X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

5 Undervalued, Overvalued Starting Pitcher Picks for Fantasy Baseball Points Leagues

Kevin Gausman - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Joey's starting pitcher fantasy baseball draft sleepers, busts, values for points leagues in 2025. His undervalued, overvalued SP picks for fantasy baseball drafts.

Welcome back to our ongoing draft series for fantasy baseball points leagues, focusing on starting pitchers who are undervalued and overvalued based on fantasy baseball ADPs. We've already covered the hitters, and today we dig into some pitchers. Before we get going, be sure to also bookmark out our constantly updated fantasy baseball points rankings. RotoBaller offers more than 

The biggest question heading into fantasy baseball drafts is when the right time is to select a starting pitcher. Some would say selecting one early in the draft is important because there's a clear top three in drafts this season, while others would say waiting to grab your first one in the fourth or fifth round makes your team more well-rounded in points leagues. 

However, like every position in fantasy, there are plenty of values and fades to take note of. So, let's dive in and look at the starting pitcher landscape heading into fantasy drafts.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Kevin Gausman, Toronto Blue Jays

ADP: 154.1

Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Kevin Gausman did not have the greatest season on the mound last season. Despite sporting a solid 3.83 ERA across 31 starts, the right-hander had just a 21.4 percent strikeout rate to go with a 42.4 percent hard-hit rate and a 23.4 percent whiff rate. All three of those numbers were some of the worst of Gausman's career. 

A potential reason for the veteran's inefficiencies in 2024 could have been related to a shoulder injury he suffered in spring training. Gausman was shut down for most of the spring due to right shoulder fatigue, but he didn't start the season on the injured list. That definitely could have played a part in his subpar year. The right-hander said that he probably should have begun the season on the IL to help him build up. 

However, with that in the past, look for Gausman to recapture his All-Star form in 2025. He has had a normal spring this offseason and has been one of the more consistent pitchers in the game recently. The right-hander has struck out at least 205 batters in three of the past four seasons while averaging just under 32 starts in each of those four years. He's currently a great value pick at his 154.1 ADP.  

Verdict: Undervalued 

 

Freddy Peralta, Milwaukee Brewers

ADP: 103.7

It's hard not to like Milwaukee Brewers starting pitcher Freddy Peralta in point-league formats. He will strike out a ton of batters, won't have a high ERA, and has the potential to pitch deep into games. Last season, Peralta finished the year with a 3.68 ERA, 200 strikeouts, and 11 wins across 32 starts. 

As a result, Peralta is currently going a bit too low in drafts. He has struck out at least 200 batters in back-to-back seasons, and those high strikeouts should only continue into 2025. His whiff rate (31.1 percent) and strikeout rate (27.6 percent) both ranked in the top 19 percent of the league last year. Given how important strikeouts are in points leagues, the right-hander should outperform his ADP.

He has started at least 30 games for the Brewers in consecutive years and is coming off a career-high 173 2/3 innings pitched. Therefore, it's not a surprise to see RotoBaller have Peralta ranked 30 spots higher (73) than his preseason ADP (103.7). Although the 28-year-old has to be better at limiting walks, his strikeout upside should help him post consistent fantasy numbers for managers in 2025. 

Verdict: Undervalued 

 

Tyler Glasnow, Los Angeles Dodgers

ADP: 94.7

Los Angeles Dodgers starting pitcher Tyler Glasnow has been one of the best pitchers in the game when healthy. Last season, the right-hander finished the year with a 3.49 ERA and 168 strikeouts across 134 innings pitched. Glasnow also ranked in the top 10 percent of the league in xERA (2.65), xBA (.195), and strikeout rate (32.2 percent). 

But taking a pitcher inside the top 100 in drafts who has never been able to stay healthy is just too much of a risk. Glasnow has started just 59 games over the last four years, and his 22 starts in 2024 were a career-high. The Dodgers pitcher has also never pitched more than 135 big-league innings in a season. So, it's best to pass on him at his generous 94.7 ADP.

There's no doubt that the 31-year-old right-hander is an elite pitcher in the majors. His ADP, though, is just too rich, considering he will almost certainly miss time in 2025. On top of that, there have been reports that the Dodgers plan to go to a six-man rotation once Shohei Ohtani is healthy enough to pitch. That may hurt Glasnow's fantasy value even more. 

Verdict: Overvalued 

 

Logan Webb, San Francisco Giants

ADP: 92.3

San Francisco Giants starting pitcher Logan Webb has become one of the more underrated pitchers in the majors. He continues to put up solid numbers on the mound but doesn't necessarily get the recognition among fans. Fantasy managers also appear to be sleeping on the right-hander, as Webb finds himself going in the eighth or ninth round of fantasy drafts. 

While he won't finish the year toward the top of the league in strikeouts, Webb will have an above-average ERA with over 200 innings pitched. The 28-year-old has thrown over 200 innings in back-to-back seasons while making at least 32 starts in each of the last three years. So, he's an easy selection at his 92.3 ADP and is severely undervalued currently in points leagues. 

