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Dynasty Stock Watch for 2018 – Quarterbacks (Part 2)

Fantasy owners do not always build their dynasty league teams around quarterbacks like the NFL does, but that does not mean making a quarterback the cornerstone of your fantasy franchise is a bad idea.

Running backs are still arguably the most important position players in fantasy football, but quarterbacks rank a close second and gain ground every year as NFL offenses rely more on passing. Owners of dynasty fantasy leagues teams have to be cognizant of which quarterbacks are lining up to have superb seasons in the coming years and which might have tough sledding in 2018 and beyond.

Here are two more quarterbacks whose stock in dynasty leagues is rising, and two more quarterbacks whose dynasty stock is falling this offseason:

Editor's Note: Steer clear of costly draft mistakes with RotoBaller’s expert Fantasy Football Bust analysis. We break down overvalued players, potential letdowns, and risky ADPs to avoid, so you can build a smarter, safer roster.

 

Dynasty Stock Rising

Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders

2017 Stats: 3,496 passing yards, 22 touchdown passes, 13 interceptions

Carr appeared to be on the verge of joining the league’s elite at the quarterback position after posting back-to-back 3,900-yard years and tossing 60 touchdown passes between 2015 and 2016, but his fantasy worth went down in 2017 thanks to Amari Cooper’s constant drops, an Oakland offense that lacked an identity, and Carr taking a step back instead of taking his game to the next level.

Carr has two new receivers to throw to in Jordy Nelson and Martavis Bryant, but more importantly has a new head coach running the offense and team in Monday Night maniac Jon Gruden. We have all seen that Gruden knows a lot about quarterbacks and loves teaching them how to be more effective. He could turn Carr into the top-five fantasy quarterback he was on his way to becoming before last season’s detour. Fantasy owners can expect Carr to rebound and will never have to worry about newly-acquired Christian Hackenberg stealing Carr’s starting spot.

Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs

2017 Stats:  284 passing yards, zero touchdown passes, one interception

Mahomes was able to digest the NFL game from the sidelines for 99 percent of last season, learning from veteran signal caller Alex Smith and one of the top coaching staffs in the league that is chock full of offensive minds.

Mahomes has more talent surrounding him than Meghan Markle has royal subjects surrounding her. Mahomes has arguably the second-best tight end in the NFL in Travis Kelce as his go-to guy, greyhounds Tyreek Hill and Sammy Watkins as his wide receivers, and 2017 rushing champion Kareem Hunt in the backfield. Oh, and he has Andy Reid and his staff coaching him, and all they did was help guide Smith to the best year of his career in 2017. The fantasy value meter will be rising from this point on for this ultra-talented youngster.

 

Dynasty Stock Falling

Alex Smith, Washington Redskins

2017 Stats:  4,042 passing yards, 26 touchdown passes, five interceptions

Smith saved the best year of his 12-year career for 2017, setting a personal best with 26 touchdown tosses and posting his first 4,000-yard season as a passer. Kansas City offensive guru Andy Reid got the most out of Smith any coach ever has, and having the aforementioned Kelce and Hill as his top two targets certainly helped as well, but…

…now Smith is Washington’s starting signal caller. Is Smith going to be able to duplicate his sterling 2018 season with the below-average receiving crew he is stuck with in Redskinsville?  Jamison Crowder is a nice receiver, but not a number one WR. Josh Doctson and tight end Jordan Reed are perpetually injured. Offseason signee Paul Richardson has a ways to go before becoming a 1,000-yard pass catcher, and third-down dynamo Chris Thompson is coming off a broken leg. Smith will be hard-pressed to deliver another season to fantasy owners like he did last year.

Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks

2017 Stats:  3,983 passing yards, 34 touchdown passes, 11 interceptions

Wilson will have to be a LeBron James-like one-man team for the Seahawks to have any hope of being a playoff contender in 2018 as his team is in rebuilding mode and has allowed many of its biggest stars to sign with other teams, including tight end Jimmy Graham and emerging receiver Paul Richardson. Inking veterans Brandon Marshall and Ed Dickson to deals to fill these gaps in Wilson’s receiving corps is not enough help, especially since the Seahawks have failed to upgrade their running game this offseason.

Wilson can do a lot with a little due to his scrambling skills and his ability to throw on the run, but does he have enough David Copperfield in him to throw for 4,000 yards and 30 touchdowns with the worst supporting cast he has ever played with? Probably not, sadly. Look for his TD-to-INT ratio to suffer and for him to be wildly inconsistent from week-to-week due to the lack of talent flanking him.

 

More 2018 Dynasty League Strategy




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

KaVontae Turpin

Arrested on Two Charges
Cole Ragans

to Begin Throwing on Monday
Theo Johnson

Prioritizing his Health this Offseason
Andrés Giménez

Andres Gimenez Hits 10-Day Injured List
Jermaine Burton

Continues to Show Growth
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Hendrix Lapierre Signs One-Year Deal with Capitals
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Tye Kartye

Kraken Re-Sign Tye Kartye for Two Years
Ross Chastain

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Should DFS Players Roster Ryan Preece at Chicago?
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Is Too Great of A Risk to Add to Chicago Lineups
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Is A Value Play Worth Rostering At Chicago
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is A Favorable Value Option for Chicago DFS Lineups
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Alex Bowman

Should Finish Well, but Probably Costs Too Much for Serious DFS Consideration
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Doesn't Really Fit Neatly into Optimal DFS Lineups
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Activated, Playing on Saturday
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Starting on Saturday
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Activated from 10-Day Injured List
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Shemar Stewart, Bengals Continue Contract Talks, No Progress Made
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Potential Giannis Antetokounmpo Trade may not Happen Until "August, September"
Ha-Seong Kim

Removed Early During Season Debut
ARI

Christian Fischer Retires From NHL at 28
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Spencer Martin Moves to Russia
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Anthony Beauvillier Re-Signs With Capitals for Two Years
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Sitting Out With Foot Issue
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Impresses at Minicamp
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Jock Landale Waived by Rockets
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Back in Blue Jays Lineup
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Jonas Valanciunas Considering Returning to Europe
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Titans Could Move Chimere Dike Inside
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KeAndre Lambert-Smith not Guaranteed Roster Spot
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Jonathan Gannon has Been Impressed With Cody Simon
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Damian Lillard "Open" to Signing With a Team This Offseason
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Omar Khan, Steelers Agree to Three-Year Contract
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Out of Thursday's Lineup
James Wood

Joining Home Run Derby
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Sharks Claim Nick Leddy Off Waivers
SJ

Sharks Sign Dmitry Orlov to Two-Year, $13 Million Contract
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Nikolaj Ehlers Joins Hurricanes on Six-Year Contract
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Having Stellar Offseason
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Inks Rookie Contract With Jazz
Divine Deablo

Could be the Quarterback of the Defense
Isaiah Rodgers

a Likely Starter for the Vikings
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Heading to Toronto
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Re-Signs with Islanders for Two Years
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Sabres Snap Up Alex Lyon on Two-Year Contract
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Dante Exum Returning to Dallas
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Has Surgery to Repair a Turf Toe Injury
Bud Cauley

in Great Form Ahead of John Deere Classic
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a Player to Avoid at John Deere Classic
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PGA

Sungjae Im Looking for Consistency at John Deere Classic
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Beau Hossler

Needs a Challenge in Illinois
Harry Higgs

Has Potential at John Deere Classic
Nick Dunlap

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is a Prohibitive Fade at John Deere Classic
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is the Appropriate Favorite at TPC Deere Run
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