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Fantasy Baseball Breakouts and Resurgent Hitters - Are They For Real? (Week 10)

Jake Bauers - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Frank analyzes five fantasy baseball breakouts and hitter resurgences in Week 10 of the 2026 season. These batters are off to hot starts, but are they real fantasy breakouts to stay?

Finding a potential breakout is a great way to put your fantasy baseball team on a path to a championship. These are hitters who have gotten off to surprising starts, making you wonder whether or not they're for real.

In this article, we're focusing on these types of hitters rather than veteran bounce-backs. The hitters in this list have been in the league for a few years now, but they're showing growth at the plate.

With that in mind, let's dive into Spencer Horwitz, Jake Bauers, Brayan Rocchio, Jung Hoo Lee, and J.P. Crawford. Each of these hitters is performing above expectations, putting up more than 110 wRC+.

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Spencer Horwitz, Pittsburgh Pirates

Spencer Horwitz showed some promise in his previous two seasons. He slashed .265/.357/.433 with 12 home runs in 381 plate appearances in 2024 and .272/.353/.434 with 11 home runs in 411 plate appearances last season. In each of those years, Horwitz had a double-digit walk rate with a sub-20% strikeout rate, demonstrating strong plate discipline. However, this season, he's been even better at the plate.

The Pirates first baseman came into Tuesday's action with a .289/.389/.468 slash with seven home runs in 208 plate appearances. He's putting up an impressive 141 wRC+ with a 13.9% walk rate and an 11.5% strikeout rate. Walking more often than you strike out is extremely impressive, especially with Horwitz tapping into more power.

You had to love what you saw in May, where Horwitz slashed .326/.415/.551 with a 13.2% walk rate and an 8.5% strikeout rate. That kind of low strikeout rate with a .500+ slugging percentage is intriguing. Perhaps this is a hitter who is finally enjoying a breakout season at 28 years old. He always showed some potential, so there's a chance that he's figured it out at the plate.

However, we have to acknowledge that there's also a risk that this is merely a hot streak. After all, it's not like Horwitz is hitting the ball harder. In fact, the opposite is true, as his barrel rate has fallen from 8.2% to 6.5% while his hard-hit rate has gone from 36.0% to 33.3%. With that said, the elite plate discipline metrics definitely raise Horwitz's floor.

I definitely recommend riding the wave with Horwitz for now, especially in deeper leagues or OBP formats. However, this feels like more of a hot month than a legit improvement.

 

Jake Bauers, Milwaukee Brewers

Coming into Tuesday's action, Jake Bauers was slashing .277/.360/.486 with nine home runs in 200 plate appearances. As I'm writing this article, Bauers hit a three-run home run against the Giants.

He's been a huge surprise this season, as he's gone from a career bench bat to a legit complementary player for the Brewers. You have to like how Bauers has trimmed his strikeout rate from 27.1% to 23.0% while maintaining a double-digit walk rate.

This has always been a player who hits the ball hard, as highlighted by the fact that he's had double-digit barrel rates throughout his career. Perhaps this is the case of a hitter who always had potential, but was never given the opportunity like he has this year. He was thrust into more action due to the Christian Yelich injury. But then, he just ran with it, continuing to mash.

In deeper leagues, Bauers has been huge, especially since he's eligible at first base and in the outfield. If you're looking for power, Bauers makes a lot of sense to hold on your roster. You also have to like the sneaky speed with four stolen bases. I prefer Bauers a bit more than Horwitz because the Brewer hits the ball harder.

Remember, the Brewers seem to know what they're doing. Just look at how Andrew Vaughn broke out for them after they acquired him from the White Sox. This could be a similar story with Bauers.

 

Brayan Rocchio, Cleveland Guardians

Brayan Rocchio has been known as a glove-first shortstop who had limitations at the plate. After all, this is a hitter who put up a 79 wRC+ and a 77 wRC+ in the last two seasons. But this year, Rocchio has taken his game to new heights, coming into Tuesday's action with a .293/.374/.415 slash with four home runs in 216 plate appearances.

The elite plate discipline is quite impressive. He's trimmed his strikeout rate from 20.1% to 12.0% while increasing his walk rate from 5.7% to 9.3%.

Rocchio now has a 127 wRC+, so he's been well above average at the plate. But here's the thing: the power growth looks unsustainable. Rocchio has always had among the league-worst barrel rates, and that hasn't changed.

Last year, he had a 3.3% barrel rate. This season, it's even worse at 3.0%. This is the case of a hitter with improved plate discipline, but it's unlikely that he'll continue to hit homers at a 15-home run pace.

With that said, that doesn't mean that it's not a career year for the 25-year-old shortstop. Just look at what a former defensive specialist with similarly elite plate discipline did last year.

I'm talking about Geraldo Perdomo. Can Rocchio be the new Perdomo? It's unlikely, but he's got some fantasy value, and he's swinging the bat well right now, so there's no issue riding the wave and seeing where it takes you.

 

Jung Hoo Lee, San Francisco Giants

Jung Hoo Lee is known as a hitter with a plus hit tool, but not enough power to make a legitimate impact in fantasy baseball. Last season was a bit disappointing, including a .266/.327/.407 slash with eight home runs in 617 plate appearances. However, so far this year, Lee is slashing .303/.340/.429 with three home runs in 212 plate appearances.

You have to like how Lee has improved his wRC+ from 107 to 118, but he's still not hitting the ball hard at all, as highlighted by a measly 3.7% barrel rate. This could be the case of a hitter who just had a red-hot May, so it's not worth it to get too excited about him.

Lee slashed .313/.337/.422 with one home run in May. But even with that line, the lack of power leaves you wanting more. If you desperately need a boost in batting average, it makes sense to ride the wave with Lee. Otherwise, let someone else pick him up in your league.

 

J.P. Crawford, Seattle Mariners

J.P. Crawford is a veteran shortstop who has demonstrated skills at the plate in the past. Think back to 2023, when he slashed .266/.380/.438 with 19 home runs in 638 plate appearances, finishing with a 136 wRC+.

When you look at Crawford this year, you see an underwhelming slash line of .215/.338/.382. However, the 114 wRC+ is above average. You also have to like that he already has nine homers in 222 plate appearances. He's only 10 homers away from his career high back in 2023.

In this case, we have a veteran hitter who is showing legitimate improvements in batted ball metrics. Crawford has improved his barrel rate from 4.8% to 9.0% while increasing his hard-hit rate from 34.7% to 36.6%. He's homered four times in his last seven games, so perhaps he's back to that 15+ homer type of pace.

That's quite useful in deeper leagues, where shortstops with secure playing time are harder to find. Perhaps Crawford sees young players like Colt Emerson and Cole Young come up this year, and realizes that he has to step up his game. Whatever the case may be, he's hitting the ball hard, making him worth a look.

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