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Updated Starting Pitcher Rankings for Fantasy Baseball: The Top 101 Baller Ranks

walker buehler fantasy baseball rankings draft sleepers mlb injury news

Welcome to June, RotoBallers! What better way to start those summer months than with another updated edition of my top-101 starting pitcher rankings - looking at rest-of-season values. Once again, I've got you covered with ranks, tiers, trends, and notes with the top-101 in a table with other fun things like earned value via Fangraphs. It's time for another edition of my weekly Starting Pitcher Baller Ranks!

This google sheet accompanies the table below and adds relevant 5x5 stats, K%, BB%, BABIP, FIP, xFIP, SIERA, ERA-FIP, and CSW% from 2022. Do note that I leave off injured players, but for now, I will include them at the bottom with a rank of roughly where they'd appear when healthy. I highly encourage you to click the sheet.

As is tradition, these fantasy baseball starting pitcher rankings are geared toward traditional 5x5 leagues. Without further ado, here's my top-101 SP for the rest of 2022!

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Starting Pitcher Rankings Analysis

-Walker Buehler is another early faller here, which likely was coming even before the non-QS against the Pirates on Monday. While Buehler has six wins in nine starts, he only has three quality starts, as half of those victories came via five-inning scrapers. We like to see him tally seven strikeouts against PIT, but that came after just 10 Ks combined over his last three trips to the hill (16 IP). Julio Urias is doing a bit of the same dance with suppressed strikeouts but at least his ERA/WHIP are helping you.

You’re not getting elite ratios or even average strikeouts, though we know he absolutely has it in him. His spot on the Dodgers keeps his traditional 5x5 value flowing in but this is not the SP1 anchor you built around. Compare that to a guy like Gerrit Cole, who at least struck out 11 Orioles even when he surrendered five runs on May 23. And then he rebounded with a 6 IP, 10 K QS against the Rays. Those lines are the anchors.

-Sandy Alcantara flashed that big whiff upside that had folks buzzing on draft day with 14 strikeouts against Atlanta. And this came in a rematch against the defending champs following a complete-game shutout on May 22, which makes it more impressive to me. After some early May turbulence, Super Sandy is here and has gone at least seven frames in each of his last four starts and eight-plus in each of his last three. 

-Carlos Rodon hasn’t shown the same dominant form in his last three starts (all losses), posting an 11/8 K/BB in 15 IP alongside 13 earned runs (three HRs). His velocity has largely held up, though his most recent turn saw a drop to averaging 95.7 mph from 96.7 mph in his previous outing. His average release point is steady from a vertical perspective but his horizontal measure has come down by roughly half a foot on breaking balls. This isn’t some drastic alarm but it is something to monitor.

-Shane Bieber still has me skeptical as he’s lined up some friendly starts against Oakland and a double-dip versus Detroit over the past month. Outside of that, he had a tightrope QS against Minnesota and that drubbing at the hands of Toronto on May 7. The stats look okay on the baseball card and he gets another friendly matchup at the cavernous Camden Yards in Baltimore next, but I’m gritting my teeth here.

-Nick Pivetta has ripped off five consecutive quality starts and four straight wins with a date in pitcher-friendly Oakland next. His struggles with the longball look to be buried for now, though the 29-year-old has walked five in his last two starts (12 IP) after only one free pass in the previous four (26 ⅓ IP). But I’ll happily take a few walks if it means he’s effectively nibbling the corners on the whole and avoiding those meatballs. After four home runs allowed in his first three starts, Pivetta has surrendered only two in his last seven outings.

-MacKenzie Gore, Cristian Javier, and Aaron Ashby all better keep their rotation slots because it’s so damn fun to watch them work. Gore has only allowed one earned run in two starts since re-entering the rotation, Javier struck out nine in back-to-back starts before Tuesday’s Oakland matchup, and Ashby just dazzled with 12 strikeouts in his latest start. I hope that soon we can include Spencer Strider in this sentence but that’ll depend on Marcell Ozuna’s defense! Ugh. 

