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MLB DFS Picks Today: Daily Fantasy Baseball Strategy and Tips For FanDuel, DraftKings (4/30/25)

Bobby Witt Jr. - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

CeeGee's top DraftKings and FanDuel MLB DFS picks for today, Wednesday, 4/30/25. His favorite daily fantasy baseball lineup sleepers and value picks for DFS on DraftKings and FanDuel.

Happy Wednesday, RotoBallers! We've got a juicy nine-game set starting at 6:35 p.m. EDT. Today's slate has a mix of aces, sneaky value pitchers, and some bats in prime spots to rack up points.

The weather looks mostly cooperative, though keep an eye on Great American Ball Park (Cardinals at Reds) with a 25-35 percent chance of precipitation and Guaranteed Rate Field (Brewers at White Sox) with 31-43 percent rain odds. No major injury bombshells today, but always check lineups closer to lock.

This article will provide my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel on 4/30/2025, with the slate starting at 6:35 p.m. EDT. The lineup picks will showcase elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for other sports here. Monitoring injury news and today's MLB starting lineups is always essential.

 

DraftKings, FanDuel Pitchers - MLB DFS Lineup Picks

Pitching is stacked tonight, with high-end arms like Corbin Burnes and Nathan Eovaldi anchoring the slate, plus some mid-tier gems offering value. Here’s who stands out:

Corbin Burnes - ARI - SP ($9K DK; $9.1K FD)

Burnes is facing a Mets lineup that, while dangerous, has exploitable holes against right-handed pitching. New York’s key bats like Pete Alonso (24.3 K% vs. RHP) and Mark Vientos (27.3 K%) can be prone to whiffs, and Burnes is perfectly equipped to capitalize. His 2024-25 stats are solid: a 21.9 K% against lefties and 24.0 percent against righties, paired with a groundball-heavy profile (56.5 GB% vs. lefties) that neutralizes power in the spacious Citi Field.

His cutter-slider combo (46.1 FC% at 95.1 mph) generates weak contact, and his low .267 wOBA allowed to lefties shuts down threats like Juan Soto. The only risk is the Mets’ high-upside bats connecting, but Burnes’ consistency makes him the safest bet to anchor your lineup tonight.

Nathan Eovaldi - TEX - SP ($9.2K DK; $9.7K FD)

Eovaldi is a close second, offering a near-ace profile against an Athletics lineup that’s been inconsistent against righties. The Athletics offense hinges on power hitters like Brent Rooker (30.2 K%, .374 xwOBA) and Shea Langeliers (25.6 K%), who Eovaldi’s high-strikeout stuff can exploit. His 23.7 K% vs. lefties and 25.1 percent vs. righties are backed by a pristine .256 wOBA allowed to right-handed hitters, and his recent form is electric: a 27.1 K% and a microscopic 2.1 BB% over his last six starts.

Eovaldi’s four-seam fastball (35.8 percent usage, 95.2 mph) and splitter (30.7 percent usage) generate swings and misses, as seen in his nine-strikeout shutout against the Reds (4/1/25). Globe Life Field’s pitcher-friendly dimensions further suppress the Athletics' power, and Eovaldi’s 57.6 GB% vs. righties limits home-run risk. Eovaldi is a high-floor, high-ceiling option tonight.

Matthew Boyd - CHC - SP ($8.4K DK; $9.4K FD)

Boyd is a mid-tier gem who’s flying under the radar, facing a Pirates lineup that struggles mightily against left-handed pitching. Pittsburgh’s offense is led by Oneil Cruz (30.8 K%, .288 xwOBA vs. LHP) and Joey Bart (29.5 K%), who are prone to chasing Boyd’s slider. Boyd’s 24.3 K% against righties and .293 wOBA allowed are tailor-made for PNC Park, one of the most pitcher-friendly venues in MLB.

His 2024-25 season has been quietly dominant, with a 23.9 K% vs. lefties and a low .124 ISO allowed to righties, and recent outings (e.g., seven Ks vs. Dodgers on 4/11/25) show his ability to miss bats. PNC’s deep left center field suppresses Pittsburgh’s pull-heavy hitters, and Boyd’s 30.2 GB% vs. righties keeps the ball on the ground. The risk is Pittsburgh’s occasional power outbursts, but Boyd’s matchup and park factor make him a high-upside play.

Cristopher Sanchez - PHI - SP ($8.2K DK; $10.2K FD)

Sanchez is a groundball machine, facing a Nationals lineup that lacks punch against lefties, making him a rock-solid cash game option. Washington’s key hitters, like CJ Abrams (.289 xwOBA vs. LHP) and James Wood (.350 xwOBA but 23.4 K%), struggle to lift against Sanchez’s sinker-heavy arsenal (47.3 SI% at 94.6 mph). His 67.9 GB% vs. lefties and 55.2 percent vs. righties are elite, and his 22.2 K% with a 3.9 BB% vs. lefties ensures a high floor at Citizens Bank Park.

