X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Player Comparisons
News and Alerts

NFL Betting Picks for Week 13 - Best Bets, Expert Odds and Predictions

Jared Goff - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

We picked up our first sweep of the season with a 2-0 Week 12! Of course, it took the improbable comeback win by the Jaguars to push that game total over. Washington took care of business, defeating Atlanta by six and covering our four-point number. I'm in the green for the year unit-wise, now it's time to build and keep us on the right track as we near playoffs.

I have always and will always put the disclaimer of **I'm not a professional.** I do this for fun, use my free time to research my favorite plays, and give a little of my insight into why I'm doing a particular play. My goal is to provide you with information that can help you make informed bets, whether you agree or disagree with me.

  • 2022 Record: 16-14, +1.68 units
  • Spread: 6-4, +1.35 units
  • Total/Team Total: 6-9, -3.81 units
  • Moneyline: 3-1, +2.5 units
  • Props: 0-0
  • Parlays/Teasers: 1-0, +1.3 units

Be sure to follow me on the Twitter machine @stevejanik6 and on Action Network, where I'll have all of my bets this season. It's not only a goal to have a better season, but I'm looking for more engagement on Twitter this season, so feel free to hit me up! Now down to the nitty-gritty – please remember this is all for entertainment. With that, I hope you enjoy it, best of luck, and please bet responsibly!

Featured Promo: Get any full-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off and win big in 2023. Exclusive access to our Premium articles, 15 lineup tools, new Team Sync platform, Lineup Optimizer, Premium DFS tools and cheat sheets, and much more! Sign Up Now!

 

Week 13 NFL Betting Picks - Spread

New York Jets at Minnesota Vikings (-3)

Sunday 12/4, 1:00pm PM EST | O/U: 44.5

The Jets got an adrenaline shot with Mike White at quarterback in their 31-10 win last week, however, it also cost them their starting running back Michael Carter (ankle). It didn't seem to affect the unit though, as they threw for over 300 yards with three touchdowns while the rest of the team rushed for over 80 yards and a score. We still don't know a ton about White, but he's been solid enough that with more performances like last week combined with the Jets' Top 5 defense and this team could present some problems.

Minnesota had a strong answer in Week 12, beating New England 33-26, after getting trounced in Week 11. We all know that Kirk Cousins in the afternoon slate is a different quarterback. He's 6-0 this year in 1 pm games with 10 touchdowns and over 1,500 yards. The Vikings' run game has been a relative disappointment but both facets of the offense will have a tough test this week with the Jets' defense.

While New York has the clear defensive advantage in this one, this is the first true offensive test they've seen since the first few weeks of the season. This doesn't count their win over Buffalo who was clearly struggling that day. Minnesota has some serious weapons at every skill position and with 1 pm Kirk Cousins on tap, I look for Minnesota to take care of business. The spread has dropped 1.5 points since the opening, so I'm buying back on Minnesota.

Pick: Minnesota -3 (-106, Fanduel) Bet to win 1 Unit

 

Week 13 NFL Betting Picks - Spread

Jacksonville Jaguars at Detroit Lions (-1)

Sunday 12/4, 1:00 PM EST | O/U: 51.5

With the way Jacksonville's season has gone, their comeback 28-27 upset win over Baltimore last week may have been the highlight. Trevor Lawrence has decent stats but has underperformed when needed. The offense averages about 5.6 yards per play, which is respectable, but they can't close. Averaging almost 4 red zone trips a game, they cash in with a touchdown just 53% of the time.

Even at 4-7, some would say the Lions are peaking right now. Before their close loss to Buffalo in Week 12, they won their three previous efforts and in three of the last four, they've scored 25 or more points. Much like Kirk Cousins playing on the 1 pm slate, I'm targeting Jared Goof and his strong home track record. Since joining Detroit, he averages 1.3 more touchdowns per game at home. Add in Jamaal Williams and Deandre Swift complementing each other in the run game, this Lions team is playing very differently from the beginning of the season.

As mentioned, the Jags beating Baltimore is kind of a peak for them in a lost season. Whereas Detroit has been playing hard all year and the fruits of their labor are paying off. While both defenses are absolutely awful, I think they build off of that and pick up their fifth win of the year.

Pick: Detroit ML (-108, Fanduel) Bet to win 1 Unit

 

Sports Betting Promo Offers

All new sign-ups also get a free year of RotoBaller's all sports Premium Pass ($450 value)!

Sportsbook Bonus Offer Promo
Caesars Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,250
PointsBet Up To $500 In 2nd Chance Bets
BetMGM Risk-Free First Bet Up To $1,000
FanDuel Bet $5, Get $150 In Bonus Bets
DraftKings Deposit Bonus Booster Up To $1,000
 



 

Featured Promo

Offer is only valid for new users

All new sportsbook sign-ups get a free year of RotoBaller Premium access ($450 value)!

1. Just sign up for a new account
2. Make a minimum deposit of $20 and place any bet
3. Be sure to claim your bonus offer from the sportsbook
4. Email us at [email protected] with your new account details
5. Boom - that's it! We'll email you with your year-long RotoBaller Premium Pass

CLAIM NOW!

 


Week 13 NFL Betting Picks - Total

Cleveland Browns (-7) at Houston Texans

Sunday 12/4, 1:00 PM EST | O/U: 46.5

Who could write a better NFL story than this? Deshaun Watson is set to start his first game in over two years back in Houston. Now he's with the Browns and set to take over an offense that was mediocre with Jacoby Brissett under center. Do we actually expect Cleveland to let it fly in his first game back? Nick Chubb averages over 5 yards per rush and has shown no signs of slowing down. It will be interesting to see what receivers Watson favors but this is going to take some time.

Houston has definitely been in shambles without Watson. They thought Davis Mills was going to get them somewhere and that has failed thus far. Now Kyle Allen is the guy, at least we think. They could go back to Mills at any time. Dameon Pierce has calmed down immensely and Brandin Cooks (ankle) is out Sunday. I don't see much excitement for this offense moving forward.

So this total opened at 44.5 and with the news of Watson starting that total jumped two points. The guy that hasn't thrown a pass in a game since 2020 or practiced with the team since training camp, yet that warrants the total jumping two points? Maybe I'm a sucker for buying the jump and going in the opposite direction but I'm fine with that. Houston may not score 10 points in this one and I think Cleveland eases Watson back into game action.

Pick: Under 46.5 (-108, Fanduel) Bet to win 1 Unit



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!




Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Fantasy Football Advice

LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Player Comparisons
News and Alerts
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

ROTOBALLER PLAYER NEWS

Amari Cooper9 mins ago

Returning To Action
Tyrrell Hatton14 mins ago

Continues To Stay Hot
Aaron Rodgers31 mins ago

Is Fine
Breece Hall35 mins ago

Robert Saleh Optimistic Breece Hall Will Be Ready For Week 1
Christian Kirk40 mins ago

Taking Part In OTAs
José Alvarado2 hours ago

Jose Alvarado To Throw Live Batting Practice Wednesday
Anthony Rizzo2 hours ago

Hopeful He Can Return Wednesday
Yoán Moncada2 hours ago

Yoan Moncada Dealing With Discomfort
Michael Conforto2 hours ago

Day-To-Day With A Heel Issue
Luke Raley2 hours ago

Enjoying A Career Year
Hayden Wesneski2 hours ago

Cubs Recall Hayden Wesneski On Tuesday
David Bednar2 hours ago

Gets His First Save Since April 29
Adbert Alzolay3 hours ago

Gets Tuesday's Save
Félix Bautista3 hours ago

Felix Bautista Picks Up Save No. 14 Tuesday
Jackson Merrill3 hours ago

Picks Up Three Hits
Ethan Salas3 hours ago

Picks Up Two Hits In Minor-League Debut
Fernando Tatis Jr.7 hours ago

Drives In A Run In Tuesday's Win
Oswaldo Cabrera7 hours ago

Continues To Struggle At The Plate
Ben Brown7 hours ago

Strikes Out 11 In Triple-A
Ronny Mauricio7 hours ago

Extends On-Base Streak
Jordan Westburg7 hours ago

Up To 14 Homers In Triple-A
Jason Heyward8 hours ago

Pops Up With Home Run, Stolen Base
Yusei Kikuchi11 hours ago

Earns 100th Career Win, 500th MLB Strikeout Tuesday
Ranger Suárez11 hours ago

Ranger Suarez Turns In Quality Start, Takes Loss Tuesday
David Robertson11 hours ago

Notches Ninth Save Of Season Tuesday
Kodai Senga11 hours ago

Allows One Hit, Fans Nine Tuesday
Breece Hall14 hours ago

Might Not Be Ready For The Start Of Training Camp
Baker Mayfield14 hours ago

Kyle Trask Splitting First-Team Reps This Offseason
Brock Purdy14 hours ago

Expected To Be Ready By The Start Of The Season
Justin Jefferson14 hours ago

Not At OTAs
Derrick White17 hours ago

Will Undergo MRI For His Leg On Tuesday
Robert Williams17 hours ago

III Was Battling A Stomach Virus During Game 7
Malcolm Brogdon17 hours ago

Will Consider Surgery This Offseason
Phoenix Suns17 hours ago

Suns Narrow Coaching List To Three Candidates
Tyler Herro18 hours ago

Targeting Game 3 To Return To The Floor
Golden State Warriors18 hours ago

President And General Manager Bob Myers Steps Down From Golden State
Carson Hocevar18 hours ago

To Make Cup Series Debut At Gateway This Weekend
Seamus Power18 hours ago

Hit The Wall At PGA Championship
Garrick Higgo18 hours ago

Might Have Hands Full In Ohio This Week
Denny McCarthy18 hours ago

Expects Rebound At The Memorial
Sahith Theegala18 hours ago

Primed For The Memorial
Sam Burns18 hours ago

Attempts To Keep Rolling At The Memorial
Chase Elliott18 hours ago

Suspended; Corey LaJoie To Replace Him At Gateway
Jon Rahm18 hours ago

A Favorite To Win At The Memorial
Washington Commanders21 hours ago

Andrew Norwell Placed On PUP List
Jordan Addison21 hours ago

Not Participating At OTAs
Calvin Ridley21 hours ago

To Remain Limited Until Training Camp
Ty Gibbs22 hours ago

Runs 900 Miles Around Charlotte
NASCAR22 hours ago

Bubba Wallace Scores Fourth Top-Five Finish
William Byron22 hours ago

Comes Up Short At Charlotte
Ryan Blaney22 hours ago

Scores Eighth Career Victory
Evan Engram24 hours ago

Absent From OTAs
Adin Hill1 day ago

Shuts Out Stars In Game 6
Reilly Smith1 day ago

Hands Out Two Assists In Game 6 Victory
William Karlsson1 day ago

Tallies Three Points As Vegas Eliminates Dallas
Derrick White1 day ago

Contributes 18 Points In Game 7
Jaylen Brown1 day ago

Has Eight Turnovers In Game 7
Jayson Tatum1 day ago

Held Back By Injury In Game 7
Kyle Lowry1 day ago

Makes Big Impact In Game 7
Bam Adebayo1 day ago

Very Effective In Game 7 Despite Poor Shooting
Caleb Martin1 day ago

Makes History With Another Productive Outing
Jimmy Butler1 day ago

Leads Miami Into The NBA Finals
Christian McCaffrey2 days ago

"Excited" About Season Ahead
Los Angeles Clippers2 days ago

Tyronn Lue Expected To Remain With Clippers
Philadelphia 76ers2 days ago

Nick Nurse To Become 76ers Head Coach
Zach LaVine2 days ago

Could Leave Bulls
Milwaukee Bucks2 days ago

Bucks Hire Adrian Griffin As Head Coach
Kyrie Irving2 days ago

Mavericks Not Interested In Kyrie Irving Sign-And-Trade
Malcolm Brogdon2 days ago

Expected To Play In Game 7
Jordan Poole3 days ago

Warriors To Cut Costs By Trading Jordan Poole?
Lonzo Ball3 days ago

Bulls "Privately" Believe Lonzo Ball's Career Is Over
New York Jets3 days ago

Quinnen Williams, Jets May Be Nearing A Deal
Jimmy Garoppolo3 days ago

Contract Has Waiver Included
Jonathan Marchessault3 days ago

Posts Two Assists Saturday Night
Thomas Harley3 days ago

Tallies Two Assists In Game 6 Win
Ty Dellandrea3 days ago

Keeps Dallas Alive With Late Goals
Chase Elliott3 days ago

Believes He’s Got A Good Shot To Win Coca-Cola 600
Alex Bowman3 days ago

Facing Uphill Battle In Coca-Cola 600 Return
Ryan Preece3 days ago

Hopeful To Start Putting Pieces Together For Good Runs
Corey Lajoie3 days ago

Looking To Continue Career-Best Season At Charlotte
NASCAR3 days ago

Bubba Wallace Hoping For First-Ever Top 10 Finish At Charlotte
AJ Allmendinger3 days ago

A DFS Sleeper Pick For The Coca-Cola 600
Jimmie Johnson3 days ago

Doesn't Feel Prepared For Coca-Cola 600
Zane Smith3 days ago

Hoping To Learn & Get Better At Charlotte
Todd Gilliland3 days ago

Facing Significant Equipment Downgrade At Charlotte
DeAndre Hopkins4 days ago

Bills, Chiefs Had "Substantive" Talks About Trading For DeAndre Hopkins
Travis Etienne Jr.4 days ago

Working On "Fine-Tuning" Skills
Arizona Cardinals4 days ago

Budda Baker Will Be At Training Camp
Austin Dillon4 days ago

Could Be Place Differential King At Charlotte
Erik Jones4 days ago

Could Be Good Early At Charlotte
Daniel Suarez4 days ago

Has Upside At Coca-Cola 600
Aric Almirola4 days ago

Stuck In Middle Of The Pack For Charlotte
Chase Briscoe4 days ago

Tries To Turn Back Clock At Charlotte
Ty Gibbs4 days ago

Could Provide DFS Value At Charlotte
DeAndre Hopkins5 days ago

Bills "Lurking" As A Favorite To Land DeAndre Hopkins
Davante Adams5 days ago

Josh McDaniels Has No Issues With Davante Adams Venting
Tampa Bay Buccaneers5 days ago

Bucs Expect Devin White At Minicamp
Jack Eichel5 days ago

Keeps The Assists Coming
William Karlsson5 days ago

Matches Vegas Record With Eighth Postseason Goal
Miro Heiskanen5 days ago

Delivers Two Power-Play Assists
Jason Robertson5 days ago

Scores Two Goals In Game 4 Victory
Joe Pavelski6 days ago

Scores Overtime Winner In Game 4
Jake Oettinger6 days ago

The Confirmed Starter For Game 4
Evgenii Dadonov6 days ago

Will Be Out Of The Lineup For Dallas
Adin Hill6 days ago

Will Mind The Vegas Crease In Game 4