-David Peterson has a solid route to wins on the Mets, offering plus ratios alongside modest strikeouts to fill out their battered rotation. The opportunity in that friendly park is enough for me to throw him on here.

-Edward Cabrera may not be Max Meyer but at least Miami is trying something here. He’ll get a chance to make noise in the majors following last year’s crummy 5.81 ERA (5.31 SIERA) in 26 ⅓ IP, as he’s done well enough at Triple-A to earn another shot. I’m still wary of his control, illustrated by an 11.9% walk rate through 23 ⅔ IP at Triple-A thus far, but he also has 32 punchouts and is a healthy whiff streamer if you need it. That said, if the plan is still for him to take one of the doubleheader games on Wednesday in Coors then I’ll play wait-and-see instead.

 

Top-101 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball

These are rest-of-season fantasy baseball rankings for starting pitchers.

(+/-) Tier Player Rank EV $ PV Trend Notes
0 1 Corbin Burnes 1 $11.8 45.0 44.0 1.0 ▲ Stud finally getting deserved Ws
0 1 Gerrit Cole 2 $12.1 43.0 42.0 1.0 ▲
1 2 Joe Musgrove 3 $13.5 39.0 38.0 1.0 ▲
5 2 Shane McClanahan 4 $11.7 37.0 30.0 7.0 ▲ Here comes the moneyyyy, Shane-o-Mac
0 2 Kevin Gausman 5 $21.9 36.5 37.5 -1.0 ▼
10 2 Sandy Alcantara 6 $12.0 33.0 24.0 9.0 ▲ 8+ IP in 3 straight wins, 14 K in latest W
5 2 Zack Wheeler 7 $13.4 32.0 27.5 4.5 ▲ Any rust is long gone, top-10 for sure
-5 2 Walker Buehler 8 $8.8 32.0 42.0 -10.0 ▼ Ws coming but no other big draw
-2 2 Lucas Giolito 9 $4.6 31.0 34.5 -3.5 ▼ Tagged by TOR, 1.50+ WHIP in 3 straight
-2 2 Carlos Rodon 10 $11.0 29.5 30.0 -0.5 ▼ Rough last 3 turns, hope all is well
-1 2 Justin Verlander 11 $8.6 29.0 29.5 -0.5 ▼ Still a .213 BABIP; great but luck can't hold forever
3 2 Alek Manoah 12 $9.8 28.5 25.5 3.0 ▲
-2 2 Max Fried 13 $11.7 28.5 28.5 0.0 ▬
0 3 Dylan Cease 14 $10.7 26.0 26.0 0.0 ▬ FIP, xFIP, SIERA all ~3.00
2 3 Shohei Ohtani 15 $11.4 25.0 22.0 3.0 ▲
2 3 Pablo Lopez 16 $11.1 23.5 22.0 1.5 ▲
-4 3 Julio Urias 17 $4.1 23.5 27.5 -4.0 ▼ Lesser Ks mean blowups hurt more
2 3 Aaron Nola 18 $9.6 22.5 19.5 3.0 ▲
2 3 Logan Webb 19 $8.6 22.0 19.5 2.5 ▲ LOVE to see 10 Ks from him after whiff woes
-1 3 Shane Bieber 20 $9.2 21.0 21.0 0.0 ▬
1 4 Frankie Montas 21 $11.0 19.5 19.5 0.0 ▬
1 4 Chris Bassitt 22 $3.7 19.5 18.5 1.0 ▲
4 4 Logan Gilbert 23 $9.4 18.0 16.5 1.5 ▲
4 4 Zac Gallen 24 $9.6 17.5 16.5 1.0 ▲
5 4 Nestor Cortes 25 $12.7 17.5 14.5 3.0 ▲ Quick pace, different arm angles, I love it
-2 4 Yu Darvish 26 $8.0 17.5 18.0 -0.5 ▼
-1 4 Robbie Ray 27 $5.0 17.0 17.0 0.0 ▬ 8+ Ks in each of last 4, but getting hit too
1 5 Michael Kopech 28 $9.7 16.0 16.0 0.0 ▬ Hints of IP mgmt showing
-4 5 Charlie Morton 29 $1.8 16.0 17.5 -1.5 ▼ Hit hard by Philly, solid v. ARI, Coors next
1 5 Nathan Eovaldi 30 -$0.9 15.0 14.5 0.5 ▲
1 5 Sean Manaea 31 $6.4 14.5 14.0 0.5 ▲
1 5 Kyle Wright 32 $10.8 14.0 13.5 0.5 ▲
3 5 Luis Severino 33 $4.0 14.0 12.5 1.5 ▲
3 5 Luis Castillo 34 $3.8 13.5 12.0 1.5 ▲ Big 10 Ks in Fenway, statement
0 5 Joe Ryan 35 $8.0 12.5 12.5 0.0 ▬ COVID list
-2 5 Jose Berrios 36 $0.5 12.5 13.0 -0.5 ▼
1 5 Sonny Gray 37 $6.7 12.0 11.0 1.0 ▲ Could hit IL with pec injury, still TBD
1 5 Framber Valdez 38 $10.9 12.0 10.5 1.5 ▲
1 5 Tarik Skubal 39 $15.8 11.0 10.0 1.0 ▲
2 6 Luis Garcia 40 $6.1 10.5 9.0 1.5 ▲
3 6 Alex Cobb 41 $7.3 10.0 9.0 1.0 ▲ Luck should continue to even out
1 6 Carlos Carrasco 42 $10.8 9.0 9.0 0.0 ▬
4 6 Patrick Sandoval 43 $9.8 9.0 8.0 1.0 ▲ Still 2.70 ERA, 2.65 FIP after blowup
4 6 Eric Lauer 44 $6.6 9.0 7.0 2.0 ▲
6 6 Tony Gonsolin 45 $7.7 9.0 5.5 3.5 ▲
0 6 Garrett Whitlock 46 $5.7 9.0 8.5 0.5 ▲
-6 6 Jordan Montgomery 47 $5.2 9.0 9.5 -0.5 ▼ Consistent, can't unlock extra gear for Ks
16 6 Cristian Javier 48 $6.4 8.0 3.5 4.5 ▲ Only question is how does workload build
1 6 George Kirby 49 $2.8 8.0 8.0 0.0 ▬ Excellent rebound, 6 IP, 0 ER, 8 K
22 6 MacKenzie Gore 50 $11.1 8.0 2.5 5.5 ▲ Another one for how workload progresses
-6 7 Trevor Rogers 51 $0.4 8.0 9.0 -1.0 ▼
-3 7 Bailey Ober 52 $5.2 7.5 8.0 -0.5 ▼
-1 7 Tyler Mahle 53 $8.1 7.5 7.0 0.5 ▲
36 7 Aaron Ashby 54 $5.0 7.5 1.0 6.5 ▲ Big swing-and-miss stuff showed w/ 12 Ks
-2 7 Adam Wainwright 55 $3.1 7.5 7.0 0.5 ▲ All pitches firing for double-digit Ks on 5/31
-2 7 Triston McKenzie 56 $5.9 6.5 6.5 0.0 ▬
-1 7 Blake Snell 57 $0.3 6.0 5.5 0.5 ▲ Solid QS vs. STL, 18/8 K/BB in 15 IP now
-3 7 Noah Syndergaard 58 $5.9 5.5 5.5 0.0 ▬
-1 7 Jameson Taillon 59 $10.3 5.0 5.0 0.0 ▬
-3 8 Alex Wood 60 $4.3 5.0 5.5 -0.5 ▼
-2 8 Drew Rasmussen 61 $5.6 5.0 4.5 0.5 ▲
-1 8 Roansy Contreras 62 $1.8 5.0 4.5 0.5 ▲ PIT limits ceiling but big presence on mound
0 8 Michael Lorenzen 63 $5.2 4.0 4.0 0.0 ▬
-2 8 Paul Blackburn 64 $8.5 4.0 4.5 -0.5 ▼
10 8 Marcus Stroman 65 $5.4 4.0 2.0 2.0 ▲
14 8 Martin Perez 66 $13.7 3.5 2.5 1.0 ▲ This is getting silly, but he keeps on cruising
-1 8 Yusei Kikuchi 67 $3.5 3.5 3.5 0.0 ▬
-1 8 Jose Urquidy 68 $2.7 3.5 3.5 0.0 ▬
0 8 Nick Pivetta 69 $7.8 3.5 1.5 2.0 ▲
1 9 Merrill Kelly 70 $8.4 3.0 3.0 0.0 ▬
2 9 Kyle Gibson 71 $8.9 3.0 3.0 0.0 ▬
-2 9 Reid Detmers 72 $0.5 2.5 3.5 -1.0 ▼
3 9 Josiah Gray 73 -$3.0 2.5 2.5 0.0 ▬
8 9 Spencer Strider 74 $6.5 2.5 2.0 0.5 ▲
13 9 Tyler Anderson 75 $8.9 2.5 1.5 1.0 ▲ 3 straight W/QS, though ARI x2 & WSH
-8 9 Jon Gray 76 $2.9 2.5 3.0 -0.5 ▼ Command just unreliable right now
-3 9 Ian Anderson 77 $1.8 2.5 3.0 -0.5 ▼
11 9 Brady Singer 78 $5.4 2.5 1.5 1.0 ▲ Hitting his stride with slider?
17 9 Jeffrey Springs 79 $5.7 2.5 1.0 1.5 ▲
-1 9 Hyun Jin Ryu 80 $1.4 2.5 2.5 0.0 ▬ Ready for next start after elbow tightness
-16 10 Ranger Suarez 81 $2.7 2.0 3.5 -1.5 ▼ Another 3 walks, K/BB trending wrong way
-5 10 Miles Mikolas 82 $8.5 2.0 2.5 -0.5 ▼
-23 10 Hunter Greene 83 -$4.7 2.0 4.5 -2.5 ▼ Heat too hittable, slider unreliable primary
-6 10 Zach Eflin 84 $8.2 2.0 2.5 -0.5 ▼
-4 10 Cal Quantrill 85 $4.2 2.0 2.5 -0.5 ▼
-2 10 Jakob Junis 86 $2.3 2.0 1.5 0.5 ▲
-1 10 Taijuan Walker 87 $3.7 2.0 1.5 0.5 ▲
-5 10 Kyle Hendricks 88 -$0.9 1.5 2.0 -0.5 ▼
-4 10 Bruce Zimmermann 89 $0.0 1.5 1.5 0.0 ▬
-3 10 Jose Quintana 90 $7.4 1.5 1.5 0.0 ▬
N/A 10 Chris Flexen 91 -$0.4 1.5 N/A N/A
5 10 Dane Dunning 92 $5.3 1.5 1.5 0.0 ▬
2 11 JT Brubaker 93 $5.3 1.5 1.0 0.5 ▲
7 11 Matthew Liberatore 94 $0.7 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬ Better 2nd start but still want more whiffs
-3 11 Chad Kuhl 95 $6.1 1.0 1.5 -0.5 ▼
3 11 Madison Bumgarner 96 -$0.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
-6 11 Justin Steele 97 $6.3 1.0 1.5 -0.5 ▼ Upside is there but way too volatile
2 11 Alex Faedo 98 $2.3 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
N/A 11 David Peterson 99 $1.9 1.0 N/A N/A
N/A 11 Edward Cabrera 100 N/A 1.0 N/A N/A Coors to start, just monitor him
-7 11 Chase Silseth 101 $0.2 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬


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