Sanchez’s recent form is scorching, with a 27.6 K% over his last six starts, including a 12-strikeout masterpiece vs. the Giants (4/17/25). His .256 wOBA allowed to lefties neutralizes switch-hitters like Keibert Ruiz, and his low .116 ISO allowed to righties limits extra-base damage.

Want more MLB DFS tools and content? Our MLB Premium package includes our daily DFS Cheat Sheets, Research Station, Lineup Optimizer, and access to our Premium Discord Chatrooms, where members can chat with our MLB analysts. Win more with expert tools and advice from proven winners!

 

DraftKings, FanDuel Infielders - MLB DFS Lineup Picks

The infield is loaded with power and value, especially in hitter-friendly parks like Camden Yards and Great American. Here’s who to target:

Bobby Witt Jr. - KC - SS ($5.8K DK; $3.7K FD)

His 2024-25 stats vs. righties are elite: a .404 xwOBA, .258 ISO, and just a 15.9 K%, paired with game-changing speed that’s led to stolen bases in high-pressure spots. Playing at George M. Steinbrenner Field, which favors hitters with its shorter dimensions, Witt’s ability to rack up hits, homers (.281 xHR projection), and steals makes him a multi-category threat.

Witt has only two games without at least one hit this season, and his top-of-the-order role makes him a priority, with minimal risk beyond Drew Rasmussen’s occasional dominance.

Gunnar Henderson - BAL - SS ($5.1K DK; $3.2K FD)

Henderson gets a dream matchup against Carlos Carrasco, who’s been torched by left-handed hitters to the tune of a .349 xwOBA and .205 ISO allowed. Henderson’s .396 xwOBA and .264 ISO vs. righties are top-tier, and his 21.8 K% shows improved contact skills, making him a tough out at Camden Yards, where the left-field wall is a short 333 feet. Carrasco’s sinker-slider mix (25.1 SL%, 17.9 SI%) struggles against lefties, as seen in his four ER outing vs. the Rays (4/19/25).

Batting second in Baltimore’s lineup, Henderson’s run-scoring potential is boosted by Cedric Mullins ahead of him. The only concern is Carrasco’s occasional ability to limit hard contact, but Henderson’s matchup and park factors make him a near-must-play.

William Contreras - MIL - C ($4.3K DK; $3.1K FD)

Contreras is a catcher gem facing Shane Smith, an unproven righty with a 16.9 K% and .326 xwOBA allowed to righties in a small sample. Contreras’ .360 xwOBA and .181 ISO vs. righties are strong, and his 18.5 K% and 11.3 BB% show a disciplined approach that thrives at Guaranteed Rate Field, a park known for boosting power. Despite weather concerns (31-43 percent rain), Contreras’ role as Milwaukee’s cleanup hitter ensures RBI opportunities behind Christian Yelich and Jackson Chourio.

Smith’s four-seam fastball (43.3 percent usage, 94.8 mph) lacks elite swing-and-miss stuff, and Contreras’ ability to barrel up righties (.264 xHR projection) makes him a prime target. The risk is Smith’s limited data-hiding potential, but Contreras’ consistency and matchup make him a high-floor, high-upside play.

Also Consider: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. - TOR - 1B ($4.9K DK; $2.9K FD), Bryce Harper - PHI - 1B ($5.7K DK; $3.8K FD), Adley Rutschman - BAL - C ($4.9K DK; $2.9K FD) - All offer high floors and matchup-driven upside.

 

DraftKings, FanDuel Outfielders - MLB DFS Lineup Picks

Outfielders are where you can find both elite studs and value plays to round out your lineups. Here’s the breakdown:

Aaron Judge - NYY - OF ($6.3K DK; $4.6K FD)

Judge is a DFS juggernaut facing Cade Povich, a lefty who’s been crushed by right-handed hitters, allowing a .333 xwOBA and .208 ISO. Judge’s numbers vs. lefties are otherworldly: a .495 xwOBA, .461 ISO, and 23.3 K%, paired with a .349 xHR projection that thrives at Camden Yards’ short left-field porch (333 feet).

Povich’s 20.6 K% and 9.6 BB% vs. righties suggest control issues, and his recent outings (e.g., seven ER vs. Reds on 4/18/25) expose his vulnerability to power. Judge, batting third, is primed for runs and RBI. The only risk is Povich’s occasional ability to limit hard contact, but Judge’s matchup and park make him a must-play.

Kyle Tucker - CHC - OF ($6.2K DK; $4.5K FD)

Tucker faces Carmen Mlodzinski, a reliever-turned-starter who’s struggled mightily against lefties, allowing a .428 xwOBA and .208 ISO in his last six games. Tucker’s .434 xwOBA and .324 ISO vs. righties are elite, and his 14.7 K% and 17.3 BB% showcase a disciplined approach that exploits Mlodzinski’s 19.4 K% and 6.9 BB% vs. lefties. PNC Park’s dimensions are pitcher-friendly, but Tucker’s pull-heavy swing and .434 xwOBA thrive in any environment.

Batting second for the Cubs, he’s in line for multiple plate appearances, boosting his floor and home-run upside and cementing his reliability, with minimal risk given Mlodzinski’s inexperience.

Juan Soto - NYM - OF ($5.2K DK; $3.5K FD)

Soto is a value gem on FanDuel facing Burnes, a tough righty who allows a manageable .279 xwOBA to lefties. Soto’s .441 xwOBA and .265 ISO vs. righties, combined with an 18.5 K% and 17.1 BB%, make him a matchup-proof bat at Citi Field, where his plate discipline shines against Burnes’ cutter-heavy mix (46.1 FC%, 95.1 mph). Soto’s ability to work counts and barrel up pitches gives him a high floor, with home-run upside if Burnes makes a mistake.

Batting second for the Mets, he’s positioned for runs and multi-hit games. FanDuel’s $3,500 price is cash game gold, fitting easily into any lineup, while DraftKings’ $5,200 suits GPPs, where his ceiling could hit 20+ points. The risk is Burnes’ 21.9 K% vs. lefties, but Soto’s elite contact skills make him a safe bet for production.

Jackson Chourio - MIL - OF ($5.1K DK; $3.7K FD)

Chourio, a breakout star, faces Smith, an unproven righty with a .309 xwOBA and .067 ISO allowed to righties in a small sample. Chourio’s .328 xwOBA and .228 ISO vs. righties, paired with a .285 xHR projection, are amplified at Guaranteed Rate Field, a power-friendly park despite weather concerns (31-43 percent rain). Smith’s 24.0 K% vs. righties is decent, but his 4.0 BB% and lack of elite stuff (43.3 FF%, 94.8 mph) play into Chourio’s hands.

Batting second for the Brewers, Chourio’s power-speed combo gives him a high floor. The risk is Smith’s limited data-hiding potential, but Chourio’s matchup and park make him a high-upside play.

Lawrence Butler - Athletics - OF ($5K DK; $3.5K FD)

Butler is a sneaky value against Eovaldi, who allows a .335 xwOBA and .176 ISO to lefties, creating an exploitable matchup. Butler’s .341 xwOBA and .216 ISO vs. righties, with a 22.9 K% and 9.5 BB%, fit Globe Life Field’s hitter-friendly dimensions, where his pull power can find the short right-field porch. Eovaldi’s 23.7 K% vs. lefties is strong, but Butler’s quick bat can attack his splitter-heavy approach (30.7 FS%).

The risk is Eovaldi’s groundball tendencies (41.0 GB% vs. lefties), but Butler’s value and matchup make him a smart play.

Also Consider: Christian Yelich - MIL - OF ($4.8K DK; $3.7K FD), Jarren Duran - BOS - OF ($5.2K DK; $3.5K FD), Corbin Carroll - ARI - OF ($6.1K DK; $4.3K FD) - All have favorable matchups and multi-hit potential.

 

DraftKings, FanDuel MLB DFS Stacks

Stacking is key for GPPs, especially with DK’s deeper lineups and FD’s scoring rewarding power. Here are the top teams to target:

New York Yankees (vs. Cade Povich - BAL)

Povich’s .371 wOBA to righties and 28.0 FB% make him vulnerable at Camden Yards. Aaron Judge ($6.3K DK; $4.6K FD), Paul Goldschmidt ($4.2K DK; $3K FD), and Anthony Volpe ($4.2K DK; $2.8K FD) are prime targets, with Judge’s power and Volpe’s speed thriving. Add Trent Grisham ($3.6K DK; $2.9K FD) for value. This stack is cash-viable on FD, GPP-focused on DK.

Milwaukee Brewers (vs. Shane Smith - CWS)

Smith’s limited sample (16.9 K% vs. lefties) and Guaranteed Rate’s hitter-friendly park make the Brewers a sneaky stack. Jackson Chourio ($5.1K DK; $3.7K FD), Christian Yelich ($4.8K DK; $3.7K FD), and William Contreras ($4.3K DK; $3.1K FD) offer power, with Brice Turang ($4.9K DK; $3.4K FD) adding speed. GPP gold on both sites.

Chicago Cubs (vs. Carmen Mlodzinski - PIT)

Mlodzinski’s .428 wOBA to lefties in recent games screams stack potential at PNC. Kyle Tucker ($6.2K DK; $4.5K FD), Ian Happ ($4.3K DK; $3.2K FD), and Michael Busch ($5.4K DK; $3K FD) are core pieces, with Pete Crow-Armstrong ($4.5K DK; $3.4K FD) as a value add. FD’s scoring loves this stack’s power, while DK’s depth rewards multi-hit games.



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