggs higher than OBJ or A.J. Green this week. It'll be back to last year's offense for the Vikes now that Dalvin Cook is gone. I expect a ton of targets for Diggs and the re-emergence of Kyle Rudolph (more on that later).

Putting T.Y. Hilton in the top 10 might be overly optimistic, but keep in mind that his three relative duds this season have come against superior pass defenses (Seattle, Arizona, L.A. Rams). It's tough not to overreact to such a plus matchup, but in Hilton's case he's got the track record to make it worthwhile. For that same reason, I think Jermaine Kearse bounces back with a solid game at Cleveland. He's not more than a WR3, but with several quality receivers out due to the bye, he could slide into a lineup spot for deeper leagues.

While I'm slightly down on AB, I'm way down on Martavis Bryant. Physical talent be damned, he just isn't producing like most people expected. One big play in Week 2 and a 43% catch rate is all we have to show for a 4th/5th round pick? This matchup is tough enough that I'll stay completely away. And he'll probably get loose for a 75-yard score just to prove the fluky nature of this fantasy game we play, but I'll still sleep good at night.

 

Week 5 Tight Ends - Rankings Analysis

Top 10, plus notable outliers (deviation from consensus)

The only reason Rudolph doesn't crack the top-five is how bullish I am on Charles Clay (this week) and Hunter Henry. Clay is proving to be Tyrod Taylor's go-to in this offense and who can blame him? Jordan Matthews is out, his rookie WR is still learning the system, and Andre Holmes is not ever going to be a target hog. Clay has seen 25 targets over four games and could reach double-digits in Week 5.

I know we're all sick of Hunter Henry and his goose eggs, but this time'll be different! Promise! The Giants have shown absolutely no interest in pretending to cover the tight end this season, allowing an average of 77 yards per game and a league-high five touchdowns to the position. He's a must-start in any format.

As far as Rudolph, he's been asked to block twice as much as last season and his targets have taken a hit. That will change, unless Latavius Murray or Jerick McKinnon suddenly step their game up and keep the running game near the level it was with Cook. Rudolph's stock takes another jump up if Sam Bradford does return this or next week.

Zach Ertz gets the anti-Henry effect this week, as Arizona is stingier than a GOP Congressman when it comes to defending the tight end. It might be curious to see any Buccaneer on the lower end of rankings this week, but O.J. Howard's one big play won't convince me to expect more of him until I see more than three targets head his way on a regular basis.

 

More Week 5 Lineup Prep


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

CFB

Quarterback Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi Signs with Michigan
Teuvo Teravainen

Set to Return Tuesday
CFB

Darian Mensah Reaches Settlement with Duke, Expected to Land at Miami
Simon Edvinsson

Out Until Olympics
Josh Norris

Won't Play This Week
Zeev Buium

Lands on Injured Reserve
Brock Boeser

Canucks Place Brock Boeser on Injured Reserve
Sean Durzi

Hurt on Monday Night
Lauri Markkanen

Expected to Return Tuesday
Keyonte George

Resting Tuesday
Malik Monk

Tagged as Questionable for Tuesday
Zach LaVine

Iffy for Tuesday's Action
Kawhi Leonard

Questionable Tuesday
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Without Timetable for Return
Devin Booker

Unavailable This Week
Anthony Edwards

Won't Play on Monday Night
Jusuf Nurkić

Jusuf Nurkic Not Expected to Play on Tuesday Night
Jalen Green

Questionable to Suit Up on Tuesday
Santi Aldama

Back in Action on Monday
Eugenio Suárez

Eugenio Suarez Not Drawing Interest on Open Market?
Tre Jones

Sidelined Versus Lakers
Jonas Brodin

to Miss 6-8 Weeks
Sam Merrill

Won't Play Monday
Kasperi Kapanen

Returns From Three-Game Absence Monday
Lawson Crouse

Available Against Lightning
Draymond Green

Considered Questionable for Monday
Carson Soucy

Won't Play Monday
Rasmus Ristolainen

Returns to Flyers Lineup
Al Horford

Ruled Out for Monday's Matchup with Minnesota
Ryan Pulock

Misses Second Consecutive Game
Shedeur Sanders

Named as Pro Bowl Replacement
Stephen Curry

Questionable on Monday
Simon Holmstrom

a Game-Time Call Monday
Framber Valdez

Among Many High-End Pitchers on Free-Agent Market
Jose Altuve

Won't Participate in World Baseball Classic
Harrison Bader

Agrees With Giants on Two-Year Deal
Paddy Pimblett

Drops Decision
Justin Gaethje

Becomes the New Interim-Lightweight Champion
Song Yadong

Suffers Unanimous Decision Loss
MMA

Sean O'Malley Gets Back In The Win Column
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Extends His Win Streak
Derrick Lewis

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss
Los Angeles Chargers

Chargers Officially Hire Mike McDaniel as Offensive Coordinator
Nathan Eovaldi

Doesn't Expect Any Limitations in Spring Training
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Dominates in NFC Championship Game Win
Scott Wedgewood

Activated From Non-Roster List
Nikita Zadorov

Questionable for Monday
Stephen Halliday

Injured Sunday
Jack St. Ivany

Exits With Upper-Body Injury Sunday
Brock Boeser

Takes Hit to the Head
Evgeni Malkin

Suffers Apparent Injury in Sunday's Win
Sam Merrill

Still Uncertain to Play Monday
Deni Avdija

Could Miss Second Straight Game Monday
Zaccharie Risacher

Misses Ninth Straight Game Monday
Kristaps Porzingis

Still Out Monday Against Pacers
Austin Reaves

Not Ready to Return Monday
Philipp Kurashev

Joins Sharks for Road Trip
Charle-Edouard D'Astous

Placed on Injured Reserve
Matthew Stafford

Plans to Return in 2026
CFB

Arthur Smith to Become Ohio State's Offensive Coordinator
Bo Nix

Sidelined for 12 Weeks With Broken Ankle
Jose Altuve

to Mainly Play Second Base
Yu Darvish

Considering Retirement
Pittsburgh Steelers

Steelers Finalizing Deal to Make Mike McCarthy Their Head Coach
José Ramírez

Jose Ramirez Signs Seven-Year Extension With Guardians
Gunnar Henderson

is Fully Healthy Heading into Spring Training
Tyreek Hill

Dolphins Expected to Release Tyreek Hill
Paddy Pimblett

Set For Interim Lightweight Title Fight
Justin Gaethje

An Underdog At UFC 324
Song Yadong

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
MMA

Sean O'Malley Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Derrick Lewis

Returns At UFC 324
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Philip Rivers

Interviewing for Bills Head-Coaching Job
NFL

Fernando Mendoza Officially Declares for NFL Draft
CFB

Arch Manning Undergoes Foot Surgery
Dalton Kincaid

Played Through Torn PCL
CFB

College Football Playoff Expected to Remain a 12-Team Field in 2026
Baltimore Ravens

Ravens Hire Jesse Minter as Their Head Coach
Indianapolis Colts

FBI Investigating the Death of Colts Owner Jim Irsay
MacKenzie Gore

Rangers Acquire MacKenzie Gore From the Nationals
Brandon Sproat

Dealt to Brewers in Four-Player Trade
Jett Williams

Brewers Acquire Jett Williams From Mets
Freddy Peralta

Mets Acquire Freddy Peralta From Brewers
Kyle Tucker

Expected to Bat Second or Third in Dodgers' Lineup
Brandon Aiyuk

has "Played his Last Snap as a Niner"
Cody Bellinger

Signs Five-Year, $162.5 Million Contract With Yankees
Adam Scott

Looks to Overcome Putting Woes at American Express
Billy Horschel

Looking to Rebound at The American Express
Josh Allen

Might Need Foot Surgery
Russell Henley

Looks to Build on Strong Start at The American Express
Jason Day

Looking to Start 2026 Strong at The American Express
Wyndham Clark

Looking to Regain Form at The American Express
Sam Burns

Looks to Continue Success at The American Express
Akshay Bhatia

Looking to Flip the Script at The American Express
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Looking to Build on Strong Fall in Season Debut

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