RADIO
Hello everyone once again! We trek on down to Darlington, South Carolina for the Goodyear 400 this week and the 12th 2022 edition of NASCAR DFS on PrizePicks. Our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of.
PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win. As for the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks and NASCAR focus on Fantasy Score which has a scoring system where 1st nets 45 points, 2nd is worth 42, 3rd is worth 41, and so on. Every lap led NOW equals an extra 0.25 points. Every fastest clocked lap equals an extra 0.45 points. Laps led are 0.25 points per lap and place differential is plus or minus one point. For NASCAR, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Fantasy Score and see which players may go over or under their projected point totals. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Fantasy Score Point Totals
Erik Jones Over 25.5 Points. This is high-risk only because how much past success helps Jones here. Obviously, the driver has won here before. Furthermore, he just finds a way to finish well. Even with qualifying 11th, Jones had a top-ten car in practice, testing, and qualifying. The three top-fives and four top-tens in his last six starts solidify his results at the track "too tough to tame". The Chevy figures to be a factor throughout the race on Sunday. Take the over here as Jones could easily top 30 points even if things break his way.
Joey Logano Under 61.0 Points. The reason is simple enough. He is starting from the pole in a race where many dynamics work against him. If Logano led a bunch of laps, that would be one thing. However, at Darlington, he has led just 1% of the laps in his last six appearances. Accounting for potential lost points due to place differential is one thing, but the chances he wins are minute as well. Again, that high point total just sends red flags galore here. Even finishing in the top-five does not guarantee him 50 points let alone 60. Take the under here.
Ross Chastain Over 44.5 Points. This is one of the more fun numbers to look at on Sunday. Chastain is fast and just keep proving doubters wrong. He has a series-high seven top-five results in 11 races. That includes two wins. His car tends to be fast and versatile. The guy can race anywhere and has two watermelon splits err wins on the season. The Next-Gen car has helped this TrackHouse Racing driver break through in a big way. He could set some fastest laps and lead a few laps as well at Darlington. The No. 1 is that quick. Take the over.
Ryan Blaney Under 45.5 Points. The #12 driver does not like Darlington and does not perform well at the track. He will have that thought in the back of his head no matter how much he says otherwise. The track makes him wary and he has been far from the only driver to say as such with the Next-Gen car and the tire issues that have plagued these cars during this week. Look at all the blown tires and worse. Starting seventh hurts Blaney more as there is no safety net. If something befalls his car yet again, that under will be as good as gold. Take the under again for the Team Penske racer.
Tyler Reddick Over 44.5 Points. This could prove to work yet again. Reddick starting way down at 10th is a good thing at Darlington. His Chevy was a good deal better in practice than in qualifying. It could take some time for the car to warm up but when he gets going, Reddick could gain tenths of a second on the field as he can drive the hell out of a race car. Anything near the top-five is somewhat plausible on Sunday. Take the over here on Sunday for the No. 8 Chevy.
Some Other Drivers to Look At
Kurt Busch (Over 27.5 points) -- The elder Busch starts 6th and may drop a bit but his four top-ten results in his last six races at Darlington indicate a chance he could just finish slightly over here on Sunday. Take the shot!
Kevin Harvick (Over 59.5 points) -- Expect a good week from Harvick. After all, he is Mr. Consistent at Darlington. Despite blowing out a tire on Saturday, that may help his fortune on Sunday. While he may not lead laps, if he finishes in the top-eight that will give him the 60+ points needed to connect on the over. Do not overthink this one too much.
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The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success
NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller! Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.
Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.
Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.