Webb is coming off a season in which he had a 3.47 ERA, 172 strikeouts, and 50 walks across 204 2/3 innings pitched. He also ranked in the 89th percentile in chase rate (33 percent) last season. The Giants pitcher will never have big strikeout numbers, but he will go deep into games, which will keep his fantasy value afloat. The right-hander completed at least six innings in 24 of 33 starts in 2024. 

Verdict: Undervalued

 

Jacob deGrom, Texas Rangers

ADP: 50.1

Taking Texas Rangers starting pitcher Jacob deGrom with a top-50 pick is one of the riskiest things fantasy managers can do in drafts this season. Not only is deGrom turning 37 years old in June, but the flame-throwing right-hander has not pitched more than 100 innings in a year since 2019. As a result, it might be hard to rely on him to stay healthy throughout the entire 2025 campaign. 

He has only pitched a combined 41 innings over the last two years due to Tommy John surgery. Although deGrom looked great in his 10 2/3 innings pitched last season and allowed just two runs across his three starts, can fantasy managers rely on him to make over 25 starts in 2025? That's ultimately why he is an avoid at this point in drafts. 

If deGrom were to stay healthy this year, then he would probably finish as a top fantasy pitcher. He would likely rack up over 200 strikeouts and have a sub-three ERA. However, he's just too much of a risk currently at his 50.1 ADP, given his recent injury history. RotoBaller has the two-time Cy Young Award winner ranked 221st in points leagues. 

Verdict: Overvalued



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Advice




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jack Bech

Signs Rookie Contract with Raiders
Yegor Chinakhov

Requests Trade
Dakota Joshua

Maple Leafs Acquire Dakota Joshua
Lukas Dostal

Signs Five-Year Extension with Ducks
Shemar Stewart

Not Practicing With College Team
Uchenna Nwosu

Seahawks Place Uchenna Nwosu on PUP List
Taylor Decker

Alim McNeill, Taylor Decker Placed on PUP List
Tyrion Davis-Price

Titans Waive Tyrion Davis-Price
Tre Harris

Chargers Relying on Tre Harris to Be Starting X Receiver
Eugenio Suárez

Eugenio Suarez Expected Back Friday
Micah Parsons

Will Become Highest-Paid Non-QB
MarShawn Lloyd

Vying for RB2 Role
Keandre Lambert-Smith

KeAndre Lambert-Smith Finds End Zone in First Training Camp Practice
Tyler Shough

Pushing for Fully Guaranteed Rookie Deal
Ar'Darius Washington

Goes on PUP List
Lamar Jackson

to be Even Better in 2025?
Tre Harris

Agrees to Terms on Rookie Deal
Justin Herbert

Off to Good Start at Training Camp
Jameson Williams

Earning Rave Reviews from Lions Coaches
Christian Mahogany

Expected to Start for Lions
Zach Allen

an Extension Candidate in Denver?
Zaire Franklin

May Miss Start of Training Camp
Portland Trail Blazers

Damian Lillard Returning to Portland
Mason Taylor

to Play "Crucial" Role in Jets' Offense
Paul Skenes

Pirates Could Preserve Paul Skenes in Second Half
T.J. Watt

Once Again Becomes Highest-Paid Non-QB
RJ Harvey

Reaches Agreement on Four-Year Rookie Contract
Brooks Barnhizer

Grabs 19 Points, Nine Boards in Summer League Win
Jeremiah Fears

Scores 22 Points in Summer League Loss to Thunder
Isaiah Collier

Collects 17 Points In Summer League Win
Caleb Houstan

Joins Hawks
AJ Johnson

Erupts for 25 Points in Summer League Loss
Washington Wizards

Leaky Black Logs Double-Double in Loss to Jazz
Connor Norby

Undergoes Surgery, Expected to Miss 6-8 Weeks
Trey Alexander

Tallies 25 Points in Losing Effort
Johni Broome

Records Second Consecutive Double-Double
Jahmir Young

Has Historic Summer League Outing
Rob Dillingham

Plays Big Role in Wednesday's Win
Tyrese Proctor

Erupts for 35 Points Against Kings
Cody Williams

Leads Jazz to Victory Against Wizards
LeBron James

Mavs Not Interested in "Gutting its Roster" For LeBron James
Josh Hart

Undergoes a Procedure on Right Finger
Jake Burger

Goes on 10-Day Injured List With Quad Strain
Sal Frelick

Dealing With Grade 1 Hamstring Strain, TBD for Start of Second Half
Chris Sale

Plays Catch
Los Angeles Clippers

Bradley Beal Heading to Los Angeles to Join Clippers After Contract Buyout
Rayan Rupert

Scores 24 Points in Summer League Win
Derik Queen

Collects Third Consecutive Double-Double in Summer League Loss
GG Jackson II

Records 13 Points in Summer League Action on Tuesday
Johni Broome

Logs Double-Double Against Wizards
DaRon Holmes II

Records Double-Double in Summer League Loss to Raptors
Kyle Schwarber

Named All-Star Game MVP
Harris English

Takes Stellar 2025 Performance to The Open Championship
Aldrich Potgieter

Seeks Better Result in Northern Ireland
Cameron Young

Likely to Hang Around at The Open Championship
Cameron Smith

Just Trying to Make the Cut at Royal Portrush
Jordan Spieth

Is Jordan Spieth Still a Natural for Links Style Golf?
Patrick Reed

a Viable Option at The Open Championship
PGA

Sungjae Im Wants to Rebound from Last Experience at Royal Portrush
Xander Schauffele

