Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Player Comparisons
News and Alerts

Fantasy Football Values: Players With Disappointing Numbers Worth Reconsidering In 2023

J.K. Dobbins - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

When the time comes around to gear up for fantasy football season, one of the most celebrated pastimes is enthusiasts firing off takes about who will show out and who won't. To back up those hot takes, many use player performances from the previous season.

While that is a critical piece of the puzzle, exclusively sticking to them can cause people to turn a blind eye to the context behind those performances. If you become married to the end-of-season result and dismiss context, there is a decent chance that you’re going to miss out on a lot of solid fantasy contributors.

Those who dismissed the context behind players' stat lines from 2021 would’ve missed out on a stud like Saquon Barkley who was written off by some as a dud due to being ineffective after injury. When looking at players for the upcoming 2023 season, I want to provide a few names that may be unfairly devalued due to weak 2022 seasons that burned many. With that being said, here are five players with misleading statistical totals that could wind up becoming fantasy values next season.

Editor's Note: Our incredible team of writers received 13 award nominations by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association including Baseball Writer of the Year, Football Writers of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year and many more! Be sure to follow their analysis, rankings and advice all year long, and win big with RotoBaller! Read More!


Fantasy Players to Reconsider in 2023

Najee Harris, Pittsburgh Steelers

Najee Harris had an odd 2022 season. After displaying a strong rookie year where he closed out as the RB4 overall, many had him pegged as a candidate to produce at that level again. Unfortunately, those expectations didn’t pan out as the second-year back was the RB15 overall and the RB22 in PPG.

Those numbers aren’t super disappointing, but his first-round price tag during draft season puts his performance in a worse light. Even with his mediocre season-long output, his stats need to be viewed as a tale of two halves.

What many seem to forget is that Harris suffered a Lisfranc sprain in his left foot during training camp. While I’m no doctor, the consensus on the injury is that it can be played through, but it inhibits foot stability. The second-year back didn’t miss any time, but the sprain was clearly hampering his performance during Pittsburgh’s first eight games. During that stretch, he ranked RB28 overall and RB32 in PPG while averaging just 3.3 yards per attempt.

However, after their Week 9 bye, Harris’ effectiveness seemed to turn the corner as he was the RB4 overall and RB7 in PPG while his yards per attempt increased to 4.1 during Weeks 10-18.

With the injury behind him, Harris showed that he still has the chops to be one of the better fantasy backs in the game. Due to his presence in one of the few offenses that still favors a workhorse running back, he could wind up being a solid value by the time draft season rolls around.

Russell Wilson, Denver Broncos

Hold on, put your torches and pitchforks away. To put it plainly, Russell Wilson stunk last season. As one of the most hyped-up quarterback acquisitions in recent memory, the former Super Bowl champion couldn’t have fallen flatter on his face during his opening season with the Denver Broncos.

After being regarded as a top-10 fantasy quarterback in the preseason, Wilson closed out the year as the QB16 overall and QB19 in PPG. From what fans were expecting, this was a disaster, but there could be some light at the end of the tunnel.

While Russ was terrible, he can’t receive all the blame. Former head coach Nathaniel Hackett was clearly in over his head and had no real offense drawn up to maximize the skills of his quarterback. In the 13 games with Hackett, Wilson was dreadful as the QB19 overall and the QB25 in PPG. 

Once the current New York Jets assistant was unceremoniously relieved of his duties after a Christmas Day humiliation at the hands of the Los Angeles Rams, Russ seemed to return to form in his final two games.

Albeit a small sample size, Wilson ranked as the QB1 overall and the QB2 in PPG during the final two weeks of the season. Even though his season was terrible, his performances without Hackett may show that the star quarterback is still there.

Also, with a great offensive mind in Sean Payton taking the reins as head coach, Wilson’s trajectory as a Bronco could move upward. While many are down on him, Russ is looking like a cheap, low-risk option that could pan out in a big way in 2023.

Kyle Pitts, Atlanta Falcons

Entering the season as a popular breakout pick at tight end, Kyle Pitts had an unfortunate sophomore slump that resulted in him being the most recognizable fantasy bust of 2022. After being priced as the consensus TE3 during draft season, the rookie standout just couldn’t get things rolling as he finished the year TE33 overall and TE22 in PPG.

Pitts’ season was dreadful, that much is for certain. But the offense he found himself trapped in couldn’t have been less conducive to fantasy success. The Atlanta Falcons were one of the least receiver-friendly offenses in 2022 as they had the highest run rate in the league at 32.88 attempts per game while ranking 31st in pass rate at 24.41 attempts per game.

To make matters worse, the passes that were thrown were some of the lowest quality the league had to offer as Marcus Mariota had a 23.5% deep ball completion percentage (33rd in NFL) and a 65% true completion percentage (31st in NFL). In nearly every meaningful passing statistic during 2022, you could bet that Mariota would usually be located somewhere in the bottom half.

Unfortunately for Pitts, he suffered a season-ending MCL sprain in Week 11 and never got to be part of the offense once Mariota was benched. However, during the time he was out, the pass attempts increased along with them being more on target while rookie Desmond Ridder handled the starting job.

While the third-round quarterback wasn’t super impressive, he still showed much more promise than Marcus Mariota, and there could be a possibility for growth with a year under his belt.

With Pitts never having the privilege of not playing with Mariota, he could be a real weapon that his second-year quarterback can latch onto. He provides a consistent mismatch in the receiving game with his build and freak athleticism. To avoid him for a poor season that was clearly out of his control would be foolish.

Michael Pittman Jr., Indianapolis Colts

Much like the rest of this list, Michael Pittman was another player with a hype train heading into 2022 that never panned out. Despite being drafted around studs like Tyreek Hill and A.J. Brown, the former USC Trojan closed out his third season as the WR23 overall and WR29 in PPG. It was a disappointing season from a receiver that showed plenty of promise in 2021, but he can’t shoulder all the blame. 

The Colts were an offense with no real passing threat during 2022. The offseason trade for Matt Ryan proved to be a massive flop as he clearly showed his age on the field. Also, the two characters that replaced Ryan at different points of the season, Sam Ehlinger and Nick Foles, were some of the worst options in football. With none of these passers being able to push the ball downfield, Pittman’s stats took a hit while his ADOT fell to 6.9 yards (8.4 yards in 2021).

Not to mention, the coaching was constantly in flux due to Frank Reich being replaced by a textbook nepotism hire in Jeff Saturday, who had no business being a head coach at the professional level.

With those factors in play, it would’ve been a miracle if Pittman showed out amongst all the dysfunction in Indianapolis. As a big-bodied X-receiver, he excels as a downfield threat. But when your quarterback has a noodle arm and play calling is in shambles, a receiver like him will not have a good time.

There could be sunlight on the horizon for the talented fourth-year receiver as the Colts are considered a suitor for a new quarterback. Whether through the draft or trade (Lamar Jackson), Pittman has a shot at vaulting back to solid production in short order.

J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore Ravens

Coming off a catastrophic knee injury, J.K. Dobbins had an uphill battle to return to relevancy in 2022. In the 2021 preseason, the former Buckeye tore his ACL, LCL, meniscus, and hamstring. Can’t get much worse than that. Historically, running backs tend to struggle in their first year back from ACL tears, so it wasn’t surprising that Dobbins finished as RB52 overall and RB30 in PPG.

When the 24-year-old made his return to the field, there were plenty of people that questioned if he was returning too early. The questions were warranted as he was inefficient and then had to go through ACL surgery rehab after Week 6, which caused him to miss seven weeks. However, when he came back, we saw a resurgence.

When Dobbins returned to play in Weeks 14-17, he led the league in rushing yards during that stretch. With incredible efficiency, he gained 397 yards on seven yards per carry. 

This trend of running backs looking like a shell of themselves after their ACL injuries is nothing new. But what Dobbins showed at the end of the season, in addition to what we’ve seen in recent history, has me high on him as a value in 2023.

The status of Lamar Jackson with Baltimore still looms, but Dobbins’ track record along with the chart above makes me confident in taking a shot on him at price next season.

Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Fantasy Football Analysis


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Player Comparisons
News and Alerts


Jack Suwinski5 mins ago

Absent From Sunday's Lineup
Jon Berti17 mins ago

Getting A Day Off Sunday
Zach Neto24 mins ago

Off On Sunday
Hunter Renfroe31 mins ago

Getting A Rest Sunday
Kyle Tucker45 mins ago

Not Playing Sunday
Dinelson Lamet51 mins ago

Likely Starting Wednesday
Max Muncy1 hour ago

Left Early With A Hamstring Cramp
Jeff McNeil1 hour ago

Not In The Lineup On Sunday Against Colorado
Jesse Winker1 hour ago

Scratched With Neck Discomfort
Juan Soto1 hour ago

Scratched With Back Tightness On Sunday
Kyle Tucker2 hours ago

Scratched From Sunday's Lineup
Matt Moore2 hours ago

Lands On The 15-Day Injured List
Brenton Doyle2 hours ago

Still Absent From The Lineup On Sunday
Esteury Ruiz2 hours ago

Sitting Out On Sunday
New York Jets2 hours ago

Quinnen Williams, Jets May Be Nearing A Deal
Josh Donaldson2 hours ago

Could See Another Rehab Game On Tuesday
Anthony Santander2 hours ago

Back In The Lineup On Sunday
Jimmy Garoppolo2 hours ago

Contract Has Waiver Included
Max Muncy2 hours ago

Leaves Game Early Sunday
Jose Trevino3 hours ago

Could Return Tuesday
Giancarlo Stanton3 hours ago

Could Begin Rehab Assignment Tuesday
Xander Bogaerts3 hours ago

Back In Sunday's Lineup
Carlos Rodón3 hours ago

Carlos Rodon To Throw Bullpen On Monday
Jonathan Marchessault4 hours ago

Posts Two Assists Saturday Night
Thomas Harley4 hours ago

Tallies Two Assists In Game 6 Win
Ty Dellandrea4 hours ago

Keeps Dallas Alive With Late Goals
Duncan Robinson4 hours ago

Has 13 Points In Game 6 Against Boston
Max Strus4 hours ago

Scores 10 Points In Game 6 Loss
Chase Elliott4 hours ago

Believes He’s Got A Good Shot To Win Coca-Cola 600
Alex Bowman5 hours ago

Facing Uphill Battle In Coca-Cola 600 Return
Ryan Preece5 hours ago

Hopeful To Start Putting Pieces Together For Good Runs
Gabe Vincent5 hours ago

Returns With 15 Points
Bam Adebayo5 hours ago

Posts Sixth Postseason Double-Double
Corey Lajoie5 hours ago

Looking To Continue Career-Best Season At Charlotte
NASCAR5 hours ago

Bubba Wallace Hoping For First-Ever Top 10 Finish At Charlotte
Caleb Martin5 hours ago

Produces Impressive Double-Double In Game 6
AJ Allmendinger5 hours ago

A DFS Sleeper Pick For The Coca-Cola 600
Jimmie Johnson5 hours ago

Doesn't Feel Prepared For Coca-Cola 600
Jimmy Butler5 hours ago

Flirts With Triple-Double Saturday
Zane Smith5 hours ago

Hoping To Learn & Get Better At Charlotte
Todd Gilliland5 hours ago

Facing Significant Equipment Downgrade At Charlotte
John Collins13 hours ago

Still Available
Marcus Smart13 hours ago

Has Solid Showing In Game 6
Jaylen Brown13 hours ago

Has 26 Points In Win Over Miami
Robert Williams13 hours ago

III Finishes With 10 Points Saturday
Derrick White14 hours ago

Forces A Game 7
Jayson Tatum14 hours ago

Scores 31 Points In Game 6
DeAndre Hopkins17 hours ago

Bills, Chiefs Had "Substantive" Talks About Trading For DeAndre Hopkins
Travis Etienne Jr.18 hours ago

Working On "Fine-Tuning" Skills
Arizona Cardinals18 hours ago

Budda Baker Will Be At Training Camp
Austin Dillon18 hours ago

Could Be Place Differential King At Charlotte
Erik Jones19 hours ago

Could Be Good Early At Charlotte
Daniel Suarez19 hours ago

Has Upside At Coca-Cola 600
Aric Almirola19 hours ago

Stuck In Middle Of The Pack For Charlotte
Chase Briscoe19 hours ago

Tries To Turn Back Clock At Charlotte
Ty Gibbs19 hours ago

Could Provide DFS Value At Charlotte
Joey Logano19 hours ago

Tries To Bounce Back From Charlotte Mishap
Martin Truex Jr19 hours ago

. Wants To Turn Back Clock At Charlotte
Justin Haley19 hours ago

Might Have Challenge At Charlotte
Tyler Reddick19 hours ago

Aims To Move Up At Charlotte
Ross Chastain22 hours ago

Looking For A Win At Charlotte
Harrison Burton22 hours ago

On The Hot Seat For Results
Jerome Kapp1 day ago

Jets Sign Jerome Kapp
San Francisco 49ers1 day ago

Dre Greenlaw Recovering From Finger Surgery
Chris Moore1 day ago

Willing To Play Any Role
Gary Brightwell1 day ago

Could Be Buried On Depth Chart
Dallas Cowboys1 day ago

Terence Steele Limited At OTAs
Marquise Brown1 day ago

Becomes Cardinals' No. 1 Receiver
Deshaun Watson1 day ago

Jordan Akins Eager To Work With Deshaun Watson Again
Deshaun Watson1 day ago

Elijah Moore Building Chemistry With Deshaun Watson
Gabe Vincent2 days ago

Questionable On Saturday
Tyler Herro2 days ago

Remains Out For Game 6
Bam Adebayo2 days ago

Good To Go For Game 6
Malcolm Brogdon2 days ago

Questionable For Game 6
DeAndre Hopkins2 days ago

Bills "Lurking" As A Favorite To Land DeAndre Hopkins
Davante Adams2 days ago

Josh McDaniels Has No Issues With Davante Adams Venting
Tampa Bay Buccaneers2 days ago

Bucs Expect Devin White At Minicamp
Darren Waller2 days ago

Enjoying Time In New York
Dalvin Cook2 days ago

Now Considering A Pay Cut?
DeAndre Hopkins2 days ago

Chiefs A Potential Landing Spot For DeAndre Hopkins?
Detroit Pistons2 days ago

Detroit Brings Kevin Ollie And Charles Lee In For Second Interviews
Atlanta Hawks2 days ago

Hawks Hire Igor Kokoskov As Lead Assistant Coach
Joel Embiid2 days ago

Still Considered Untouchable
D'Angelo Russell2 days ago

Lakers Won't Pursue The Max For D'Angelo Russell
Fred VanVleet2 days ago

Raptors Unsure If They Want To Re-Sign Fred VanVleet
Tyler Allgeier2 days ago

Not Concerned About Usage
Hendon Hooker2 days ago

Preparing Himself Mentally
Jack Eichel2 days ago

Keeps The Assists Coming
William Karlsson2 days ago

Matches Vegas Record With Eighth Postseason Goal
Miro Heiskanen2 days ago

Delivers Two Power-Play Assists
Jason Robertson3 days ago

Scores Two Goals In Game 4 Victory
Joe Pavelski3 days ago

Scores Overtime Winner In Game 4
Jake Oettinger3 days ago

The Confirmed Starter For Game 4
Evgenii Dadonov3 days ago

Will Be Out Of The Lineup For Dallas
Adin Hill3 days ago

Will Mind The Vegas Crease In Game 4
Jamie Benn3 days ago

Suspended For Two Games
Sergei Bobrovsky3 days ago

Remains Sharp In Series-Clincher
Aleksander Barkov3 days ago

Hands Out Two Assists In Game 4 Victory
Matthew Tkachuk4 days ago

Late Goal Sends Panthers To Stanley Cup Final
Michael Block4 days ago

A Fade At Charles Schwab
Emiliano Grillo4 days ago

Looks To Regain Form
Viktor Hovland4 days ago

Teeing It Up After Close Call At PGA Championship
PGA4 days ago

J.T. Poston Tough To Include In Fantasy Lineups
Beau Hossler4 days ago

Worth Fantasy Consideration Heading To Colonial
Billy Horschel4 days ago

Inconsistency Makes Him A Tough Choice
Ryan Fox4 days ago

An Intriguing Pick For Fantasy Lineups
Alex Smalley4 days ago

A Risky Option For Fantasy Lineups
Christiaan Bezuidenhout4 days ago

To Bounce Back After Missed Cut
Brendon Todd4 days ago

A Risky Fantasy Play At Colonial
PGA4 days ago

Byeong Hun An's Impressive Play Makes Him Strong Fantasy Option
PGA4 days ago

K.H. Lee Looks To Continue Playing Well
Tom Hoge4 days ago

A Viable Fantasy Option At Colonial
PGA4 days ago

Cameron Davis Playing Well Heading To Colonial
Max Homa4 days ago

A Reliable Fantasy Option At Colonial
Will Gordon4 days ago

A Solid Option In Texas
Cameron Champ4 days ago

Worth A Look At Colonial
Stephan Jaeger4 days ago

A Solid Sleeper At Colonial
Sam Stevens4 days ago

Worth A Shot At Charles Schwab
Ryan Palmer4 days ago

Is It Safe To Start Ryan Palmer In Texas?
Maverick McNealy4 days ago

In A Major Slump
Aleksander Barkov5 days ago

Expected To Play In Game 4
Mark Stone5 days ago

Jamie Benn Ejected For Cross-Checking Mark Stone In Game 3
Ivan Barbashev5 days ago

Collects Three Points In Game 3 Victory
Adin Hill5 days ago

Posts First Career Playoff Shutout In Game 3
Sergei Bobrovsky6 days ago

Posts First Career Playoff Shutout In Game 3
Aleksander Barkov6 days ago

Suffers Lower-Body Injury In Game 3