Looks to Defend His Claret Jug at Royal Portrush
Tony Finau

Trying to Turn Tide at Royal Portrush
Daniel Brown

Seeks a Rebound at The Open Championship
Rory McIlroy

Will be the Most Watched Player This Week at Royal Portrush
Daniel Berger

Trending Poorly as The Open Championship Looms
Clayton Kershaw

Retires Both Batters In ASG Appearance
Eugenio Suárez

Eugenio Suarez Hit In Pinky In All-Star Game, X-Rays Negative
MLB

NL All-Stars Win On Tie-Breaker Home Run Swing-Off
Robert MacIntyre

Hoping to Bounce Back at Open Championship
Shane Lowry

Hopes to Repeat at Royal Portrush
Brian Harman

Hopes to Rekindle Some Magic at the 153rd Open
UTA

Michael Carcone Returns to Utah on One-Year Contract
Bowen Byram

Signs Two-Year Deal with Sabres
Morgan Barron

Jets Re-Sign Morgan Barron for Two Years
PGA

Chris Gotterup Punches Ticket to Royal Portrush With Win at Scottish Open
Bryson DeChambeau

Hopes to Reverse Links Golf Struggle at the 153rd Open
Keegan Bradley

Needs to Find The Weekend at Royal Portrush for Ryder Cup Hopes
Oneil Cruz

Ties Home Run Derby Distance Record
Cal Raleigh

Wins 2025 Home Run Derby
Justin Thomas

Finishes Tied For 22nd at Genesis Scottish Open
Scottie Scheffler

Finishes Tied For Eighth at Genesis Scottish Open
Jon Rahm

Finishes in Second at LIV Andalucia
Tallison Teixeira

Suffers First-Round TKO
Derrick Lewis

Scores First-Round TKO
Michael Lorenzen

Royals Put Michael Lorenzen on Injured List With Oblique Strain
Stephen Thompson

Loses Controversial Split Decision
Gabriel Bonfim

Wins Controversial Split Decision
Calvin Kattar

Gets Outclassed At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Extends His Win Streak
Nate Landwehr

Gets Knocked Out
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Scores Third-Round Knockout
Austen Lane

Suffers Submission Loss
Vitor Petrino

Scores First-Round Submission In Heavyweight Debut
Tuco Tokkos

Earns His First UFC Win
Junior Tafa

Unsuccessful in his Light-Heavyweight Debut
Chase Elliott

Charges to A Finish of Third At Sonoma
Chase Briscoe

Finishes Second With his First Career Road-Course Top-Five at Sonoma
Christopher Bell

Rollercoaster Day Ends With Top-5 Finish at Sonoma
William Byron

Maintains the Regular-Season Points Lead
Kyle Busch

Earns A Hard-Fought Top-10 Finish At Sonoma
Alex Ovechkin

Not Thinking About Retirement
PIT

Penguins Acquire Arturs Silovs
NHL

Nikolai Kovalenko Returns to Russia
Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Tosses Gem Against Giants
Shota Imanaga

Shuts Down Yankees on Sunday
Nathan Eovaldi

Dominant Again in Seventh Win
Tyler Reddick

Evades Near Upset to Remain Alive in In-Season Challenge
Ty Gibbs

One of Three Tylers to Make In-Season Challenge Semifinals
Kyle Larson

Curiously Mediocre at Sonoma Before Late-Race Crash
NASCAR

John H. Nemechek Edges Out Teammate to Make In-Season Challenge Semifinal
Alex Bowman

Ty Dillon Bumps Alex Bowman to Advance to In-Season Challenge Semifinal
Chicago White Sox

Billy Carlson Goes 10th Overall to White Sox
Cincinnati Reds

Steele Hall Selected Ninth by Cincinnati
Toronto Blue Jays

Blue Jays Select JoJo Parker with Eighth Overall Pick
Miami Marlins

Marlins Select Aiva Arquette With Seventh Overall Pick
Pittsburgh Pirates

Pirates Select Seth Hernandez with Sixth Overall Pick
Shane Van Gisbergen

Can Anyone Beat Shane van Gisbergen at Sonoma?
Tyler Reddick

Better at Sonoma Than Record Shows
Chase Elliott

a Prime DFS Option at Sonoma
Michael McDowell

Struggling a Bit at Sonoma
NASCAR

Christopher Bell Has Never Finished Better Than Ninth at Sonoma
Ryan Blaney

Has Top-10 Upside at Sonoma
NASCAR

Sunday at Sonoma Will Likely Be a Long Race for Bubba Wallace
Kyle Larson

Is A Likely Top-Five Contender for Sonoma
Ryan Preece

Points Position Could Affect Race at Sonoma
Todd Gilliland

Struggling to Find Speed at Sonoma
Ty Gibbs

May be an Underrated Favorite to Compete for the Win at Sonoma
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF